Mangerton

Mangerton has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, Mangerton's estimated population is around 3052 as of May 2026. This reflects a growth of 190 people since the 2021 Census, which reported 2862 residents. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3048 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2025 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Mangerton's population density ratio is 2852 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The suburb experienced a 6.6% growth rate between censuses, exceeding SA3 areas (4.7%) and Rest of NSW, marking it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.0% of Mangerton's population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections where applicable, with growth rates applied to all areas until 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Mangerton is forecasted to increase by 984 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 32.1% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mangerton, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Mangerton has seen around 9 new homes approved per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 45 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1 new resident per year per dwelling constructed has been observed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that supply is meeting or surpassing demand.

This provides greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections. New properties are constructed at an average value of $582,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In this financial year, $6.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential development. When measured against Rest of NSW, Mangerton shows approximately half the construction activity per person and places among the 40th percentile of areas assessed nationally. This means more limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing properties. New development consists of 25.0% detached dwellings and 75.0% townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 72.0% houses. At around 413 people per approval, Mangerton indicates a mature market with decreasing availability of developable sites. Future projections show Mangerton adding 980 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Mangerton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Wollongong Private Hospital Expansion and Avani Wollongong Hotel and Aspen Mixed-Use Development. Other notable initiatives include Wollongong Health Precinct Strategy and Adria Village Figtree.

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Employment performance in Mangerton has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Mangerton has an educated workforce with key services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 6.4% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation in December 2025. In this month, 1,602 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.5% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation stood at 67.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census responses showed that 38.2% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Mangerton had a particular specialization in health care & social assistance with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence at 0.3% compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force decreased by 0.5%, employment fell by 0.8%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment contract by 1.2%, labour force fall by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Mangerton. These projections suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mangerton's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Mangerton had an income level well above average nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $56,374 and the average income stood at $77,042. These figures compared to those for Regional NSW which were $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $62,192 (median) and $84,993 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Mangerton clustered around the 73rd percentile nationally. Distribution data showed that 27.9% of the population (851 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represented 29.9%. Economic strength was evident through 35.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounted for 13.5% of income while strong earnings ranked residents within the 78th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Mangerton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Mangerton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 71.6% houses and 28.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mangerton stood at 35.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.3% and rented ones at 26.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,210, exceeding Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Mangerton was $353, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Mangerton's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Mangerton features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 69.6% of all households, including 36.5% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 25.7% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Mangerton shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Mangerton's educational attainment is notably higher than broader standards. Among residents aged 15 and above, 41.3% possess university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. University graduates make up 26.1%, followed by postgraduates at 11.3% and graduate diplomas at 3.9%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.9% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.5% and certificates for 18.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 7.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mangerton has 24 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 32 different routes that together facilitate 1,270 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 138 meters from the nearest stop. Most Mangerton residents commute outward due to its primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census, 38.2% of residents work from home, which may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 181 trips per day, equating to approximately 52 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Mangerton is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Mangerton shows above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population, around 1,750 people, compared to 51.9% across Regional NSW. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.2 and 7.9% of residents respectively. Approximately 70.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 13.3% of residents aged 65 and over, around 405 people, which is lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mangerton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mangerton's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 15.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Mangerton, making up 55.1% of people, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (25.6%), Australian (24.1%), and Irish (9.1%).

Notably, Macedonian (2.8%) was overrepresented in Mangerton compared to the regional average of 0.4%, as were Serbian (1.4% vs 0.2%) and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.5%).

Mangerton's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mangerton's median age is 38, which is lower than Regional NSW's figure of 43 but matches the national average of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 16.3% of Mangerton's population, higher than Regional NSW's figure. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort constitutes 8.0%, lower than Regional NSW's figure. Post the 2021 Census, Mangerton's median age decreased by 1.1 years to 38 due to a shift in younger residents. Specifically, the 25-34 age group grew from 12.5% to 16.3%, while the 45-54 cohort declined from 15.0% to 13.0%. By 2041, Mangerton's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 cohort is expected to grow by 52%, adding 259 residents and reaching a total of 757.