Figtree - Keiraville
Statistical Area - sa2

Figtree - Keiraville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Figtree-Keiraville's population is approximately 23,633 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 860 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,773. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,569 in June 2024 and an additional 56 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,256 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Figtree-Keiraville has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Figtree-Keiraville is forecasted to experience significant population growth, expanding by 7,165 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 30.1% over these 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Figtree - Keiraville when compared nationally

Figtree - Keiraville has averaged approximately 57 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 289 homes were approved, with an additional 24 approved so far in FY26. This area has seen an average of 3.1 people moving here per year for each dwelling built over these five years.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $571,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled $18.6 million, suggesting balanced commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Figtree - Keiraville shows substantially reduced construction, at 57.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This level is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development in Figtree - Keiraville consists of 51.0% detached dwellings and 49.0% attached dwellings, showing an expanding range of medium-density options to cater to various price brackets. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 79.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. At around 506 people per approval, Figtree - Keiraville indicates a mature market. Future projections show this area adding approximately 7,101 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the future.

Figtree - Keiraville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly affect performance. AreaSearch identified 36 potential impact projects. Key initiatives include Adria Village Figtree, The Avenue Debris Control Structure, Figtree Oval Recreational Master Plan Implementation, and The Range at Redgum Ridge. Below is a list of particularly relevant ones.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Figtree - Keiraville shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Figtree-Keiraville has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of June 2025, with estimated employment growth of 0.5% over the past year.

In this month, 12,340 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.5% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation stood at 60.5%, slightly above Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment industries among residents included health care and social assistance, education and training, and accommodation and food services. Notably, education and training had a significantly higher share of employment than the regional average, being 1.5 times greater.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry, and fishing were underrepresented, with only 0.2% of Figtree-Keiraville's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, while labour force grew by 0.7%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a higher increase in unemployment rate at 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 showed NSW's employment had contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. This was favourable compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.5% but lagged behind the national employment growth of 0.26%. Job and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 estimated a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Figtree-Keiraville's employment mix indicated potential local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Figtree - Keiraville has a median taxpayer income of $53,431 and an average of $71,136 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is higher than Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. As of March 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $59,095 (median) and $78,676 (average), based on a 10.6% growth from the financial year 2022 Wage Price Index. According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,938 weekly), with personal income at the 38th percentile. Income analysis shows that 29.8% of locals (7,042 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Figtree - Keiraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Figtree - Keiraville, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Non-Metro NSW's figures of 58.9% houses and 41.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Figtree - Keiraville stood at 39.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (35.5%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,250, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,189. The median weekly rent figure in Figtree - Keiraville was recorded at $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Figtree - Keiraville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Figtree - Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.0% of all households, with couples having children making up 36.7%, couples without children at 24.4%, and single parent families accounting for 10.0%. Non-family households form the remaining 28.0%, comprising lone person households at 22.5% and group households at 5.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Figtree - Keiraville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Figtree-Keiraville is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 34.4% of residents aged 15 years and above held university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials were also prominent, with 32.0% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas accounted for 10.4% and certificates for 21.6%.

Educational participation was high, with 36.2% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2018. This included 12.2% in tertiary education, 9.3% in primary education, and 8.3% pursuing secondary education. As of 2021, Figtree-Keiraville operated a robust network of 9 schools educating approximately 3,292 students. The area demonstrated above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1068. The educational mix included 6 primary schools, 2 secondary schools, and 1 K-12 school. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Figtree-Keiraville has 182 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 73 different routes, together facilitating 4,625 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is high, with residents on average living just 154 meters from the nearest stop.

Buses run an average of 660 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 25 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Figtree - Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Figtree-Keiraville shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older residents.

Common health conditions have a low prevalence in this area. Approximately 55% (~12,998 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is quite high. Mental health issues affect about 8.1%, while arthritis impacts around 7.5%. About 70.7% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 68.6% in Rest of NSW. As of 2016, 15.7% (3,712 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, slightly lower than the 17.7% in Rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average and generally align with those of the broader population.

Figtree - Keiraville was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Figtree-Keiraville has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 24.2% of its population born overseas and 20.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Figtree-Keiraville, accounting for 54.2% of the population. However, Islam is notably overrepresented, comprising 3.5% compared to the regional average of 2.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian and English, each making up 23.8%, and Other at 9.3%. Some ethnic groups have significant representation in Figtree-Keiraville: Macedonian at 2.7% (regional: 1.5%), Serbian at 1.5% (regional: 0.8%), and Welsh at 0.9% (regional: 0.8%).

Figtree - Keiraville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Figtree-Keiraville's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 20.4%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. This 15-24 concentration is well above the national average of 12.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.5% to 13.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 18.4% to 20.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.7% to 11.4%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 10.1% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Figtree-Keiraville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 66%, adding 2,123 residents to reach 5,347. The 55 to 64 group displays more modest growth at 9%, adding only 188 residents.