Kembla Grange

Kembla Grange lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of November 2025, Kembla Grange's population is estimated at around 3,542 people. This reflects an increase of 2,090 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,452 people in the Kembla Grange statistical area (Lv2). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,536 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 720 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 244 persons per square kilometer. Kembla Grange's growth rate exceeded that of both the non-metro area (5.7%) and SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Kembla Grange in the top 10 percent of non-metropolitan areas nationally. The area is expected to expand by 1,358 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a decrease of 14.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kembla Grange among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Kembla Grange shows approximately 131 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 657 homes. As of FY26, 74 approvals have been recorded. The average population growth per dwelling built in the area between FY21 and FY25 was 0.6 people per year. New construction has matched or outpaced demand, offering buyers more options while enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $430,000, moderately above regional levels, indicating an emphasis on quality construction. In FY26, there have been $4.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of NSW, Kembla Grange shows 1391.0% higher development activity per person, providing buyers with ample choice despite a slowdown in building activity in recent years. This high activity reflects strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 80.0% houses, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

The location has approximately 16 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Kembla Grange should see reduced pressure on housing, creating opportunities for buyers.

Kembla Grange has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects potentially impacting this region. Notable ones are Brooks Reach Central Precinct, Fair Views Estate, Sydney Water - West Dapto Package 3 (Cleveland), and West Dapto Road Upgrade. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Kembla Grange has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Kembla Grange has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 0.5% over the past year (AreaSearch aggregation).

As of September 2025959 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.8% compared to Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation is high at 76.9%, versus Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Finance & insurance shows notable concentration with employment levels at 2.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0.5% versus the regional average of 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, labour force by 0.9%, raising unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.5% and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data (25-Nov) shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Kembla Grange's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Kembla Grange had a median income among taxpayers of $66,457 and an average income of $82,070. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to $52,390 and $65,215 respectively for Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ending June 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $72,345, with average income around $89,341. The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Kembla Grange rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 92nd percentiles. Income analysis indicates that 47.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, mirroring the region where 29.9% fall into this bracket. The suburb exhibits affluence with 33.1% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 18.5% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 89th percentile nationally. Kembla Grange's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Kembla Grange is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Kembla Grange, as per the latest Census evaluation, 80.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 19.8% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kembla Grange stood at 12.8%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 65.6% and rented dwellings accounting for 21.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,338, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Kembla Grange was recorded at $570, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $365. Nationally, Kembla Grange's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kembla Grange features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.0% of all households, including 49.1% couples with children, 26.2% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.0%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households making up 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.6.

Kembla Grange demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 26.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 16.9%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 42.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.9% and certificates for 29.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 5.7% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kembla Grange has 24 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are serviced by 27 individual routes, providing a total of 1,131 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 182 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 161 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kembla Grange's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kembla Grange shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover rate is high at approximately 59% (2,101 people), compared to 52.0% in Rest of NSW.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 9.2 and 7.8% respectively. 76.0% report being completely free from ailments, higher than the 63.9% in Rest of NSW. Only 7.2% (255 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than the 19.0% in Rest of NSW. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Kembla Grange ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kembla Grange had a cultural diversity index below average, with 85.0% of its population born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 86.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kembla Grange, accounting for 57.5% of people, compared to 58.1% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (28.2%), English (24.8%), and Other (7.4%).

Spanish ethnicity was notably higher at 1.5%, compared to the regional average of 0.9%. Macedonian ethnicity stood at 2.7%, slightly lower than the regional figure of 3.8%. Serbian ethnicity was also present at 0.8%, similar to the regional level of 0.8%.

Kembla Grange hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Kembla Grange's median age was 29 years as of 2021, which is younger than Rest of NSW's median age of 43 years and considerably younger than Australia's national average of 38 years. The percentage of the population aged 25-34 in Kembla Grange was 24.0% in 2021, compared to Rest of NSW's unknown figure and well above the national average of 14.5%. The 55-64 age group made up 4.7% of Kembla Grange's population in 2021, which is less prevalent than the corresponding figures for Rest of NSW and Australia. Between 2020 and 2021, the percentage of the population aged 25-34 increased from 23.0% to 24.0%, while the percentage of those aged 55-64 decreased from 6.6% to 4.7%. Population forecasts for Kembla Grange indicate that by 2041, the 75-84 age cohort is projected to decrease slightly, from 67 people in 2021 to 66 people (-2%). Conversely, population declines are projected for both the 75-84 and 85+ age cohorts.