Ashby (WA)

Population growth drivers in Ashby are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Ashby (WA) statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 3,219. This figure reflects a growth of 369 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,850. The current resident population estimate of 3,218 is based on AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 44 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,299 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Ashby (WA) (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 12.9% between the 2021 Census and Nov 2025, surpassing the national average of 9.7%. This growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch employs the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Ashby (WA) (SA2) is expected to increase by 599 persons to reach a population of 3,817 by 2041. This reflects an overall increase of 18.0% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashby recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ashby has seen approximately 8 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 42 homes. As of FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 7.3 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply lagging demand, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction value of new dwellings is $396,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This financial year has seen $5.6 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Perth, Ashby records significantly lower building activity, at 75.0% below the regional average per person, which generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This level is also below national average, indicating the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Ashby's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 370 people per dwelling approval, Ashby shows a developed market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Ashby is expected to grow by approximately 579 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Ashby has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region. Notable projects include Wanneroo Recreation Centre - New Sports Hub and Community Hub Upgrade, East Wanneroo District Structure Plan, Halcyon Illyarrie, and Joondalup Private Hospital Expansion. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Ashby shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashby's skilled workforce is notable, particularly in construction. Its unemployment rate was 3.1% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.0% over the past year.

As of that date, 1,674 residents were employed, with a 0.9% lower unemployment rate than Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation was 61.0%, below Greater Perth's 65.2%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment was particularly high, at 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services were underrepresented, with only 4.2% of Ashby's workforce compared to Greater Perth's 6.8%. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 4.0%, and labour force grew by 3.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment growth of 2.9% and a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data (WA) from 25-Nov showed employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%. National forecasts suggest overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, but industry-specific projections for Ashby vary significantly.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The median taxpayer income in Ashby is $50,218, with an average of $61,895, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Perth's median income of $60,748 and average income of $80,248. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,049 (median) and $67,849 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Ashby rank modestly, between the 30th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 29.4% (946 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 26th percentile. Ashby's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Ashby, as per the latest Census evaluation, 93.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.8% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In comparison, Perth metro had 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashby stood at 35.4%, with mortgaged properties at 41.2% and rented dwellings at 23.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,863, lower than Perth metro's average of $1,898. The median weekly rent in Ashby was $380, higher than Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Ashby's mortgage repayments aligned with the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $375.

Ashby features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.7% of all households, including 30.2% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 30.8% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Perth average of 2.8.

Ashby shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Ashby Trail regional residents aged 15+ have 20.8% university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 36.8%, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (26.9%). Educational participation is high, with 27.7% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.9%), secondary (6.6%), tertiary (4.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates nine active public transport stops in Ashby, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by two distinct routes, offering a combined total of 477 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents situated on average 204 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 68 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashby is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashby faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~1,666 people), compared to 54.8% across Greater Perth.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.9 and 8.3% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 67.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.0% across Greater Perth. The area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (746 people), which is higher than the 13.6% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Ashby was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashby's population showed greater linguistic diversity than most local markets, with 15.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 43.7% of Ashby residents were recorded. Christianity dominated as the primary religion, representing 47.5%.

The category 'Other' was notably higher in Ashby at 2.9%, compared to Greater Perth's 1.0%. In ancestry, English (34.5%), Australian (19.9%), and Scottish (8.3%) were the top groups. South African (1.9%), Welsh (1.3%), and New Zealand (1.1%) showed notable representation, differing from regional averages.

Ashby's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Ashby has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Perth's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Greater Perth average, the 75-84 age group is notably over-represented in Ashby at 10.0%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 9.2% to 10.0% of Ashby's population. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 12.9% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Ashby's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 225 people (70%), increasing from 321 to 547. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting Ashby's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.