Ourimbah

Ourimbah has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Ourimbah's population, as estimated by AreaSearch based on ABS updates and new addresses validated since the 2021 Census, is around 4,023 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 4 people (0.1%) from the 2021 Census total of 4,019. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 4,018 in June 2024 and two additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 46 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57% to overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in June 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from December 2022, based on 2021 figures, are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Ourimbah's population is projected to decrease by 136 persons according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 63 people.

The level of residential development activity in Ourimbah is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ourimbah had around 6 new homes approved annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 32 homes. As of FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. The area's population decline suggests new supply is meeting demand, offering buyers good choice. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $479,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $20.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ourimbah has significantly less development activity (63.0% below regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Recent construction comprises 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix providing options across different price points. The estimated count of 445 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet development environment. With population projections showing stability or decline, Ourimbah should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Ourimbah should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Ourimbah has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects that could impact this area. Notable projects include Central Coast Local Roads Package, Mardi Water Treatment Plant Upgrade, Narara Ecovillage, and The Outlook Narara. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Ourimbah positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Ourimbah has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6%.

As of September 2025, 2,311 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 66.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Ourimbah has a strong specialization in health care & social assistance, employing 1.3 times the regional level, while professional & technical services employ just 6.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The area may offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points in Ourimbah, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of 2.1%, 2.4%, and 0.2 percentage points respectively. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ourimbah's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Ourimbah had an average national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $51,347 and the average income stood at $67,121, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates are approximately $55,896 (median) and $73,068 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Ourimbah clustered around the 59th percentile nationally. Income analysis revealed that the largest segment comprised 36.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,464 residents), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. After housing, 84.9% of income remained for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Ourimbah is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Ourimbah's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 76.6% houses and 23.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ourimbah was at 32.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.1% and rented ones at 23.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, above Sydney metro's average of $1,900. Median weekly rent in Ourimbah was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Ourimbah's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Ourimbah features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Ourimbah exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (28.9%). Educational participation is high at 30.8%, with 9.5% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ourimbah shows that there are 55 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. There are 28 individual routes servicing these stops, which collectively provide 1,593 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 242 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 227 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ourimbah is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Ourimbah faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 53%, impacting around 2,151 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 50.4%.

Mental health issues affect 10.2% of residents, while asthma impacts 10.0%. Conversely, 65.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 61.5% across Greater Sydney. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (659 people), which is lower than the 22.3% in Greater Sydney.

Ourimbah ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ourimbah's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 83.2% of its population born in Australia and 90.7% being citizens. English was spoken as the only language at home by 92.0%. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 50.4% of Ourimbah's population.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (32.1%), Australian (28.9%), and Irish (8.8%). Notably, Russian, New Zealand, and French ethnicities were also overrepresented in Ourimbah at 0.5%, 1.0%, and 0.7% respectively, compared to their regional percentages of 0.2%, 0.7%, and 0.4%.

Ourimbah's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Ourimbah is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 55-64 age group is over-represented in Ourimbah at 13.2%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.3% to 14.6% of Ourimbah's population, while the 55 to 64 age group declined from 14.3% to 13.2%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 12.9% to 11.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Ourimbah, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 79% (60 people), reaching 137 from 76. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 77% of population growth, while the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.