Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's population is approximately 11,217 as of November 2025. This figure shows an increase of 257 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,960. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,055 in June 2024 and six additional validated addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 316 persons per square kilometer. Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's 2.3% growth since census is close to the SA4 region's 3.7%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 149 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an anticipated decrease of 0.1% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has recorded approximately 15 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 78 homes. In fiscal year 2026 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.5 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built between fiscal years 2021 and 2025. New construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options while enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations.

The average expected construction cost of new properties is $251,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. There have been $690,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Sydney, where there has been 67.0% more construction per person on average. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, with new building activity consisting of 83.0% detached houses and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The estimated population count of 1268 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Crangan Bay Residential Estate, Lake Munmorah Recreation Facility, Lakes Ridge Residential Estate, and Darkinjung LALC & Landcom Housing Project. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in September 2025, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.2%.

As of September 2025, 4,505 residents were employed, with workforce participation at 50.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Home working was reported by a moderate 20.8% of residents in Census responses. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade sectors. Construction stands out with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 3.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.2% while labour force grew by 3.2%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park SA2 has lower income compared to national averages. The median income is $53,436 and the average is $63,442. In contrast, Greater Sydney has a median income of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $58,170 (median) and $69,063 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park fall between the 6th and 10th percentiles nationally. The income distribution shows that 31.2% of residents earn between $400 and $799. In contrast, the metropolitan region has a leading bracket of $1,500 to $2,999 at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 83.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park, as per the latest Census, 94.4% of dwellings were houses with 5.5% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park stood at 53.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.0% and rented ones at 17.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park's mortgage repayments were lower than Australia's average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.6% of all households, including 20.3% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 34.4%, with lone person households at 31.9% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.6%). A total of 23.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 8.5% in primary, 6.8% in secondary, and 2.6% in tertiary education.

A substantial 23.6% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 2.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has 104 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These are serviced by 58 different routes that together facilitate 557 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 165 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 96%, with an average vehicle ownership of 1.2 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 20.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 79 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 5 weekly trips per stop. The provided map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~5,664 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (14.4%) and mental health issues (9.5%). 53.9% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents face notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 35.2% (3,947 people), compared to 15.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lake Munmorah-Mannering Park, surveyed in June 2016, had a culturally homogenous population: 87.5% were born in Australia, 91.6% were citizens, and 97.3% spoke English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 61.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestral groups were English (33.7%), Australian (31.7%), and Irish (8.2%).

Notably, Maltese, Aboriginal Australian, and New Zealand representations were higher than regional averages: Maltese at 1.0% vs 1.0%, Aboriginal Australian at 4.2% vs 1.3%, and New Zealand at 0.7% vs 0.5%.

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park has a median age of 52, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 75-84 age group makes up 15.4% of its population, compared to Greater Sydney's figure, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 8.4%. This concentration of the 75-84 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 6.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 13.4% to 15.4%, and the 85+ cohort increased from 3.5% to 4.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 10.5% to 8.7%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 16.7% to 15.1%. By 2041, Lake Munmorah - Mannering Park is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 96%, reaching 1,030 people from 526. This growth will be led entirely by those aged 65 and above. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 65 to 74 age cohorts.