Avondale (NSW)

Avondale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Avondale (NSW) is around 1,941, reflecting a 14.5% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,695 people. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,874 in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS and an additional validated new address since the Census date. The population density is approximately 106 persons per square kilometer. Avondale's growth rate exceeded that of both Rest of NSW (5.9%) and its SA3 area during this period. Interstate migration contributed about 40% of overall population gains, with other factors such as overseas migration and natural growth also being positive influences. AreaSearch projections for the suburb, based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using a 2022 base year, suggest an above median population growth trend.

By 2041, the population is projected to expand by 258 persons, reflecting a 9.8% increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avondale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Avondale has seen approximately 13 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 69 homes. Up to FY26, there have been 5 approvals recorded. The average population growth per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 is 0.5 people. This suggests that supply has met or exceeded demand, providing more buyer choices while supporting potential population growth above projections.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $350,000. In FY26, there have been $8.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Avondale has recorded 26.0% higher construction activity per person over the past five years. This has maintained reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand, despite a recent easing in construction activity. Recent construction comprises 30.0% standalone homes and 70.0% medium to high-density housing.

This shift from the area's current housing composition of 72.0% houses reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles that require more diverse, affordable housing options. Avondale's population growth is projected to add approximately 191 residents by 2041, based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Avondale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nine projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to impact the area, significantly influencing its performance. These projects include Cleveland Road Upgrade - Stage 1 (Fowlers Road South), West Dapto Sports Hub and Community Centre, Forestview at St Luke's Village, and West Dapto Urban Release Area. The following list details those projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Avondale faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Avondale has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 7.9% as of an unspecified past year. As of December 2025831 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.9% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation is lower at 58.1%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census data, 24.0% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade, with notable concentration in construction at 1.4 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.5% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 5.3%.

The ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates more employment opportunities than usual. Over a 12-month period ending unspecified, employment remained stable while labour force increased by 0.6%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW saw employment decline by 1.2% and labour force decline by 0.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avondale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 1st July 2023, the suburb of Avondale had a median income among taxpayers of $56,379 and an average income of $69,504. These figures are slightly above national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 for Regional NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates project median income to be approximately $61,374 and average income to be around $75,662 as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Avondale rank modestly, between the 33rd and 37th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the majority of residents, 32.1% or 623 people, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, a pattern also seen in the region where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Avondale, with only 83.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 37th percentile.

Avondale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Avondale, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 71.5% houses and 28.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Regional NSW's dwelling structure of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. In Avondale, the level of home ownership was at 34.6%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 39.1% and rented dwellings making up 26.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,903, recorded as of 28 August 2016, which is above the Regional NSW average. The median weekly rent figure for Avondale was $300 during this period, compared to Regional NSW's figures of $1,733 and $330 respectively. Nationally, Avondale's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375 as of 28 August 2016.

Avondale has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.3% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for 26.7%, with lone person households at 25.5% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, aligning with the Regional NSW average.

Avondale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area has university qualification rates of 14.6%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 45.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 34.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Avondale has 16 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by six different routes, offering a total of 267 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 178 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outside Avondale, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 24% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 38 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Avondale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Avondale faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54% of Avondale's total population (~1,056 people) has private health cover, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 51.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.9%) and mental health issues (9.5%), with 63.7% of residents reporting no medical ailments, similar to Regional NSW's 63.3%. Working-age residents have notably high chronic condition rates. Avondale has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (353 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

Avondale ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avondale's population showed low cultural diversity, with 84.6% born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 56.1%, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 55.9%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Scottish (7.5%).

Notably, Spanish (1.2% vs regional 0.3%), Hungarian (0.6% vs 0.2%), and Macedonian (1.9% vs 0.4%) populations were higher than the regional averages.

Avondale's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Avondale is 39 years, which is significantly below Regional NSW's average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Regional NSW, Avondale has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (16.3%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (6.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 35-44 grew from 11.1% to 13.4%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 15.1% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 11.2% to 10.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Avondale's age structure. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 25%, reaching 394 people from the current 316. Conversely, the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.