Figtree - Keiraville

Population growth drivers in Figtree - Keiraville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Figtree-Keiraville's population was around 23,614 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects an increase of 841 people from the 2021 Census total of 22,773, which is a growth rate of approximately 3.7%. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population figures of 23,569 as of June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,255 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Figtree-Keiraville has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 1.0%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing around 88.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecasted, with the area expected to expand by 7,165 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 30.1% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Figtree - Keiraville when compared nationally

Figtree - Keiraville averaged approximately 57 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. This totals 289 homes approved during this period, with an additional 32 approvals recorded in FY26 so far. On average, 3.1 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and intensifies competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $412,000, moderately above regional levels, suggesting emphasis on quality construction. In FY26, commercial development approvals amounted to $18.6 million, indicating balanced commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Figtree - Keiraville exhibits significantly reduced construction levels, at 57.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This level is also lower than national averages, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development in Figtree - Keiraville consists of 51.0% detached dwellings and 49.0% attached dwellings, offering a mix of medium-density options across various price brackets. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses at 79.0%. This shift likely reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 506 people per approval, Figtree - Keiraville indicates a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add around 7,120 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Figtree - Keiraville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects that could impact the region. Notable projects include Adria Village Figtree, Figtree Oval Recreational Master Plan Implementation, The Avenue Debris Control Structure, and The Range at Redgum Ridge. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Figtree - Keiraville recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Figtree-Keiraville has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.5%, showing relative stability over the past year. As of September 2025, 12,484 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.5% compared to Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 66.5%, slightly higher than Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, 33.6% of residents work from home. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. Notably, education & training has a high share of employment at 1.5 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented with only 0.2%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 0.1% while labour force rose by 0.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years for Figtree-Keiraville, based on its current industry mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Figtree - Keiraville SA2 is $56,941, with an average of $72,995 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than the national averages of $52,390 median and $65,215 average in Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,986 median and $79,462 average. According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,938 weekly) and personal income at the 37th percentile. Income analysis shows that 29.8% of locals (7,036 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with surrounding region trends. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Figtree - Keiraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Figtree-Keiraville dwellings were 78.9% houses and 21.1% other types at the latest Census, compared to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% others. Home ownership in Figtree-Keiraville was 39.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.5% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,250, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Figtree-Keiraville was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,250 vs Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were exceeding the national figure of $375.

Figtree - Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 36.7% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 5.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Figtree - Keiraville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Figtree-Keiraville's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 34.4% hold university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas account for 10.4% while certificates make up 21.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in tertiary education, 9.3% in primary education, and 8.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Figtree-Keiraville has 184 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 73 individual routes that collectively facilitate 4,646 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 154 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 91%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a high 33.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 663 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies the data, showing the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

The level of general health in Figtree - Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Figtree - Keiraville shows superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and elderly cohorts exhibit low incidence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is prevalent at approximately 55% (~13,082 people), higher than Rest of NSW's 51.9%. Mental health issues affect 8.1% and arthritis impacts 7.5% of residents. Notably, 70.7% claim to be free of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. Under-65s exhibit better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 15.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,709 people), lower than Rest of NSW's 23.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Figtree - Keiraville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Figtree-Keiraville's population is more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 24.2% born overseas and 20.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 54.2%. Islam is overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, making up 3.5% versus 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (23.8%), English (23.8%), and Other (9.3%). Notably, Macedonian (2.7%) Serbian (1.5%) and Welsh (0.9%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4%, 0.2% and 0.5% respectively.

Figtree - Keiraville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Figtree-Keiraville's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38. The 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 20.4% in Figtree-Keiraville compared to the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.9%. This concentration of the 15-24 age group is well above the national average of 12.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.5% to 13.6%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 18.4% to 20.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 12.7% to 11.4%, and the 55 to 64 age group has dropped from 10.1% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Figtree-Keiraville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 66%, adding 2,126 residents to reach 5,347. The 55 to 64 group displays more modest growth of 9%, adding only 189 residents.