Calderwood

Calderwood lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Calderwood's population, as estimated based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validations, stands at approximately 3,939 as of November 2025. This figure represents a growth of 926 people, marking a 30.7% increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,013. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 3,600 in June 2024 and an additional 562 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 228 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Calderwood's growth rate exceeded both the non-metro area (5.1%) and its SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 79.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are utilized. Future trends predict exceptional growth, placing Calderwood in the top 10 percent of national non-metropolitan areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by 2,236 persons, reflecting a total gain of 50.5% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Calderwood was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Calderwood has averaged approximately 117 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 588 homes were approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY26. On average, 1.9 new residents arrive per year for each new home over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand dynamic.

The average construction value of new properties is $444,000. This financial year has seen $712,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Calderwood has 363.0% more new home approvals per person, offering ample choice for buyers. However, building activity has slowed in recent years nationally, with Calderwood's activity remaining well above average due to strong developer confidence. The current dwelling approval mix is 61.0% detached dwellings and 39.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an increase in medium-density options compared to the current housing mix of 99.0% houses. With around 52 people per dwelling approval, Calderwood exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

Population forecasts indicate an addition of 1,988 residents by 2041 based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Calderwood has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects are Calderwood Village, Tripoli Way Extension, Cascadia Calderwood, and Yellow Rock Road Upgrade. The following list details projects expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Calderwood ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Calderwood has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.2%, showing an estimated growth of 0.7% over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of June 2025, 1,998 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is high at 79.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 0.5% employment compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, indicated by a comparison of Census working population vs resident population. In the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 0.7%, and labour force grew by 0.8%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Calderwood. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Calderwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Calderwood's median income among taxpayers was $70,900 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $82,864 during the same period. These figures compare to Rest of NSW's median and average incomes of $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Calderwood would be approximately $79,840 (median) and $93,313 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Calderwood rank between the 87th and 88th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data reveals that 48.6% of Calderwood's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, with 1,914 individuals occupying this bracket. This pattern is similar to the regional trend where 29.9% of the population also falls into this income range. Economic strength in Calderwood is evident through 32.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 20.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Calderwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Calderwood's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 98.7% houses and 1.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is in contrast to Non-Metro NSW's 79.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Calderwood was at 12.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (67.0%) or rented (20.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,470, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure in Calderwood was recorded at $580, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Calderwood's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Calderwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.6% of all households, including 50.7% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 9.4%, comprising 7.6% lone person households and 1.4% group households. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Calderwood exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Calderwood trail's residents aged 15+ have 22.6% university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%, indicating potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common (16.4%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 47.0% of residents holding them – advanced diplomas at 12.9% and certificates at 34.1%. Educational participation is high, with 30.9% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (12.1%), secondary (6.3%), and tertiary (3.4%).

Calderwood Christian School serves the area, enrolling 450 students as of a specific date. It offers integrated K-12 education, providing continuity throughout students' academic journey. The school's ICSEA score is 1048, reflecting typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Calderwood has 17 active public transport stops in operation. These are served by a mix of bus routes totalling 14 individual services. Together, these routes facilitate 214 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Calderwood is rated as good, with residents on average located 288 meters from the nearest stop. Each route makes an average of 30 trips per day, resulting in approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Calderwood's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Calderwood's health outcomes show excellent results, notably for younger age groups with low prevalence rates for common conditions. Approximately 60% (2,349 people) have private health cover, higher than Rest of NSW's 52.7%.

The most prevalent medical issues are asthma and mental health problems, affecting 8.8 and 8.0% respectively. A total of 76.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 65.2% in Rest of NSW. Calderwood has 6.4% (252 people) aged 65+, lower than Rest of NSW's 20.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Calderwood ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Calderwood's population, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 86.2% born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 89.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 55.7%, slightly below the Rest of NSW's 57.3%. Ancestry-wise, Australians made up 31.2%, followed by English at 26.9%, and Other at 6.0%.

Notably, Spanish (1.8% vs regional 1.0%), Macedonian (1.6% vs 1.9%), and Maltese (1.7% vs 1.3%) were disproportionately represented.

Calderwood hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Calderwood's median age is 30 years, which is considerably lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of NSW, Calderwood has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 years (26.2%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 years (4.5%). This concentration of residents aged 25-34 is well above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the age group of 35 to 44 years has grown from 16.6% to 18.6% of Calderwood's population. Conversely, the age group of 55 to 64 years has declined from 6.3% to 4.5%, and the age group of 45 to 54 years has dropped from 7.2% to 5.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Calderwood's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The strongest projected growth is in the 35 to 44 age cohort, expected to grow by 71%, adding 523 residents to reach a total of 1,256. Meanwhile, the 85+ age cohort shows modest growth of 2% (adding 0 people).