Carnes Hill

Suburb (SAL)

Greater Sydney / Bringelly - Green Valley

— 
— 
— 
— 
— 
— 
— 
Data Sources ABSValuer GeneralRental BoardACARA Newest Oct 2026 · Refreshed ABS QuickStats SAL10819 How we calculate this
Chart Color Schemes
Loading map data ...
Suburb (SAL) Boundary Analysis

This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.

SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.

Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.

0 People

est. as @ -- *

2021 Census | -- people

Land Area
--
Land Area
Population Density
--
Density
Unemployment Rate
--
Unemployment
Development
--
Resi Approvals
Get My Report

Sales ActivityProperty Sales Trends in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

The median house price in Carnes Hill is $1.40m. House values have moved 7.4% a year compounded over five years.

Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.

Find a Recent Sale
Type Specified (1) | Limit 50

Sales Detail

Loading rental data…

DemographicsPopulation Growth in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

Carnes Hill has an estimated 3,527 residents, up from 3,332 at the 2021 Census — a change of 195 people, or 5.9%. Growth has averaged 2.4% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 58.0% of that increase. That puts 2,672 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.

Detail

According to AreaSearch's evaluation of regional ABS updates alongside newly validated post-Census addresses, the suburb of Carnes Hill has an estimated population of approximately 3,527 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 195 people (5.9%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 3,332 people. This figure builds upon an Estimated Resident Population of 3,526 identified by AreaSearch from the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with 49 validated new addresses recorded after the Census date. Consequently, the population density stands at 2,672 persons per square kilometer, placing the suburb in the upper quartile across nationally assessed locations.

Over the preceding ten years, the suburb of Carnes Hill achieved solid momentum with a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%, exceeding the broader SA3 territory. Natural increase served as the primary growth engine, generating roughly 57.99999999999999% of recent net population additions, while overseas migration and interstate migration likewise delivered positive contributions. Population modeling by AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, supplemented by 2022 NSW State Government SA2 figures (2021 baseline) where necessary, applying age-cohort growth rates across all localities from 2032 to 2041. Future demographic projections indicate that the suburb of Carnes Hill will experience growth slightly under the national median, gaining 217 persons by 2041 across aggregated SA2 estimates, which equates to an overall rise of 6.1% over the 16 years.

Frequently Asked Questions - Population

What is the latest population estimate for the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Total population for the suburb of Carnes Hill was estimated to be approximately 3,527 as at Aug 26. This is based upon an estimated resident population of 3,526 from the ABS up to June 2025.
How has the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill changed since 2021?
The suburb of carnes hill has added approximately 195 people and shown a 5.85% increase from the 3,332 people recorded at the 2021 Census period.
What is the population density in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The population density in the suburb of Carnes Hill is estimated at 2,672 persons per square kilometer based on the latest population estimate.
How much has the population grown over the past 10 years in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Over the past 10 years, the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill has shown a compound annual growth rate of 7.5% per annum.
What are the main drivers of population growth in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Population growth in the suburb of Carnes Hill is driven by: Natural increase (57.99999999999999%), Overseas migration (39.0%), Interstate migration (3.0%). The primary driver is Natural increase, contributing 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains.

Residential SupplyHousing Development & Building Approvals in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

72 new dwellings have been approved in Carnes Hill over the past five years, an average of 14 a year. That places the area in the 63rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 20, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.

Detail

Analysis of ABS building approvals compiled across statistical boundaries by AreaSearch shows the local market averaging roughly 14 residential approvals annually, yielding approximately 72 homes across the past 5 financial years. During FY-25 to date, 20 approvals have been documented. With around 13 additional residents arriving annually for each new residence constructed over the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), demand continues to substantially outstrip incoming supply, typically placing upward pressure on local pricing and fueling buyer competition, with newly approved residences reflecting an average construction cost of $476,000.

Per capita residential development in the area tracks 90.0% below regional average volumes seen across Greater Sydney. While such constrained building activity generally reinforces asset values and sustains buyer interest for existing stock, building activity has picked up recently. Construction rates also sit below national benchmarks, underscoring local market maturity alongside potential planning or physical constraints. Furthermore, all recent construction has centered entirely on standalone dwellings, preserving an established low-density suburban atmosphere dedicated to spacious family accommodations, reflected in a ratio of around 235 people per dwelling approval. Projections indicate the local population is set to expand by 216 residents leading up to 2041 from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At existing rates of construction, future residential supply appears positioned to satisfy incoming accommodation requirements, establishing well-balanced conditions for purchasers while offering capacity to accommodate expansion beyond baseline projections.

Frequently Asked Questions - Development

How many dwelling approvals have occurred in the suburb of Carnes Hill recently?
Dwelling approval activity in the the suburb of Carnes Hill area has seen 10 residential approvals over the past two financial years, based on AreaSearch's SA2 aggregation method. The suburb of Carnes Hill's current population of 3,527 has been supported by 14 approvals on average over recent years.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's development activity compare to the broader region?
The suburb of Carnes Hill has seen 0.17 approvals per 100 people in recent years, compared to 0.62 approvals in the broader region. This means that one dwelling has been approved for every 234 people in the suburb of Carnes Hill, compared to one for every 165 in the broader region.
Is the suburb of Carnes Hill keeping up with housing demand?
With the population expected to increase by 216 people by 2041, around 54 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels appear more than sufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 4.0 persons per dwelling. This suggests that population growth may exceed trend projections in the coming years, supported by a robust housing supply.
What has been the trend in development approvals over the past five years in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Looking at development activity over the past five years, the suburb of Carnes Hill's approval levels have been significantly below the yearly average of 14, showing a notable downturn in recent development.
How many dwellings will be needed to accommodate future population growth in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The population in the suburb of Carnes Hill is expected to grow by 216 people by 2041, necessitating approximately 54 new dwellings. This calculation is based on the current census average of 4.0 persons per dwelling in the area.
How does recent development compare to population growth in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Over the past five years, the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill has grown by approximately 3,347 people, while 72 residential approvals were recorded. This equates to a ratio of 46.5 people added for each new dwelling approval. This high ratio suggests strong population growth relative to housing supply, potentially indicating unmet housing demand.
Are there opportunities for residential developers in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
With dwelling approval activity running at an average of 14 approvals per year and a population of 3,527, the market appears to be adequately supplied relative to projected housing demand in recent years, suggesting that developers should have a longer-term approach when considering new projects. With the population expected to increase by 216 people by 2041, around 54 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels appear more than sufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 4.0 persons per dwelling. This suggests that population growth may exceed trend projections in the coming years, supported by a robust housing supply.
Approvals Pipeline Development applications near Carnes Hill

Development applications around Carnes Hill

Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch. We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Applications
—
In this area
Est. Value
—
Where disclosed
Under Assessment
—
Awaiting determination
Determined
—
Approved or decided
Approvals pipeline Status, location, timing and project scale
Search

Loading development applications…

Lodged Address Description Type Distance Status

SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Project PipelineInfrastructure & Major Projects in Carnes Hill

PROFILE FAQ

AreaSearch tracks 52 current infrastructure and development projects close to Carnes Hill, worth an estimated $17 billion. 24 are already under construction and 25 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.

Detail

Local economic momentum and demographic performance are heavily shaped by planning frameworks and capital works. AreaSearch has pinpointed 3 key initiatives likely to influence the district, highlighted by the Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct, Favco Industrial Park, Prestons Grove Estate, and Prestons Distribution Centre Expansion.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
All Selected

AI Generated Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure

What are some of the major infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Key infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the suburb of Carnes Hill include: Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct (Dev. Application); Favco Industrial Park (Construction); Prestons Grove Estate (Construction); Prestons Distribution Centre Expansion (Completed); and OTR Prestons Convenience Retail (Completed). These projects represent significant developments that will shape the area's future infrastructure landscape.
What types of infrastructure projects are impacting the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Infrastructure development impacting the suburb of Carnes Hill spans multiple sectors including Transport & Logistics, Residential Development, and Sports & Recreation, among others.
What is the scale of infrastructure investment impacting the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Infrastructure investment analysis indicates substantial capital deployment exceeding $12.8 billion in projects that will impact the extended area, with a notable concentration of investment within the immediate the suburb of Carnes Hill vicinity.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's infrastructure development compare to other areas?
The suburb of Carnes Hill ranks in the top 10% nationally for infrastructure development, reflecting exceptional investment activity compared to similar areas across the country.
Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct
Category: Sports & Recreation
Stage: Dev. Application | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A $100 million expansion of the Carnes Hill Community and Recreation Precinct. Stage 1 includes a 25m indoor pool, a dedicated learn-to-swim pool, an indoor splashpad, a gymnasium, and health facilities. Following an Expressions of Interest process awarded in March 2026, the project is progressing through design finalization and development application. Future stages are planned to include an outdoor 50m competition pool and a multipurpose hall.

Sports & Recreation

Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub
Category: Retail
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

The Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub is a retail and commercial development within the Western Sydney Parklands, located at 104 Fifteenth Avenue, West Hoxton. The project includes a supermarket, retail outlets, a service station, and a childcare centre, designed to provide essential services and approximately 130 jobs to the local community. It is situated along the 1 billion dollar Fifteenth Avenue Upgrade corridor. Recent activity in early 2026 includes applications for civil works like kerb, gutter, and stormwater infrastructure.

Retail

Edmondson Park Precinct Development
Category: Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A 425-hectare urban renewal masterplan in Sydney South West Growth Area delivering approximately 8,000 homes. Major 2026 milestones include the completion of Precinct 9 civil works and the ongoing construction of the Edmondson Park High School (due 2027). Landcom is progressing 'Town Centre North' including a 100% Affordable Housing project on Croatia Avenue slated to start construction in early 2026. Urban Property Group's 'Chapter Place' is currently under construction with 106 terraces at Sites 1 and 2 Buchan Avenue scheduled for completion in Q4 2026.Frasers Property continues delivery at Ed.Square with the Foveaux Collection and Soho homes within the Central Park residential neighborhood.

Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal

Prestons Grove Estate
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Residential subdivision development in Prestons featuring 33 registered lots for modern family living. The estate is nestled in a quiet community with easy access to Edmondson Park railway station, plus M5 and M7 highways. Over 90% sold, marketed by Australian Land & Housing.

Residential Development

Chapter Place Terraces
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Construction is underway on 106 tri-level terrace homes (Lot 1: 43 terraces, Lot 2: 63 terraces) at Chapter Place, on Buchan Avenue in Edmondson Park. Developed and built by Urban Property Group and designed by Cox Architecture, the 3 and 4 bedroom terraces feature rooftop terraces, private entries and garages. This is the first stage of the broader $1.5 billion Chapter Place masterplan, which is planned to deliver up to 1,900 homes on a 51,634 square metre landholding around 800 metres from Edmondson Park Station.A previously approved townhouse scheme on a third nearby site has since been superseded by a larger apartment tower proposal now on public exhibition.

Residential Development

Edmondson Park High School
Category: Education & Training
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   

New public high school under construction for Edmondson Park. The project includes 40 permanent classrooms, 3 support learning classrooms, specialist learning hubs for science, performing arts, food technology, textiles and wood technology, a gymnasium, library, lecture theatre, canteen and landscaped grounds. Main structural works are complete with building commissioning, furniture installation and landscaping underway. Opening remains scheduled for Day 1, Term 1, 2027.

Education & Training

Austral Village
Category: Retail
Stage: Approved | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Redevelopment of the existing Austral Shopping Centre into a modern single-storey neighbourhood retail destination. The project features a 3,500 sqm full-line Coles supermarket, a Coles Liquorland, and approximately 2,150 sqm of specialty retail space across 17 tenancies, including medical and fitness suites. The development includes 301 at-grade car parking spaces and a 2,000 sqm pad site reserved for future community facilities to be acquired by Liverpool City Council.

Retail

Edmondson Park Town Centre Expansion
Category: Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Major mixed-use town centre development including Ed.Square by Frasers Property and The Edmondson Collection by ALAND. It features around 3,500 dwellings, 40,000sqm of retail space, over 120 shops, a Coles supermarket, Event Cinemas, and extensive community open space, providing comprehensive services and amenities directly adjacent to Edmondson Park railway station. Community input highlighted strong support for shared green spaces, outdoor seating, nature play and practical features like neutral facade colours.

Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal

Jobs & IndustryEmployment Trends in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

2,004 residents of Carnes Hill are employed, from a labour force of 2,057. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 77.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 3,024, about 86% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Carnes Hill boasts a highly skilled labor pool where professional services hold a prominent position, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% and an estimated employment growth of 4.0% over the last year, according to AreaSearch aggregated statistical area data. As of March 2026, the number of residents employed stands at 2,004, and the local unemployment rate trails the Greater Sydney rate of 4.1% by 1.6%, while workforce participation reaches 77.7%, significantly surpassing the Greater Sydney figure of 68.9%. Census data indicates that a substantial 42.6% of residents work from home, though the lingering effects of Covid-19 lockdowns should be taken into account when interpreting this statistic.

Primary resident employment sectors comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, as well as transport, postal & warehousing. Local representation within transport, postal & warehousing is particularly prominent, tracking at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles are comparatively sparse, engaging just 6.3% of the local workforce relative to 11.5% across Greater Sydney. Given the ratio of resident workers to local jobs recorded in Census data, this predominantly residential neighborhood provides limited employment within its own borders. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM data shows that during the 12 months leading to March 2026, local employment grew by 4.0% alongside a 4.4% expansion in the labour force, resulting in a 0.3 percentage points rise in the unemployment rate. By comparison, Greater Sydney registered employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.9%, accompanied by a slight decrease in joblessness. Industry forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide forward-looking context for local workforce trajectory across five-year and ten-year horizons. Nationally, overall jobs are projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying widely by sector. Applying these national sector trajectories across the local industry distribution suggests resident employment could increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting calculation that does not factor in localized population projections).

Frequently Asked Questions - Employment

What is the employment situation in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
As of March 2026, the suburb of Carnes Hill has approximately 2,004 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 2.6%. This very low unemployment rate indicates a tight labour market with strong demand for workers. The area ranks in the top 25% nationally for employment performance, indicating a robust job market.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's unemployment rate compare to the broader region?
As of March 2026, the unemployment rate in the suburb of Carnes Hill stands at 2.6%, which is 1.6 percentage points below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%. This lower unemployment rate suggests stronger local employment conditions. For comparison, the national unemployment rate is 4.2%.
What are the major employment sectors in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The employment landscape in the suburb of Carnes Hill is dominated by several key sectors. The largest employers are health care & social assistance (12.7% of employment), retail trade (10.1%), and transport, postal & warehousing (9.4%). The relatively diverse employment base, with the top three sectors comprising 32.2% of jobs, provides economic resilience. Other significant employers include construction and finance & insurance.
How has employment changed recently in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Over the past year to March 2026, the suburb of Carnes Hill has experienced employment growth, with total employment increasing while the labour force increased. As a result, the unemployment rate has rise. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment increased and its unemployment rate dropped.
What is the workforce participation rate in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The workforce participation rate in the suburb of Carnes Hill is 77.7%, which represents the proportion of working-age residents who are either employed or actively seeking work. This high participation rate indicates strong workforce engagement and economic vitality. The local rate leading the Greater Sydney average of 68.9%, indicating stronger workforce attachment in the local area.
Which industries are over-represented in the suburb of Carnes Hill's employment market?
The suburb of carnes hill shows notable specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, which employs 9.4% of the local workforce compared to 5.3% regionally. This concentration suggests the area has developed competitive advantages in this sector. The area also shows above-average employment in 1 other sectors, contributing to a distinctive economic profile.
What are the employment growth prospects for the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Based on Jobs and Skills Australia projections applied to the suburb of Carnes Hill's industry mix, employment is expected to grow by 6.3% over the next five years and 13.1% over ten years. This compares to national growth expectations of 6.6% over five years. Steady growth is anticipated across multiple sectors, providing diverse employment opportunities.
How does the job market in the suburb of Carnes Hill compare nationally?
The suburb of carnes hill's employment market shows strong performance nationally, ranking in the top 25% of areas assessed by AreaSearch. This indicates robust employment conditions and economic vitality compared to other regions. Recent job advertisement trends show the broader employment region saw a 5.9% decline, ranking 29.0th out of 37 regions nationally.
What employment opportunities exist for skilled workers in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Skilled workers will find good opportunities in the suburb of Carnes Hill, with skilled sectors accounting for 38.3% of employment. Key sectors for skilled workers include health care & social assistance (12.7%), finance & insurance (8.9%), and education & training (8.6%). With projected employment growth of 6.3% over five years, demand for skilled workers is expected to remain strong.

EarningsHousehold Income in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

Median household income in Carnes Hill is $2,630 a week (about $137,000 a year), with median personal income at $932 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $64,262 a year against an average of $77,757. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.

Detail

Postcode-level ATO records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate a median taxpayer income of $64,262 and an average taxpayer income of $77,757. These figures compare favorably with Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, local income estimates reach approximately $70,894 (median) and $85,782 (average) by March 2026. Weekly household earnings are notable, sitting at the 93rd percentile ($2,630 weekly). The largest income segment comprises 35.9% of residents (1,266 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the metropolitan proportion of 30.9%.

Broad affluence is evident, with 40.4% taking home more than $3,000 weekly, providing strong foundations for premium retail and commercial services. Although accommodation overheads absorb 19.6% of income, strong earning capacity sustains disposable income at the 90th percentile, placing the area in the 8th decile on the SEIFA income scale.

Frequently Asked Questions - Income

What is the median taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is approximately $70,894. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded a median of $64,262.
What is the average taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is approximately $85,782. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded an average of $77,757.
How does the median taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is approximately $70,894 compared to $67,093 in Greater Sydney. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $64,262 and $60,817 respectively.
How does the average taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is approximately $85,782 compared to $91,569 in Greater Sydney. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $77,757 and $83,003 respectively.
What are the main income cohorts in the suburb of Carnes Hill according to the 2021 Census?
As per the 2021 Census, the income bracket containing the largest proportion (~35.9% / 1,266 persons) of the suburb of Carnes Hill's population is the $1,500 - 2,999 cohort.
How do the main income cohorts in the suburb of Carnes Hill compare to the region?
The largest income cohort in the suburb of Carnes Hill is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing about 35.9% of the population. In comparison, Greater Sydney's largest income cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing 30.9% of its population, according to the 2021 Census.
What is the median household income in the suburb of Carnes Hill according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census data indicates that the median household income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $2,630/wk.
What is the median family income in the suburb of Carnes Hill according to the 2021 Census?
According to the 2021 Census, the median family income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $2,584/wk.
What is the median personal income in the suburb of Carnes Hill according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census shows that the median personal income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $932/wk.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's income rank nationally?
The suburb of Carnes Hill's income level is well above average nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The suburb of Carnes Hill's median income among taxpayers is $64,262 and the average income stands at $77,757, which compares to figures for Greater Sydney's of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $70,894 (median) and $85,782 (average) as of March 2026.
What is the disposable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The estimated disposable income in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $9,160 per year according to AreaSearch analysis.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's disposable income compare to the region?
The suburb of carnes hill's disposable income is $9,160 compared to $7,412 for Greater Sydney, based on AreaSearch analysis.

Housing StockHousing & Dwellings in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

Carnes Hill had 846 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 1% apartments. 66% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 17% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $600 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,700 a month, a total housing cost higher than 98% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 22.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.

Detail

Census findings show the local housing landscape is dominated by separate houses at 98.3%, with semi-detached dwellings, apartments, and other configurations accounting for only 1.7%, differing markedly from the Sydney metro distribution of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Full home ownership stood at 16.5%, trailing the metropolitan baseline, while mortgaged properties accounted for 65.8% and rental arrangements represented 17.7%. Median monthly mortgage costs sat at $2,700, notably higher than the Sydney metro level of $2,427 and the Australian average of $1,863. Median weekly rent stood at $600, exceeding both the Sydney metro benchmark of $470 and the national standard of $375.

Frequently Asked Questions - Housing

What percentage of homes are owned vs rented in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
In the suburb of Carnes Hill, 16.5% of homes are owned outright, 65.8% are owned with a mortgage, and 17.7% are rented.
What percentage of dwellings in the suburb of Carnes Hill are houses?
According to the latest data, 98.3% of dwellings in the suburb of Carnes Hill are houses.
What percentage of dwellings in the suburb of Carnes Hill are apartments or units?
In the suburb of Carnes Hill, 1.0% of dwellings are apartments or units, with an additional 0.7% being semi-detached dwellings.
What is the level of outright home ownership in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Outright home ownership in the suburb of Carnes Hill stands at 16.5%, compared to 28.7% in Greater Sydney.
What is the median monthly mortgage repayment in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The median monthly mortgage repayment in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $2,700, compared to $2,427 in Greater Sydney.
What is the median weekly rent in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The median weekly rent in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $600, compared to $470 in Greater Sydney.
What is the distribution of rental prices in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
In the suburb of Carnes Hill, 0.0% of rentals are $0-149/week, 8.9% are $150-349/week, 71.9% are $350-649/week, 19.3% are $650-949/week, and 0.0% are $950+/week.
What is the average monthly housing cost in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The aggregate monthly housing cost in the suburb of Carnes Hill is $2,236, which represents the average monthly cost across all housing types.
What percentage of income do residents spend on housing in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
In the suburb of Carnes Hill, households with mortgages typically spend 23.7% of their income on mortgage repayments, while renters spend 22.8% of their income on rent.
How crowded are homes in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The average persons per bedroom ratio in the suburb of Carnes Hill is 0.9, indicating the level of household density.
How does housing affordability in the suburb of Carnes Hill compare to the region?
Housing affordability in the suburb of Carnes Hill shows mortgage holders spending 23.7% of income on repayments (vs 27.0% regionally), while renters spend 22.8% of income on rent (vs 22.6% regionally).
What types of dwellings are most common in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The dwelling mix in the suburb of Carnes Hill consists of 98.3% detached houses, 0.7% semi-detached dwellings, 1.0% apartments, and 0.0% other dwelling types.
What is the weighted average housing cost based on tenure mix in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Based on the area's tenure composition, the weighted average monthly housing cost is approximately $2,236. This accounts for outright owners paying no housing costs, mortgage holders paying $2,700/month, and renters paying $2,598/month.
How affordable is housing in the suburb of Carnes Hill relative to local incomes?
Housing in Carnes Hill consumes approximately 19.6% of median household income ($11,388 monthly), indicating costs are highly affordable. The generally accepted benchmark is that housing should not exceed 30% of household income.
How do proposed developments compare to existing housing types in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Recent development applications in Carnes Hill show attached dwellings contributing 7% of approvals compared to 2% of existing stock, while detached houses represent 93% of applications versus 98% of current dwellings. This suggests development patterns consistent with existing housing mix. Density increases remain below national trends.

HouseholdsHousehold Composition in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

Carnes Hill counted 846 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 896 today, averaging 3.8 people each. 69% are couples with children, more than in 100% of areas nationally, against 13% couples without children. 6% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Family units constitute the vast majority of local households at 93.3%, comprising couples with children (69.3%), couples without children (13.2%), and single parent families (10.0%). The remaining 6.7% consists of non-family living arrangements, encompassing lone person households (5.9%) and group households (0.4%). The typical household accommodates a median of 3.8 people, higher than the Greater Sydney benchmark of 2.7.

Frequently Asked Questions - Households

How many households are in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
As of the 2021 Census, the suburb of Carnes Hill had 846 households. Based on population growth patterns, this has grown by approximately 5.9% to an estimated 896 households today.
What is the typical household size?
The median household size in the suburb of Carnes Hill is 3.8 people. This compares to 2.7 in Greater Sydney and reflects the area's household composition mix.
What types of households are most common?
Family households dominate at 93.3% of all households. The remaining households consist of lone person households (5.9%), group households (0.4%), and other household types (0.6%).
How are families structured in the area?
Among the 789 family households, 69.3% are couples with children, 13.2% are couples without children at home, and 10.0% are single parent families. This mix shapes local demand for schools, family services, and housing types.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill compare to regional household patterns?
Compared to Greater Sydney, the suburb of Carnes Hill shows distinct household patterns. Family households are notably over-represented at 93.3% (versus 72.6% regionally). Conversely, lone person households are under-represented at 5.9% compared to the regional 23.2%. This family-oriented profile influences local demand for family homes, schools, and children's services.
What is the average family size?
Families in the suburb of Carnes Hill have an average of 1.8 children, slightly above the Greater Sydney average of 1.5. This influences local demand for child-related services and larger family homes.
What are the marriage patterns in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Marriage patterns reveal 61.6% of the adult population are currently married, while 28.4% have never married. This compares to 48.3% married and 36.4% never married across Greater Sydney.
How significant are single-person households?
Single-person households represent 5.9% of all households in the suburb of Carnes Hill, notably lower than the regional average of 23.2%. This affects demand for smaller dwellings and single-person accommodation.
Are shared living arrangements common?
Group households (unrelated people sharing) account for 0.4% of households, well below the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%. This low rate suggests limited student or young professional shared accommodation.
Loading household composition data...

EducationSchools & Education in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

28.6% of adults in Carnes Hill hold a university qualification, including 21.6% with a bachelor degree and 5.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 17.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 670 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,059 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.

Detail

Attainment of higher educational credentials sits below metropolitan averages, with 28.6% of residents aged 15+ holding a tertiary qualification compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees represent 21.6% of adult qualifications, alongside postgraduate degrees at 5.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.4%. Vocational and practical training is well established, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (17.1%). Active participation in study is widespread, with 37.6% of the local population engaged in an educational course. This cohort includes 15.6% attending primary school, 10.8% enrolled in secondary school, and 4.7% undertaking tertiary studies.

Frequently Asked Questions - Education

What percentage of people in the suburb of Carnes Hill have university qualifications?
28.6% of people aged 15 and over in the suburb of Carnes Hill have university qualifications, compared to 38.0% in the broader region.
What percentage of people in the suburb of Carnes Hill have no formal qualifications?
40.8% of people aged 15 and over in the suburb of Carnes Hill have no formal qualifications, compared to 34.2% regionally.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's education level compare to national averages?
The suburb of carnes hill ranks in the 71th percentile nationally for education based on AreaSearch's analysis of qualification and performance metrics.
What types of qualifications are most common in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The most common qualifications in the suburb of Carnes Hill are: Bachelor Degree (21.6%), Certificate (17.1%), Advanced Diploma (13.6%).
What proportion of the suburb of Carnes Hill's population is currently attending educational institutions?
37.6% of the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill is currently engaged in formal education, with 15.6% in primary school, 10.8% in secondary school, 4.7% at university.
What is the ICSEA score for schools in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The average ICSEA (Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage) score for schools in the suburb of Carnes Hill is 1059, indicating average socio-educational advantage (national average is 1000).
How many schools are located within the suburb of Carnes Hill?
There are 1 schools within the suburb of Carnes Hill, with a combined enrollment of approximately 670 students.
What types of schools are available in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The suburb of carnes hill includes 1 primary school.

Schools Detail

AmenitiesServices & Amenities in Carnes Hill

PROFILE FAQ
Explore the surrounds Search this catchment for any place type — schools, cafés, supermarkets, transport — and drop your own custom points on the map.
Open

Getting AroundTransport & Commuting in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

Public transport in Carnes Hill reaches 5 stops on 18 routes, timetabled for about 2,000 services a week. The typical home sits about 400 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Public transport connectivity comprises 5 active stops within the area, accommodating local bus networks. These stops are integrated into 18 individual routes that deliver a total of 1,953 weekly passenger trips. Network proximity is strong, with typical walking distances to the closest boarding point averaging 399 meters. As an established commuter suburb, outward travel is prevalent, with private vehicles accounting for 90% of work trips and rail transport taking 6%. Motor vehicle ownership stands at 2.0 per dwelling, exceeding metropolitan levels. Census records from 2021 noted 42.6% of employed residents working from home, influenced by prevailing COVID-19 pandemic restrictions.

Transit service across the entire network averages 279 trips per day, translating to roughly 390 weekly trips across each individual boarding stop.

Frequently Asked Questions - Transport

How many public transport stops are in Carnes Hill?
There are 5 public transport stops within the suburb of Carnes Hill.
How frequent are the transport services in Carnes Hill?
the suburb of Carnes Hill has 1,953 weekly trips across 18 routes, averaging 279 trips per day.
How far are residents from public transport in Carnes Hill?
On average, residential properties are 399 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Transport Stops Detail

HealthcareHealth Services in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

83.9% of residents in Carnes Hill report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 76% of areas nationally. 3.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.

Detail

Health indicators across the community reflect favorable outcomes according to AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and chronic illnesses, with youth demographics exhibiting notably minimal rates of common conditions. Private health insurance participation is substantial, covering approximately 58% of the resident base (~2,032 people), compared with 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Asthma and diabetes represent the most prevalent diagnosed conditions, affecting 4.7 and 4.5% of the community respectively, while 83.9% of residents reported having no long-term health issues, exceeding the Greater Sydney average of 74.6%. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 8.9% of the population (313 people), well below the 15.5% share across Greater Sydney.

Health outcomes for older residents present distinct considerations, ranking lower nationally compared to the overall community.

Frequently Asked Questions - Health

How many people in the suburb of Carnes Hill have private health insurance?
Around 57.6% of people in the suburb of Carnes Hill are covered by private health insurance, which compares to 59.9% in the broader region of Greater Sydney.
What percentage of the population requires ongoing medical assistance in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
In the suburb of Carnes Hill, 3.7% of the population is identified as requiring ongoing medical assistance. This figure is slightly different from the regional average, where 5.2% of people in Greater Sydney require similar assistance.
How prevalent is asthma in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
4.7% of people in the suburb of Carnes Hill are diagnosed with asthma. In comparison, 6.4% of the population across Greater Sydney is affected by asthma.
What percentage of people have diabetes in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Diabetes affects 4.5% of the the suburb of Carnes Hill population, while in the surrounding region, 4.3% of people are diagnosed with diabetes.
What is the percentage of people with heart disease in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
1.7% of people in the suburb of Carnes Hill have heart disease. Across the region of Greater Sydney, 3.2% of the population is affected by heart disease.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill compare to the region in terms of overall private health coverage?
In the suburb of Carnes Hill, 57.6% of the population are estimated to have private health insurance. Comparatively, Greater Sydney sees an estimated private health coverage rate of 59.9%.

Ancestry & LanguageCultural Diversity in Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

46.1% of Carnes Hill residents were born overseas and 60.6% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 91% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Indian (9.4%) and Australian (9.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

The community displays pronounced cultural diversity, with 46.1% of residents born abroad and 60.6% speaking a language other than English in their households. Christianity is the most widespread religious affiliation, practiced by 60.9% of the populace. Notably, Islam exhibits significant concentration locally, accounting for 13.4% of residents relative to 6.8% across Greater Sydney. Regarding parental birthplace and ancestry, the most prevalent classifications include Other backgrounds at 35.2% (against 16.0% regionally), Indian ancestry at 9.4% (against 3.6% regionally), and Australian heritage at 9.3% (below the regional benchmark of 17.8%). Divergences are also evident across other communities, with Serbian ancestry representing 3.2% (vs 0.5% regionally), Croatian ancestry at 2.2% (vs 0.7%), and Vietnamese ancestry at 5.4% (vs 1.8%).

Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity

What is the level of cultural diversity in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
Carnes Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 46.1% of its population born overseas and 60.6% speaking a language other than English at home.
What is the most common religion in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
The main religion in Carnes Hill was found to be Christianity, which makes up 60.9% of people in Carnes Hill. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Islam, which comprises 13.4% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.
What are the top countries of origin in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Carnes Hill are Other, comprising 35.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Indian, comprising 9.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 3.6%, and Australian, comprising 9.3% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Serbian is notably overrepresented at 3.2% of Carnes Hill (vs 0.5% regionally), Croatian at 2.2% (vs 0.7%) and Vietnamese at 5.4% (vs 1.8%).
How does the percentage of people born overseas compare to the regional average?
46.1% of the the suburb of Carnes Hill population was born overseas, compared to 40.5% regionally.
What percentage of the the suburb of Carnes Hill population speaks a language other than English at home?
60.6% of the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill speaks a language other than English at home, compared to 39.5% in the wider region.
How many people in the suburb of Carnes Hill identify as Australian Aboriginal?
0.3% of the the suburb of Carnes Hill population identifies as Australian Aboriginal, compared to 1.3% in the region.
What is the citizenship status of the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
87.4% of the the suburb of Carnes Hill population holds citizenship, compared to 80.8% in the wider region.

Age StructureAge Profile of Carnes Hill

Table Chart PROFILE FAQ

The median resident of Carnes Hill is 33, younger than 90% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 27.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.

Detail

Demographic records show a younger age profile than Greater Sydney. August 2026 data indicates that children and young adults (0 - 24) comprise 40.4% of the population, compared to 30.4% regionally, while senior residents aged 65+ account for 8.9% against a regional benchmark of 15.5%. As of August 2026, the estimated median age is 33, having shifted from 32 at the 2021 Census, sitting 4 years below the Greater Sydney Census median of 37 and below the national median of 38 at that Census. Since the Census, the proportion of residents aged 65+ expanded from 6.2% to an estimated 8.9%.

Specifically, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 21.2% to an estimated 17.7%, whereas the 15 to 24 group rose from 13.1% to 15.7% without inward migration at younger ages. By 2041, seniors aged 65+ are expected to drive local expansion, adding 273 residents (87%) to total 587, whereas cohorts spanning 0 - 24 and young to middle aged adults are projected to decrease.

Frequently Asked Questions - Age

What is the median age in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
AreaSearch estimates the median age in the suburb of Carnes Hill at 33 years as at August 2026. That is up from the 2021 Census figure of 32 years, with AreaSearch updating the age profile for population change recorded since the Census.
How does the suburb of Carnes Hill's median age compare to broader areas?
At an estimated 33 years as at August 2026, Carnes Hill is 4 years younger than the Greater Sydney 2021 Census average (37 years) and 5 years younger than the national Census average (38 years).
What age groups are over-represented in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most over-represented age group in the suburb of Carnes Hill compared to the Greater Sydney region is the 5 - 14 group, making up 17.7% of the population.
What age groups are under-represented in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
On AreaSearch estimates updated to August 2026, the most under-represented age group in the suburb of Carnes Hill compared to the Greater Sydney region is the 25 - 34 group, making up 11.6% of the population.
Are there age groups with notable population variances?
Yes, certain age groups in the suburb of Carnes Hill show significant variance compared to the Greater Sydney region. The most over-represented age group is 5-14 year-olds (17.7% vs 11.8%). The most under-represented age groups are 85+ year-olds (0.8% vs 2.1%) and 75-84 year-olds (2.8% vs 5.3%).
What is the percentage of children (0-14 years) in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
AreaSearch estimates children aged 0-14 years at 24.7% of the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill as at August 2026.
What is the percentage of older people (65+ years) in the suburb of Carnes Hill?
AreaSearch estimates people aged 65 and over at 8.9% of the population in the suburb of Carnes Hill as at August 2026.

Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carnes Hill

Data currency Refreshed

9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.

Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.

The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section

Section Source & update cycle Currency
Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections
Population ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline.
Age profile ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate.
Development & approvals ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline
Property sales & rents Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline
Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026.
Infrastructure projects Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here
Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026.
Employment ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census.
Education ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Transport ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Services & amenities Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures
Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections
Income ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail.
Health ABS, ATO Annual 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current.
Housing ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures
Households ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures
Cultural diversity ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures

"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.

How the numbers are built

Population

The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 49 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,332 at the 2021 Census → 3,527 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.

Age profile

Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".

Property sales

Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.

Rents

Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.

Development & infrastructure

Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.

Employment & income

Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.

Education, transport & amenities

School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.

Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.

Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.

Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL10819). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.

Common questions about this page

How do Carnes Hill suburb boundaries differ from Statistical Areas?
This page uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries (suburb-style geography). SAL represents commonly-known suburb names used in addresses, while Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census/statistical reporting. Even when sharing the same name, SAL and SA2 boundaries often cover different geographic areas with different populations.
Where does the data on this Carnes Hill page come from?
AreaSearch compiles this page from official and industry sources — including ABS, Geoscience Australia, Valuer General, Provider directories, DEWR, JSA, State Transport Departments and ACARA — then aggregates them to the boundary shown and calculates the rankings, growth rates and benchmarks itself. Property sales come from the state valuation authority, rents from state rental bond lodgements, development applications from council and state planning portals, school data from ACARA, and public transport from state transport departments.
Is the Carnes Hill data on this page just from the 2021 Census?
No. Most of this page is maintained well beyond the Census. Sourced entirely from current releases: development & approvals (Aug 2026), property sales & rents (Oct 2026), infrastructure projects (May 2026) and services & amenities (Sep 2026). Built on a Census baseline but carrying newer measures on top: population (to Aug 2026), age profile (to Aug 2026), employment (to Mar 2026), income (to FY 2023), education (to Sep 2026), transport (to Jul 2026) and health (to 2024). Population and age cohorts in particular are re-based to the latest ABS Estimated Resident Population rather than left at 2021 counts. Only housing, households and cultural diversity remain wholly Census-based, because no more current small-area dataset exists for those measures.

Nearby Areas