Calga - Kulnura

Calga - Kulnura is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Calga - Kulnura's population is 4,829 as of Nov 2025. This shows an increase of 113 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,716. The change is inferred from ABS's June 2024 estimated resident population of 4,694 and 51 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 6.3 persons per square kilometer. Calga - Kulnura's 2.4% growth since census compares with the SA3 area's 3.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate an increase just below the median of national areas by 2041, with Calga - Kulnura expected to grow by 423 persons, reflecting a gain of 6.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Calga - Kulnura is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Calga - Kulnura has seen approximately 9 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling 46 homes. In FY26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, but development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which could benefit buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $423,000, higher than regional norms, indicating quality-focused development.

This financial year has seen $28.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Calga - Kulnura shows about half the construction activity per person and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally, suggesting limited buyer options but strong demand for established properties. New construction has been exclusively standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 937 people.

Population forecasts indicate Calga - Kulnura will gain 288 residents by 2041. Construction pace is maintaining with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as population grows.

Calga - Kulnura has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 68 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are the Narara Ecovillage Expansion, West Gosford Village shopping centre refurbishment, Narara Valley Estate development, and the establishment of Narara Ecovillage. The following list outlines those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Calga - Kulnura significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Calga - Kulnura has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year. Employment growth over this period was estimated at 2.6%.

As of September 2025, 2,635 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 66.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high proportion of residents, 36.7%, worked from home according to Census responses. Key industries for employment among residents were agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction.

The area showed strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share 32 times the regional level. Finance & insurance was under-represented at 1.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. There were 1.3 workers for every resident as of the Census, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, labour force grew by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with local employment projected to increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.5% over ten years based on industry-specific projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. In Calga - Kulnura SA2, median income among taxpayers was $54,085 and average income stood at $69,823. Nationally, median income was $60,817 and average income was $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $58,877 (median) and $76,009 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Calga - Kulnura ranked modestly, between the 44th and 51st percentiles. Income distribution showed that 29.3% of the population earned within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. After housing costs, 85.9% of income remained for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Calga - Kulnura is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Calga-Kulnura's dwelling structure in its latest Census comprised 96.7% houses and 3.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Calga-Kulnura was at 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.5% and rented ones at 22.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent figure stood at $350 compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Calga-Kulnura's mortgage repayments were higher than Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Calga - Kulnura has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.8% of all households, including 31.2% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.2%, with lone person households at 24.8% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Calga - Kulnura fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 23.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 16.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 41.3% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (29.5%). Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.2% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Calga-Kulnura has 119 active public transport stops offering ferry, train, and bus services. These are covered by 26 routes, providing 947 weekly passenger trips. Residents have limited access to these stops, averaging 979 meters away from the nearest one. Most residents commute outward daily. Cars are the primary mode of transport at 83%, with 11% walking. Vehicle ownership is high at 2.0 per dwelling.

Notably, 36.7% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census). Service frequency averages 135 trips daily across all routes, resulting in approximately 7 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Calga - Kulnura's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Calga-Kulnura's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts in the area.

Private health cover is present in approximately 54% of the total population (~2,602 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.7% of residents) and mental health issues (8.4%), while 66.7% of residents report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents exhibit an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.9% (1,155 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average and rank nationally higher than the general population.

Calga - Kulnura ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Calga-Kulnura showed cultural diversity below average, with 86.9% citizens, 82.3% born in Australia, and 90.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated as the main religion, comprising 55.0%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

For ancestry, English (29.3%) and Australian (27.6%) were substantially higher than regional averages of 19.0% and 17.8% respectively. Scottish ancestry stood at 8.2%. Maltese (2.7%), Lebanese (0.7%), and Italian (4.3%) groups showed notable divergences from regional averages.

Calga - Kulnura hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Calga-Kulnura's median age is 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The age profile shows that residents aged 55-64 are particularly prominent, making up 17.6% of the population, compared to 9.0% for the 25-34 age group. This concentration of 55-64 year-olds is well above the national average of 11.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.6% to 7.8%, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 12.7% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 16.0% to 12.9%. Population forecasts for Calga-Kulnura indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 62%, adding 235 residents to reach a total of 614. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 86% of population growth, highlighting the trend towards an aging population. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 age group and the 15 to 24 age group.