The Oaks

Population growth drivers in The Oaks are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The Oaks statistical area's population is estimated at around 3,308 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 326 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,982 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,139 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 14 new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 85 persons per square kilometer. The Oaks' growth rate of 10.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the state's (7.6%) and metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 50.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, The Oaks is expected to grow by 505 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 10.2% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in The Oaks according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates The Oaks averaged around 18 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21 and FY25, approximately 91 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved in FY26 to date. Over the past five financial years, about 1.9 people moved to the area per dwelling built on average. However, this figure has intensified to 5.2 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $509,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year alone, there have been $284,000 in commercial approvals, predominantly focused on residential development. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Oaks has significantly lower building activity, recording 62.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

New development primarily consists of detached houses (93.0%), with only 7.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's low density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 328 people per dwelling approval, The Oaks demonstrates a developing market. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates The Oaks will grow by approximately 337 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

The Oaks has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that may impact this area. Notable projects include Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct, South West Growth Area, Warragamba Dam Raising Project (2016-2025), and Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line (2024-2030). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees The Oaks performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

The Oaks has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate is 1.2%.

Over the past year, ending September 2025, employment grew by an estimated 5.5%. As of that date, 1,955 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.0% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in The Oaks is 66.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction shows notable concentration with employment levels at 2.2 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.2% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% while labour force grew by 5.4%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% with a slight rise in unemployment. State-level data for NSW to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to The Oaks' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of The Oaks has a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers is $62,685 and average income stands at $76,845, which compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $68,239 (median) and $83,653 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in The Oaks cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that 34.0% of residents (1,124 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 34.2% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

The Oaks is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Oaks' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.0% houses and 2.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). This compares to Sydney metro's 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Oaks stood at 35.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.5% and rented ones at 12.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, above Sydney metro's average of $2,318. Median weekly rent in the area was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $415. Nationally, The Oaks' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

The Oaks features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.7% of all households, including 47.9% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 14.0% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in The Oaks fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (32.9%). Educational participation is high at 29.5%, with 11.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 35 active stops operating in The Oaks. These are a mix of bus services. There are 16 routes serving these stops, providing a total of 198 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 231 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 28 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in The Oaks is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

The Oaks demonstrates above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~1,894 people), compared to 55.3% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.3 and 7.8% of residents respectively, while 70.6% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.7% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, 15.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (522 people). Health outcomes among seniors in the area are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The Oaks is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

The Oaks was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 89.5% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in The Oaks is Christianity, which accounts for 67.2% of the population, compared to 63.0% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (35.0%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.6%).

Notably, Maltese (2.3%) is overrepresented in The Oaks compared to regionally (2.3%), as are Hungarian (0.3%) and Italian (4.2%) populations.

The Oaks's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in The Oaks is 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 14.7% of the population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.3%, which is less prevalent compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.6% to 14.4%. Meanwhile, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 13.0% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in The Oaks' age structure. Notably, the 85+ group is projected to grow by 184%, reaching 141 people from a previous count of 49. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall increase in those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 58% of The Oaks' population growth by 2041. Conversely, the 35-44 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.