Warnervale - Wadalba
Statistical Area - sa2

Warnervale - Wadalba lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Warnervale-Wadalba's population is 22,872 as of November 2025. This figure represents a growth of 2,821 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,051. The increase was inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimate of 22,353 and validated new addresses totalling 768 since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 533 persons per square kilometer. Warnervale-Wadalba's growth rate of 14.1% from 2021 to November 2025 exceeded its SA4 region (3.1%) and SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Future population trends predict exceptional growth placing it in the top 10% of statistical areas nationally, with an expected expansion of 15,971 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting a total increase of 67.6%.

The level of residential development activity in Warnervale - Wadalba was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Warnervale-Wadalba averaged approximately 234 new dwelling approvals annually between FY-21 and FY-25. In total, 1,173 homes were approved during these years, with an additional 76 approved in FY-26. On average, 3.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over this period.

This demand significantly outpaces supply, potentially exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $251,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26 alone, $160.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warnervale-Wadalba has 173.0% higher new home approvals per capita, offering buyers greater choice and reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The location has approximately 87 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Warnervale-Wadalba is projected to grow by 15,452 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Warnervale - Wadalba has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Cedarwood Estate, Yeramba Estates Central Coast Development, The Sanctuary Estate Hamlyn Terrace, and Hamlyn View Estate. Below is a list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Warnervale - Wadalba shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Warnervale-Wadalba has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.2%, lower than the national average of 5.1%.

Over the past year, ending June 2021, employment grew by 1.9%. As of June 2021, there are 11,188 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's rate of 4.7%. The workforce participation rate is 63.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.9%. Key employment industries include health care and social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Notably, health care and social assistance employs 18.2% of the local workforce, which is 1.4 times the regional average of 13.0%. Conversely, professional and technical services employ only 4.4% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 11.5%. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data shows that employment increased by 1.9% while the labour force grew by 2.7% over the past year, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 3.0%, and an increase in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2021 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warnervale-Wadalba's employment mix, local growth is estimated at approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Warnervale - Wadalba had a median taxpayer income of $49,288 and an average of $59,885 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median being $56,994 and average at $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income will be approximately $55,503 and average $67,436, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. In 2021 Census figures, household income ranked at the 67th percentile ($2,022 weekly), while personal income was at the 47th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominated with 38.0% of residents (8,691 people), similar to regional levels where 30.9% were in this bracket. High housing costs consumed 18.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 63rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Warnervale - Wadalba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warnervale-Wadalba's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 94.4% houses and 5.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warnervale-Wadalba was 25.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.6% and rented ones at 32.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, above Sydney's $1,900 average, and the median weekly rent was $495, higher than Sydney's $385. Nationally, Warnervale-Wadalba's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to Australia's $1,863 average, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warnervale - Wadalba features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.5% of all households, consisting of 42.2% couples with children, 23.7% couples without children, and 15.7% single parent families. Non-family households compose the remaining 17.5%, with lone person households at 15.2% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Warnervale - Wadalba aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The university qualification rate in Warnervale-Wadalba is 16.9%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 42.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 30.8%. Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: primary (12.6%), secondary (10.2%), and tertiary (3.7%).

Warnervale-Wadalba has a robust network of six schools educating approximately 4,986 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1002) and balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 21.8 school places per 100 residents, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warnervale-Wadalba has 161 operational public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 97 distinct routes serving these stops, offering a total of 2,761 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 196 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is 394 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warnervale - Wadalba is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Warnervale-Wadalba faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but particularly high among older cohorts.

Approximately 50% of the total population (~11,321 people) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 10.0 and 8.6% of residents respectively. 66.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 61.5% across Greater Sydney. There are 14.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,227 people), lower than the 22.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warnervale - Wadalba records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warnervale-Wadalba, in terms of cultural diversity, was roughly aligned with the broader region's average. It had 82.3% of its population born in Australia, 89.8% being citizens, and 89.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warnervale-Wadalba, making up 57.6% of its population, compared to 56.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.6%), English (28.9%), and Irish (6.6%). Notably, Maltese was overrepresented at 1.2%, Australian Aboriginal at 4.6%, and Maori at 0.7%.

Warnervale - Wadalba's population is younger than the national pattern

Warnervale-Wadalba's median age of 35 years is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.7%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 13.6% to 14.5%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 16.4% to 15.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Warnervale-Wadalba, with the 45-54 age group projected to rise substantially by 86%, from 3,025 to 5,623 people.