Albion Park Rail

Albion Park Rail has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of the Albion Park Rail statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at 6,986 as of November 2025, based on analysis of ABS updates and AreaSearch validations. This figure reflects an increase of 66 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,920. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,839 residents following examination of June 2024 ABS ERP data release and 83 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 975 persons per square kilometer, roughly inline with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, the Albion Park Rail (SA2) is anticipated to have lower quartile growth among national non-metropolitan areas. By 2041, it is expected to increase by 124 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a decline of 0.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Albion Park Rail according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Albion Park Rail has seen approximately 36 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling around 181 homes. As of April 2026, four approvals have been recorded. The average construction cost value for new dwellings is $325,000. In FY-26, commercial approvals amount to $16.0 million.

Compared to the Rest of NSW, Albion Park Rail has about two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks at the 75th percentile nationally. Currently, 83% of approved dwellings are medium or high-density housing, with detached dwellings comprising 17%. This shift from the existing housing mix (78% houses) reflects reduced development sites and changing lifestyle demands. The area has approximately 161 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Population projections suggest stability or decline, potentially reducing housing demand pressures.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Albion Park Rail should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Albion Park Rail has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Regional Multi-Sports, Aquatics & Leisure Facility, Albion Park Rail Industrial Estate Development, Shellharbour Airport Master Plan Upgrades, and Park Central Bulky Goods Complex. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Albion Park Rail face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Albion Park Rail's workforce spans white and blue collar jobs with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 10.0% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0%.

As of September 2025, 3,009 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 54.0% compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade, with a strong specialization in the former (1.2 times the regional level). Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence (0.3% vs.

5.3% regionally). Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 1.0%, labour force decreased by 0.0%, leading to a 0.9 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. By comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment decline of 0.5%, labour force decline of 0.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts project employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Albion Park Rail's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Albion Park Rail's median taxpayer income is $54,718 and average is $63,951 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Rest of NSW having a median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $59,566 and average $69,617, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows incomes in Albion Park Rail fall between the 16th and 29th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 34.5% (2,410 individuals) earn within $1,500 - 2,999 range, similar to regional levels at 29.9%. Housing affordability is severe, with only 81.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 25th percentile.

Albion Park Rail is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Albion Park Rail's dwelling structures in its latest Census showed 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 78.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Albion Park Rail was at 34.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.9% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167, while the median weekly rent was $390, higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $430. Nationally, Albion Park Rail's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Albion Park Rail has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.3 percent of all households, including 26.5 percent couples with children, 28.0 percent couples without children, and 16.1 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.7 percent, with lone person households at 25.0 percent and group households comprising 3.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Albion Park Rail faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (36.4%). Educational participation is high at 26.0%, with 9.1% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Albion Park Rail has 83 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 50 individual routes, collectively providing 1,785 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 115 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 255 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Albion Park Rail is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Albion Park Rail faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

Its private health cover rate is approximately 52%, higher than the average SA2 area (~3,649 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and mental health issues (11.0%). Conversely, 57.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.2% in Rest of NSW. The area has a senior population of 21.6%, comprising 1,508 people aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges similar to those seen in the general population.

Albion Park Rail ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Albion Park Rail's population showed low cultural diversity, with 84.3% born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 93.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 55.5%, compared to 57.3% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.8%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notable differences included higher Spanish representation (0.8% vs regional 1.0%) and lower Macedonian representation (0.6% vs regional 1.9%).

Albion Park Rail's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Albion Park Rail was 40 years as of the 2021 Census, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age group made up 15.9% of Albion Park Rail's population, compared to 12.7% in Rest of NSW, indicating over-representation. Conversely, the 45-54 age group was under-represented at 10.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 13.8%. Between the August 2016 and the August 2021 Census, the 25-34 cohort grew from 13.3% to 15.9%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 6.6% to 7.8%. The 55-64 group declined from 13.4% to 12.0%, and the 45-54 group decreased from 11.4% to 10.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Albion Park Rail. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 123 people (23%), from 544 to 668. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.