Figtree - Keiraville

Population growth drivers in Figtree - Keiraville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Figtree-Keiraville's population is approximately 23,781 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 1,008 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,773. The change was inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 23,776 in June 2025 and an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,264 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Figtree-Keiraville has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecasted for Figtree-Keiraville, with an expected expansion of 6,636 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 27.9% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Figtree - Keiraville when compared nationally

Figtree - Keiraville has averaged approximately 57 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. Between FY21 and FY25, a total of 289 homes were approved, with an additional 48 approved in FY26 as of current data. On average, 3.1 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during this period.

This significant demand outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and intensifies competition among buyers. The average construction cost value for new properties is $412,000, indicating a focus on quality construction that exceeds regional levels. In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled $18.6 million, suggesting balanced commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Figtree - Keiraville shows substantially reduced construction, with 57.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. New developments consist of approximately 51.0% detached dwellings and 49.0% attached dwellings, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options that cater to various price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives.

This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 506 people per approval, Figtree - Keiraville indicates a mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add approximately 6,631 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the future.

Figtree - Keiraville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects that could affect this region. Notable projects include Adria Village Figtree, The Avenue Debris Control Structure, Figtree Oval Recreation Master Plan, and The Range at Redgum Ridge. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Figtree - Keiraville shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Figtree-Keiraville has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.5% as of December 2021, with estimated employment growth of 0.5%. By December 2025, the unemployment rate had risen to 4.6%, slightly higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Figtree-Keiraville was 66.0% compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%. A significant portion, 33.6%, of residents worked from home based on Census responses, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and accommodation & food. Notably, the area has a high specialization in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times that of Regional NSW.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.2% of Figtree-Keiraville's workforce compared to 5.3% in Regional NSW. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, while labour force increased by 0.6%, with unemployment remaining relatively stable at around 4.6%. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced a decline in employment (-1.2%) and labour force (-0.8%), with a slight rise in unemployment (0.4 percentage points). Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Figtree-Keiraville. Over five years, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Figtree-Keiraville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Figtree - Keiraville SA2 is $56,941 and the average is $72,995 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Nationally, the median income is $52,390 with an average of $65,215. By March 2026, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $62,817 and an average of $80,528 based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%. According to Census 2021 data, household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,938 weekly) and personal income at the 37th percentile. The predominant income cohort in Figtree - Keiraville SA2 is 29.8% of locals (7,086 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to surrounding regions at 29.9%. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. The SEIFA income ranking places Figtree - Keiraville SA2 in the 7th decile.

Figtree - Keiraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Figtree - Keiraville, evaluated at the latest Census, 78.9% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 21.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Figtree - Keiraville was 39.5%, similar to Regional NSW, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.5% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,250, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Figtree - Keiraville was $410, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Figtree - Keiraville's median monthly mortgage repayment exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rent was higher than the national figure of $375.

Figtree - Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.0% of all households, including 36.7% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.0%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 5.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Figtree - Keiraville shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Figtree-Keiraville is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 34.4% of residents aged 15 years and over held university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees were most common at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials were also prevalent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas accounted for 10.4% and certificates for 21.6%.

Educational participation was high, with 36.2% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 12.2% in tertiary education, 9.3% in primary education, and 8.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Figtree-Keiraville has 184 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 73 different routes that together facilitate 4,646 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living just 154 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport, used by 91% of residents. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 33.6% of residents work from home, which may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 663 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this data, showing the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

The level of general health in Figtree - Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Figtree - Keiraville shows superior health outcomes, as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups exhibit low incidence of common health issues.

Private health insurance coverage is high, at approximately 55% (~13,174 people), compared to Regional NSW's 51.9%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 8.1 and 7.5% respectively. A total of 70.7% report no medical ailments, higher than Regional NSW's 63.3%. Under-65s have better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 15.7% aged 65 and over (3,743 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Seniors' health outcomes are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Figtree - Keiraville was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Figtree-Keiraville, surveyed in June 2016, had a population with 24.2% born overseas and 20.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 54.2%. Islam's representation was notably higher at 3.5%, compared to Regional NSW's 0.8%.

The top three ancestral groups were Australian (23.8%), English (23.8%), and Other (9.3%). Notably, Macedonian (2.7%) and Serbian (1.5%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively. Welsh representation was also higher at 0.9%.

Figtree - Keiraville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Figtree-Keiraville's median age is 35 years, which is significantly lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 15-24 cohort is notably over-represented at 20.0%, compared to the Regional NSW average, while the 65-74 age group is under-represented at 7.9%. This concentration of the 15-24 age group is well above the national average of 12.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 11.5% to 14.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 18.4% to 20.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 12.7% to 11.1%, and the 55 to 64 age group has dropped from 10.1% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Figtree-Keiraville's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow strongly at 56%, adding 1,949 residents to reach 5,419. The 55 to 64 age group shows more modest growth of 8%, adding only 170 residents.