The Entrance

An assessment of population growth drivers in The Entrance reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The Entrance's population is estimated at 4,252 as of Nov 2025, reflecting an increase from 4,244 in the 2021 Census. This growth, inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,221 residents and 26 new addresses since the Census date, represents a 0.2% rise. The population density is 2,577 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally. Over the past decade, The Entrance has had a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains recently. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in Jun 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, projections indicate an overall population decline of 186 persons in The Entrance (SA2). However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group by 199 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in The Entrance according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, derived from statistical area data, indicates The Entrance has approved around 12 new homes per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 63 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 1.5 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five years, suggesting balanced supply and demand dynamics.

The average construction value of new properties is $503,000, indicating a focus on premium developments. In contrast, commercial development approvals this financial year totalled $236,000, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance shows approximately 69% of the construction activity per person, placing it in the 64th percentile nationally. However, recent periods have seen increased development activity, though it remains below the national average, suggesting an established area with potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

With around 221 people per dwelling approval, The Entrance exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Population projections suggesting stability or decline may reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers in the area.

The Entrance has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Vera's Water Garden Upgrade, The Grant McBride Baths Upgrade, Lakeside Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and El Lago Site Redevelopment. Below are details of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in The Entrance lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

The Entrance has a balanced mix of white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well-represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 8.4%, showing an estimated employment growth of 1.7% over the past year.

There are 1,749 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's at 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 43.6%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Health care & social assistance has notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.7%, labour force by 2.6%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to The Entrance's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows The Entrance had a median taxpayer income of $42,612 and an average income of $52,983. These figures are lower than the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively across Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $46,387 (median) and $57,677 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in The Entrance fall between the 2nd and 11th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 30.8% of residents earn $400 - $799 weekly, compared to regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Lower income households are prevalent, with 40.8% earning below $800 weekly, indicating affordability pressures for many residents. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 73.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

The Entrance features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The Entrance's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 26.2% houses and 73.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Entrance was at 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 11.4% and rented ones at 59.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Sydney metro's $1,900, while the median weekly rent was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, The Entrance's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,733 against Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were less at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

The Entrance features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 50.3% of all households, including 11.9% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 49.7%, with lone person households at 45.4% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 1.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The Entrance faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 39.2% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 28.1%. A total of 23.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 7.7% in primary, 5.9% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.6% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 7.7% in primary education, 5.9% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 15 active stops operating within The Entrance, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 36 individual routes, collectively providing 1,410 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 224 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 201 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 94 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in The Entrance is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health challenges are prominent across The Entrance, affecting various age groups. The rate of private health cover is low at approximately 48%, with around 2,038 people covered, compared to 50.4% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. Common medical conditions include arthritis (12.2%) and mental health issues (12.1%).

About 54.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 61.5% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.9%, with around 1,356 people, compared to 22.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but are better than the general population metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, The Entrance records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The Entrance exhibited above-average cultural diversity, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in The Entrance, accounting for 57.2% of its population. Notably, the category 'Other' comprised 1.8%, which was higher than Greater Sydney's average of 0.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.3%), Australian (25.5%), and Irish (9.4%). The representation of Maltese (1.2%) and French (0.6%) was notably higher in The Entrance compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 0.4%, respectively. Additionally, the representation of Australian Aboriginal was 4.4%.

The Entrance ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in The Entrance is 50 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.3%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has grown from 9.6% to 11.5%, while the proportion of those aged 5 to 14 has declined from 8.1% to 7.1%. By 2041, The Entrance is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition. Leading this shift, the number of residents aged 75 to 84 is projected to grow by 39%, reaching 680 from 488. This demographic aging continues as residents aged 65 and older represent all anticipated growth. Conversely, both the 45 to 54 age group and the 5 to 14 age group are expected to decrease in number.