Keiraville

Keiraville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Keiraville's population is estimated at around 4,111 people. This reflects an increase of 110 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,001. AreaSearch estimates this figure based on resident population data from June 2024 and additional validated addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,651 persons per square kilometer, higher than average national levels assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Keiraville has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.6%, outperforming its SA3 area. Recent population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 89% of overall gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by this data. Future projections anticipate significant population increase in the top quartile of non-metropolitan areas, with Keiraville expected to grow by 1,203 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 32.6% over 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Keiraville recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Keiraville experienced around 9 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 47 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an estimated average of 6 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed annually during this period.

Consequently, demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $571,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $4.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Keiraville's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Keiraville has substantially reduced construction rates, at 60.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, which is also below national average, suggesting possible planning constraints. New development consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

Keiraville's population growth rate indicates a mature market, with around 526 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 1,340 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Keiraville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Irvine Street Gwynneville Precinct Planning Proposal, 2-8 Highway Avenue Multi-Dwelling Housing Development, Wollongong Hospital Redevelopment - Planning and Equipment Upgrades, and University of Wollongong Campus Master Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Keiraville face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Keiraville has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 8.9% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, Keiraville had 2,224 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.1%, higher than Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation in Keiraville was at par with Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Residents were primarily employed in education & training (employing 1.8 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food services. Construction employment stood at 4.4%, lower than Rest of NSW's 9.7%.

Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census working population to local population count. Over the year to September 2025, Keiraville saw a 0.5% decrease in labour force levels and a 1.0% employment decline, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keiraville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Keiraville had a median income among taxpayers of $43,690. The average income stood at $58,167. This is below the national average. Comparing to Rest of NSW, Keiraville's median and average incomes were lower at $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates for Keiraville would be approximately $47,561 (median) and $63,321 (average) as of September 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, individual incomes lag at the 13th percentile ($610 weekly), while household income performs better at the 49th percentile. In terms of income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 30.3% of locals (1,245 people) with incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 category. This is similar to regional levels where 29.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.9% of income. Despite this, disposable income remains at the 50th percentile, indicating strong earnings. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Keiraville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Keiraville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 63.2% houses and 36.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 58.9% houses and 41.1% other dwellings. Keiraville's home ownership level was 38.6%, with the rest being mortgaged (21.6%) or rented (39.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Keiraville was $2,200, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,189. The median weekly rent figure in Keiraville was $420, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Keiraville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $420.

Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 59.5% of all households, including 26.2% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 40.5%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 12.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

The educational profile of Keiraville exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Keiraville's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 39.7% possess university qualifications, compared to 21.3% in the Rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region. University graduates comprise 23.0%, postgraduate qualifications are held by 13.7%, and graduate diplomas account for 3.0%. Vocational pathways make up 23.6% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 7.8% and certificates at 15.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 48.8% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 30.9% in tertiary education, 7.0% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keiraville has 40 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that collectively facilitate 3,027 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Keiraville is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 137 meters from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 432 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Keiraville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Keiraville shows better-than-average health results, with both younger and older residents experiencing low rates of common health issues. Approximately half (50%) of Keiraville's total population (~2,054 people) has private health cover, compared to 56.8% in the rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues affect 10.4% of residents, while asthma impacts 7.5%.

A majority (69.6%) report having no medical ailments, slightly higher than the 68.6% in the rest of NSW. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.0% (534 people), compared to 17.7% in the rest of NSW. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are above average and align with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Keiraville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keiraville's population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most nearby areas, with 27.1% born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keiraville, accounting for 43.6% of its population. Notably, Judaism had a slightly higher representation in Keiraville at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% in the rest of NSW.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (24.2%), Australian (23.3%), and Other (10.4%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Welsh was overrepresented at 0.9% versus 0.8% regionally, Serbian at 1.0% versus 0.8%, and French at 0.8% versus 0.5%.

Keiraville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Keiraville's median age is 25 years, which is notably lower than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of NSW, Keiraville has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 (35.8%), but fewer individuals aged 65-74 (5.3%). This percentage for the 15-24 age group is well above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 25 to 34 has grown from 12.5% to 14.2%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 8.8% to 7.2% and the 55 to 64 group has decreased from 8.0% to 6.5%. Demographic modeling projects significant changes in Keiraville's age profile by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age cohort expected to expand considerably, increasing by 422 people (72%) from 583 to 1,006.