Niagara Park - Lisarow

Niagara Park - Lisarow is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Niagara Park - Lisarow's population was around 8,499 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 294 people, a rise of 3.6% since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 8,205. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 8,264 in June 2024 and an additional eight validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 508 persons per square kilometer. Niagara Park - Lisarow's growth exceeded that of its SA3 area (3.2%) during this period, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.6% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections were used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, population is projected to decline by 43 persons. The 75 to 84 age group is anticipated to increase by 199 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Niagara Park - Lisarow is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Niagara Park - Lisarow has seen approximately 12 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 62 homes have been approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 0.4 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years.

This indicates that new construction is keeping pace with or even exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current expectations. The average expected construction cost of new properties in the area is $300,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In FY-26 alone, there have been $23.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting steady investment activity in the commercial sector. Compared to Greater Sydney, Niagara Park - Lisarow has recorded significantly lower building activity, at 60.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and higher values for established properties.

Nationally, the area's building activity is also below average, reflecting its maturity and potentially indicating planning constraints. Recent building activity in Niagara Park - Lisarow consists solely of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes that appeal to those seeking space. This trend favors detached housing more than current patterns suggest (84.0% at Census), demonstrating robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The estimated population count per dwelling approval in Niagara Park - Lisarow is 2754 people, reflecting its quiet and low-activity development environment. With population projections indicating stability or decline, the area should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Niagara Park - Lisarow has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 14 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are Wyoming Shopping Village Upgrade, Narara Ecovillage, Narara District Master Plan, and Narara Community Centre and Library Redevelopment. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Niagara Park - Lisarow places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Niagara Park - Lisarow has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of September 2025, compared to Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%.

There were 4,441 residents in work while the workforce participation rate was 68.0%, slightly below Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high proportion of residents, 33.3%, worked from home according to Census responses, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a particularly strong specialization in health care & social assistance with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence at 6.9%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 3.2% alongside labour force growth of 3.2%, leaving unemployment broadly flat at 2.3%. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points to 4.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Niagara Park - Lisarow's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Niagara Park - Lisarow SA2 had a median income of $55,865 and an average income of $70,396 among taxpayers. This was above the national average. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income was $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $60,815 (median) and $76,633 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Niagara Park - Lisarow cluster around the 56th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 33.7% of locals (2,864 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This is similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 65th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Niagara Park - Lisarow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Niagara Park - Lisarow's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.5% houses and 15.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Niagara Park - Lisarow stood at 32.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.3% and rented ones at 18.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Niagara Park - Lisarow was $425, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Niagara Park - Lisarow features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.2% of all households, including 40.5% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 18.5% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Niagara Park - Lisarow performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 23.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 28.1%. Educational participation is high, with 30.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.3% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 4.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Niagara Park - Lisarow has 63 active public transport stops serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 48 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,513 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 280 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential zone, most residents commute outward, with car remaining the dominant mode at 92%. Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 33.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 216 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Niagara Park - Lisarow is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Niagara Park - Lisarow faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups exhibit notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 54% (~4,597 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Mental health issues affect 9.7% of residents, while asthma impacts 8.6%. Around 65.9% report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.6% (1,498 people) aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

Niagara Park - Lisarow ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Niagara Park-Lisarow, as per the census data from June 2016, had a cultural diversity index of below average. The population was predominantly born in Australia, with 82.9%, and held citizenship at 92.6%. English was spoken exclusively at home by 92.8% of residents.

Christianity was the primary religion, practiced by 53.1% of the population. Judaism, however, saw an overrepresentation compared to Greater Sydney, with 0.2% vs 0.8%. In terms of ancestry, English (31.5%), Australian (29.2%), and Irish (8.4%) were the top groups, all substantially higher than regional averages. Notable divergences included Welsh at 0.7%, Korean at 0.4%, and South African at 0.5%.

Niagara Park - Lisarow's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Niagara Park - Lisarow has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in Niagara Park - Lisarow at 12.5%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.7% to 14.2% of the population, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.5% to 5.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 10.7% to 9.0%. Demographic modeling suggests that Niagara Park - Lisarow's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to expand by 153 people (31%), from 503 to 657. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 76% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.