Keiraville

Keiraville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Keiraville is estimated at around 4115 people. This reflects an increase of 114 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4001 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 4103 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1652 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Keiraville has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 89% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, Keiraville is forecasted to increase significantly among the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, expecting an increase of 1186 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 28.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Keiraville recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Keiraville experienced around 10 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, approximately 52 homes were approved, with an additional seven approved so far in FY26. This results in an estimated average of 5.2 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed annually over these years.

Consequently, demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $571,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, $4.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Keiraville shows substantially reduced construction, at 55.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, which is also below national average, suggesting possible planning constraints.

New development consists of 54.0% detached houses and 46.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments offering options across different price points. Keiraville indicates a mature market, with around 421 people per approval. Population forecasts suggest Keiraville will gain 1,174 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Keiraville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely affecting the region. Notable projects include the Irvine Street Gwynneville Precinct Planning Proposal, 2-8 Highway Avenue Multi-Dwelling Housing Development, Wollongong Hospital Redevelopment - Planning and Equipment Upgrades, and University of Wollongong Campus Master Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Keiraville are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Keiraville has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 8.8% as of December 2025. Over the past year, there's been relative employment stability.

As of that date, 2,237 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 4.9% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Keiraville was 66.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 35.5% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in education & training, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food sectors.

Notably, employment levels in education & training are at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, construction employs only 4.4% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 9.7%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.2%, with a 0.4% employment decline, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keiraville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Keiraville had a median income among taxpayers of $43,690. The average income stood at $58,167 in this period. Both figures were below the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 for Regional NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $47,561 (median) and $63,321 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, individual incomes lagged at the 13th percentile with a weekly income of $610. Meanwhile, household income performed better at the 49th percentile. In terms of income distribution, the predominant cohort in Keiraville spanned 30.3% of locals (1,246 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to 2,999 per week, reflecting patterns seen regionally where 29.9% similarly occupied this range. High housing costs consumed 15.9% of income in Keiraville. Despite this, strong earnings placed disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Keiraville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Keiraville's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 63.2% houses and 36.8% other types (semi-detached, apartments, others). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keiraville was 38.6%, similar to Regional NSW. Mortgaged dwellings were 21.6% and rented ones were 39.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, exceeding Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Keiraville was $420, higher than Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Keiraville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.5% of all households, consisting of 26.2% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 40.5%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 12.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Keiraville exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Keiraville's educational attainment notably exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 39.7% possess university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. This significant advantage positions Keiraville favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%).

Vocational pathways comprise 23.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas accounting for 7.8% and certificates for 15.8%. Educational participation is notably high, with 48.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 30.9% in tertiary education, 7.0% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keiraville has 40 operational public transport stops, all of which serve buses. These stops are covered by 26 different routes that facilitate a total of 3,027 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents usually located just 137 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most Keiraville residents travel outward for work, with cars remaining the primary commuting mode at 87%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, a significant 35.5% of residents work from home, which may be partly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 432 trips per day, translating to roughly 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keiraville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Keiraville's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health condition prevalence is low across all age groups.

Approximately 50% (~2,056 people) have private health cover, slightly lower than the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 10.4 and 7.5% respectively, with 69.6% reporting no medical ailments compared to Regional NSW's 63.3%. Under-65 residents have better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 13.4% (551 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Senior health outcomes are above average, matching national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Keiraville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keiraville's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 27.1% born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Keiraville, comprising 43.6% of its population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Keiraville compared to Regional NSW, making up 0.2% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (24.2%), Australian (23.3%), and Other (10.4%). These figures are lower than the regional averages of 30.5%, 30.0%, and 4.8% respectively. Additionally, certain ethnic groups show notable differences: Welsh is overrepresented at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Serbian is at 1.0% versus 0.2%, and French is at 0.8% versus 0.4%.

Keiraville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Keiraville's median age at 25 years is notably lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Regional NSW, Keiraville has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 at 37.1%, but fewer residents aged 55-64 at 5.6%. This 15-24 concentration is well above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and the present, younger residents have shifted Keiraville's median age down by 1.3 years to 25. During this period, notable shifts include the 25-34 age group growing from 12.5% to 15.4%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 35.0% to 37.1%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 8.0% to 5.6%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 8.8% to 7.2%. Population forecasts for Keiraville in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to increase markedly, expanding by 384 people (61%) from 633 to 1,018. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort grows by a modest 9% (21 people).