Oakdale (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Oakdale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Oakdale (NSW) statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 2,394 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 366 people (18.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,028 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,321 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in Jun 2024 and an additional 66 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 25 persons per square kilometer. Oakdale's 18.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.6%) and metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 50.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected. The Oakdale (NSW) (SA2) is expected to grow by 292 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 1.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Oakdale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Oakdale had around 16 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 83 homes. As of FY26, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 new residents were associated with each dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value for new properties was $509,000, indicating a focus on the premium market.

In FY26, there have been $333,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting Oakdale's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakdale has roughly half the construction activity per person and ranks at the 77th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Oakdale's traditional low density character.

With around 152 people per dwelling approval, Oakdale exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Oakdale is projected to add 35 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Oakdale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance more than alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Warragamba Dam Raising Project, Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct, Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line, and Greater Sydney Cycling Network Improvements, with the following list outlining those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Oakdale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oakdale has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% and estimated employment growth of 5.7% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 1,310 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Oakdale is 62.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 2.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 4.3% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 5.7%, labour force increased by 5.6%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points in Oakdale. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.1%, labour force expanded by 2.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oakdale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Oakdale's median income among taxpayers is $58,483. The average income is $71,694. Both figures are above the national average. In Greater Sydney, the median income is $60,817 and the average is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Oakdale's median and average incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $63,665 and $78,046 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Oakdale cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. In Oakdale, 35.7% of the population (854 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 30.9% fall in the same category. High housing costs consume 15.6% of income in Oakdale. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Oakdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation in Oakdale, dwelling structures consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan areas had 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakdale stood at 32.7%, similar to Sydney metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (54.5%) or rented (12.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oakdale was $2,167, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,318. The median weekly rent figure in Oakdale was $410, slightly higher than the national average of $375 but lower than the Sydney metro's $415. Nationally, Oakdale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863.

Oakdale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.1% of all households, including 41.3% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.9%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in Oakdale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.1%). Educational participation is high, with 30.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (11.2%), secondary (9.3%), and tertiary (3.6%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oakdale's public transport analysis shows 46 active stops operating within the area, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 12 individual routes that collectively provide 178 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 671 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 25 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oakdale's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Oakdale's health metrics are near national averages, with common health conditions prevalent at levels somewhat typical of the general population but higher among older cohorts.

Approximately 55% (~1,323 people) have private health cover, which is very high compared to other areas. The most frequent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.8% and 7.5% of residents respectively. 70.9% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 68.7%. Oakdale has 15.3% (366 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 16.5%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting challenges compared to the broader population.

Oakdale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Oakdale was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 90.3% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (90.0%), and speaking English only at home (94.0%). The predominant religion in Oakdale is Christianity, comprising 62.7% of the population, compared to 63.0% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (33.5%), English (27.8%), and Irish (6.4%).

Notably, Maltese, Hungarian, and Serbian ethnicities are overrepresented in Oakdale compared to regional averages: Maltese at 3.2% vs 2.3%, Hungarian at 0.4% vs 0.3%, and Serbian at 0.6% vs 0.3%.

Oakdale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At age 36, Oakdale's median age is nearly equal to Greater Sydney's average of 37, which is slightly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakdale has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.1%) but fewer individuals aged 35-44 (12.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.9% to 14.6%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.4% to 12.6%. By 2041, Oakdale's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 38%, adding 47 residents to reach a total of 172. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 81% of population growth, reflecting the trend towards demographic aging. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.