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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in The Oaks is $1.35m, with units at $895k. House values have moved 5.2% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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The Oaks has an estimated 2,914 residents, down from 2,982 at the 2021 Census — a change of 68 people, or 2.3%. Density is about 75 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
In the suburb of The Oaks, the resident count stands at approximately 2,914 as of May 2026, calculated from Census numbers, ABS updates for the region, and subsequent address checks by AreaSearch. Compared to the 2021 Census population of 2,982, this represents a drop of 68 people (2.3%). The latest figures stem from an AreaSearch calculation of 2,899 residents using ABS ERP statistics from June 2025, combined with 15 validated new addresses added post-Census. With a density of 74 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers ample space and capacity for expansion.
Recent population gains were led by natural increase, which made up roughly 50.0% of the growth, though overseas and interstate migration also made positive contributions. Projections for the suburb of The Oaks rely on 2024 ABS and Geoscience Australia releases using a 2022 baseline, supplemented by 2022 NSW Government SA2 projections with a 2021 baseline where needed. Age bracket growth rates from these sources are extended to the period from 2032 to 2041. Over the coming years, population gains are projected to track slightly underneath the median of areas assessed by AreaSearch. Specifically, regional projections indicate the suburb of The Oaks will add 315 residents by 2041, representing a expansion of 10.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
65 new dwellings have been approved in The Oaks over the past five years, an average of 13 a year. That is 4.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 1, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals indicates that development consent is granted to roughly 13 homes annually in The Oaks. Over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), 65 residential approvals were recorded, with a single approval registered in FY-26. Amidst recent population declines, this pace of construction has likely matched demand, ensuring options for buyers. The average value of these approved homes is $509,000, pointing to developer investment in upscale properties. Additionally, commercial development remains minimal, with commercial approvals totalling $284,000 this financial year. Building activity in The Oaks is significantly subdued compared to Greater Sydney, registering 72.0% below the metropolitan average on a per capita basis.
This limited construction pace generally helps maintain demand and values for existing properties. Detached houses account for 89.0% of the new structures, while medium and high-density choices make up 11.0%, preserving the low-density landscape that appeals to buyers seeking spacious homes. Reflecting this quiet development climate, there are 585 people in the area for each home approved. Latest quarterly projections from AreaSearch indicate that the population of The Oaks will rise by 300 residents by 2041. Based on current building trends, the addition of new housing is positioned to comfortably satisfy local demand, maintaining favorable purchasing conditions and potentially supporting gains above these forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around The Oaks
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 33 current infrastructure and development projects close to The Oaks, worth an estimated $7.85 billion. 13 are already under construction and 12 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects and planning changes significantly impact area dynamics. No major projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are expected to affect this locality. Key regional projects include the Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct, the South West Growth Area, the Warragamba Dam Raising Project, and the Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line, with details on the most relevant listings provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
West Camden Water Recycling Plant Upgrade (servicing Gledswood Hills)
Sydney Water has completed the upgrade of the West Camden Water Recycling Plant, doubling capacity to 32 ML/d to serve approximately 176,000 people and support growth across the catchment, including temporary flows from the South West Growth Area until the Upper South Creek Advanced Water Recycling Centre is operational. Delivery partners were Downer and BMD. Commissioning commenced in late 2024 with construction completion in mid-2025.
Wollondilly Cultural Precinct
Multi-stage civic and cultural precinct in Picton delivering a new Government Services Building (Stage 2, construction commenced mid-2025 by Kane Constructions, due end 2026), refurbished Shire Hall, Performing Arts Centre (completed 2024), and future new Library, Village Green and civic forecourt (Stage 3-4, due 2030). Designed by Williams Ross Architects, the four-storey Government Services Building features basement parking, council workspaces, a customer service area and commercial lettable space. The precinct consolidates council and government services, expands cultural facilities and creates new public space in the Picton town centre.Total estimated economic benefit of $732 million over 25 years.
Picton Bypass
Proposed 2.1-kilometre two-lane bypass of Picton town centre, linking Thirlmere and Tahmoor with the Hume Motorway via Picton Road. The route includes three bridges, the tallest around 38 metres above water level, and a 60km/h design speed. The bypass aims to reduce traffic congestion, improve safety, and provide an emergency evacuation route during bushfire and flood events, supplementing the heritage-listed Victoria Bridge. The NSW and Australian Governments have committed over 18 million dollars for planning, with MRB Technical Services engaged to prepare a concept design and environmental assessment.Ground investigations began in late September 2025 and further onsite investigation work is underway from April 2026 over a six month period to inform design development. A concept design is expected to be available for public feedback in late 2026.
Camden Community Nursery
The Camden Community Nursery is a purpose-built facility designed to support local biodiversity through the propagation of native plants. It serves as an educational hub providing workshops on sustainable gardening, environmental conservation, and local flora management for the community and schools.
Picton Parklands Master Plan
Council-adopted long-term master plan and plan of management for linked open space and recreation areas across Picton Parklands, including Picton Botanic Gardens, Hume Oval, Picton Sportsground, Monds Lane, Picton RSL Park and the creek corridors. Current delivery is focused on the Picton Sportsground multi-use field upgrade for soccer, cricket and Oztag, including earthworks, drainage, irrigation and lighting. Council lists this field upgrade as in progress, started January 2025 and due to finish April 2026, while the wider master plan remains staged subject to funding.
Picton High School Redevelopment
Completed $60 million complete rebuild accommodating up to 2,000 students. Features modern classrooms, specialist performance areas, creative arts spaces, hospitality kitchens, sports facilities, trade workshops, covered outdoor learning areas, library, administration spaces. Students moved into new buildings Term 2, 2021 with full completion 2022.
Camden Town Centre Enhancements
Revitalization of Camden's historic town centre with improved streetscapes, public spaces, heritage conservation, and enhanced retail and dining precincts. The project aims to strengthen Camden's role as a regional centre while preserving its historic character and community identity.
Spring Farm Riverside
A flagship masterplanned community by Cornish Group comprising 1,100 residential lots alongside the Nepean River, featuring elevated positions with views over Springs Lake and Razorback Mountain. The precinct includes 185 hectares of parklands with boardwalks, BBQ areas, playgrounds, and 24km of bike paths and walkways.
1,829 residents of The Oaks are employed, from a labour force of 1,851. Unemployment sits at 1.2%, with participation at 80.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,134, about 73% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce displays high skill levels, particularly within building trades, accompanied by a low unemployment rate of 1.2% and a yearly employment expansion of 5.5% based on aggregated local data. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,829, keeping the unemployment rate 2.9% lower than the Greater Sydney mark of 4.1%. Workforce participation is elevated at 80.4% compared to the Greater Sydney rate of 69.1%. Census records show 27.5% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure was likely influenced by pandemic restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local workers are building and construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.
Construction stands out with representation at 2.2 times the metropolitan average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 4.2% of employment, compared to a regional average of 11.5%. Local job availability appears constrained when comparing the resident workforce size to the local working population recorded in the Census. Aggregated data from the ABS and SALM shows that during the year leading to March 2026, local employment levels rose by 5.5% and the labor force grew by 5.5%, keeping the rate of unemployment steady. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labor force growth of 1.9%, with a slight drop in unemployment. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia as of May-25 highlight broader workforce trends. Mapping these five and ten-year national growth outlooks against the local industry profile estimates potential expansion. While national employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by sector. Applying these trends to the local industry mix yields an estimated employment increase of 6.1% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, representing a basic weighted calculation that excludes local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in The Oaks is $2,265 a week (about $118,000 a year), with median personal income at $910 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $62,685 a year against an average of $76,845. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that the suburb of The Oaks experiences high income levels relative to the nation. Taxpayer income features a median of $62,685 and an average of $76,845, contrasting with Greater Sydney statistics of $60,817 for the median and $83,003 for the average. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates for March 2026 are approximately $69,154 for the median and $84,775 for the average. The 2021 Census ranks household, family, and personal incomes near the 74th percentile nationally.
The weekly income band of $1,500 - 2,999 is the most common, accounting for 34.0% of residents (990 people), which aligns closely with the regional rate of 30.9%. Affluence is notable, with 34.2% of residents earning weekly incomes above $3,000. Housing costs consume 14.8% of income, while disposable income ranks in the 82nd percentile, and the SEIFA index places the area in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
The Oaks had 953 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 0% apartments. 52% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 36% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,383 a month, a total housing cost higher than 77% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 17.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The residential landscape at the last Census was dominated by separate houses, which made up 97.0% of dwellings, while semi-detached properties, apartments, and other alternatives comprised 2.9%. This contrasts with the broader Sydney metro split of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other options. Home ownership is high at 35.7%, with remaining properties held under a mortgage (51.5%) or rented (12.8%). The median mortgage payment was $2,383 monthly and the median rent was $400 weekly, compared to Sydney metro averages of $2,427 and $470. Locally, mortgage costs sit above the national average of $1,863, and weekly rents exceed the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
The Oaks counted 953 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.1 people each. 48% are couples with children, more than in 93% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families comprise 84.7% of all households, consisting of couples with children at 47.9%, couples without children at 27.5%, and single parents at 9.3%. Non-family households represent 15.3% of the total, with single person homes at 14.0% and group housing at 1.3%. The median household size of 3.1 people exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
16.8% of adults in The Oaks hold a university qualification, including 12.1% with a bachelor degree and 3.3% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 32.9% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 327 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 990 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region shows lower rates of university education, with 16.8% of residents holding a tertiary degree compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees account for 12.1%, postgraduate degrees make up 3.3%, and graduate diplomas represent 1.4%. Vocational qualifications are common, with 43.4% of residents aged 15 and over possessing technical credentials, split between advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 32.9%. Enrollment rates in education are high, with 29.5% of the population attending an educational institution. This is composed of 11.5% in primary schools, 8.8% in secondary institutions, and 3.1% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in The Oaks reaches 36 stops on 16 routes, timetabled for about 200 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services feature 36 stops in the area, offering bus routes. These stops are served by 16 distinct routes, which provide 198 passenger trips each week. Access is good, with residents living an average of 231 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and most workers travel outside the area, with private vehicles accounting for 96% of commutes. Households average 2.2 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. Census data from 2021 indicates 27.5% of residents worked from home, which was likely affected by pandemic restrictions.
Service frequency across all routes averages 28 trips per day, which translates to approximately 5 weekly trips per transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.6% of residents in The Oaks report no long-term health condition. 4.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Assessments of mortality and illness rates show favorable health statistics, with low rates of common health conditions across both older and younger age groups. Private health insurance coverage is high, held by roughly 57% of residents (~1,669 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 8.3% and 7.8% of the population. A total of 70.6% of residents reported having no medical conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health indicators for working-age residents are average. Residents aged 65 and over make up 16.6% of the population (483 people), which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%.
Seniors in the area record strong health outcomes, ranking higher than national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
The Oaks is largely Australian-born, at 89.5% of residents, with 4.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (35.0%) and English (29.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures below the metropolitan average, with Australian-born residents making up 89.5% of the population, citizens representing 93.2%, and English-only speakers accounting for 95.9%. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 67.2% of residents, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney. The top parental ancestries are Australian at 35.0%, which is higher than the regional average of 17.8%, English at 29.1%, which is higher than the regional average of 19.0%, and Irish at 8.6%. Representation of other groups includes Maltese at 2.3% (compared to 1.0% regionally), Hungarian at 0.3% (compared to 0.3% regionally), and Italian at 4.2% (compared to 3.4% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of The Oaks is 37. 25.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of residents is 37, matching Greater Sydney and close to the national figure of 38. The 5 - 14 cohort is well represented at 14.4% compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller at 10.6%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 group has risen from 12.6% to 14.9%, and the 35 to 44 group has increased from 14.1% to 15.2%. In contrast, the 25 to 34 cohort fell from 12.3% to 10.6%, and the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 13.0% to 11.8%.
Projections to 2041 indicate shifts, led by a 183% increase in residents aged 85 and over (adding 90 people), growing from 49 to 140. Residents aged 65 and over will constitute 58% of the projected growth, while the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for The Oaks
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,982 at the 2021 Census → 2,914 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL13847). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.