Figtree - Keiraville

Population growth drivers in Figtree - Keiraville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Figtree - Keiraville's population is 23,636 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects a growth of 863 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,773. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates of 23,569 in June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,256 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Figtree - Keiraville has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 88.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, Figtree - Keiraville is forecasted to experience significant population growth, expected to expand by 7,165 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 30.0% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Figtree - Keiraville when compared nationally

Figtree-Keiraville has averaged approximately 57 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. A total of 289 homes were approved during this period, with an additional 26 approved so far in FY26. On average, 3.1 people have moved to the area per year for each dwelling built over these five years, indicating a significant demand outpacing supply.

This imbalance typically exerts upward pressure on property prices and intensifies competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $571,000, which is moderately higher than regional levels, suggesting a focus on quality construction. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $18.6 million, reflecting balanced commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Figtree-Keiraville shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 57.0% fewer approvals per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. New development in Figtree-Keiraville consists of approximately 51.0% detached dwellings and 49.0% attached dwellings, offering a mix of medium-density options that cater to various price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives.

This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area currently has around 506 people per approval, indicating a mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Figtree-Keiraville is projected to add approximately 7,098 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Figtree - Keiraville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 36 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Adria Village Figtree, Figtree Oval Recreational Master Plan Implementation, The Avenue Debris Control Structure, and The Range at Redgum Ridge. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Figtree - Keiraville shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Figtree-Keiraville has an educated workforce with a 4.1% unemployment rate and 0.5% employment growth in the past year as of June 2025. There are 12,340 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% higher than Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Workforce participation is at 60.5%, slightly above Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. Education & training is particularly prominent, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.2% compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%.

Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, while labour force grew by 0.7%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline and higher unemployment growth. Statewide, NSW experienced a slight employment contraction of 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) as of Nov-25, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts suggest employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Figtree-Keiraville's employment mix indicates potential local growth of 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Figtree-Keiraville SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $53,431 and an average of $62,998 in Rest of NSW for financial year 2022. These figures are higher than the national averages. Based on Wage Price Index growth since then, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,169 (median) and $80,106 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,938 weekly), while personal income is at the 37th percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 29.8% of locals in the $1,500 - 2,999 category. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Figtree - Keiraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Figtree-Keiraville, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 58.9% houses and 41.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Figtree-Keiraville stood at 39.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.5% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,250, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,189. Median weekly rent in Figtree-Keiraville was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Figtree-Keiraville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,250 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375 at $410.

Figtree - Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 36.7% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 5.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Figtree - Keiraville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Figtree-Keiraville's educational attainment notably exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 34.4% possess university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.4% and certificates for 21.6%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in tertiary education, 9.3% in primary education, and 8.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 182 operational stops in Figtree-Keiraville area, consisting of bus services only. These stops are covered by 73 unique routes, facilitating 4625 weekly passenger trips in total. The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents situated on average 154 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 660 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Figtree - Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Figtree-Keiraville demonstrates higher-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups.

Common health conditions have a low prevalence in this area. Approximately 55% (~12,999 people) of the total population has private health cover. Mental health issues are the most common medical condition, affecting 8.1% of residents, followed by arthritis at 7.5%. About 70.7% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 68.6% in Rest of NSW. As of 2016, 15.7% (3,713 people) of the population is aged 65 and over, lower than the 17.7% in Rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Figtree - Keiraville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Figtree-Keiraville has a higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 24.2% of its population born overseas and 20.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Figtree-Keiraville, accounting for 54.2% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, comprising 3.5% versus 2.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (23.8%), English (23.8%), and Other (9.3%). Notably, Macedonian (2.7%) and Serbian (1.5%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.5% and 0.8%, respectively.

Figtree - Keiraville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Figtree-Keiraville's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38. The 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 20.4% locally compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. This concentration of the 15-24 age group is well above the national average of 12.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 11.5% to 13.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 18.4% to 20.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 12.7% to 11.4%, and the 55 to 64 group decreased from 10.1% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Figtree-Keiraville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 66%, adding 2,123 residents to reach 5,347. The 55 to 64 group shows more modest growth of 9%, adding only 187 residents.