Berkeley Vale

Berkeley Vale lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Berkeley Vale's population is estimated at around 127,484 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 4,952 people (4.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 122,532 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 9,120 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 271 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 20,830 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Berkeley Vale's 4.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (3.1%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, with overseas migration and interstate migration playing minimal roles.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Berkeley Vale expected to expand by 8,790 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 10.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Berkeley Vale when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Berkeley Vale has recorded around 340 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years ending June 2025. This totals an estimated 1702 homes. So far in FY-26 (ending June 2026), 103 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 2.8 people moved to the area per new home constructed, indicating healthy demand which should support property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $1052000, demonstrating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. There have also been $224.1 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Rest of NSW, Berkeley Vale records somewhat elevated construction activity, with 12.0% above regional average per person over the five-year period ending June 2025, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years.

New development consists of 90.0% detached houses and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 67.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 568 people per dwelling approval, Berkeley Vale reflects a highly mature market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Berkeley Vale may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Berkeley Vale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified three projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate Expansion, Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct, Lorraine Gardens Estate, and M1 Pacific Motorway Tuggerah to Doyalson Widening. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Berkeley Vale rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Berkeley Vale has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 2.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

There were 39,104 residents employed at this time, with an unemployment rate 1.5% lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Berkeley Vale was 124.8%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The dominant employment sectors among residents were health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

The area showed particular specialisation in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 2.3 times the regional level. As at the Census, there was a ratio of 0.9 workers for each resident, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.7%, alongside a 2.5% decline in employment, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, the labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 provide further insight into potential future demand within Berkeley Vale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Berkeley Vale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Berkeley Vale's median income among taxpayers is $110,020, with an average of $137,610. This places it in the top percentile nationally. The Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Berkeley Vale would be approximately $123,894 (median) and $154,963 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data reveals individual earnings in Berkeley Vale are at the 122nd percentile nationally ($1,662 weekly), while household income ranks at the 96th percentile. The predominant earnings cohort spans 64.4% of locals (82,099 people) with incomes between $1,500 and 2,999 per week, similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represents 29.9%. Economic stratification in the community ranges from 48.4% in modest circumstances to 43.8% in high-earning categories. After housing costs, residents retain 172.2% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Berkeley Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Berkeley Vale, as per the latest Census, consisted of 177.4% houses and 22.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Berkeley Vale was at 70.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 71.4% and rented dwellings at 58.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,400, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent figure in Berkeley Vale was $630, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $385. Nationally, Berkeley Vale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,400 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Berkeley Vale features high concentrations of lone person households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 140.0% of all households, including 60.0% couples with children, 55.6% couples without children, and 22.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for -40.0%, with lone person households at 54.6% and group households comprising 5.4%. The median household size is 5.0 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Berkeley Vale exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Berkeley Vale's educational attainment is notably high, with 47.2% of residents aged 15+ having university qualifications, compared to 15.3% in the SA3 area and 20.8% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 32.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.8%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 77.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (20.6%) and certificates (56.4%). Educational participation is high, with 62.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (23.4%), secondary (18.0%), and tertiary (7.0%) levels.

The area has educational provision through TLK Youth College and Berkeley Vale Public School, serving a total of 599 students. These institutions operate under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 951) with balanced educational opportunities. There is one primary and one secondary institution in the area, functioning as an education hub with 33.7 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 13.6. This attracts students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 3580 active transport stops in Berkeley Vale, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 304 individual routes, collectively facilitating 5676 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 276 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 810 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one weekly trip per stop.

Berkeley Vale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Berkeley Vale. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 108% of the total population (137,376 people), compared to 49.3% across Rest of NSW.

Nationally, this average is 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 19.8 and 17.6% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 130.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 61.5% across Rest of NSW. The area has 37.3% of residents aged 65 and over (47,602 people), which is higher than the 22.3% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Berkeley Vale ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Berkeley Vale was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 180.2% of its population born in Australia, 181.2% being citizens, and 188.0% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Berkeley Vale is Christianity, comprising 126.2% of people, compared to the regional average of 56.2%. In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 63.8%, English 61.0%, and Irish 19.0%, all substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 30.7%, 31.0%, and 8.2%.

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is overrepresented at 9.8% compared to the regional average of 4.5%, Lebanese at 0.4% (regional: 0.2%), and Scottish at 15.2% (regional: 7.3%).

Berkeley Vale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Berkeley Vale has a median age of 75, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and also above the national average of 38. The age distribution in Berkeley Vale aligns closely with that of the Rest of NSW across all age groups. Notably, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 in Berkeley Vale is well above the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present, the population of those aged 15-24 has grown from 22.8% to 24.6%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 24.4% to 25.8%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 declined from 29.4% to 27.3%, and the 45-54 cohort dropped from 24.6% to 22.9%. By 2041, Berkeley Vale is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 85+ cohort is expected to show the strongest growth, increasing by approximately 51%, adding around -2,927 residents to reach a total of approximately 2,835. However, population declines are projected for both the 85+ and 75-84 cohorts.