Glenning Valley

Glenning Valley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Glenning Valley's population is estimated at around 2,046 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 23 people (1.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,023 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,044 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 361 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Glenning Valley's 1.1% growth since census positions it within 2.6 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of national areas is anticipated, with the Glenning Valley statistical area (Lv2) expected to grow by 28 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 2.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenning Valley according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Glenning Valley experienced around 2 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 11 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. Over these 5 years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 3.9 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed. This supply lagging demand indicates heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $541,000, reflecting a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $385,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenning Valley has significantly less development activity (75.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated population per dwelling approval in Glenning Valley is 687 people. Population forecasts indicate the area will gain 47 residents through to 2041 (from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Glenning Valley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct and Lorraine Gardens Estate. Other key projects include M1 Pacific Motorway Tuggerah to Doyalson Widening and Central Coast Local Roads Package.

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Employment conditions in Glenning Valley demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Glenning Valley has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0% based on AreaSearch data aggregation. As of September 2025, 1,123 residents are employed with a participation rate of 67.7%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Finance & insurance is under-represented at 2.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, labour force by 3.5%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points in Glenning Valley. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and a 0.2 percentage point unemployment increase. Statewide, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) as of 25-Nov-25, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenning Valley's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Glenning Valley suburb has a median taxpayer income of $55,772 and an average of $69,347 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is slightly above the national average, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income $83,043. By September 2025, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $60,713 and an average of $75,491 based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. According to the 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile with $2,252 weekly earnings. Income analysis shows that 37.0% of locals (757 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this range. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 31.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 81st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Glenning Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Glenning Valley, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenning Valley was at 34.2%, similar to Sydney metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (53.1%) or rented (12.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $460, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Glenning Valley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenning Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Glenning Valley fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 29.1%. Educational participation is high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.3% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Glenning Valley has 30 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a total of 61 different routes that together facilitate 724 weekly passenger journeys. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average being located 299 meters away from the nearest transport stop.

On average, each route provides service 103 times daily, which translates to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Glenning Valley's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data for Glenning Valley shows positive outcomes overall, with common health conditions seen across both young and old residents at a standard level. Private health cover is high, with approximately 54% of the total population (~1,112 people), compared to 50.4% in Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.3 and 8.3% of residents respectively. A majority, 68.7%, report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the 61.5% reported across Greater Sydney. Glenning Valley has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.4% (315 people), compared to 22.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with the general population's health profile.

Glenning Valley is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Glenning Valley was found to have a below average cultural diversity, with 85.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 95.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Glenning Valley, comprising 55.9% of people, compared to 56.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (32.5%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.0%).

Notably, Dutch representation is higher at 1.9%, Maltese at 0.9%, and Russian at 0.4%, compared to regional averages of 1.0%, 1.0%, and 0.2% respectively.

Glenning Valley's median age exceeds the national pattern

Glenning Valley has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Comparing Glenning Valley's demographics with those of Greater Sydney, the 55-64 age cohort is notably over-represented at 13.2%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.5% to 4.7% of the population. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 14.7% to 13.2%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Glenning Valley's age profile. The 75-84 age group is expected to expand by 39 people (41%), growing from 96 to 136 individuals. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 69% of total population growth, reflecting Glenning Valley's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.