Ourimbah

Ourimbah has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Ourimbah's population is estimated at 4023 as of Feb 2026, reflecting an increase of 4 people since the 2021 Census. This increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation based on ERP data released by ABS in June 2024 and validation of three new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 46 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57% to overall population gains recently. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections indicate a decline in overall population to 3888 by 2041, but growth is anticipated in the 85 and over age group, expected to increase by 64 people.

The level of residential development activity in Ourimbah is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates around 6 new homes approved annually in Ourimbah over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 32 homes. As of FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. The area's population decline suggests that new supply is likely keeping up with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New homes are being built at an average value of $479,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment. This financial year, $20.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ourimbah has significantly less development activity, 63.0% below regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. Recent construction comprises 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix providing options across different price points.

The estimated count of 445 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet development environment. Population projections showing stability or decline suggest reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Ourimbah has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Central Coast Local Roads Package, Mardi Water Treatment Plant Upgrade, Narara Ecovillage, and The Outlook Narara. Below is a list of those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Ourimbah positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Ourimbah has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7%. As of September 2025, 2,313 residents were employed and the unemployment rate was 1.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 30.2% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Ourimbah has a strong specialization in health care & social assistance (1.3 times the regional level), but professional & technical employment is lower at 6.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparisons. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, while the labour force grew by 3.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's growth rates of 2.1% for employment and 2.4% for labour force, resulting in an unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Ourimbah's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Ourimbah has an average national income level according to latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Ourimbah is $51,347 and the average income stands at $67,121. These figures compare to those for Greater Sydney of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,896 (median) and $73,068 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Ourimbah cluster around the 59th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 36.4% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (1,464 residents), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remains for other expenses. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Ourimbah is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ourimbah's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 76.6% houses and 23.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ourimbah stood at 32.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.1% and rented ones at 23.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Ourimbah was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Ourimbah's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Ourimbah features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 35.8% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

The educational profile of Ourimbah exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 23.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (28.9%). Educational participation is high at 30.8%, with 9.5% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ourimbah has 55 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 28 unique routes, facilitating 1,593 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 242 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most residents commute outward, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 92%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.7, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 30.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 227 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ourimbah is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Ourimbah faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~2,151 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions, impacting 10.2 and 10.0% of residents respectively. However, 65.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Ourimbah has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 16.9%, with 679 people in this age group compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. National rankings for Ourimbah indicate even higher percentages than the general population.

Ourimbah ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ourimbah, as per data analysis, showed a lower level of cultural diversity with 83.2% of its residents born in Australia and 90.7% holding citizenship. English was the predominant language spoken at home by 92.0%. Christianity emerged as the primary religion, comprising 50.4% of Ourimbah's population.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented with 0.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 0.8%. In terms of parental ancestry, English (32.1%) and Australian (28.9%) were significantly higher than regional averages of 19.0% and 17.8% respectively. Irish ancestry was also notable at 8.8%. Other ethnic groups with significant representation include Russian at 0.5%, New Zealand at 1.0%, and French at 0.7%.

Ourimbah's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Ourimbah is 39 years, higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age cohort is notably over-represented at 13.2% locally compared to Greater Sydney's average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group grew from 13.3% to 14.6%, and the 65-74 cohort increased from 8.6% to 9.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 12.5% to 11.0%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.9% to 11.7%. Population forecasts for Ourimbah in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 79% (60 people), reaching 137 from 76. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 73% of anticipated population growth. However, the 55-64 and 65-74 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.