Figtree - Keiraville

Population growth drivers in Figtree - Keiraville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Figtree - Keiraville's population is around 23,636 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 863 people (3.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,773 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,569 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 64 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,256 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Figtree - Keiraville has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 1.0% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 88.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national regional areas is forecast, with the area expected to expand by 7,165 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 30.0% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Figtree - Keiraville when compared nationally

Figtree - Keiraville has averaged around 57 new dwelling approvals each year, with 289 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 36 so far in FY-26. With an average of 3.1 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $412,000—moderately above regional levels—indicating an emphasis on quality construction. Additionally, $18.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

When measured against the Rest of NSW, Figtree - Keiraville shows substantially reduced construction (57.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This level is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 51.0% detached dwellings and 49.0% attached dwellings, showing an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 79.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. At around 506 people per approval, Figtree - Keiraville indicates a mature market.

Future projections show Figtree - Keiraville adding 7,098 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Figtree - Keiraville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 37 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Adria Village Figtree, Figtree Oval Recreational Master Plan Implementation, The Avenue Debris Control Structure, and The Range at Redgum Ridge, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Figtree - Keiraville shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Figtree - Keiraville possesses a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 4.5%, and 0.5% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 12,570 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.6% above Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (66.8% compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 33.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. The area has particular employment specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. On the other hand, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.2% of Figtree - Keiraville's workforce compared to 5.3% in Regional NSW. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.5% while labour force increased by 0.6%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Figtree - Keiraville. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Figtree - Keiraville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Figtree - Keiraville SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $56,941 and an average of $72,995 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is higher than average nationally, contrasting with Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $61,986 (median) and $79,462 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,938 weekly), while personal income sits at the 37th percentile. Income analysis reveals the predominant cohort spans 29.8% of locals (7,043 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 29.9% in the same category. After housing, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Figtree - Keiraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Figtree - Keiraville, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.9% houses and 21.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Figtree - Keiraville was in line with that of Regional NSW, at 39.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (35.5%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional NSW average at $2,250, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410, compared to Regional NSW's $1,733 and $330. Nationally, Figtree - Keiraville's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Figtree - Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 72.0% of all households, comprising 36.7% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 5.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Figtree - Keiraville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Figtree - Keiraville significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 34.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 21.3% in Rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (21.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in tertiary education, 9.3% in primary education, and 8.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 184 active transport stops operating within Figtree - Keiraville, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 73 individual routes, collectively providing 4,646 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 154 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. A high 33.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 663 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

The level of general health in Figtree - Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Figtree - Keiraville demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts see a low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~13,094 people), compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 8.1% and 7.5% of residents, respectively, while 70.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (3,670 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Figtree - Keiraville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Figtree - Keiraville is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 24.2% of its population born overseas and 20.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Figtree - Keiraville is Christianity, which makes up 54.2% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 3.5% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional NSW.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Figtree - Keiraville are Australian, comprising 23.8% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 30.0%; English, comprising 23.8% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 30.5%; and Other, comprising 9.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Macedonian is notably overrepresented at 2.7% of Figtree - Keiraville (vs 0.4% regionally), Serbian at 1.5% (vs 0.2%), and Welsh at 0.9% (vs 0.5%).

Figtree - Keiraville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 35 years, Figtree - Keiraville's median age is significantly below the Regional NSW average of 43 as well as somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional NSW average, the 15 - 24 cohort is notably over-represented (20.6% locally), while 65 - 74 year-olds are under-represented (7.9%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. Following the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.5% to 14.2% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 18.4% to 20.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 12.7% to 11.3% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 10.1% to 9.0%. Demographic modeling suggests Figtree - Keiraville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 59%, adding 1,983 residents to reach 5,347. The 55 to 64 group displays more modest growth at 10%, adding only 209 residents.