The Entrance

An assessment of population growth drivers in The Entrance reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The suburb of The Entrance had an estimated population of 4,259 as of February 2026, according to analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This figure represents a rise of 15 people (0.4%) from the 2021 Census count of 4,244 residents. The increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 4,221 in June 2024, derived from examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 28 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,581 persons per square kilometer, placing The Entrance in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in June 2024, The Entrance exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outperforming its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for the suburb.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an overall decline in the suburb's population by 181 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to increase by 204 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in The Entrance according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates The Entrance has seen around 12 new homes approved per year. Approximately 63 homes have been approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with 9 already approved in FY-26. On average, 1.5 people move to the area for each dwelling built over these years.

This suggests a balance between supply and demand, maintaining stable market dynamics. New properties are constructed at an average value of $503,000, indicating developers' focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $236,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, predominantly reflecting residential focus. Comparatively, The Entrance shows approximately 69% of Greater Sydney's construction activity per person and ranks among the 64th percentile nationally. However, recent periods have seen an increase in development activity.

This is below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 29.0% detached dwellings and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser development to provide accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 221 people per dwelling approval, The Entrance exhibits characteristics of a low density area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures in the future, which could benefit potential buyers.

The Entrance has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified six projects that are expected to affect the area. Notable projects include Vera's Water Garden Upgrade, The Grant McBride Baths Upgrade, Lakeside Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and El Lago Site Redevelopment. The following list outlines those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in The Entrance lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

The Entrance has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs equally represented. Key sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 8.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.5% over the past year.

There are 1,744 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's at 4.2%. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Sydney at 51.1%. A moderate 22.5% of residents work from home. The area has a notable concentration in health care & social assistance employment, which is at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 1.5%, labour force by 2.5%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.8% over ten years for The Entrance, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, The Entrance had a median taxpayer income of $42,612 and an average income of $52,983. These figures are lower than the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively across Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for The Entrance would be approximately $46,387 (median) and $57,677 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in The Entrance all fall between the 2nd and 11th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 30.8% of residents earn $400 - 799 weekly, compared to 30.9% in the region earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. Lower income households are prevalent, with 40.8% earning below $800 weekly, indicating affordability pressures for many residents. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 73.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

The Entrance features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Entrance dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 26.2% houses and 73.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Entrance was at 29.1%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (11.4%) or rented (59.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, The Entrance's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

The Entrance features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.3 percent of all households, including 11.9 percent couples with children, 23.1 percent couples without children, and 13.9 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 49.7 percent, with lone person households at 45.4 percent and group households at 4.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 1.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The Entrance faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (28.1%). A total of 23.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, comprising 7.7% in primary, 5.9% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.6% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 7.7% in primary education, 5.9% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Entrance has 15 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are served by 36 different routes, offering a total of 1,410 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 224 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. In this primarily residential area, car remains the dominant mode of transport at 84%, while bus accounts for 6% and walking for another 6%. On average, there are 0.7 vehicles per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 201 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 94 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in The Entrance is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

The Entrance faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (around 2,042 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.2% and 12.1% of residents respectively. However, 54.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age population health is notably impacted by chronic conditions. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 33.0% aged 65 and over (1,405 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes present challenges, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

In terms of cultural diversity, The Entrance records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The Entrance had a cultural diversity level above average, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in The Entrance, comprising 57.2% of the population. Notably, the category 'Other' made up 1.8% of the population, higher than the Greater Sydney average of 1.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English at 30.3%, Australian at 25.5%, and Irish at 9.4%. These percentages exceeded their respective regional averages: English by 11.3%, Australian by 7.7%, and Irish by 8.4%. Additionally, certain ethnic groups showed notable differences in representation compared to the region: Maltese at 1.2% (vs 1.0%), French at 0.6% (vs 0.5%), and Australian Aboriginal at 4.4% (vs 1.3%).

The Entrance ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The Entrance has a median age of 51 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's median age of 37 years, and also older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance has a significantly higher proportion of people aged 65-74 (16.8% locally vs. an average of 9.5% nationally), while those aged 25-34 are underrepresented at 9.9%. Since 2021, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 9.6% to 12.1%, while the proportion of people aged 25 to 34 has declined from 11.3% to 9.9%, and those aged 45 to 54 have decreased from 12.8% to 11.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that The Entrance's age profile will change significantly. The population aged 75 to 84 is projected to increase by 163 people (32%), from 515 to 679. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for all total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 65-74 and 45-54.