Keiraville

Keiraville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, Keiraville's population is estimated at around 4,122 people. This reflects an increase of 121 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,001. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,121 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,655 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Keiraville has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 89.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 1,063 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 25.8%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Keiraville according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Keiraville has seen approximately 10 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 52 homes were approved, with another 8 approved so far in FY26. This results in an average of about 3.2 new residents arriving annually per dwelling constructed during this period.

The demand for housing significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. Developers focus on the premium market, constructing new properties at an average cost of $571,000. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $4.1 million, reflecting Keiraville's primarily residential nature. Compared to the rest of NSW, Keiraville has significantly lower construction rates, 56.0% below the regional average per person, which often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is also below the national average, suggesting mature market conditions and possible planning constraints.

New development in Keiraville consists of 54.0% detached houses and 46.0% medium to high-density housing, offering options across different price points. With approximately 410 people per approval, Keiraville indicates a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 1,062 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Keiraville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are Irvine Street Gwynneville Precinct Planning Proposal, 2-8 Highway Avenue Multi-Dwelling Housing Development, University of Wollongong 2016-2036 Wollongong Campus Master Plan, and 14 Cosgrove Avenue Multi-Dwelling Housing Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Keiraville are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Keiraville has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 8.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 2,169 employed residents, with the unemployment rate being 5.0% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation stands at 64.6%, slightly above Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census data shows that 35.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in education & training (1.8 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food services. Construction employs only 4.4% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 9.7%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.9%, with employment declining by 1.2%, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Keiraville's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Keiraville had a median income among taxpayers of $43,690 and an average level of $58,167. These figures are below the national average and compare to median levels of $52,390 and averages of $65,215 across Regional NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates as of March 2026 would be approximately $48,199 (median) and $64,170 (average). According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes lag at the 13th percentile ($610 weekly), while household income performs better at the 49th percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 30.3% of locals (1,248 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to regional levels where 29.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Keiraville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Keiraville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 63.2% houses and 36.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 63.2% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keiraville was at 38.6%, similar to Regional NSW, with the rest being mortgaged (21.6%) or rented (39.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Keiraville was $2,200, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Keiraville was recorded at $420, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Keiraville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Keiraville features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.5% of all households, including 26.2% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 40.5%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 12.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Keiraville exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Keiraville's educational attainment exceeds broader standards, with 39.7% of residents aged 15 years and above possessing university qualifications compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 25.2% in the SA4 region as of 2021 data. This notable advantage places Keiraville favourably for knowledge-based opportunities, with bachelor degrees being the most prevalent (23.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational pathways account for 23.6% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and above, with advanced diplomas at 7.8% and certificates at 15.8%. Educational participation is notably high in Keiraville, with 48.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest census data.

This includes 30.9% in tertiary education, 7.0% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keiraville has 40 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that together facilitate 3,027 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 137 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Keiraville's predominantly residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 87% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 35.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 432 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keiraville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Keiraville residents have positive health outcomes, matching national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health conditions are low across all age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at 50% (2,059 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 10.4% and 7.5% respectively. 69.6% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Regional NSW's 63.3%. The under-65 population has better health outcomes. Keiraville has 13.4% of residents aged 65 and over (552 people), lower than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Keiraville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keiraville's cultural diversity was notable, with 27.1% of its population born overseas and 21.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Keiraville, comprising 43.6% of its population. However, Judaism had an overrepresentation, making up 0.2% compared to Regional NSW's 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (24.2%), Australian (23.3%), and Other (10.4%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) was overrepresented in Keiraville compared to the regional average of 0.5%, as were Serbian (1.0% vs 0.2%) and French (0.8% vs 0.4%).

Keiraville hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Keiraville's median age at 25 years is notably lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Regional NSW, Keiraville has a higher percentage of 15-24 residents at 36.2%, but fewer 55-64 year-olds at 5.4%. This concentration of 15-24 residents is well above the national average of 12.7%. Between 2021 and present, younger residents have shifted Keiraville's median age down by 1.1 years to 25. During this period, the 25-34 age group grew from 12.5% to 16.0%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 35.0% to 36.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 8.0% to 5.4%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 8.8% to 7.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Keiraville. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to increase markedly by 370 people (56%) from 659 to 1,030. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort grows by a modest 10% (21 people).