Albion Park Rail
Statistical Area - sa2

Albion Park Rail has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Albion Park Rail's population was 6,920 according to the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it had decreased to around 6,893, a drop of 27 people (0.4%). This decrease is inferred from ABS estimated resident population figures and validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was approximately 961 persons per square kilometer as of Nov 2025. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where ABS data is not available, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering these projections, the area's population is expected to increase by 124 persons to 2041, marking a total growth of 1.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Albion Park Rail according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Albion Park Rail averaged approximately 36 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling 181 homes. As of April 2026, four new dwelling approvals have been recorded. The area has experienced population decline, with new supply likely keeping pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $273,000, below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

In the financial year ending June 2026, $16.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development compared to other areas assessed nationally. Albion Park Rail has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person compared to Rest of NSW and places among the 75th percentile of areas assessed nationally for new building activity. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 78.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 168 people per dwelling approval, Albion Park Rail shows characteristics of a low density area. Population forecasts indicate Albion Park Rail will gain 70 residents through to 2041.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Albion Park Rail has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Twenty-one projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially influencing the area's performance. Key projects include Albion Park Rail Industrial Estate Development, Regional Multi-Sports, Aquatics & Leisure Facility, Shellharbour Airport Master Plan Upgrades, and Park Central Bulky Goods Complex. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Albion Park Rail face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Albion Park Rail's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with key services well represented. The unemployment rate was 9.2% in June 2025, showing a 1.2% employment growth over the previous year.

There are 3,039 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.5%, higher than Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 54.0%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Major industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.3%, compared to the regional 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, indicating local job opportunities may not fully meet demand. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.2% while labour force grew by 0.7%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with local growth estimates of approximately 6.5% and 13.7%, respectively, based on Albion Park Rail's current employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Albion Park Rail's median income among taxpayers is $54,718. The average income in the area was $63,951 during this period. This figure is slightly lower than the national average. Compared to Rest of NSW, Albion Park Rail had a median income of $54,718 versus $49,459 and an average income of $63,951 compared to $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for median and average incomes in Albion Park Rail would be approximately $61,618 and $72,015 respectively as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Albion Park Rail fall between the 17th and 30th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that the majority of residents, 34.5% or 2,378 people, earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, which is similar to patterns seen at regional levels where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures in Albion Park Rail are severe, with only 81.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 26th percentile nationally.

Albion Park Rail is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Albion Park Rail's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 78.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Albion Park Rail was at 34.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.9% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Albion Park Rail was $390, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents higher at $375.

Albion Park Rail has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.3% of all households, including 26.5% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 16.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 25.0% and group households making up 3.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Albion Park Rail faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 10.1%, significantly below the NSW average of 32.2%. This gap presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 7.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (36.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.1%), secondary education (6.9%), and tertiary education (3.0%). Albion Park Rail Public School serves the local area, with an enrollment of 346 students as of a recent report. The area offers varied educational conditions, with one school focusing exclusively on primary education and secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited at 5.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 14.3, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Albion Park Rail has 79 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 50 individual routes operating in total.

They provide 1,821 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents typically located 115 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 260 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Albion Park Rail is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Albion Park Rail faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~3,529 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and mental health issues (11.0%). In contrast, 57.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 65.2% in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 21.7% aged 65 and over (1,495 people). Health outcomes among seniors present challenges largely consistent with the general population's health profile.

Albion Park Rail ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Albion Park Rail had a cultural diversity index below average, with 84.3% of its population born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 93.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 55.5% of people, compared to 57.3% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.8%), Australian (30.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, Spanish (0.8%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.0%. Maltese representation was similar at 1.3%, while Macedonian was lower at 0.6% compared to the regional 1.9%.

Albion Park Rail's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Albion Park Rail is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 15.9% of the population in Albion Park Rail, compared to the Rest of NSW average, indicating over-representation. Conversely, the 45-54 year-olds are under-represented at 10.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.3% to 15.9%, while the 75-84 cohort rose from 6.6% to 7.8%. During this period, the 55-64 age group decreased from 13.4% to 12.0%, and the 45-54 group fell from 11.4% to 10.2%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest significant demographic shifts in Albion Park Rail. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 132 people (12%), from 1,099 to 1,232. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.