Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 11,061. This figure represents an increase of 101 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,960. The growth was inferred from ABS estimates; the resident population was 11,057 in June 2024 with six additional validated addresses after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 311 persons per square kilometer. The area's 0.9% growth since the census is comparable to the SA4 region's 3.1%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed around 75.3% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to expand by 149 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 1.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has granted around 15 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 78 homes. In FY26 so far, six approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.5 people moved to the area per dwelling built each year between FY21 and FY25. New construction has matched or outpaced demand, offering buyers more options.

The average expected construction cost of new properties is $251,000, below the regional average. Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $690,000, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park shows substantially reduced construction, 67.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. New development consists of 83.0% detached houses and 17.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1268 people. Population forecasts indicate Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park will gain 143 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 31stth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are Crangan Bay Residential Estate, Lake Munmorah Recreation Facility, Lakes Ridge Residential Estate, and Darkinjung LALC & Landcom Housing Project. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate is 4.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.2% in the past year.

As of September 2025, there are 4,505 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a high specialization in construction, with employment share at 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employ only 3.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, while labour force grew by 3.2%, causing unemployment to rise by 1 percentage point. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $49,223. The average level stood at $59,696. This was below the national average and compared to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $55,430 (median) and $67,224 (average) as of September 2025. Census data revealed household, family and personal incomes in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park all fell between the 6th and 10th percentiles nationally. Distribution data showed the $400-$799 earnings band captured 31.2% of the community (3,451 individuals), differing from patterns across the region where $1,500-$2,999 dominated with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 83.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 7th percentile.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park, as per the latest Census, comprised 94.4% houses and 5.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park stood at 53.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.0% and rented dwellings at 17.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Sydney metro's $1,900. Median weekly rent was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,733 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375 at $380.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.6 percent of all households, including 20.3 percent couples with children, 32.8 percent couples without children, and 11.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.4 percent, with lone person households at 31.9 percent and group households comprising 2.7 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.6%).

A total of 23.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.5% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has 104 active public transport stops. These are served by buses operating along 58 routes, offering a total of 557 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 165 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 79 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park faces significant health challenges, with various conditions impacting both younger and older residents. Approximately 50% of the total population (~5,475 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (14.4%) and mental health issues (9.5%). Conversely, 53.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 61.5% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (35.2%, or 3,892 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 22.3%. Health outcomes among seniors generally align with the overall population's health profile.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lake Munmorah-Mannering Park, as per the 2016 Census, showed low cultural diversity with 87.5% of residents born in Australia, 91.6% being citizens, and 97.3% speaking only English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 61.0% of the population, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 56.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.7%), Australian (31.7%), and Irish (8.2%).

Notably, Maltese (1.0%) and Australian Aboriginal (4.2%) populations in Lake Munmorah-Mannering Park were higher than regional averages.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has a median age of 52, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 75-84 age group constitutes 15.4% of its population, compared to Greater Sydney's figure, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 8.4%. Nationally, the 75-84 age group comprises 6.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 13.4% to 15.4%, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 3.5% to 4.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 10.5% to 8.7%, and the 65 to 74 group has dropped from 16.7% to 15.1%. By 2041, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 99%, reaching 1,030 people from 518. This growth will be driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 65 to 74 cohorts.