Albion Park Rail

Albion Park Rail has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Albion Park Rail's population is 6,893 as of Nov 2025, a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 6,920. This change reflects an estimated resident population of 6,908 in June 2024 and 83 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 961 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to expand by 124 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 1.0% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Albion Park Rail according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Albion Park Rail averaged approximately 36 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 181 homes. As of FY2025/26, 4 approvals have been recorded. The area has experienced population decline, with new supply likely keeping pace with demand, offering buyers good choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $325,000, below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options.

In FY2025/26, $16.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating moderate levels of commercial development compared to Rest of NSW. Albion Park Rail has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and places among the 75th percentile nationally for areas assessed. New building activity shows 15.0% detached dwellings and 85.0% attached dwellings, skewed toward compact living which offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This reflects a considerable change from the current housing mix of 78.0% houses due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Albion Park Rail has around 168 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area.

Population forecasts estimate Albion Park Rail will gain 70 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Albion Park Rail has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Albion Park Rail Industrial Estate Development, Regional Multi-Sports, Aquatics & Leisure Facility, Shellharbour Airport Master Plan Upgrades, and Park Central Bulky Goods Complex. Below is a list of those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Albion Park Rail face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Albion Park Rail has a balanced workforce consisting of white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 9.2%, indicating room for improvement compared to the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.2%. As of June 2025, 3,039 residents were employed, with workforce participation at 54.0%, lower than the Rest of NSW average of 56.4%. Major employment sectors for residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, labour force grew by 0.7%, and the unemployment rate fell by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.1% and a labour force growth of 0.3%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Albion Park Rail's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Albion Park Rail SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,718 and an average of $63,951. This is slightly lower than the national average. Rest of NSW had a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998 during this period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $61,618 (median) and $72,015 (average). Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Albion Park Rail fall between the 16th and 29th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 34.5% of residents (2,378 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, reflecting regional patterns where 29.9% occupy this income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Albion Park Rail, with only 81.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Albion Park Rail is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Albion Park Rail's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is similar to Non-Metro NSW's structure of 79.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Albion Park Rail stood at 34.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.9% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Albion Park Rail was $390, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Albion Park Rail's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Albion Park Rail has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.3% of all households, including 26.5% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 16.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 25.0% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Albion Park Rail faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common among residents with higher education qualifications at 7.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (36.4%). Educational participation is high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.1% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Albion Park Rail has 79 active public transport stops, served by 50 routes. These offer 1,821 weekly passenger trips. Residents are typically 115 meters from the nearest stop.

There are approximately 260 trips per day and 23 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Albion Park Rail is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Albion Park Rail faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is held by approximately 51% of the total population (~3,529 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 11.3% of residents) and mental health issues (impacting 11.0%). Conversely, 57.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.2% in the Rest of NSW. As of 2016, 21.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,495 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, largely mirroring those of the general population.

Albion Park Rail ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Albion Park Rail, as per the data, has a population that is predominantly Australian-born with 84.3% having been born in Australia. This is accompanied by a high citizenship rate of 91.1%. The language spoken primarily at home is English, with 93.5% reporting this.

Christianity is the dominant religion in Albion Park Rail, comprising 55.5% of its population, which is slightly lower than the regional average of 57.3%. The top three ancestry groups are English (30.8%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (7.6%). Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Spanish is overrepresented at 0.8% compared to the regional figure of 1.0%, Maltese shows no difference with both being 1.3%, while Macedonian is underrepresented at 0.6% versus the regional average of 1.9%.

Albion Park Rail's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Albion Park Rail is 40 years, slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.9% locally compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 45-54 age group is under-represented at 10.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.3% to 15.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has grown from 6.6% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 12.0%, and the 45-54 group has decreased from 11.4% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Albion Park Rail, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to expand by 132 people (12%), reaching 1,232 from its current 1,099. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.