Glenning Valley

Glenning Valley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Glenning Valley is around 2,046. This reflects a growth since the 2021 Census figure of 2,023 people, an increase of 23 people (1.1%). AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 2,044, following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 15 new addresses since the Census date, supports this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 361 persons per square kilometer. Glenning Valley's growth rate since the Census is within 2.6 percentage points of its SA4 region (3.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Glenning Valley is expected to grow by 25 persons to reach a population of approximately 2,071 by 2041. This reflects an anticipated gain of 1.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenning Valley according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis shows Glenning Valley had approximately 2 dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years (FY-17 to FY-21), totalling around 12 homes. In FY-26, up to July, 2 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of about 3.2 new residents arriving annually per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. The supply of new dwellings is lagging behind demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and potential pricing pressures.

Developers focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties, as evidenced by an average construction value of $541,000 for new homes. Commercial approvals totalled $385,000 in FY-26, reflecting the area's residential nature. Comparatively, Glenning Valley has significantly less development activity than Greater Sydney (73.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years.

The area also falls below the national average for development activity, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent development in Glenning Valley has been entirely standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This is reflected by an estimated 687 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate Glenning Valley will gain 23 residents through to 2041 (from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Glenning Valley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that could affect this region: Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct, Lorraine Gardens Estate, M1 Pacific Motorway Tuggerah to Doyalson Widening (scheduled for completion by 2024), and Central Coast Local Roads Package (commenced in 2019).

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Glenning Valley ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Glenning Valley has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.0% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.6%.

This is below Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, and Glenning Valley's workforce participation is on par with Greater Sydney's 70.2%. As of Census responses, 33.0% of residents worked from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction has notably high concentration, at 1.4 times the regional average.

Finance & insurance is under-represented, with only 2.8% of Glenning Valley's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.6%, labour force by 3.7%, resulting in unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenning Valley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Glenning Valley suburb has a median taxpayer income of $55,772 and an average income of $69,347 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is slightly above the national average, compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,043 in the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $60,713 (median) and $75,491 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile ($2,252 weekly). Income analysis shows that 37.0% of locals (757 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. The suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 31.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 81st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Glenning Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Glenning Valley, as per the latest Census data, 96.4% of dwellings were houses with 3.5% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan area's dwelling composition of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenning Valley stood at 34.2%, higher than the Sydney metro average. Dwellings were either mortgaged (53.1%) or rented (12.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Glenning Valley was $460, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Glenning Valley's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenning Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households making up 1.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Glenning Valley fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 41.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 29.1%. Educational participation is high, with 27.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.3% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Glenning Valley shows that there are currently 30 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 61 individual routes providing service to the valley. Collectively, these routes facilitate 724 weekly passenger trips throughout Glenning Valley. The accessibility of public transport in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 299 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward for work or other purposes. Despite this, the car remains the dominant mode of transportation, with 96% of residents using it as their primary means of travel.

The average vehicle ownership in Glenning Valley is 1.9 per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, specifically 33%, work from home, which may be partially attributed to COVID-19 conditions and their impact on commuting patterns. The service frequency across all routes averages approximately 103 trips per day, resulting in about 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Glenning Valley's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Glenning Valley residents have positive health outcomes, matching national benchmarks. Common health conditions are low across all ages.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54%, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.3% each. 68.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. Seniors (16.5%, or 337 people) have above-average health outcomes, aligning with national rankings. This is higher than Greater Sydney's senior population at 15.4%.

Glenning Valley is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Glenning Valley had a cultural diversity index below average, with 85.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 95.6% speaking English only at home as of 2016 Census data. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 55.9% of Glenning Valley's population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney in the same period. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.5%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (8.0%).

Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 1.9%, Maltese at 0.9%, and Russian at 0.4%.

Glenning Valley's median age exceeds the national pattern

Glenning Valley's median age is 41 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenning Valley has a significantly higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (13.0% vs 9.2%) and a lower percentage of those aged 25-34 (11.9% vs 15.7%). According to the 2021 Census, Glenning Valley's population aged 75-84 grew from 3.5% to 5.4%, while the 55-64 cohort decreased from 14.7% to 13.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Glenning Valley's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is expected to grow by 10%, adding 27 residents for a total of 314. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 64% of the population growth, while those aged 15-24 and 55-64 are anticipated to decline in population.