Cringila

Cringila is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Cringila is estimated at around 2,205. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 2,156 people, a rise of 49 individuals (2.3%). The current resident population estimate of 2,160 by AreaSearch, based on latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and additional six validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates a density ratio of 1,312 persons per square kilometer, higher than average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. For projections until 2041, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered SA2 areas and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 284 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 10.8% in total over these 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Cringila, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Cringila recorded approximately seven residential approvals per year over the past five financial years ending 30 June 2021, totalling an estimated 39 homes. As of 30 June 2026, one approval has been recorded in this financial year. The average construction cost value for new homes is around $385,000. This financial year, Cringila has registered $391,000 in commercial approvals.

Compared to the rest of NSW, Cringila records approximately 57% of building activity per person and ranks among the 55th percentile nationally. New development consists of 50% detached houses and 50% medium and high-density housing. Current population is around 287 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Cringila's population is forecasted to increase by 239 residents from 2021 to 2041.

Population forecasts indicate Cringila will gain 239 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Cringila has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No infrastructure changes in the area are currently planned or identified by AreaSearch that could significantly impact performance. Key projects previously considered include King Street Warrawong Masterplan, Berkeley Square (Berkeley Shopping Centre Upgrade), Southern Suburbs Community Centre and Library, and Warrawong Community Health Centre.

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Employment conditions in Cringila face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Cringila's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 16.5% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. In December 2025713 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 12.6% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Cringila lagged significantly at 48.0%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. Based on Census responses, 14.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Notably, administrative & support services had employment levels at 2.2 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing showed lower representation at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 0.8% alongside labour force increasing by 0.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW saw employment decline by 1.2%, labour force decline by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cringila's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for local population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Cringila had a median income among taxpayers of $37,752. The average income stood at $45,147. This is below the national average of $52,390 and regional NSW's average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Cringila would be approximately $41,097 (median) and $49,147 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Cringila all fall between the 1st and 8th percentiles nationally. Income distribution data shows that 27.6% of Cringila's population (608 individuals) have incomes within the $400 - $799 range, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Cringila, with only 82.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

Cringila is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Cringila, as per the latest Census, was 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cringila stood at 46.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.1% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,614, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Cringila was $350, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Cringila's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Cringila has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 73.1% of all households, including 33.6% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 20.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households at 23.4% and group households comprising 3.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Cringila faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 7.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (7.0%) and certificates (22.5%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cringila has eleven active public transport stops, all of which offer bus services. These stops are served by twelve unique routes that together facilitate 395 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 143 meters from the nearest one. Most Cringila residents commute outside the area, primarily using cars, which remain the dominant mode of transport at 92%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling in the area, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 14.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 56 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Cringila is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Cringila. AreaSearch's assessment shows high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 45% of the total population (~989 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.6 and 9.3% of residents respectively. However, 65.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age residents have a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (392 people), lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly similar to those of the general population.

Cringila is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cringila's cultural diversity is notable, with 43.4% of its population born overseas and 56.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cringila, comprising 45.5% of the population. Islam is significantly overrepresented compared to Regional NSW average, making up 31.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.1%), Australian (17.5%), and Macedonian (15.4%). Notably, Lebanese (10.8%) and Serbian (1.6%) populations are substantially higher than regional averages of 0.2% each, while Maltese (1.4%) is also notably overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.4%.

Cringila's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Cringila as of 2021 is 37 years, which is lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 25-34 are prominent, making up 14.6% of the population, while those aged 65-74 constitute a smaller proportion at 9.1%. Between 2021 and the present day, the percentage of 25-34 year-olds has increased from 13.2% to 14.6%, while the 55-64 age group has decreased from 10.9% to 10.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cringila's age structure. The number of individuals aged 25-34 is projected to increase by 86 people, rising from 321 to 408, a growth of 27%. Conversely, both the 15-24 and 55-64 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.