Moss Vale - Berrima
Statistical Area - sa2

Moss Vale - Berrima lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis shows Moss Vale - Berrima's population is approximately 11,433 as of Aug 2025. This represents a growth of 785 people (7.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,648. The increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 10,999 in June 2024 and an additional 273 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 96 persons per square kilometer. Moss Vale - Berrima's growth exceeded that of its SA3 area (2.9%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 95.1% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a significant population increase is forecast, with Moss Vale - Berrima expected to expand by 3,432 persons, reflecting an increase of 26.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Moss Vale - Berrima among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Moss Vale - Berrima has recorded approximately 61 residential property approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, with 308 dwellings approved over the past five years from FY-20 to FY-25, and 31 approvals so far in FY-26. On average, 1.4 new residents per year have been arriving for each new home over these five years. This suggests a balance between supply and demand, contributing to stable market conditions.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $552,000, which is somewhat higher than regional norms, indicative of quality-focused development. In FY-26, $3.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting limited commercial development focus compared to residential. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima has a construction rate that is 14.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. The new building activity consists of 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. There are approximately 122 people per dwelling approval in the location, indicating an expanding market. Looking ahead, Moss Vale - Berrima is projected to grow by 2,998 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Moss Vale - Berrima has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Area performance is significantly influenced by local infrastructure changes, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 17 such projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Moss Vale Station and Stabling Yard Upgrade, Ashbourne Moss Vale, Argyle Street Terraces in Moss Vale, and the Moss Vale Bypass. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Moss Vale - Berrima rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moss Vale - Berrima has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% in June 2024, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3%.

As of June 2025, 5,265 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of NSW at 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and construction. Accommodation & food has a particularly strong presence, being 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 4.5% of Moss Vale - Berrima's workforce compared to Rest of NSW's 7.5%. While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, labour force by 2.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.1%, labour force expand by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-wide in NSW as of Sep-25, employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.5%, and employment growth was 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Moss Vale - Berrima's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Moss Vale - Berrima has a high national median income of $49,134 and an average income of $72,517. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $54,342 (median) and $80,204 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, Moss Vale - Berrima ranks modestly in terms of household, family, and personal incomes, between the 38th and 43rd percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 30.8% of locals (3,521 people) fall within the $1,500-$2,999 income category, which is similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Moss Vale - Berrima, with only 83.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Moss Vale - Berrima is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Moss Vale - Berrima, as per the latest Census, 88.3% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 11.7% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moss Vale - Berrima stood at 40.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.6% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in the area was $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Moss Vale - Berrima's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also higher at $400 compared to the national figure of $375.

Moss Vale - Berrima has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.9% of all households, including 27.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, aligning with the Rest of NSW average.

The educational profile of Moss Vale - Berrima exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In the region of Moss Vale - Berrima, 25.7% of residents aged 15 years and above hold university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%. The leading degree is Bachelor at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 6.4% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.4% of residents aged 15 years and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (27.4%). Educational participation is high, with 28.5% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.6% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Moss Vale - Berrima, educating approximately 1,612 students. The region has balanced educational opportunities with an ICSEA score of 1038, typical for Australian schools. Four primary and two secondary schools serve distinct age groups, balancing education provision.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moss Vale - Berrima has 174 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 69 individual routes operating in total, which facilitate 3,053 weekly passenger trips collectively.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 165 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is high, averaging 436 trips per day across all routes. This results in approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Moss Vale - Berrima is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Moss Vale - Berrima faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 55% of the total population (~6,322 people), compared to 66.3% across Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.3 and 8.9% of residents respectively, while 64.6% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 64.8% across Rest of NSW. The area has 23.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,734 people), which is lower than the 27.7% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Moss Vale - Berrima ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moss Vale-Berrima has a cultural diversity below average, with 87.5% of its population being citizens, 82.1% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, practiced by 56.0% of the population, compared to 57.0% across Rest of NSW. Top ancestry groups include English (31.8%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.1%).

Notably, Scottish representation is equal at 9.1%, Welsh is also equal at 0.6%, and Lebanese is equal at 0.3% compared to regional averages.

Moss Vale - Berrima hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Moss Vale - Berrima's median age in 2021 was 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Comparing with Rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima had a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (13.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.3%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 10.6% to 13.4%, while those aged 35-44 grew from 10.7% to 11.8%. Meanwhile, the proportion of residents aged 55-64 decreased from 13.3% to 11.8%. By 2041, Moss Vale - Berrima's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 35-44 age group is expected to grow by 41%, adding 554 people and reaching a total of 1,901 residents. The 65-74 age group is projected to grow by 9%, with an increase of 133 residents.