Albion Park Rail

Albion Park Rail has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of 1 November 2025, the estimated population of Albion Park Rail is around 6,893. This figure shows a decrease of 27 people since the census conducted in August 2021, which reported a population of 6,920. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS from June 2024, indicating a resident population of 6,908. This results in a density ratio of approximately 962 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver of population growth in Albion Park Rail has been overseas migration.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in June 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in April 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Albion Park Rail is expected to increase by 124 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 1.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Albion Park Rail according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Albion Park Rail has seen approximately 36 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling around 181 homes. As of April 2026, four approvals have been recorded in FY-26. The average construction cost value for new homes is $325,000, below the regional average. In terms of commercial development, $16.0 million in approvals were registered in this financial year.

Compared to Rest of NSW, Albion Park Rail has around 58% of building activity per person and ranks among the 75th percentile nationally. New building activity comprises 17.0% detached houses and 83.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 78.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles. With around 161 people per dwelling approval, Albion Park Rail is considered a low density area. Population forecasts indicate an increase of 70 residents by 2041, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, supporting buyers' conditions and potential growth beyond current projections.

Population forecasts indicate Albion Park Rail will gain 70 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Albion Park Rail has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact the area, with key ones including Albion Park Rail Industrial Estate Development, Regional Multi-Sports, Aquatics & Leisure Facility, Shellharbour Airport Master Plan Upgrades, and Park Central Bulky Goods Complex. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Albion Park Rail face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Albion Park Rail has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with key services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 9.2%.

This rate has seen an estimated growth of 1.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of June 2025, 3039 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.5% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. The workforce participation rate in Albion Park Rail is 54.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade sectors.

Health care & social assistance has a particularly high employment share at 1.2 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, as indicated by Census working population data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2% and labour force grew by 0.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1% and a labour force growth of 0.3%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. According to Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Albion Park Rail's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that income in Albion Park Rail is just below the national average, with a median assessed at $54,718 and an average income of $63,951. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures showing a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $61,618 (median) and $72,015 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Albion Park Rail all fall between the 16th and 29th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band captures 34.5% of the community (2,378 individuals), aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile.

Albion Park Rail is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Albion Park Rail's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 78.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Albion Park Rail was at 34.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.9% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167, while the median weekly rent was $390, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Albion Park Rail's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Albion Park Rail has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.3% of all households, including 26.5% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 16.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 25.0% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Albion Park Rail faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 10.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 9.8% and certificates at 36.4%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.1% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education. Albion Park Rail Public School provides local educational services within Albion Park Rail, with an enrollment of 346 students as of the latest data. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas from 2021 onwards. Limited local school capacity (5.0 places per 100 residents vs 14.2 regionally) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling since 2018.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Albion Park Rail has 79 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 50 individual routes that facilitate 1,821 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 115 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility.

On average, there are 260 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Albion Park Rail is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Albion Park Rail faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents.

The area has a higher rate of private health cover at approximately 52%, covering around 3600 people. Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, impacting about 11.3% and 11.0% of residents respectively. Notably, 57.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 65.2% in the rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 21.6%, or about 1488 people. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly similar to those of the general population.

Albion Park Rail ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Albion Park Rail, surveyed in June 2016, exhibited low cultural diversity with 84.3% of residents born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 93.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 55.5%. This figure is slightly lower than the Rest of NSW average of 57.3%.

Regarding ancestry, the top groups were English (30.8%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (7.6%). Notably, Spanish (0.8% vs regional 1.0%) and Maltese (1.3% vs regional 1.3%) groups showed similar representation, while Macedonian was underrepresented at 0.6% compared to the region's 1.9%.

Albion Park Rail hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Albion Park Rail is 40 years, which is slightly lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 but higher than Australia's median of 38. In comparison to the Rest of NSW average, those aged 25-34 are notably over-represented at 15.9% locally, while those aged 45-54 are under-represented at 10.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 13.3% to 15.9%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 6.6% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 12.0%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 11.4% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Albion Park Rail, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 135 people (12%), from 1,095 to 1,231. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.