Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi's population, as of November 2025, is around 16,523. This figure reflects a growth of 482 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,041. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates; June 2024's ERP was 16,459, with an additional 183 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a density ratio of 1,493 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 3.0% growth since the census is comparable to its SA3 region's 4.0%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.8% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase by 732 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a 4.0% total growth over 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi when compared nationally

Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi has seen approximately 83 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 419 homes. As of FY26 so far, 37 approvals have been recorded. The average population growth per dwelling built in the area between FY21 and FY25 was 0.9 people per year. New construction has been matching or outpacing demand, providing more buying options and potentially exceeding current population growth expectations.

The average construction value of new properties is $517,000. This financial year, there have been $63.8 million in commercial approvals, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to the rest of NSW, Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi has shown 10.0% lower construction activity per person while ranking among the 65th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 46.0% standalone homes and 54.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 219 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits characteristics of a low-density region. Population forecasts indicate Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi will gain approximately 668 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of 21 such projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact the area. Notable among these are the 79 Dobbie Avenue Townhouses project, the Murray Road Shared Cycleway initiative, the Corrimal Transport Oriented Development Area plan, and the IRT Towradgi Park Seniors Housing Redevelopment scheme. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

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Employment drivers in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.0% as of June 2021, with an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the past year.

As of June 2025, 7,767 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 3.4%, which is 0.7 percentage points higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was on par with Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area had a particular specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level.

In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing employed just 0.3% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 1.9% while labour force increased by 0.9%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.9 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggested that while national employment was forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differed significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi's employment mix indicated local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that income in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi SA2 is above the national average. The median income is $53,537 and the average income stands at $67,716. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $49,459 and the average income is $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi would be approximately $60,288 (median) and $76,255 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi rank modestly, between the 31st and 35th percentiles. Distribution data reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 28.2% of residents (4,659 people), which aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort also represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi, with only 80.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 26th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi, as per the latest Census, 55.7% of dwellings were houses while 44.3% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments and other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 58.9% houses and 41.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi stood at 31.4%, with mortgaged properties at 29.0% and rented dwellings at 39.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,189. Median weekly rent in the area was $330, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $400. Nationally, Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $330 against the national figure of $375.

Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.3% of all households, including 26.1% couples with children, 23.7% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 34.7%, with lone person households at 31.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Educational qualifications in Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi trail indicate that 23.8% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to the SA3 area's 33.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 38.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (27.9%). Educational participation is high at 28.0%, including primary education (9.1%), secondary education (7.3%), and tertiary education (5.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 94 active stops operating within Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi area, offering both train and bus services. These stops are served by 54 distinct routes, facilitating a total of 1800 weekly passenger trips. Residential accessibility to transport is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 164 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 257 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi, with notable prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 53% (~8,823 people) have private health cover, compared to 56.6% in the rest of NSW.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.6%) and mental health issues (9.5%). Around 64.9% report being clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.6% in the rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 19.5% (3,230 people), compared to 17.7% in NSW. Health outcomes among seniors largely align with those of the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity profile roughly in line with the wider region's average. 80.7% of its population were born in Australia, and 90.1% held Australian citizenship. English was spoken at home by 87.4%.

Christianity was the predominant religion, followed by 53.1%, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW average of 51.0%. The top three ancestry groups were English (27.9%), Australian (26.0%), and Irish (7.8%). Notably, Macedonian ancestry was overrepresented at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 1.5%, while Welsh and Serbian ancestry were present in similar proportions to the region: Welsh at 0.8%, Serbian at 0.5%.

Corrimal - Tarrawanna - Bellambi's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi is 40 years, which is slightly below Rest of NSW's average of 43 but above Australia's median of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 15.2% of the local population, higher than the Rest of NSW average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 10.3%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 13.5% to 15.2%, while the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 13.3% to 12.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Corrimal-Tarrawanna-Bellambi. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 427 people (17%) from 2,518 to 2,946, while the 45-54 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.