Green Valley (NSW)

Green Valley is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the suburb of Green Valley (NSW) is around 12,817, a decrease of 102 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 12,919. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 12,800, based on ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 3,992 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch's projections for Green Valley are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, using a 2021 base year.

By 2041, the population is expected to decline by 171 persons according to these projections, while specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are projected to expand by 661 people.

The level of residential development activity in Green Valley is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Green Valley had approximately 20 new homes approved per year. Between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, around 104 homes were approved, with a further 8 approved in FY-26 as of now. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $266,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year, $114,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Green Valley has significantly lower building activity, at 92.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Nationally, this is also below average, suggesting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent construction comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suitable for buyers seeking space. The location has approximately 656 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. With stable or declining population forecasts, Green Valley may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Green Valley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: M7-M12 Integration Project, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor, Canvas at Bonnyrigg, and Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Green Valley has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Green Valley's workforce is skilled with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented. The unemployment rate was 4.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.0%.

As of June 2025, 6,288 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 49.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a particularly strong specialization in manufacturing at twice the regional level. Professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 4.7% of Green Valley's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.0%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 estimate that Green Valley's employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley's median income among taxpayers was $50,181 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $58,213 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates project Green Valley's median income to be approximately $56,509 and average income at around $65,554, based on a 12.61% growth in wages since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census reported individual incomes at the 9th percentile ($580 weekly) and household incomes at the 51st percentile. Income analysis shows that 34.6% of Green Valley residents (4,434 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, consistent with metropolitan trends showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, leaving disposable income at the 50th percentile.

Green Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Green Valley's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.1% houses and 17.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Green Valley was at 32.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented ones at 28.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,041, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent in Green Valley was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Green Valley's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,041 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Green Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.9% of all households, including 51.6% couples with children, 17.2% couples without children, and 17.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households making up 1.2%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Green Valley faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 17.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 27.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (17.7%). Educational participation is high at 31.4%, with 10.0% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Green Valley has 4 schools with a combined enrollment of 2,399 students. The area's ICSEA score is 944, indicating varied educational conditions. The educational mix includes 2 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Green Valley has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 40 different routes that together facilitate 2,702 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents being on average 151 meters away from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 386 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Green Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Green Valley, with younger cohorts experiencing very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 50% of the total population (~6,407 people) has private health cover, compared to 52.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (6.5%) and arthritis (5.7%), with 77.3% of residents reporting no medical ailments, similar to the 77.9% in Greater Sydney.

Green Valley has 15.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,025 people), higher than the 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Green Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Green Valley has a culturally diverse population, with 53.4% born overseas and 71.0% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Green Valley, accounting for 49.7%. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented at 17.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (34.6%), Vietnamese (11.9%), and Australian (8.8%). Serbian (2.8%) and Spanish (1.4%) are overrepresented, while Lebanese (3.1%) is underrepresented compared to regional averages.

Green Valley's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Green Valley's median age in 2021 was 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constituted 14.0% of Green Valley's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 35-44 cohort made up 11.2%. Between 2021 and the present, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 8.5% to 10.3% of Green Valley's population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Green Valley's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 113%, adding 608 people and reaching a total of 1,147 from the previous figure of 538. This growth is driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.