Moss Vale - Berrima

Population growth drivers in Moss Vale - Berrima are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Moss Vale - Berrima's population is around 11,495 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 847 people (8.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,648 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,999 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 291 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 97 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Moss Vale - Berrima's 8.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (3.6%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 95.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of regional areas nationally is forecast, with the area expected to expand by 3,432 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 25.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Moss Vale - Berrima among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Moss Vale - Berrima has recorded around 79 residential properties granted approval each year, totalling 395 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 82 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 1.4 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand seem well-matched, fostering stable market dynamics, while new dwellings are developed at an average construction cost of $438,000—somewhat higher than regional norms—reflecting quality-focused development. Additionally, $3.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

When measured against the Rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima records somewhat elevated construction (13.0% above the regional average per person over the 5 year period), preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. New building activity shows 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 122 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Moss Vale - Berrima is expected to grow by 2,936 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Moss Vale - Berrima has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Ashbourne Moss Vale, Argyle Street Terraces, Moss Vale, Moss Vale Bypass, and Moss Vale Station and Stabling Yard Upgrade, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Moss Vale - Berrima ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Moss Vale - Berrima possesses a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.5%, and 2.0% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,396 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 2.4% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional NSW's 61.3%. Based on Census responses, a moderate 19.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and construction. The area shows particularly strong specialization in accommodation & food, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. On the other hand, public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 4.5% of Moss Vale - Berrima's workforce compared to 7.5% in Regional NSW. While local employment opportunities exist, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population relative to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.0% while the labour force increased by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. This compares to Regional NSW, where employment fell by 1.2%, the labour force contracted by 0.8%, and unemployment rose 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Moss Vale - Berrima. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Moss Vale - Berrima's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Moss Vale - Berrima SA2 is higher than average nationally, with the median assessed at $52,742 while the average income stands at $73,920. This contrasts with Regional NSW's figures of a median income of $52,390 and an average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $57,415 (median) and $80,469 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Moss Vale - Berrima, between the 38th and 43rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows the predominant cohort spans 30.8% of locals (3,540 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Moss Vale - Berrima is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Moss Vale - Berrima, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 88.3% houses and 11.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Moss Vale - Berrima was in line with that of Regional NSW, at 40.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (33.6%) or rented (26.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional NSW average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Regional NSW's $1,733 and $330. Nationally, Moss Vale - Berrima's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Moss Vale - Berrima has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 69.9% of all households, comprising 27.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people matches the Regional NSW average.

The educational profile of Moss Vale - Berrima exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Moss Vale - Berrima trail regional benchmarks, with 25.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 32.2% in NSW. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (27.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 190 active transport stops operating within Moss Vale - Berrima, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 53 individual routes, collectively providing 2,951 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 163 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 93%, with 4% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. Some 19.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 421 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Moss Vale - Berrima is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Moss Vale - Berrima faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~6,448 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.3% and 8.9% of residents, respectively, while 64.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 23.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,736 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings higher than those of the general population.

Moss Vale - Berrima ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moss Vale - Berrima was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.5% of its population being citizens, 82.1% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Moss Vale - Berrima is Christianity, which makes up 56.0% of the population. This compares to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Moss Vale - Berrima are English, comprising 31.8% of the population, Australian, comprising 28.5% of the population, and Irish, comprising 9.1% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 9.1% of Moss Vale - Berrima (vs 8.0% regionally), Welsh at 0.6% (vs 0.5%) and Lebanese at 0.3% (vs 0.2%).

Moss Vale - Berrima hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Moss Vale - Berrima's median age of 44 years is similar to Regional NSW's 43 and well above the 38-year national average. Relative to Regional NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (13.9%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (10.5%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 10.6% to 13.9% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 10.7% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.3% to 11.7% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 12.7% to 11.5%. By 2041, Moss Vale - Berrima is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 35 to 44 group will grow by 37% (508 people), reaching 1,901 from 1,392. The 65 to 74 group displays more modest growth at 9%, adding only 132 residents.