Mittagong

Population growth drivers in Mittagong are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Mittagong as of Nov 2025 is around 6,388 people. This reflects an increase of 298 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,090 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 6,268 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 95 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 109 persons per square kilometer in Mittagong. The suburb's growth rate of 4.9% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (3.1%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for Mittagong, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, for areas covered by this data. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, placing Mittagong in the top 10 percent of national non-metropolitan areas. The area is expected to grow by 3,094 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 46.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Mittagong among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Mittagong averaged approximately 37 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 186 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approved in FY-26. Each year, about 3.3 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This high demand coupled with limited supply typically drives price growth and increased buyer competition, with new dwellings valued at approximately $503,000 on average. In FY-26, $12.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity compared to residential construction rates in Mittagong, which are similar to the rest of NSW. New developments consist of 84.0% detached houses and 16.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Mittagong has around 186 people per dwelling approval, confirming its low-density market status. By 2041, Mittagong is projected to gain approximately 2,983 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mittagong has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of eleven projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Bowral and District Hospital Redevelopment - Stage 2, the Bowral Sewage Treatment Plant Upgrade, the Retford Farm Stormwater Detention Basin, and the Bowral to Moss Vale 700mm Water Main Duplication. The following list details those projects that are likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Mittagong positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Mittagong has an educated workforce with prominent essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.1% in the past year, showing a 2.7% employment growth.

As of June 2025, 2,867 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation was 54.3%, below Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Professional & technical services had a high employment share at 1.7 times the regional level, while public administration & safety had limited presence at 3.6% compared to 7.5% regionally.

The worker-to-resident ratio was 0.6, indicating good local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.7%, labour force grew by 2.5%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mittagong's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Mittagong's median income at $49,178 and average income at $110,374. This is higher than Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $55,379 (median) and $124,292 (average), based on a 12.61% growth in Wage Price Index since financial year 2022. Mittagong's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 30th and 38th percentiles. The largest income segment is 27.1%, with residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 29th percentile. Mittagong's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mittagong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mittagong's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.0% houses and 16.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mittagong was 43.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.0% and rented ones at 29.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,037, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Mittagong was $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Mittagong's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Mittagong features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 64.7% of all households, including 22.7% couples with children, 31.5% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 35.3%, with lone person households at 32.3% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Mittagong shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Mittagong is notably high with 33.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications compared to 21.3% in the rest of NSW and 22.4% in the SA4 region. This educational advantage is evident from data as of 2021. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.2% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas being 11.5% and certificates 21.7%.

Educational participation is high with 25.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This includes 8.2% in secondary education, 7.6% in primary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education. As of 2021, Mittagong's four schools have a combined enrollment of 1,151 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1080. Education provision is balanced with three primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs with 18.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.3, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The public transport analysis indicates that Mittagong has 117 active transport stops. These include a mix of train and bus services. The stops are served by 57 individual routes, providing a total of 2,452 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 156 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 350 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mittagong is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mittagong faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 70% of Mittagong's total population (4,497 people) have private health cover, higher than Rest of NSW's 66.3%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis (11.7%) and mental health issues (9.1%). However, 62.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Rest of NSW. In Mittagong, 29.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,865 people), higher than Rest of NSW's 27.7%.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mittagong was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mittagong's cultural diversity was above average, with 10.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 22.6% born overseas. Christianity dominated Mittagong's religious landscape at 53.1%. Judaism, however, was proportionally higher in Mittagong at 0.3%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 0.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (31.7%), Australian (24.8%), and Irish (11.0%). Notably, Scottish representation was equal to regional levels at 9.6%, while Hungarian and Welsh were slightly higher at 0.4% and 0.7% respectively.

Mittagong hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Mittagong has a median age of 49, which is higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Mittagong at 10.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 9.5% to 10.5%, while the 25 to 34 age cohort has declined from 10.1% to 9.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Mittagong's age structure, with the 45-54 age group expected to grow by 425 people (56%), from 760 to 1,186 individuals.