Moss Vale - Berrima
Statistical Area - sa2

Moss Vale - Berrima lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Moss Vale - Berrima's population is approximately 11,433 as of Aug 2025. This figure represents a rise of 785 people (7.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,648. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,999 in June 2024 and an additional 273 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 96 persons per square kilometer, offering significant space per person and potential room for further development. Moss Vale - Berrima's growth of 7.4% since the 2021 census surpassed both the SA3 area (2.9%) and the SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 95.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilising ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Projecting forward, a significant population increase is forecast for Moss Vale - Berrima, with an expected expansion of 3,432 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 26.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Moss Vale - Berrima among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Moss Vale - Berrima has recorded approximately 79 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 395 homes. As of FY26, 41 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents per year have arrived for every new home over the past five financial years (FY21 to FY25). The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $552,000.

In FY26, $3.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to the rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima has shown elevated construction activity, with 13.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. The dwelling approvals consist of 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character.

There are approximately 122 people per dwelling approval in the location. Moss Vale - Berrima is projected to grow by 2,998 residents by 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, but buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Moss Vale - Berrima has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely impacting this region. Notable initiatives include Moss Vale Station and Stabling Yard Upgrade, Ashbourne Moss Vale, Argyle Street Terraces in Moss Vale, and the Moss Vale Bypass. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Moss Vale - Berrima rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moss Vale-Berrima has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3%.

As of June 2025, 5,265 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and construction. The area specializes in accommodation & food, with employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, public administration & safety has a lower representation, at 4.5% compared to Rest of NSW's 7.5%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, labour force by 2.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.1%, labour force expanded by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moss Vale-Berrima's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Moss Vale - Berrima has a very high national income median of $49,134 and an average income of $72,517. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Moss Vale - Berrima would be approximately $54,342 (median) and $80,204 (average) as of March 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Moss Vale - Berrima rank modestly, between the 38th and 43rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 30.8% of locals (3,521 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, which aligns with regional levels at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Moss Vale - Berrima, with only 83.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Moss Vale - Berrima is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Moss Vale-Berrima, as per the latest Census, comprises 88.3% houses and 11.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW has 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moss Vale-Berrima stands at 40.2%, with the rest either mortgaged (33.6%) or rented (26.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,000, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Moss Vale-Berrima is $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Moss Vale-Berrima's mortgage repayments are higher at $2,000, while rents exceed the national average of $375 by $25.

Moss Vale - Berrima has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.9% of all households, including 27.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average in the Rest of NSW.

The educational profile of Moss Vale - Berrima exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Moss Vale - Berrima trail regional benchmarks. 25.7% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to NSW's 32.2%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (27.4%). Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.6%), secondary education (8.3%), and tertiary education (2.8%). There are 6 schools operating within Moss Vale - Berrima, educating approximately 1,612 students. The area's ICSEA score is 1038, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 4 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. Note: for schools marked 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moss Vale - Berrima has 174 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus stations. They are served by 69 different routes that provide a total of 3,053 weekly passenger trips.

The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 165 meters. There are an average of 436 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Moss Vale - Berrima is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Moss Vale - Berrima faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 55% of the total population (6,322 people), compared to 66.3% across Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.3 and 8.9% of residents respectively. However, 64.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than the 64.8% across Rest of NSW. The area has 23.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,734 people), which is lower than the 27.7% in Rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average and perform better than the general population in health metrics.

Moss Vale - Berrima ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moss Vale-Berrima's cultural diversity is below average, with 87.5% of its population being citizens, 82.1% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Moss Vale-Berrima, accounting for 56.0%, compared to 57.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are English (31.8%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.1%).

Notably, Scottish representation is similar at 9.1%, Welsh is the same at 0.6%, and Lebanese is also the same at 0.3%.

Moss Vale - Berrima hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Moss Vale - Berrima's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima has a higher proportion of 15-24 year-olds (13.4%) but fewer 25-34 year-olds (10.3%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the 15-24 age group increased from 10.6% to 13.4%, while the 35-44 cohort rose from 10.7% to 11.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort decreased from 13.3% to 11.8%. By 2041, Moss Vale - Berrima's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 35-44 group is projected to grow by 41%, adding 554 people to reach 1,901 from 1,346. The 65-74 group is expected to grow more modestly at 9%, with an increase of 133 residents.