The Entrance

An assessment of population growth drivers in The Entrance reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The Entrance's population is estimated at around 4,259 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 15 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,244 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 4,221 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and validation of 28 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,581 persons per square kilometer, placing The Entrance in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, The Entrance's population is projected to decline by 182 persons overall, but the 75 to 84 age group is anticipated to grow by 193 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in The Entrance according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, The Entrance has seen around 9 new homes approved per year. Approximately 49 homes were approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional 9 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 1.7 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand dynamic, fostering stable market conditions. The average construction value of new properties is around $503,000, indicating a focus on premium developments. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $236,000, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance has about half the construction activity per person and ranks among the 50th percentile nationally. However, recent periods have seen an increase in development activity.

This area shows characteristics of established neighborhoods with potential planning limitations due to its lower-than-average development activity. New building activity comprises approximately 27% detached dwellings and 73% townhouses or apartments, indicating a trend towards denser developments that cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. The Entrance has around 319 people per dwelling approval, suggesting a low-density area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

The Entrance has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects expected to impact the region. Notable initiatives include Vera's Water Garden Upgrade, The Grant McBride Baths Upgrade, Lakeside Shopping Centre Redevelopment, and El Lago Site Redevelopment.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in The Entrance lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

The Entrance has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 7.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical aggregation.

There are 1,772 residents currently employed, while the unemployment rate is 3.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in The Entrance lags behind Greater Sydney at 50.4% compared to 70.2%. Approximately 22.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered when interpreting this figure. The key industries employing residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Notably, employment in health care & social assistance is at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force grew by 2.9%, resulting in a slight decrease in unemployment (down by 0.3 percentage points). In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide insights into potential future demand within The Entrance. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to The Entrance's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years. However, it is important to note that this extrapolation does not take into account localised population projections for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, The Entrance suburb had a median income among taxpayers of $42,612 and an average income of $52,983. These figures are lower than the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 for Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $46,387 and $57,677 respectively. Census 2021 data shows household, family, and personal incomes in The Entrance fall between the 2nd and 11th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 30.8% of residents earning $400 - $799 weekly. Unlike regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, lower income households are prevalent in The Entrance with 40.8% earning below $800 weekly, indicating affordability pressures for many residents. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 73.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

The Entrance features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The Entrance's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 26.2% houses and 73.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in The Entrance was 29.1%, similar to Sydney metro. Dwellings were either mortgaged (11.4%) or rented (59.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Sydney's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $360, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, The Entrance's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

The Entrance features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.3% of all households, including 11.9% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 13.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 49.7%, with lone person households at 45.4% and group households comprising 4.4%. The median household size is 1.9 people, smaller than Greater Sydney's average of 2.7.

The Entrance faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 16.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 28.1%. A total of 23.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 7.7% in primary, 5.9% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.6% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 7.7% in primary education, 5.9% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Entrance has 15 operational public transport stops, offering mixed bus services. These stops are supported by 36 different routes, facilitating a total of 1,410 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically residing 224 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode at 84%, followed by buses at 6% and walking at 6%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 0.7, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 201 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 94 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in The Entrance is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

The Entrance faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (around 2,042 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.2% and 12.1% of residents respectively. However, 54.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges with higher chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, at 33.5% (1,426 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present additional challenges, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

In terms of cultural diversity, The Entrance records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

The Entrance demonstrated above-average cultural diversity, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in The Entrance, comprising 57.2% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category made up 1.8%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 1.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.3%), Australian (25.5%), and Irish (9.4%). These figures exceeded their respective regional averages: English by 11.3%, Australian by 7.7%, and Irish by 8.4%. Additionally, Maltese (1.2% vs regional 1.0%), French (0.6% vs regional 0.5%), and Australian Aboriginal (4.4% vs regional 1.3%) populations were notably higher than their regional counterparts.

The Entrance ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The Entrance has a median age of 51 years, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's median age of 37 years and older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, The Entrance has an over-representation of the 65-74 age cohort (16.8% locally compared to the Greater Sydney average) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age cohort (10.3%). This concentration of the 65-74 age group is well above the national average of 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 9.6% to 12.4%, while the 85+ cohort has increased from 3.2% to 4.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 age cohort has declined from 8.1% to 7.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that The Entrance's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 137 people (26%) from 528 to 666. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 65-74 and 0-4 age cohorts.