Mindarie (WA)

Mindarie has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Mindarie's population is estimated at around 9271 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1404 people (17.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7867 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 8852 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 318 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1495 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mindarie's 17.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.7%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 50.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is utilising the growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the Mindarie (WA) statistical area (Lv2) expected to grow by 1920 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Mindarie was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Mindarie has averaged around 101 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 509 homes. So far in FY-26, 31 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 2.6 people moved to the area per new home constructed, indicating healthy demand which should support property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $572,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $3.8 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating limited commercial development focus. Relative to Greater Perth, Mindarie maintains similar construction rates per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area.

New building activity shows 83.0% detached houses and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 63 people per dwelling approval, Mindarie shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, Mindarie is expected to grow by 1,744 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Mindarie has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Alkimos to Wanneroo Desalination Pipeline, Catalina Estate - Master Planned Community, Claytons Mindarie Beachfront, and Mindarie Regional Centre Stage 2. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mindarie rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Mindarie has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably prominent. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.4%.

As of September 2025, there are 5,652 residents employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.1%, lower than Greater Perth's 4.0%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Perth at 69.3%. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 2.8% compared to Greater Perth's 4.7%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as shown by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.4% while labour force grew by 4.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Perth saw employment rise by 2.9%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows WA employment contracted by 0.27%, with an unemployment rate of 4.6% compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mindarie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

In financial year 2023, Mindarie suburb had a median income of $55,842 and an average income of $70,899 among taxpayers. This is above the national average. In Greater Perth, the median income was $60,748 with an average of $80,248. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $61,214 and an average of $77,719 in Mindarie, based on a 9.62% growth since financial year 2023. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 91st percentile with $2,555 weekly. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 27.8% of residents (2,577 people), similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 32.0%. Notably, 41.9% of residents earn over $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power. Housing consumes 13.9% of income. Mindarie ranks at the 91st percentile for disposable income and its SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mindarie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Mindarie, as per the latest Census evaluation, 87.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 12.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This compares to Perth metro's figures of 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mindarie stood at 33.9%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 52.1% and rented properties accounting for 14.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,362, higher than the Perth metro average of $1,898. The median weekly rent in Mindarie was recorded at $500, compared to Perth metro's $350. Nationally, Mindarie's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mindarie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.9% of all households, including 45.5% couples with children, 31.8% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.1%, consisting of 13.2% lone person households and 0.6% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Perth average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Mindarie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Mindarie's educational qualifications trail Australian benchmarks, with 23.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (13.7%) and certificates (26.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes secondary education (9.8%), primary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (5.8%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 49 active transport stops in Mindarie, served by buses via 7 routes offering 1,222 weekly passenger trips. Average distance to nearest stop is 222 meters. Daily service averages 174 trips across all routes, equating to about 24 weekly trips per stop.

Service frequency averages 174 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mindarie's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Mindarie.

Prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups is very low. Approximately 55% of the total population (~5131 people) has private health cover. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 7.2% and 5.9% of residents respectively. 73.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.0% across Greater Perth. Mindarie has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1687 people), which is higher than the 13.6% in Greater Perth. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Mindarie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Mindarie's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 11.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 54.4% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mindarie, accounting for 56.0%, compared to 45.7% across Greater Perth. The top three ancestry groups were English (39.9%), Australian (16.2%), and Irish (8.5%), with notable differences in Welsh (1.4% vs regional 0.9%), South African (3.8% vs 1.8%), and Dutch (1.8% vs 1.3%) representation.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mindarie are English, comprising 39.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 30.2%, Australian, comprising 16.2% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.5% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 1.4% of Mindarie (vs 0.9% regionally), South African at 3.8% (vs 1.8%) and Dutch at 1.8% (vs 1.3%).

Mindarie hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Mindarie is 45 years, significantly higher than Greater Perth's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Perth, Mindarie has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (17.2%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.3%). This concentration of 55-64 year-olds is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of Mindarie's population aged 55-64 has increased from 16.1% to 17.2%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 has decreased from 18.9% to 16.0%. Additionally, the proportion of children aged 5-14 has dropped from 12.3% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Mindarie's age structure. The number of residents aged 65-74 is expected to grow by 61%, reaching 1,358 from 843. Notably, the combined population growth for those aged 65 and above will account for 74% of total population growth, reflecting Mindarie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both age groups 0-4 and 5-14 are projected to decrease in number.