Moss Vale - Berrima

Population growth drivers in Moss Vale - Berrima are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Moss Vale - Berrima's population is around 11,433 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 785 people from the population reported in the 2021 Census, which was 10,648 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,999 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 273 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 96 persons per square kilometer. Moss Vale - Berrima's growth rate of 7.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (3.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. The population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 95.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections moving forward, a significant increase is forecast for Moss Vale - Berrima, with an expected expansion of 3,432 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 26.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Moss Vale - Berrima among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Moss Vale - Berrima has recorded approximately 79 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 395 homes. So far in FY26, 61 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents arrive per new home annually between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value of new dwellings is $438,000.

In FY26, $3.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to the rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima records 13.0% higher construction activity per person over the past five years. New building activity comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% attached dwellings.

The area has approximately 122 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, Moss Vale - Berrima is expected to grow by 2,998 residents according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections.

Moss Vale - Berrima has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Ashbourne Moss Vale, Argyle Street Terraces in Moss Vale, the Moss Vale Bypass, and the upgrade of Moss Vale Station and Stabling Yard. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Moss Vale - Berrima rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Moss Vale - Berrima has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 1.4% in September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%. As of that date, 5,386 residents were employed. The unemployment rate was 2.4% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%, with workforce participation similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, accommodation & food, and construction.

Accommodation & food is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Public administration & safety is under-represented, at 4.5% compared to Rest of NSW's 7.5%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, labour force by 3.6%, and unemployment rose by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.5% and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts suggest employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.2% over ten years in Moss Vale - Berrima, based on industry-specific projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch data for financial year 2022 shows Moss Vale - Berrima SA2 had a median income of $49,134 and an average income of $72,517. This is higher than Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,330 (median) and $81,661 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data ranks Moss Vale - Berrima's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 38th and 43rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows 30.8% of locals (3,521 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to regional levels at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 38th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Moss Vale - Berrima is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Moss Vale - Berrima, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.3% houses and 11.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moss Vale - Berrima stood at 40.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.6% and rented dwellings at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure in the area was $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Moss Vale - Berrima's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Moss Vale - Berrima has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 69.9% of all households, including 27.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.1%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

The educational profile of Moss Vale - Berrima exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Moss Vale-Berrima trail residents aged 15+ have 25.7% university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.4%, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (27.4%). Current educational participation is high at 28.5%, with primary education at 10.6%, secondary at 8.3%, and tertiary at 2.8%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the Moss Vale - Berrima area shows that there are currently 174 active transport stops operating. These include a mix of train and bus services. The stops are serviced by 69 individual routes, which collectively provide 3,053 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 165 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages at 436 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Moss Vale - Berrima is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Moss Vale-Berrima faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 55% (~6322 people) have private health cover, compared to 66.3% in Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.3%) and mental health issues (8.9%). About 64.6% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to the 64.8% across Rest of NSW. Around 23.9% (~2734 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than the 27.7% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, better than those of the general population.

Moss Vale - Berrima ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Moss Vale-Berrima has a low cultural diversity, with 87.5% citizens, 82.1% born in Australia, and 91.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, at 56.0%, compared to 57.0% regionally. The top three ancestral groups are English (31.8%), Australian (28.5%), and Irish (9.1%).

Scottish representation is notably high at 9.1%, matching regional levels. Welsh and Lebanese groups have similar representations, at 0.6% and 0.3% respectively.

Moss Vale - Berrima hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Moss Vale - Berrima's median age is 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Moss Vale - Berrima has a higher percentage of 15-24 year-olds (13.4%) but fewer 25-34 year-olds (10.3%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the 15-24 age group increased from 10.6% to 13.4%, while the 35-44 cohort rose from 10.7% to 11.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort decreased from 13.3% to 11.8%. By 2041, Moss Vale - Berrima's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 35-44 group is projected to grow by 41%, adding 554 people and reaching 1,901 from 1,346. The 65-74 group is expected to grow by 9%, with an increase of 133 residents.