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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Toukley is $930k, with units at $592k. House values have moved 4.7% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Toukley has an estimated 4,737 residents, up from 4,557 at the 2021 Census — a change of 180 people, or 3.9%. That puts 1,287 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on demographic assessments of ABS regional updates and address records validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Toukley's population is estimated at around 4,737 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 180 people (3.9%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 4,557 people. The demographic shifts are calculated from a resident population of 4,737, estimated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 ERP release and subsequent address validation. This population size results in a density of 1,287 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical benchmark across national locations tracked by AreaSearch.
The 3.9% population increase in Toukley since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA4 region (3.4%), positioning it as a leading growth area locally. The population growth was almost entirely supported by overseas migration, which served as the exclusive driver of population gains in recent times. ABS and Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 (using 2022 as the base year) are implemented for each SA2 region. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, projections from the NSW State Government's 2022 release (with a 2021 base year) are utilized. The age cohort growth rates from these datasets are projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these demographic models, the area is anticipated to experience population growth exceeding the national median, with an expected increase of 910 persons by 2041 according to regional SA2 projections, representing a total expansion of 19.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
118 new dwellings have been approved in Toukley over the past five years, an average of 23 a year. That is 5.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 29 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 66% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 28, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on building approval records from the ABS compiled for the local area, Toukley averages approximately 23 dwellings approved for construction annually, with a total of 118 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 26 approvals registered during FY-26. Given that only 0.8 new residents have arrived per newly built home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the supply of new housing is matching or exceeding demand, providing buyers with diverse options and establishing capacity for growth beyond current estimates, with new homes built at an average cost of $366,000.
Additionally, commercial development has seen strong momentum with $30.0 million in commercial approvals granted during this financial year. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toukley exhibits slightly elevated building activity, registering 19.0% above the regional average per capita over the 5 year period, which supports local property values while offering adequate options to buyers. Recent approvals consist of 66.0% detached houses and 34.0% multi-dwelling units like townhouses or apartments, indicating an increasing volume of medium-density choices that span different price points, ranging from standard houses to affordable compact options. The area is characterized by low density, averaging roughly 229 people per building approval. Demographic projections indicate that Toukley will add 910 residents by 2041 according to the latest quarterly calculations. While construction rates are keeping pace with these projections, home buyers may face increased competition as the population expands.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Toukley
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Toukley, worth an estimated $553 million. A further 14 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $3.98 billion. 6 are already under construction and 6 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning schemes, and public works are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has tracked 9 projects expected to impact the local area. Significant projects include the Toukley Desalination Water Treatment Plant, Toukley Town Centre Public Domain Upgrade, Lakeside Gardens, and the Mixed-Use Development 139 Main Road, with details of the most relevant projects provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Toukley Desalination Water Treatment Plant
A proposed seawater desalination facility adjacent to the existing Toukley Sewage Treatment Plant on Wilfred Barrett Drive, being advanced as a plan-ready drought response project under the Central Coast Water Security Plan. The reverse osmosis facility has an initial design capacity of 30 ML/day with provision for expansion up to 40 ML/day, activated only if dam storage falls below critical triggers. Central Coast Council is currently preparing the Environmental Impact Statement with specialist support from GHD.
Mixed-Use Development 139 Main Road
A mixed-use development with two commercial units and four residential units, including Specialist Disability Accommodation and affordable rental housing.
Toukley Town Centre Public Domain Upgrade
Upgrades to the Toukley Town Centre, including footpath improvements, landscaping, and new street furniture to improve pedestrian safety, connectivity, and visual amenity. This is part of a broader masterplan to rejuvenate the town centre.
Lakeside Gardens
A mixed-use development featuring 109 residential apartments and commercial/retail space. The development will have two 11-storey buildings with resort-style landscaping, a pool, and a private jetty on the shore of Budgewoi Lake.
Beachcomber Hotel Relaunch
Relaunch of Beachcomber as a 4-star, 80-room resort with bars, restaurants, function rooms, and wellness services.
Gorokan Waterfront Masterplan & Foreshore Revitalisation
Council-led long term revitalisation of the Gorokan foreshore along Tuggerah Lake, delivering staged improvements including foreshore public domain upgrades, shared pathways, improved lake access, landscaping, recreation facilities and supporting aquatic infrastructure. The Wallarah Point Peace Park playspace has been completed as an early stage, while broader foreshore improvements continue to be delivered progressively through Council capital works and waterways programs.
The Sanctuary Estate Hamlyn Terrace
The Sanctuary is a masterplanned house and land estate located in Hamlyn Terrace on the NSW Central Coast. The development offers registered residential lots for detached family homes in close proximity to schools, Wyong Hospital, local shops, and the M1 motorway.
Charmhaven Master-Planned Housing Community
A master-planned housing community at Charmhaven on the NSW Central Coast, delivering up to 2,000 single-dwelling homes, 120 ha of protected environmental green space, a new school and business park.
1,900 residents of Toukley are employed, from a labour force of 2,071. Unemployment sits at 8.3%, with participation at 50.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,025, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is split between professional and manual labor roles, with a strong presence of public and community services, an unemployment rate of 8.3%, and employment growth estimated at 2.9% over the past year. In March 2026, there were 1,900 employed residents, with the unemployment rate tracking 4.1% higher than the Greater Sydney rate of 4.1%, indicating room for labor market improvement, while workforce participation is low at 50.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 69.1%. Census records show a moderate 22.7% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure may be influenced by lockdown conditions.
The resident workforce is largely employed in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The local concentration in health care & social assistance is particularly strong, standing at 1.4 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, the professional & technical sector accounts for only 4.5% of local employment, compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The ratio of local jobs to working residents suggests that local employment opportunities are somewhat limited. According to SALM and ABS statistics for the wider region, the 12 months to March 2026 saw employment grow by 2.9% while the labor force expanded by 4.1%, resulting in a 1.0 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. Over the same period, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labor force growth of 1.9%, accompanied by a minor decline. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25 provide further context for future employment demand in Toukley. These projections for five and ten-year horizons have been matched to local industry representation to model future growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary widely by sector. Weighting these projections against the industry mix of Toukley suggests local employment is poised to rise by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming a simple weighting based on industry share without accounting for localized population shifts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Toukley is $1,044 a week (about $54,000 a year), with median personal income at $606 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,044 a year against an average of $52,518. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to tax records from the ATO for the financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Toukley earn a median income of $44,044, with an average income of $52,518. These figures sit below national benchmarks, and compare to a median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to a median of approximately $48,589 and an average of $57,938 as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Toukley rank between the 4th and 12th percentiles on a national scale.
The local income distribution shows that 30.0% of the community (1,421 individuals) falls within the $400 - 799 weekly earnings bracket, contrasting with the wider metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the largest at 30.9%. Financial pressure from housing is high, leaving only 77.0% of household income after housing costs, which ranks in the 4th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Toukley had 1,978 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 71% detached houses and 13% apartments. 24% are owned with a mortgage, 43% rented and 34% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $340 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,742 a month. Rent absorbs 32.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 38.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the last Census, the housing stock in Toukley consisted of 71.0% detached houses and 29.1% semi-detached, apartment, or other dwelling types, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across metropolitan Sydney. Home ownership in Toukley was notably high at 33.5%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 23.5% and rental properties making up 43.0% of dwellings. The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,742, while the median weekly rent was $340, which are lower than the Sydney metro figures of $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Toukley's mortgage repayments are below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are less than the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Toukley counted 1,978 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 17% are couples with children, fewer than in 93% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 38% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 58.6% of local households, consisting of couples with children at 16.7%, couples without children at 26.2%, and single parent households at 14.6%. The remaining 41.4% are non-family households, which include lone person households at 37.7% and group shared homes at 3.5%. The average household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
12.4% of adults in Toukley hold a university qualification, including 9.1% with a bachelor degree and 1.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 32.9% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Higher education completion is low in the area, with university graduation rates at 12.4% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.4%. Vocational and technical training is highly represented, with 42.6% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, including advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 32.9%. A significant proportion of the population is engaged in learning, with 25.4% of residents enrolled in an educational institution. This consists of 9.0% in primary school, 6.8% in high school, and 2.5% in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Toukley reaches 41 stops on 28 routes, timetabled for about 740 services a week. The typical home sits about 160 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local transport network features 41 active transit stops in Toukley, consisting of bus services. These stops support 28 separate routes that combine to offer 740 weekly passenger trips. Access to public transport is highly convenient, with residents living an average of 164 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, leading to outward commutes, with private vehicles serving as the primary transport mode for 91% of commuters. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, which is below the metropolitan average. Additionally, 22.7% of residents work from home according to the 2021 Census, which was influenced by pandemic conditions.
Bus services run at an average frequency of 105 trips per day across all routes, which averages out to approximately 18 weekly departures per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
54.7% of residents in Toukley report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 93% of areas nationally. 11.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health outcomes present challenges in Toukley, where chronic diseases and mortality rates impact multiple age brackets, and the rate of private health insurance coverage is low at approximately 48% of the population (~2,262 people). This is lower than the Greater Sydney rate of 59.9% and the national benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent medical issues, affecting 12.2% and 11.3% of residents respectively, while 54.7% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The working-age cohort shows elevated rates of chronic illness, and 29.3% of the population is aged 65 and over (1,387 people), compared to 15.5% in Greater Sydney.
Senior health outcomes show some challenges, with national rankings aligning closely with general population patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Toukley is largely Australian-born, at 86.5% of residents, with 5.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.9%) and English (31.0%). 5.7% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The local area has lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with citizens making up 89.0% of the population, 86.5% born in Australia, and 94.8% speaking only English at home. The predominant religious affiliation is Christianity at 55.0%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 49.2%. Regarding parental birthplaces, the most common ancestries are Australian at 31.9% of the population (exceeding the regional average of 17.8%), English at 31.0% (exceeding the regional average of 19.0%), and Irish at 8.1%. Other specific ancestries show notable local proportions, including Australian Aboriginal at 5.7% (compared to 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 0.9% (compared to 1.0%), and Welsh at 0.6% (compared to 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Toukley is 47, older than 85% of areas nationally. 22.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Toukley is 47 years, which is older than the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and the national median of 38 years. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented at 14.5% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25 - 34 bracket is less common at 10.9%. The local 65 - 74 cohort is larger than the national average of 9.4%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 9.5% to 11.1%, and the 75 to 84 bracket increased from 9.4% to 11.0%, while the 25 to 34 group fell from 12.2% to 10.9%.
By 2041, the demographic profile is projected to change, with the 75 to 84 cohort expected to grow by 73% (adding 378 residents to total 900), and seniors aged 65+ accounting for 78% of total growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are projected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Toukley
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (4,557 at the 2021 Census → 4,737 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL13943). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.