Avondale (NSW)

Avondale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Avondale's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 2,271 people. This reflects a 34.0% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,695 people. The current population is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,270 residents, based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional validated new address since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 124 persons per square kilometer. Avondale's growth exceeded that of the non-metro area (5.1%) and the SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 40.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the suburb of Avondale (NSW) is expected to experience above median population growth in national regional areas, expanding by 249 persons to reach a total population of 2,520 by 2041. This reflects an overall decrease of 12.4% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Avondale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Avondale has received approximately 13 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 68 homes. In FY26 to date, there have been three approvals. This supply meets or exceeds demand, with an average of 0.4 people moving to the area per dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value is $350,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

Commercial approvals in FY26 totalled $583,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Rest of NSW, Avondale shows moderately higher construction activity over the past five years, with 25.0% above the regional average per person. Recent construction comprises 33.0% standalone homes and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 72.0% houses. Avondale reflects a developing area, with around 134 people per approval. Given stable or declining population forecasts, it may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Avondale may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Avondale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nine projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to impact the area, with key projects including Cleveland Road Upgrade - Stage 1 (Fowlers Road South), West Dapto Sports Hub and Community Centre, Forestview at St Luke's Village, and West Dapto Urban Release Area. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Avondale faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Avondale has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction employment is notably high at 1.4 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.5% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. As of June 2025854 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 6.8%, which is 3.1% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Avondale is similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%.

The ratio of workers to residents, at 0.7, indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 0.4% while labour force grew by 0.7%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Avondale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released in financial year 2022, Avondale had a median income among taxpayers of $56,379 and an average level of $69,504. This was higher than the national average and compared to levels of $49,459 and $62,998 across Rest of NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $63,488 (median) and $78,268 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in Avondale rank modestly between the 33rd and 37th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 32.1% of residents (728 people), reflecting patterns seen in the region where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile.

Avondale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Avondale, as per the latest Census evaluation, 71.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 28.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This differs from Non-Metro NSW's figures of 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Avondale stood at 34.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.1% and rented ones at 26.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,903, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Avondale was $300, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $365. Nationally, Avondale's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,903 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $300 compared to the national figure of $375.

Avondale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 73.3% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 28.4% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.7%, with lone person households at 25.5% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Avondale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 14.6%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (34.1%). Educational participation is high at 26.0%, comprising primary education (8.4%), secondary education (6.6%), and tertiary education (2.8%).

Schools seem to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 14 operational transit stops in Avondale, consisting of bus services. These stops are facilitated by 6 distinct routes, cumulatively offering 250 weekly passenger journeys. Transit accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents positioned an average of 178 metres from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 35 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Avondale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Avondale faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 54% (~1,235 people) of Avondale's total population has private health cover, compared to 51.4% across the Rest of NSW. The most prevalent medical conditions in Avondale are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.9 and 9.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 63.9% reported across the Rest of NSW. In terms of demographics, 18.0% (408 people) of Avondale's residents are aged 65 and over. The health outcomes among seniors in Avondale present challenges broadly aligned with those seen in the general population.

Avondale ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Avondale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.6% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Avondale, comprising 56.1% of people, compared to 58.1% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups in Avondale are English (31.6%), Australian (27.2%), and Scottish (7.5%).

Notably, Spanish (1.2%) and Hungarian (0.6%) groups are overrepresented in Avondale compared to regional averages, while Macedonian representation is lower at 1.9%.

Avondale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Avondale is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 16.3% of Avondale's population, higher than the Rest of NSW average, while the 15-24 age group constitutes 9.2%, lower than the Rest of NSW average. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 11.1% to 13.0%, and the 25 to 34 cohort has risen from 15.1% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group has decreased from 10.4% to 9.2%, and the 45 to 54 group has fallen from 11.2% to 10.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Avondale. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 5 people (19%), from 29 to 35. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected growth. Conversely, the 25-34 and 35-44 age groups are expected to experience population declines.