Albion Park Rail

Albion Park Rail has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Albion Park Rail's population was 6,920 as of Apr 2021. By Nov 2025, it decreased to around 6,893, a drop of 27 people (0.4%). This change is inferred from ABS' Jun 2024 estimated resident population of 6,908 and 83 validated new addresses since Apr 2021. The population density in Nov 2025 was 961 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Albion Park Rail is expected to grow by 124 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 1.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Albion Park Rail according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Albion Park Rail has averaged approximately 36 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 181 homes. As of FY2025-26, there have been 4 approvals recorded. The area's population decline suggests that new supply is likely keeping pace with demand, providing good choice for buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $273,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options.

In the current financial year, $16.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating moderate levels of commercial development compared to Rest of NSW. Albion Park Rail has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 75th percentile nationally for areas assessed. New building activity shows 15.0% detached dwellings and 85.0% attached dwellings, favouring compact living which attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, differing from the current housing mix of 78.0% houses. Albion Park Rail has around 168 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density area.

Population forecasts suggest Albion Park Rail will gain 70 residents by 2041, with current development patterns likely meeting demand and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Albion Park Rail has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Albion Park Rail Industrial Estate Development, Regional Multi-Sports, Aquatics & Leisure Facility, Shellharbour Airport Master Plan Upgrades, and Park Central Bulky Goods Complex. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Albion Park Rail face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Albion Park Rail has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 10.0% in the past year, with an estimated growth of 1.0%.

As of September 2025, 3,009 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 6.2%, higher than Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation is lower at 54.0% compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specialises in health care & social assistance with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.3% compared to 5.3% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, labour force decreased by 0.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.5% and a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Albion Park Rail's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Albion Park Rail SA2 had a median income of $54,718 and an average of $63,951 among taxpayers. These figures are slightly lower than the national averages. Rest of NSW had a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998 during this period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $61,618 (median) and $72,015 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Albion Park Rail fall between the 16th and 29th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 34.5% of residents (2,378 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Albion Park Rail, with only 81.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Albion Park Rail is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Albion Park Rail's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 78.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Albion Park Rail was at 34.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.9% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167, while the median weekly rent was $390, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Albion Park Rail's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents exceeding the national figure of $375.

Albion Park Rail has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.3% of all households, including 26.5% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 16.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 25.0% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Albion Park Rail faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both challenges and opportunities for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (36.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.1%), secondary education (6.9%), and tertiary education (3.0%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Albion Park Rail has 79 active public transport stops. These include both train and bus services. There are 50 different routes operating in total, offering 1,821 weekly passenger trips combined.

The average distance residents live from the nearest stop is 115 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility. On average, there are 260 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Albion Park Rail is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Albion Park Rail faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is held by approximately 51% of the total population (~3,529 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 11.3% of residents) and mental health issues (11.0%). In contrast, 57.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.2% in Rest of NSW. As of the latest data from 20XX-XX-XX, 21.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,495 people). Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly similar to those faced by the general population.

Albion Park Rail ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Albion Park Rail had a cultural diversity below average, with 84.3% of its population born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 93.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 55.5% of people in Albion Park Rail, compared to 57.3% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.8%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Spanish (0.8%) was notably overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.0%. Maltese had equal representation at 1.3%, while Macedonian was underrepresented at 0.6% versus the regional 1.9%.

Albion Park Rail's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Albion Park Rail is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. In comparison to Rest of NSW, the cohort aged 25-34 is notably higher at 15.9% locally, while those aged 45-54 are under-represented at 10.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 25-34 age group has grown from 13.3% to 15.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 6.6% to 7.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 12.0%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 11.4% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Albion Park Rail, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to expand by 132 people (12%), from 1,099 to 1,232. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.