Connolly

Connolly is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the suburb of Connolly is around 4,027, reflecting a growth of 352 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 9.6% rise from the previous figure of 3,675 inhabitants. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, which indicated an estimated resident population of 4,020 for the suburb, inclusive of surrounding areas applied by ABS. This growth has resulted in a density ratio of 1,423 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth since the 2021 Census (9.6%) outpaced both the SA3 area average (8.9%) and the national average, positioning Connolly as a growth leader in its region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

For future projections, AreaSearch is utilizing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and for estimating growth post-2032, AreaSearch employs the growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). According to these aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by an above median rate, with an increase of 639 persons projected by 2041. This represents a total growth of 17.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Connolly according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Connolly has received approximately 3 dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling around 17 homes. In FY26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. On average, each new dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25 has attracted around 20.9 new residents per year, indicating a significant demand exceeding supply.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $386,000, in line with regional patterns. Compared to Greater Perth, Connolly's building activity is notably lower, at 72.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Recent periods have seen increased development activity. However, this remains under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

All new construction in Connolly has been standalone homes, preserving its suburban character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 802 people per approval, Connolly is a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add approximately 690 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Connolly has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified ten projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Joondalup Health Campus Development Stage 2, Joondalup Private Hospital Expansion, Heathridge Park Redevelopment (including Community Centre & Library Upgrade), and Ocean Reef Marina. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Connolly ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Connolly has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.4%.

As of June 2025, 2,445 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Greater Perth's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation stands at 68.1%, slightly higher than Greater Perth's 65.2%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, education & training has a strong presence with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 2.6%, compared to the regional average of 4.7%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison of working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.4% and labour force grew by 4.2%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Perth during the same period, employment grew by 3.7%, labour force expanded by 3.8%, but unemployment rose slightly by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Connolly's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over the next five years and 13.5% over the next decade. These projections are illustrative and do not account for potential localized population changes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Connolly had a median income among taxpayers of $60,815. The average income stood at $78,259. This was one of the highest in Australia, compared to levels of $58,380 and $78,020 across Greater Perth respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 14.2% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $69,451, with average income at around $89,372. Census 2021 data shows household, family and personal incomes in Connolly rank between the 73rd and 83rd percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 29.1% of residents (1,171 people), similar to broader trends across metropolitan regions showing 32.0% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 37.8% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Connolly is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Connolly's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.9% houses and 14.1% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Perth metro's 88.7% houses and 11.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Connolly stood at 41.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.1% and rented ones at 13.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Perth metro's average of $2,080. Median weekly rent in Connolly was $415, compared to Perth metro's $400. Nationally, Connolly's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Connolly features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 39.1% that are couples with children, 34.3% that are couples without children, and 8.5% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 16.4% and group households comprising 0.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which matches the Greater Perth average.

The educational profile of Connolly exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

University qualification levels in Connolly stand at 27.1%, slightly below the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.5% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 13.4% and certificates at 27.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in secondary education, 8.2% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education. Connolly Primary School serves the local area, enrolling 396 students as of a recent count. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with an Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score of 1065, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. Secondary educational options are available in surrounding areas. Local school capacity is limited, with 9.8 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 19.7, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Connolly has 13 active public transport stops. All are bus stops. Six different routes service these stops, offering a total of 1,116 weekly passenger trips.

The transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 290 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 159 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Connolly's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates robust performance throughout Connolly, with both younger and older age cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is notably high at approximately 58% of the total population (2,346 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4 and 6.8% of residents respectively. Notably, 71.0% of residents declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, compared to 71.5% across Greater Perth. As of the latest data (20th March 2022), approximately 20.7% of Connolly's population is aged 65 and over (833 people). Health outcomes among seniors in Connolly are particularly strong, outperforming those of the general population in health metrics.

Connolly was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Connolly was found to have a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 7.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 52.1% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Connolly, comprising 53.9% of people, compared to 49.6% across Greater Perth. The top three ancestry groups in Connolly are English (40.5%), Australian (17.6%), and Irish (9.6%).

Notably, South African, Welsh, and Dutch ethnicities have higher representations in Connolly than the regional averages: South African at 2.0% vs 1.8%, Welsh at 1.3% vs 1.1%, and Dutch at 1.9% vs 1.7%.

Connolly hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Connolly's median age is 47 years, which is considerably higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group shows strong representation at 17.8% compared to Greater Perth's figure. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 6.2%. This concentration of residents aged 55-64 is well above the national average of 11.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.3% to 6.6%, while the 55-64 cohort has declined from 18.8% to 17.8%. Demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Connolly's age profile by 2041. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 97%, adding 258 residents to reach a total of 524. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 67% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts.