The Entrance

An assessment of population growth drivers in The Entrance reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of The Entrance is around 4,322, reflecting an increase of 78 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 4,244. This increase, inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 4,308 based on ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date, results in a density ratio of 2,619 persons per square kilometer, placing The Entrance in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, The Entrance has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. For population projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041.

According to these projections, The Entrance's population is expected to decline by 163 persons by 2041, while the 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 209 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in The Entrance according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates The Entrance has seen approximately 15 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 77 homes were approved, with another 13 approved so far in FY26.

This results in an average of 1.2 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these years. The supply and demand dynamics appear stable. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $503,000. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance has 16.0% less building activity per person but ranks in the 69th percentile nationally. Recent construction activity has intensified.

The area is predominantly low density, with around 192 people per approval. It consists of 30.0% standalone homes and 70.0% medium to high-density housing. This trend towards denser development caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. Population growth is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially easing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

The Entrance has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Vera's Water Garden Upgrade, The Grant McBride Baths Upgrade, Lakeside Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and El Lago Site Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in The Entrance are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

The Entrance has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 8.3% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.2%. The area's unemployment rate is 4.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags significantly, at 43.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, at 3.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, labour force by 2.0%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.6%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years for The Entrance, when applied to its local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in The Entrance is $42,612, with an average of $52,983, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since the financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $47,985 (median) and $59,664 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in The Entrance all fall between the 2nd and 11th percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals that 30.8% of the population (1,331 individuals) have incomes within the $400 - $799 range, contrasting with the broader area where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Lower income households are prevalent, with 40.8% earning below $800 weekly, indicating affordability pressures for many residents. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 73.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

The Entrance features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The Entrance's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 26.2% houses and 73.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Entrance was at 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 11.4% and rented ones at 59.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Sydney metro's $1,900. The median weekly rent was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, The Entrance's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

The Entrance features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.3% of all households, consisting of 11.9% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 49.7%, with lone person households at 45.4% and group households making up 4.4% of the total. The median household size is 1.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

The Entrance faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (28.1%). A total of 23.6% of the population is actively pursuing education, with 7.7% in primary, 5.9% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

The Entrance Public School serves the area, enrolling 431 students and focusing on primary education (ICSEA: 916). Secondary options are available nearby. There are 10 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 13.6. Some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Entrance has 14 active public transport stops. All are bus stops. There are 36 different routes serving these stops.

Together, they provide 1,289 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living 224 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 184 trips per day across all routes. This equates to approximately 92 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in The Entrance is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

The Entrance faces significant health challenges with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 48% of residents (~2,072 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.2%) and mental health issues (12.1%). Notably, 54.6% of residents report no medical ailments compared to 61.5% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 31.7% (1,370 people), compared to 22.3% in Greater Sydney. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are challenging but perform better than the general population in certain metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in The Entrance was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The Entrance showed cultural diversity with 20.7% born overseas and 12.7% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion, at 57.2%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 1.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.5%.

Top ancestry groups were English (30.3%), Australian (25.5%), and Irish (9.4%). Notably, Maltese (1.2% vs regional 1.0%), French (0.6% vs 0.4%), and Australian Aboriginal (4.4% vs 4.5%) showed significant divergences in representation.

The Entrance ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The Entrance's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.4%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 9.6% to 11.4% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 11.3% to 10.4%. By 2041, The Entrance is projected to experience notable changes in its age composition. Leading this demographic shift, the 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 40%, reaching 690 people from 492. This growth will be driven entirely by residents aged 65 and older. Conversely, both the 65-74 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.