The Oaks

The Oaks lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The Oaks' population, as of November 2025, is estimated at approximately 3,176 people, reflecting a growth of 194 individuals since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 6.5% rise from the previous population count of 2,982 people. AreaSearch validated this estimate following their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 14 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 81 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's growth rate of 6.5% is within 0.2 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 6.7%. Natural growth contributed approximately 50.0% to the overall population gains, with other factors such as interstate and overseas migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections indicate an above median population growth for the suburb, expected to grow by 483 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees The Oaks recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates The Oaks averaged approximately 14 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, around 73 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. Each year, for every dwelling built over the past five financial years, about 2.3 new residents were gained on average.

This indicates healthy demand supporting property values. The average construction cost of new homes is approximately $509,000. In FY-26, around $237,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney's regional average per person, The Oaks has notably lower building activity, at 69.0% below the average.

This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. All recent development consists of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 312 people per dwelling approval, The Oaks exhibits a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, The Oaks is projected to grow by approximately 447 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

The Oaks has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Key projects include Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct, South West Growth Area, Warragamba Dam Raising Project, and Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees The Oaks performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

The Oaks has an experienced workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. The unemployment rate in this area is 1.1%.

Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 5.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 1,931 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 3.1%, which is 1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation in The Oaks is 66.8%, exceeding Greater Sydney's rate of 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Notably, the concentration in construction is high, with employment levels at 2.2 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally might be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 5.1%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with an increase in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. For future insights into potential demand within The Oaks, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 can be considered. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to The Oaks' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oaks' income level is high nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers in The Oaks is $62,685 and the average income stands at $76,845. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for The Oaks would be approximately $70,590 (median) and $86,535 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in The Oaks cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 34.0% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (1,079 people), similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. The Oaks demonstrates affluence with 34.2% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 82nd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

The Oaks is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Oaks' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.0% houses and 2.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). In comparison, Sydney metro had 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Oaks stood at 35.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.5% and rented ones at 12.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, higher than Sydney metro's $2,318. The median weekly rent in The Oaks was $400, slightly lower than Sydney metro's $415. Nationally, The Oaks' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

The Oaks features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 84.7% of all households, including 47.9% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 14.0% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in The Oaks fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (32.9%). Educational participation is high at 29.5%, comprising 11.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

The Oaks Public School serves the area with an enrollment of 327 students as of its establishment on 2nd February, 2004. It caters to primary education exclusively, while secondary options are available nearby. The school's Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score is 990, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in The Oaks indicates that there are currently 32 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 16 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 183 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located an average of 231 meters from their nearest transport stop. The service frequency averages out to 26 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in The Oaks is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

The Oaks demonstrates above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~1,819 people), compared to 53.8% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.3 and 7.8% of residents respectively, while 70.6% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.7% across Greater Sydney. As of a recent report (2021), the area has 15.7% of residents aged 65 and over (498 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

The Oaks is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

The Oaks was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 89.5% of its population born in Australia. It also had a high proportion of citizens, with 93.2%, and English speakers, at 95.9%. The dominant religion was Christianity, making up 67.2% of the population, compared to 63.0% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (35.0%), English (29.1%), and Irish (8.6%). Notably, Maltese, Hungarian, and Italian ethnicities had higher representation in The Oaks than regionally: Maltese at 2.3% vs 2.3%, Hungarian at 0.3% vs 0.3%, and Italian at 4.2% vs 3.6%.

The Oaks's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age of The Oaks is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 5-14 years makes up 14.7% of The Oaks' population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort comprises 11.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.6% to 14.3%. During this period, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.0% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in The Oaks' age structure. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 60%, reaching 249 residents from its current total of 155. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 age group is expected to decrease by 10 residents.