Green Valley (NSW)

Green Valley is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Green Valley (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 12,849, a decrease of 70 people from the 2021 Census figure of 12,919. This decrease reflects an inferred resident population of 12,800 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 4,002 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

For years 2032 to 2041, growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decline by 171 persons overall, but the 75 to 84 age group is expected to increase by 661 people.

The level of residential development activity in Green Valley is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Green Valley averaged approximately 20 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 104 homes. By FY-26 so far, 12 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $266,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

This financial year, $1.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Green Valley has significantly less development activity, 92.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, this level is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving Green Valley's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 656 people per dwelling approval, Green Valley reflects a highly mature market. Given population is expected to remain stable or decline, Green Valley should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers in the future.

Green Valley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly: M7-M12 Integration Project, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor, Canvas at Bonnyrigg, and Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas). The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Green Valley remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley has a skilled workforce with significant representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.8% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the past year.

The area had 6,199 residents employed at this time, while its unemployment rate was 0.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Green Valley lagged significantly at 49.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among Green Valley residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. The area specializes in manufacturing, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 4.7% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, while the labour force grew by 4.0%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% during this period, with the labour force growing by 2.4%, and unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Green Valley. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Green Valley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Green Valley's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Green Valley is $50,181, with an average income of $58,213. This compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,627 (median) and $63,371 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual incomes lag at the 9th percentile ($580 weekly), while household income performs better at the 51st percentile. The data shows that 34.6% of the population (4,445 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 50th percentile.

Green Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation, Green Valley's dwelling structure consisted of 82.1% houses and 17.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Green Valley stood at 32.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented ones at 28.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,041, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent in Green Valley was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Green Valley's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,041 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $450.

Green Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.9% of all households, including 51.6% couples with children, 17.2% couples without children, and 17.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households making up 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4 people.

Green Valley faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 17.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 27.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (17.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (10.0%), secondary (9.7%), and tertiary (6.1%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Green Valley has 75 active public transport stops, all of which serve buses. These stops are covered by 40 different routes that together offer 2,770 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 149 meters away from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 395 trips per day across all routes, which works out to about 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Green Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Green Valley's health outcomes show exceptional results, notably for younger age groups with low prevalence of common conditions. Approximately half (50%) of Green Valley's total population (~6,423 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 53.8% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (6.5%) and arthritis (5.7%).

A majority, 77.3%, report being free from medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 77.9%. Green Valley has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8% (~2,030 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Green Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Green Valley's population is highly diverse, with 53.4% born overseas and 71.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 49.7% of residents, which is notably higher than Buddhism's Greater Sydney average of 6.6%. In Green Valley, Buddhism makes up 17.1% of the population.

The top three ancestral groups are Other (34.6%), Vietnamese (11.9%), and Australian (8.8%). Notably, Serbian (2.8%) and Spanish (1.4%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Lebanese representation is lower at 3.1%.

Green Valley's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Green Valley has a median age of 37 years, which matches Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 makes up 14.0% of Green Valley's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 35-44 age group constitutes 11.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 8.5% to 10.3%. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Green Valley's age structure. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 113%, adding 607 people and reaching a total of 1,147 from the previous figure of 539. This growth is driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all projected growth. Conversely, the 55-64 and 25-34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.