Glenning Valley

Glenning Valley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The estimated population of Glenning Valley is around 2,046 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 23 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,023. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,044 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 361 persons per square kilometer. Glenning Valley's growth of 1.1% since the census positions it within 2.6 percentage points of its SA4 region (3.7%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate lower quartile growth nationally, with Glenning Valley expected to grow by 23 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 2.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenning Valley according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Glenning Valley has experienced around 2 dwellings receiving development approval each year since FY-21. This totals an estimated 11 homes over the past 5 financial years. As of FY-26 to date, 2 approvals have been recorded. Over these 5 years, an average of 3.9 new residents per year arrived per dwelling constructed.

This supply lagging demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new homes being built at an average construction cost value of $541,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY-26 so far, $385,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenning Valley has significantly less development activity, 75.0% below regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent development in Glenning Valley has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining its traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated count of 687 people per dwelling approval reflects this quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 43 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Glenning Valley has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to affect the region. Notable projects are Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct, Lorraine Gardens Estate, M1 Pacific Motorway Tuggerah to Doyalson Widening (commencing 2023), and Central Coast Local Roads Package (scheduled for completion by 2025).

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Employment conditions in Glenning Valley demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Glenning Valley has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.8%.

As of September 2025, 1,117 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses show that 33.0% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction has notable concentration with levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Finance & insurance is under-represented at 2.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 7.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force grew by 3.4%, resulting in a unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney's employment growth was 2.1% with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenning Valley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Glenning Valley suburb has a median taxpayer income of $55,772 and an average income of $69,347 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is slightly above the national average of $60,817 with an average income of $83,043 in Greater Sydney. With a Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $60,713 (median) and $75,491 (average) by September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile with a weekly income of $2,252. The predominant income cohort spans 37.0% of locals (757 people) in the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall within this range. Glenning Valley demonstrates affluence with 31.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 81st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Glenning Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Glenning Valley, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenning Valley was at 34.2%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (53.1%) or rented (12.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was recorded at $460, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Glenning Valley's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenning Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.2% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 29.9% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Glenning Valley fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 24.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 29.1%. Educational participation is high, with 27.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.3% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 30 active transport stops operating within Glenning Valley. These are served by a mix of buses along 61 individual routes, providing a total of 724 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 299 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode at 96%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 33.0% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 103 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Glenning Valley's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Glenning Valley residents have positive health outcomes. Mortality rates and health conditions are similar to national averages.

Common health conditions are low across all age groups. Private health cover is high at 54% (1,112 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.3% each. 68.7% of residents report no medical ailments, versus 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. Glenning Valley has 16.5% seniors (337 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes are above average and align with national rankings.

Glenning Valley is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Glenning Valley was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 85.8% of its population born in Australia, 93.8% being citizens, and 95.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Glenning Valley, comprising 55.9% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (32.5%, regional average 19%), Australian (29.8%, regional average 17.8%), and Irish (8%).

Notably, Dutch (1.9%) and Maltese (0.9%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 1.0% respectively.

Glenning Valley's median age exceeds the national pattern

Glenning Valley's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenning Valley has a notably higher proportion of the 55-64 cohort (13.1% locally) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.1%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 3.5% to 5.3% of the population, while the 55-64 cohort decreased from 14.7% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Glenning Valley's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 10%, adding 29 residents to reach 320. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 63% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are anticipated for the 15-24 and 55-64 age groups.