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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi is $990k, with units at $580k. House values have moved 2.7% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi has an estimated 16,569 residents, up from 16,006 at the 2021 Census — a change of 563 people, or 3.5%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. 293 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 676 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's findings, Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi had a population of approximately 16,569 in May 2026. This figure represents a rise of 563 residents, or 3.5%, compared to the 16,006 people recorded in the 2021 Census. The adjustment is derived from the ABS estimate of 16,559 residents in June 2025, plus 293 newly validated addresses added after the Census date. The resulting population density stands at 676 persons per square kilometer, which allows ample space per individual and suggests capacity for additional development. The 3.5% growth since the 2021 census surpassed the SA4 region's 3.4% increase, establishing the area as a regional growth leader.
Overseas migration accounted for roughly 65.9% of the population gains in recent times, serving as the main driver of expansion. AreaSearch relies on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For SA2 areas lacking this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government projections at the SA2 level, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Age-specific growth rates from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, lower quartile growth for statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to gain 501 people by 2041, based on the latest annual ERP population figures, reflecting a total increase of 3.0% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
369 new dwellings have been approved in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi over the past five years, an average of 73 a year. That places the area in the 63rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 48 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 90% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 55, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
During the last five financial years, which spanned from FY-21 to FY-25, Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi secured development approvals for roughly 73 dwellings each year, bringing the cumulative total to 369 homes. As of the current fiscal period, 51 approvals have been logged for FY-26. An average of 1.5 new residents relocating to the area annually per approved dwelling has contributed to balanced supply and demand conditions, which in turn support stable market dynamics. New construction values average $287,000, a figure that falls below regional standards and suggests a concentration on more accessible housing choices for buyers.
Commercial development remains modest, with $6.8 million worth of approvals recorded this financial year. Construction intensity per capita mirrors that of Greater Sydney, reinforcing regional consistency and market equilibrium. The housing mix consists of 90.0% standalone homes alongside 10.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the locality’s customary low density profile and catering primarily to families desiring spacious living environments. The area exhibits a population density of approximately 230 people per dwelling approval, further underscoring its low density character. Projected population growth through 2041 stands at 491 additional residents according to the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given existing construction momentum, housing provision is expected to satisfy anticipated demand, offering advantageous circumstances for purchasers and potentially allowing expansion beyond current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi, worth an estimated $454 million. A further 67 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $15.3 billion. 20 are already under construction and 25 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure, large-scale projects, and planning initiatives can profoundly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 11 projects that are expected to influence the region. Among the most significant are the Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate Expansion, Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct, Lorraine Gardens Estate, and Wyong South Sewage Treatment Plant Upgrade. The following list outlines those projects deemed most relevant.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate Expansion
Ongoing expansion of the Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate along Enterprise Drive with serviced industrial lots, new warehouse and light industrial buildings, internal road and utility upgrades. Multiple sites, including 5 Enterprise Drive, are actively being marketed and developed for warehouse, logistics and industrial occupiers, with individual building projects progressing across the estate.
Mingara Recreation Club Seniors Housing
State significant development involving the construction of 215 independent living units and 39 residential care facility beds across 13 two-storey villa buildings and 4 six-to-seven storey residential flat buildings adjacent to the Mingara Recreation Club.
Central Coast Highway and Tumbi Road Intersection Upgrade
A $65.5 million infrastructure project jointly funded by the Australian and NSW Governments replacing the existing roundabout with a signalised intersection, widening the Central Coast Highway north of the intersection to two lanes in each direction, adding dedicated turning lanes, and upgrading footpaths, active transport, and bus stop infrastructure.
Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct
Berkeley Vale Private Hospital is a 50-bed private facility on the NSW Central Coast providing rehabilitation, general medical, and mental health services. Operated by Ramsay Health Care, the campus includes the Ramsay Clinic Berkeley Vale, which has expanded its mental health capacity to 28 beds to meet regional demand. The precinct features specialized units for hydrotherapy, a persistent pain program, and community-based psychology services through Ramsay Health Plus. It serves as a core medical hub adjacent to local aged care and retirement facilities.
Lorraine Gardens Estate
Lorraine Gardens Estate is a boutique residential land subdivision of 48 lots on the Central Coast, with civil works complete and titles expected in early 2025. The estate is positioned around the intersection of Lorraine Avenue and Berkeley Road in Berkeley Vale, opposite the site of a proposed private hospital, providing convenient access to local health services, schools, retail and transport.
Cynthia Street Subdivision
DA approved staged subdivision of 1,887 m2 residential land into 5 lots with integrated approval for 6 dwellings (4 single homes and 1 duplex). Dual street frontage to Cynthia Street and Adrian Close. Listings indicate dwelling plans available and staged delivery possible (subdivision, then dwellings, then duplex subdivision).
Tuggerah Precinct Activation - Westfield Redevelopment
A transformational 2.8 billion dollar mixed-use redevelopment of Westfield Tuggerah and the surrounding 70.85-hectare Tuggerah Gateway site. The project establishes a new town centre featuring up to 5000 new dwellings, including a mix of apartments, townhouses, and senior living. The masterplan integrates a 700 million dollar transport interchange at Tuggerah Station, 18 hectares of parkland, health and education services, and a significant expansion of retail and leisure facilities. The Tuggerah Gateway Planning Proposal (PP-2021-5416) was officially published and notified in April 2025, rezoning the site to R1 General Residential and MU1 Mixed Use to facilitate this 35-year vision.As of early 2026, the planning framework is being streamlined under the NSW Planning Systems Reform Act to accelerate delivery.
Red Bus Planning Proposal - 682A Coleridge Road Rezoning
Rezoning of a 5.26ha former bus depot to enable housing. The proposal seeks to rezone the majority of the site from SP2 Infrastructure to R1 General Residential and a small portion to C3 Environmental Management; apply a 450m2 minimum lot size, 9.5m building height and 0.6:1 FSR to R1 land; and include 'transport depot' as an additional permitted use to allow ongoing bus operations until redevelopment. The Gateway determination (May 2024) indicates capacity for up to 70 dwellings and requires exhibition with a site-specific DCP.
8,584 residents of Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi are employed, from a labour force of 8,805. Unemployment sits at 2.5%, with participation at 66.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 14,967, about 90% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi features a competent labor pool where essential services are well covered, boasting an unemployment rate of just 2.5% alongside an estimated employment growth of 3.5% during the previous year. As of March 2026, 8,584 residents are employed, placing the local unemployment rate at 1.6% below Greater Sydney's 4.1%, while workforce participation sits somewhat below average at 66.0% versus Greater Sydney's 69.1%. Census data indicates that a high 27.7% of residents worked from home, though the lingering effects of Covid-19 lockdowns should be factored into this figure.
The primary employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out as a particularly strong specialization, with an employment share reaching 1.6 times the regional level, whereas professional & technical services show limited presence at 5.3% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The predominantly residential nature of the area suggests fewer local employment opportunities, as reflected in the ratio of Census working population to resident population. According to AreaSearch analysis using SALM and ABS data, employment levels rose by 3.5% and the labor force grew by 3.4% during the year to March 2026, maintaining a relatively stable unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9%, labor force growth of 1.9%, and a marginal decline in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide additional context for potential future demand in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi. These projections span five and ten-year periods and have been overlaid onto the local employment profile to estimate growth trajectories. While national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth varies considerably across industry sectors. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi's employment mix suggests local employment should rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi is $1,803 a week (about $94,000 a year), with median personal income at $787 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,954 a year against an average of $65,626. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023, income levels in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi SA2 sit slightly under the national average. The median income for taxpayers in this area is $52,954 while the average income reaches $65,626. These figures contrast with Greater Sydney values of $60,817 for median and $83,003 for average income. When adjusted for a Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, projected earnings would be roughly $58,419 at the median and $72,399 at the average by March 2026.
Census information shows that household, family and personal incomes in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi fall modestly, occupying positions between the 46th and 53rd percentiles. The income bracket spanning $1,500 to $2,999 accounts for 34.6% of the local population, representing 5,732 individuals, which aligns with metropolitan patterns where that same bracket holds 30.9% of residents. Housing expenses absorb 16.3% of total income, yet robust earnings keep disposable income at the 53rd percentile and position the area’s SEIFA income ranking within the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi had 5,708 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 88% detached houses and 4% apartments. 47% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $425 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 23.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the most recent Census, the residential makeup of Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi showed that 88.0% of structures were houses, whereas 12.0% fell into other dwelling categories such as apartments, semi-detached units, and other types. This contrasts with the Sydney metro region, where houses accounted for 55.9% and other dwellings made up 44.1%. Home ownership rates in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi were significantly higher than those in the Sydney metro, standing at 34.8%. The rest of the housing stock was either mortgaged at 46.6% or rented at 18.6%.
The median monthly mortgage payment in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi was notably lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,000. Weekly rent was recorded at $425, which is below the Sydney metro figures of $2,427 and $470. Compared to national benchmarks, mortgage repayments in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rental costs sit well above the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi counted 5,708 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 35% are couples with children, against 28% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Households arranged as families account for 76.8% of the total, which includes 34.8% of couples with children, 28.0% of couples without children, and 13.2% of single parent families. The remaining 23.2% consists of non-family households, where lone person households represent 20.9% and group households make up 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is identical to the average for Greater Sydney.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.0% of adults in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi hold a university qualification, including 12.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 32.2% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 2,268 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 980 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
University qualification rates in the area stand at 18.0%, which is significantly lower than the 38.0% average found in Greater Sydney. This gap presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education credential, held by 12.9% of the population. Postgraduate qualifications account for 3.2%, while graduate diplomas make up 1.9%. Vocational training is highly prevalent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15 and older possessing trade or technical credentials. Advanced diplomas represent 11.1% of these vocational qualifications, and certificates account for 32.2%.
Educational participation remains strong, as 27.5% of residents are currently enrolled in formal schooling. Enrolment breaks down into 9.9% in primary education, 7.5% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi reaches 164 stops on 92 routes, timetabled for about 1,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The transport network in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi includes 164 active stops that operate buses. These stops are covered by 92 distinct routes, which together facilitate 1,369 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents generally situated 179 meters away from the closest stop. Since the area is mainly residential, most people commute outward, and cars are the primary mode of transport used by 95% of residents. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.7 per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. A significant 27.7% of residents work from home, according to the 2021 Census; this figure may reflect conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The average service frequency is 195 trips per day across all routes, which works out to roughly 8 weekly trips for each individual stop. A map is provided showing the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
64.8% of residents in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 76% of areas nationally. 6.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover slightly lagging that of the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~8,599 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.6 and 9.1% of residents, respectively, while 64.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney.
Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 20.9% of residents aged 65 and over (3,471 people), which is higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi is largely Australian-born, at 87.3% of residents, with 4.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.5%) and Australian (31.1%). 3.4% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi shows below average cultural diversity, with 87.3% of residents born in Australia, 92.6% holding citizenship, and 95.6% using English as their sole home language. Christianity is the predominant religion in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi, accounting for 56.6% of the local population, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney. When examining ancestry based on parents' country of birth, the top three groups in Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi are English at 31.5%, which exceeds the regional average of 19.0%, Australian at 31.1%, also above the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish at 8.5%.
There are also noticeable differences in other ethnic representations, with Maltese at 1.0% locally versus 1.0% regionally, Maori at 0.7% compared to 0.4% in the region, and Australian Aboriginal at 3.4% against a regional figure of 1.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi is 40. 23.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi has a median age of 40, which is slightly above the Greater Sydney average of 37 and also a bit higher than the national figure of 38 years. The local population shows a noticeable surplus in the 65 - 74 age bracket at 10.6%, whereas the 25 - 34 age group is relatively small at 11.8%. Between 2021 and now, the 75 to 84 age segment has increased from 6.4% to 7.6% of residents. On the other hand, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 13.0% to 11.7%.
Demographic modeling predicts that Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi will undergo substantial age structure changes by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is forecast to grow significantly, adding 343 individuals (27%) and rising from 1,257 to 1,601 people. The combined 65+ age groups are expected to make up 79% of all population growth, indicating a rapidly aging community. At the same time, the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 age cohorts are anticipated to shrink in size.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Chittaway Bay - Tumbi Umbi
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | May 2026 3 months ago all 13 measures |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 293 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (16,006 at the 2021 Census → 16,569 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (102021047). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.