Kinross

Kinross is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

According to ABS demographic updates and fresh residential addresses verified by AreaSearch subsequent to the Census, the suburb of Kinross has a population of approximately 7,517 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 529 people (7.6%) relative to the 2021 Census, when the headcount stood at 6,988 people. This shift is calculated from the resident population of 7,517, which was estimated by AreaSearch by analyzing the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) along with 3 validated new addresses confirmed since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 2,675 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of all Australian markets assessed by AreaSearch. The growth rate of 7.6% since the Census is within 1.7 percentage points of the national figure (9.3%), indicating solid local growth trends. The expansion of the local population was mostly fueled by net overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 71.0% of the overall population growth during recent timeframes.

Projections developed by ABS and Geoscience Australia for each SA2, which were published in 2024 utilizing 2022 as the baseline, are utilized by AreaSearch. In instances where SA2 areas lack this coverage, or to project growth past 2032, growth rates segmented by age cohorts from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (utilizing 2022 data) are applied. Looking ahead, the suburb of Kinross is projected to experience growth in the lower quartile of areas monitored by AreaSearch, with local numbers anticipated to rise by 236 persons by 2041 under combined SA2 projections, representing an overall expansion of 3.1% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kinross recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Analysis of building approval statistics from the ABS allocated to local areas shows that the suburb of Kinross has recorded an average of roughly 11 new residential approvals annually, amounting to a total of 55 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 7 approvals have been logged. With approximately 6.5 additional residents moving to the locality for every new home completed over the last 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 to FY-25), demand is outstripping new supply, which typically drives up pricing and intensifies competition among buyers, even as new dwellings carry an average construction value of $378,000—slightly higher than the broader region—pointing to a focus on premium construction. Additionally, commercial approvals have reached $33.0 million this financial year, pointing to solid corporate investment locally.

Relative to Greater Perth, the suburb of Kinross exhibits a much lower volume of construction, trailing the regional per-capita average by 52.0%. While this constrained supply generally bolsters demand and supports the value of existing homes, building volumes have picked up in recent years. This construction rate is also lower than the national benchmark, indicating a mature market and highlighting possible development restrictions. Newly approved residential stock is made up of 90.0% detached houses and 10.0% semi-detached or attached options, preserving the suburban character of the neighborhood with a supply of family-sized residences. There are roughly 452 people for every single residential approval, which is characteristic of an established community.

Long-term forecasts suggest the suburb of Kinross will add 236 residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. Under ongoing development trends, the supply of new housing should comfortably accommodate this demand, creating balanced conditions for buyers and potentially allowing for population growth to outpace current projections.

Kinross has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Development activity, major planning strategies, and public works play a central role in shaping local market performance. In total, 9 infrastructure and development projects have been tracked by AreaSearch as having a potential impact on the local area. Principal projects include the Meridian Park Industrial Estate, the ongoing stages of the Iluka Beach Residential Estate, the Iluka Plaza & Medical Precinct Expansion, and the Kinross College Senior School Expansion, with details on the most significant works provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Kinross ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

The employment landscape in Kinross reflects a robust and skilled labor pool, with essential services playing a prominent role. Statistical area data aggregated by AreaSearch indicates an unemployment rate of 2.9% alongside an estimated employment growth of 3.2% over the previous year. As of March 2026, the local workforce stands at 4,540 individuals actively employed. This unemployment figure sits 1.2% lower than the Greater Perth average of 4.2%, while workforce participation reaches 77.5%, significantly outpacing the Greater Perth rate of 70.2%. Census data reveals that only 9.1% of residents worked from home, a figure that may still reflect lingering effects from Covid-19 lockdown measures.

The primary sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The local workforce has a notable concentration in construction, with its employment share tracking at 1.5 times the regional proportion. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 6.2% of working residents, which is below the 8.2% recorded across Greater Perth. The locality is heavily residential and appears to offer few local jobs relative to the size of its resident workforce, as reflected in the ratio of local workplace jobs to working residents during the Census.

According to AreaSearch evaluations combining SALM and ABS figures, which were compiled from wider statistical regions, the period concluding in March 2026 witnessed a 3.2% rise in employment alongside a 3.3% expansion of the labour force, which together led to a 0.1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. This trend diverges from the experience in Greater Perth, where employment grew by 2.0%, the labour force expanded by 2.5%, and unemployment climbed by 0.4 percentage points. Forecasts published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide additional context regarding anticipated future demand inside Kinross. These outlooks, which span five and ten-year horizons, have been overlaid onto the local employment structure to project growth trajectories. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and by 13.7% over ten years, sectoral growth rates vary considerably. When these industry-level estimates are applied to Kinross's current employment composition, the result indicates that local employment should expand by 6.4% over five years and by 13.2% over ten years. It should be noted that this approach represents a basic weighting extrapolation intended solely for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localized population forecasts.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Tax statistics from the ATO aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 show that the suburb of Kinross has income levels well above the national median. Among local taxpayers, the median income is $58,376 and the average income is $78,902, compared to Greater Perth averages of $60,748 and $80,248 respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current projections estimate these figures at approximately $64,756 (median) and $87,526 (average) as of March 2026. According to Census data, household, family, and personal earnings in the suburb of Kinross are high, positioning the area between the 70th and 80th percentiles nationwide. The income distribution shows that 37.7% of the population (2,833 individuals) earn weekly incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the regional share of 32.0%. A high proportion of top earners, with 31.7% of households earning above $3,000/week, highlights strong purchasing power. Housing costs consume 14.7% of income, and solid overall earnings place local residents in the 80th percentile for disposable income, while the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 6th decile for income.

Kinross is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Residential stock in the suburb of Kinross at the time of the latest Census was comprised of 93.1% standalone houses and 6.9% alternative housing types, such as townhouses, apartments, or other dwellings, compared to 77.8% houses and 22.1% alternative dwellings across the Perth metro area. Home ownership without a debt was relatively low at 24.0%, with the remaining properties being held under a mortgage (59.4%) or occupied by tenants (16.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,907, matching the Perth metro average of $1,907, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $405, compared to $350 across the Perth metro area. On a national scale, mortgage commitments in the suburb of Kinross are higher than the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents exceed the national median of $375.

Kinross features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the vast majority of local households at 84.0%, consisting of couples with children at 44.7%, couples without children at 26.3%, and single-parent homes at 12.1%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 16.0%, with single-person households representing 14.6% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household occupancy stands at 2.9 people, which is higher than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

Kinross performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications in the suburb of Kinross is lower than the metropolitan average, with 21.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 30.4% nationwide. This highlights opportunities for further educational attainment and vocational training. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 16.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Vocational and technical training is highly represented, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (28.8%).

Enrolment in education is remarkably strong, with 30.1% of the local population currently undertaking formal studies. This total includes 10.7% of residents attending primary school, 9.5% in secondary education, and 4.6% enrolled in tertiary institutions.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

An analysis of public transit options reveals 42 active transit stops situated within the suburb of Kinross, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 3 distinct routes, which combine to support 379 weekly passenger journeys. Access to transport is highly rated, with residents living an average of 164 meters from their nearest stop. As the area is predominantly residential, most working residents commute to other districts, with private cars remaining the primary choice for 83% of workers and trains utilized by 12%. Average motor vehicle ownership stands at 1.8 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average. A relatively low 9.1% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which may reflect the specific conditions of the pandemic.

Transit services average 54 daily trips across the local routes, which translates to roughly 9 weekly services for each transit stop.

The level of general health in Kinross is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

The suburb of Kinross exhibits favorable health profiles according to AreaSearch indicators for mortality and chronic illness, with low rates of common health conditions across both younger and older demographics, and private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, encompassing approximately 59% of the population (4,398 people).

The most prevalent health issues identified in the locality were mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 8.1% and 7.1% of the population respectively, while 72.1% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. Residents under the age of 65 experience better health outcomes than average. Seniors aged 65 and over represent 14.7% of the local population (1,104 people), which is lower than the 16.1% average for Greater Perth. Health status among these older residents remains positive, with national comparative rankings matching those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kinross was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The suburb of Kinross exhibits a higher level of cultural diversity than most comparable suburban areas, with 9.1% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 46.9% of the population born outside Australia. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 45.5% of residents. The most pronounced religious divergence is seen in Judaism, which represents 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.3% across Greater Perth.

Looking at ancestral backgrounds based on parents' birthplace, the three largest groups in the suburb of Kinross are English at 37.5%, which is notably higher than the regional average of 28.0%, Australian at 19.6%, and Irish at 9.0%. There are also distinct variations in other backgrounds: Welsh ancestry is elevated at 1.6% of the population (compared to 0.7% regionally), South Australian ancestry is at 2.5% (compared to 1.0%), and New Zealand ancestry is at 1.1% (compared to 0.8%).

Kinross's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age of residents in the suburb of Kinross is 38 years, which is close to the Greater Perth median of 37 and matches the national median of 38. Compared to the wider metropolitan area, the suburb of Kinross has a higher share of people aged 55 - 64 (14.6%) but a smaller proportion of young adults aged 25 - 34 (10.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 demographic has increased from 7.3% to 8.9% of the population, and the 55 to 64 cohort has risen from 13.4% to 14.6%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 16.9% to 13.5%. By 2041, demographic patterns are projected to shift, led by a 36% increase in the 65 to 74 age group, rising from 669 to 909 people. This trend highlights an aging population, with residents aged 65+ accounting for all projected growth, while declines are expected in the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 cohorts.