Figtree - Keiraville

Population growth drivers in Figtree - Keiraville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Figtree-Keiraville's population was 23,636 as of Nov 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects a 3.8% increase from the 2021 Census count of 22,773 people. The growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data and validated new addresses since June 2024. The population density was 1,256 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Figtree-Keiraville exhibited a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outperforming its SA3 region. Overseas migration drove recent population gains, contributing approximately 88.5%.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 (base year 2021) are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Figtree-Keiraville is projected to increase by 7,165 persons, reflecting a 30.0% total increase over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Figtree - Keiraville when compared nationally

Figtree-Keiraville has averaged approximately 57 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25289 homes were approved, with an additional 29 approved so far in FY26. On average, 3.1 people have moved to the area per year for each dwelling built during these years.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $412,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. In the current financial year, $18.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity in Figtree-Keiraville compared to the Rest of NSW. The area shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 57.0% fewer new dwellings per person than the regional average. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. New development in Figtree-Keiraville consists of 51.0% detached dwellings and 49.0% attached dwellings, showing an expanding range of medium-density options.

This mix creates opportunities across various price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. This change reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Figtree-Keiraville indicates a mature market with around 506 people per approval. Future projections estimate that the area will add approximately 7,098 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Figtree - Keiraville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 36 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Adria Village Figtree, Figtree Oval Recreational Master Plan Implementation, The Avenue Debris Control Structure, and The Range at Redgum Ridge. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Figtree - Keiraville recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Figtree-Keiraville has a well-educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.5%, showing relative employment stability over the past year.

As of September 2025, 12,484 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.5% compared to Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation is 60.5%, slightly higher than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Major industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. Notably, education & training has an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.2% compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 0.1%, labour force by 0.3%, leading to a 0.1 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.5% and labour force decline by 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts suggest total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Figtree-Keiraville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Figtree - Keiraville SA2 had median taxpayer income of $53,431 and average income of $71,136 in financial year 2022. This was higher than national averages of $49,459 (median) and $62,998 (average). By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $60,169 and average income $80,106, based on Wage Price Index growth. Census 2021 data shows household income at the 61st percentile ($1,938 weekly) and personal income at the 37th percentile. Predominant income cohort is 29.8% (7,043 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, similar to surrounding region's 29.9%. After housing, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. Figtree - Keiraville SA2's SEIFA income ranking is in the 7th decile.

Figtree - Keiraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Figtree - Keiraville, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 58.9% houses and 41.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Figtree - Keiraville stood at 39.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.5% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,250, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,189. Median weekly rent in Figtree - Keiraville was $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Figtree - Keiraville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,250 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $410 compared to the national figure of $375.

Figtree - Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 36.7% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 5.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Figtree - Keiraville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Figtree-Keiraville has a higher proportion of residents with university qualifications than broader areas. Specifically, 34.4% of its residents aged 15 and above have university degrees compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. This educational attainment is driven by bachelor degrees (21.2%), postgraduate qualifications (10.1%), and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (21.6%).

Educational participation is high in the area, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in tertiary education, 9.3% in primary education, and 8.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Figtree-Keiraville has 182 operational public transport stops. These are served by buses on 73 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 4625 weekly passenger trips.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 154 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency is 660 trips across all routes, translating to about 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Figtree - Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Figtree-Keiraville shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older residents.

Common health conditions have a low prevalence in this area. Approximately 55% (~12,999 people) of its total population has private health cover, which is very high. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (8.1%) and arthritis (7.5%). About 70.7% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 68.6% in the rest of NSW. As of 2016, about 15.7% (3,713 people) of its population is aged 65 and over, lower than the 17.7% in the rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average, similar to those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Figtree - Keiraville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Figtree-Keiraville's population is more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 24.2% born overseas and 20.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Figtree-Keiraville, accounting for 54.2%. Islam is overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, comprising 3.5% versus 2.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (23.8%), English (23.8%), and Other (9.3%). Notably, Macedonian (2.7%) and Serbian (1.5%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.5% and 0.8%, respectively. Welsh representation is also notable at 0.9%.

Figtree - Keiraville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Figtree-Keiraville's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38. The cohort aged 15-24 is notably over-represented in Figtree-Keiraville at 20.4%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.9%. This concentration of young adults is well above the national average of 12.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 25 to 34 grew from 11.5% to 13.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 18.4% to 20.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 12.7% to 11.4%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 10.1% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Figtree-Keiraville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 66%, adding 2,123 residents to reach a total of 5,347. The 55 to 64 group shows more modest growth of 9%, with an addition of 187 residents.