Buxton (NSW)

Buxton has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated since Feb 2026, Buxton's estimated population is around 2570. This shows an increase of 499 people from the 2021 Census figure of 2071, a growth rate of 24.1%. AreaSearch arrived at this estimate after examining latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024) and adding 21 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 200 persons per square kilometer in Buxton. The suburb's growth rate exceeded both state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney figures, indicating it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 65% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with base year 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with base year 2021. These projections indicate an above median population growth for Buxton until 2041, with an expected increase of 440 persons reflecting a total rise of 12.6% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Buxton when compared nationally

Buxton has seen approximately 30 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. From FY21 to FY25, around 151 homes were approved, with a further 12 in FY26 as of now. Each new home constructed attracted an average of 2.3 people over the past five financial years, indicating strong demand.

The average construction cost for new homes was $335,000. This year, $4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Buxton's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Buxton has 10% less new development per person but ranks at the 76th percentile nationally, demonstrating robust developer confidence. Recent construction consists of 78% detached houses and 22% attached dwellings, maintaining low-density housing with a focus on family homes. This shift from the current 100% house mix reflects reduced development sites and changing lifestyle demands.

There are approximately 153 people per dwelling approval in Buxton, suggesting an expanding market. Future projections estimate a growth of 324 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Buxton has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely to impact the region: Tahmoor South Coal Project, Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line, Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct, and South Pacific Offshore Wind Project are key initiatives, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Buxton demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Buxton has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment. The construction sector is particularly prominent with an unemployment rate of 2.9%. In the past year, there was estimated employment growth of 7.4%.

As of December 2025, 1,475 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 79.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 17.6% of residents work from home. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Construction employment share is 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 7.4% alongside labour force growth of 7.6%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. By contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment and labour force growth of 2.2% and 2.3% respectively, with marginal unemployment increase. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Buxton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Buxton is $54,317, with an average of $64,563, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average. In comparison, Greater Sydney has a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $59,129 (median) and $70,283 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Buxton cluster around the 55th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 41.3% of locals (1,061 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. High housing costs consume 18.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 58th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Buxton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Buxton, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 99.6% houses and 0.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Buxton was 24.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.0% and rented at 13.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,102, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent was $410, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Buxton's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,102 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were higher at $410 compared to the national figure of $375.

Buxton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.8% of all households, including 41.6% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.2%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Buxton faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 10.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 7.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 48.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (38.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Buxton has 36 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These are served by 17 different routes that together offer 142 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Buxton is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 194 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, and cars remain the primary mode of transport at 97%. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 17.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 20 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Buxton is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Buxton faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment as of March 2023. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population, which consists of around 1,348 people. This compares to a rate of 59.9% across Greater Sydney as of March 2023. The most common medical conditions in Buxton are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.0% and 8.6% of residents respectively, according to data from February 2022. Conversely, 68.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments as of March 2023, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney at the same time. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. As of December 2021, the area has 9.9% of residents aged 65 and over, which consists of around 254 people. This is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney at that time. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population as of March 2023.

The latest Census data sees Buxton placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Buxton's population showed low cultural diversity, with 91.6% being citizens, 90.6% born in Australia, and 97.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 54.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.3%), English (29.9%), and Irish (6.6%).

Notably, Maltese (1.6%) and Dutch (1.6%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 0.7%, respectively. South Australian ancestry was also slightly higher at 0.6%.

Buxton's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Buxton's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Buxton has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.1%). According to data from the 2021 Census, the population aged 35-44 grew from 12.4% to 14.4%, while the 45-54 age group declined from 14.1% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Buxton's age profile. The 15-24 cohort is projected to grow by 18%, adding 66 residents for a total of 439. The 0-4 age group is expected to grow by 2%, with an increase of 3 residents.