Mindarie (WA)

Mindarie has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

According to investigations of ABS demographic updates for the wider region alongside newly confirmed residential addresses from AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Mindarie (WA) has an estimated residency of 9,285 as of May 2026. This represents a rise of 1,418 residents (18.0%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 7,867 individuals. The shift is calculated from a resident count of 9,148, which AreaSearch determined by assessing the ABS June 2025 release of estimated resident population statistics, coupled with a further 317 validated new addresses identified after the Census. This count places the local density ratio at 1,497 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical rate across locations nationwide analyzed by AreaSearch. The growth rate of 18.0% recorded in the suburb of Mindarie (WA) since the 2021 census was higher than the national benchmark of 9.3% and outpaced the broader SA4 region, positioning the locality as a regional leader in expansion. Population gains in the area were mostly fueled by international migration, which accounted for approximately 50.0% of the overall growth in recent times, though all demographic indicators including interstate relocation and natural increase remained positive.

For each SA2 locality, AreaSearch applies the 2024 projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia, using 2022 as the baseline. In cases where SA2 locations lack this coverage, or to project expansion beyond 2032, AreaSearch utilizes age cohort growth rates from the 2023 Greater Capital Region projections published by the ABS, which rely on 2022 statistics. Looking at future demographic trends in the suburb of Mindarie (WA), projections indicate an expansion rate exceeding the national median, with local numbers expected to rise by 1,810 persons by 2041 based on compiled SA2 statistics, representing a total increase of 18.0% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Mindarie among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Analysis by AreaSearch of ABS building permit statistics allocated from statistical areas reveals that Mindarie averages roughly 128 residential approvals per year, totaling an estimated 640 residential properties approved during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional 85 approvals recorded so far in FY-26. An average of 1.6 new residents per year moved to the area for every home built during the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, indicating a healthy equilibrium between supply and demand that supports stable market conditions. New residential builds carry an average estimated construction cost of $572,000, pointing to a developer focus on high-end, premium housing projects. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $3.8 million during the current financial year, which highlights the predominantly residential makeup of the locality.

In comparison to Greater Perth, development in Mindarie is slightly elevated, running at 38.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year timeframe, which helps preserve existing real estate values while offering sufficient options to prospective buyers. This volume sits well above the countrywide average, showing high developer optimism in the local market. Current construction permits are comprised of 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% townhouses or apartments, which reinforces the suburban profile of the community with a focus on spacious family homes. The ratio of approximately 47 individuals per building approval aligns with the typical traits of an expanding area.

Projections indicate that Mindarie will add 1,673 residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly analysis from AreaSearch. Considering established building patterns, the incoming supply of housing is anticipated to easily satisfy this demand, offering favorable purchasing conditions and potentially paving the way for demographic growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Mindarie has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 44thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and new developments have a significant impact on real estate performance. A total of 25 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a potential impact on the locality. Key initiatives include the Alkimos to Wanneroo Desalination Pipeline, the Catalina Estate - Master Planned Community, Claytons Mindarie Beachfront, and the Catalina Plaza Neighbourhood Centre, with details on the most relevant developments provided below.

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Employment conditions in Mindarie demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Mindarie boasts a capable labor pool, with the construction industry showing particularly strong representation, an unemployment rate of 2.7%, and an estimated employment growth of 3.0% over the previous year, according to AreaSearch aggregated statistical area data. As of March 2026, 5,543 residents are employed while the local unemployment rate sits at 1.5% below Greater Perth's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation remains fairly typical at 72.9% compared to Greater Perth's 70.2%. Census data indicates that only 11.4% of residents work from home, although the lingering effects of Covid-19 lockdowns should be taken into account.

The primary employment sectors for local workers are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The workforce shows a pronounced concentration in construction, with its share of employment reaching 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, the transport, postal & warehousing sector is underrepresented, employing only 2.8% of the local workforce compared to 4.7% across Greater Perth. The strongly residential character of the locality limits local employment opportunities, as shown by comparing the count of employed residents against the size of the local working population.

Based on AreaSearch assessments of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from regional data, the recent 12-month period saw a job growth rate of 3.0% alongside a 3.4% expansion of the labor force, which led to a rise in the unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. This compares to Greater Perth, where employment expanded by 2.0%, the labor force increased by 2.5%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. National forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide additional context for future occupational demand in Mindarie. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce mix to model potential growth. Although overall national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the expansion rates vary widely across different fields. Projecting these industry-specific national trends onto the local workforce structure indicates that employment among residents would rise by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local demographic forecasts.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Based on the most recent postcode-level ATO statistics released for financial year 2023, tax-paying residents in the suburb of Mindarie earn a median income of $55,842 and an average income of $70,899. These figures exceed national benchmarks, compared to a median of $60,748 and an average of $80,248 across Greater Perth. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.93% since financial year 2023, current income levels are estimated to be approximately $61,946 for the median and $78,648 for the average as of March 2026. According to Census data, household incomes are exceptionally high, ranking in the 91st percentile with a median weekly figure of $2,555. The weekly income band of $1,500 - 2,999 is the most common, accounting for 27.8% of residents (2,581 people), which is close to the wider metropolitan pattern where this group represents 32.0%. High-income earners are very common, with 41.9% of households bringing in more than $3,000 weekly, demonstrating substantial consumer spending power. Housing costs consume 13.9% of income, and strong household earnings place local residents in the 91st percentile for disposable income, while the area's SEIFA ranking for income sits in the 8th decile.

Mindarie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

An evaluation of housing types in Mindarie at the time of the latest Census showed that standalone houses made up 87.5% of the housing stock, while semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative dwellings made up the remaining 12.5%, compared to 77.8% standalone houses and 22.1% alternative dwellings across metropolitan Perth. The rate of home ownership was also considerably higher than the Perth metropolitan average, standing at 33.9%, with remaining households holding a mortgage (52.1%) or renting (14.0%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,362 was notably higher than the Perth metropolitan average of $1,907, while the median weekly rental cost was $500, compared to the regional figure of $350. Nationally, mortgage payments in Mindarie are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well above the national median of $375.

Mindarie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the vast majority of households at 85.9%, consisting of couples with children at 45.5%, couples without children at 31.8%, and single parents at 8.4%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 14.1%, consisting of single-person households at 13.2% and group housing at 0.6%. The median household occupancy of 2.9 individuals is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Mindarie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment levels in Mindarie are lower than regional averages, with 23.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 30.4% across Australia. This difference suggests opportunities for future academic and professional training. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.5% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational qualifications are highly prevalent, with 39.8% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 13.7% and certificates at 26.1%.

A high proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 29.0% of residents enrolled in an educational program. This includes 9.8% in high school, 8.8% in primary school, and 5.8% enrolled in higher education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport services in Mindarie include 49 active stops, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected by 7 routes, which coordinate 1,222 passenger trips per week. Transport access is rated favorably, with residents living an average of 222 meters from their nearest stop. Because the suburb is primarily residential, most workers commute out of the area, with private cars being the dominant mode of travel at 79%, followed by train travel at 13%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.9 cars, which is higher than the regional average. A relatively low share of 11.4% of residents worked from home, based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect conditions during the pandemic.

Public transport service frequency averages 174 trips per day across all local routes, which translates to roughly 24 weekly services for each stop.

Mindarie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health indicators show excellent outcomes throughout Mindarie, based on an assessment of mortality statistics and the prevalence of chronic illnesses by AreaSearch, which revealed a low frequency of common health issues across all demographics. Additionally, the rate of private health insurance is high, covering approximately 55% of the population (~5,139 people), compared to 59.0% across Greater Perth.

The most prevalent medical diagnoses in the community are arthritis and mental health conditions, affecting 7.2% and 5.9% of the population, respectively. Meanwhile, 73.7% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 71.9% across Greater Perth. The working-age cohort is particularly healthy, showing a low incidence of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and over make up 19.5% of the population (1,810 people), which is higher than the 16.1% average in Greater Perth. Health conditions among older residents are very favorable, with national rankings aligning closely with the broader community.

Mindarie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Mindarie exhibits higher cultural diversity than most comparable real estate markets, with 11.4% of the population speaking a language other than English in the home and 54.4% of residents born outside Australia. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 56.0% of the population, compared to 45.0% across Greater Perth.

Regarding family ancestry, the top three self-reported backgrounds in Mindarie are English at 39.9% of the population (considerably higher than the regional average of 28.0%), Australian at 16.2% (notably lower than the regional average of 21.2%), and Irish at 8.5%. There are also distinct variations in other backgrounds, with Welsh ancestry overrepresented at 1.4% (compared to 0.7% regionally), South Australian at 3.8% (compared to 1.0%), and Dutch at 1.8% (compared to 1.5%).

Mindarie hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age of 45 in Mindarie is much higher than the Greater Perth average of 37 and older than the national median of 38 years. Compared to the wider Perth region, Mindarie has a higher proportion of residents in the 55 - 64 age bracket (17.1%) and a smaller share of 25 - 34 year-olds (7.9%). The proportion of residents aged 55 - 64 is also well above the national figure of 11.2%. Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 8.3% to 10.1% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort rose from 5.8% to 7.0%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 18.9% to 15.4%, and the 5 to 14 age group fell from 12.3% to 10.9%. Looking toward 2041, demographic projections suggest notable changes in the age distribution of the suburb of Mindarie (WA). The 65 to 74 cohort is projected to expand by 51% (481 people), rising from 937 to 1,419 residents. The combined age brackets over 65 are expected to make up 70% of the net population growth, highlighting the aging profile of the area. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age cohorts are projected to decrease in size.