Oakdale (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Oakdale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Oakdale (NSW) is around 2,394. This reflects an increase of 366 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,028. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,321 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 67 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 25 persons per square kilometer. Oakdale's growth rate of 18.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state average (7.8%) and Greater Sydney's growth, marking it as a notable growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 50.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as interstate migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Oakdale's population is expected to increase by 324 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 10.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Oakdale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Oakdale has seen around 16 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 83 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. So far in FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were seen between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting a balance between supply and demand with stable market dynamics.

New properties are being constructed at an average value of $509,000, indicating developers' focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $333,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting Oakdale's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakdale shows approximately half the construction activity per person while ranking among the 77th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered.

Recent construction comprises 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Oakdale's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 152 people per dwelling approval, Oakdale shows characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate Oakdale adding 251 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oakdale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly influence a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Key projects include Warragamba Dam Raising Project, Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct, Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line, and Greater Sydney Cycling Network Improvements, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

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The exceptional employment performance in Oakdale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oakdale has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% and estimated employment growth of 7.2% in the past year. As of December 2025, 1,332 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is 74.7%, close to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Home workership stands at 22.5% based on Census responses, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include construction, healthcare & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 2.5 times the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 7.2% while labour force grew by a similar rate, keeping unemployment stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oakdale's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Oakdale's median income among taxpayers is $58,483, with an average of $71,694. This is higher than the national average and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Oakdale would be approximately $63,665 (median) and $78,046 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census indicates household, family and personal incomes in Oakdale cluster around the 64th percentile nationally. In Oakdale, 35.7% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 15.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Oakdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oakdale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakdale stood at 32.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.5% and rented ones at 12.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's $2,427, while the median weekly rent was $410, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oakdale's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Oakdale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.1% of all households, including 41.3% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for 19.9%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Oakdale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 13.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (35.1%). Educational participation is high, with 30.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.2% in primary, 9.3% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oakdale has 46 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 12 different routes that together provide 178 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in Oakdale is limited, with residents typically located 671 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.2 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.5% of Oakdale residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 25 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 3 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Oakdale are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Oakdale's health indicators show below-average results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average for older cohorts.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of Oakdale's total population (~1,323 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions are asthma (7.8%) and arthritis (7.5%). About 70.9% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. Oakdale has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (366 people). While health outcomes for seniors present some challenges, they rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Oakdale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Oakdale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 90.3% of its population being citizens and 90.0% born in Australia. English was spoken exclusively at home by 94.0%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 62.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.5%), English (27.8%), and Irish (6.4%). Notably, Maltese (3.2%) were overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.0%, as were Hungarians at 0.4% (regional: 0.3%) and Serbians at 0.6% (regional: 0.5%).

Oakdale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 36 years, Oakdale's median age is nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37, which is modestly under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Oakdale has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (14.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.4%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.9% to 14.6%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.2% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 12.1%. Demographic modeling suggests Oakdale's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75-84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth of 47%, adding 59 residents to reach 186. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.