Summerland Point

Population growth drivers in Summerland Point are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Summerland Point is estimated to be around 2,760 people. This figure reflects an increase from the previous population count of 2,708 people recorded during the Census in 2021, marking a growth of 52 individuals (1.9%). The current resident population estimate of 2,697 is based on AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS from June 2024, along with validation of two new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 902 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages observed across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Summerland Point has exhibited resilient growth patterns, with an average annual growth rate of 2.0%. Interstate migration was the primary driver for population growth during recent periods, contributing around 67.0% of overall population gains.

However, natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles in the suburb's demographic trends. AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, to forecast future population changes. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these aggregated SA2-level projections, Summerland Point is expected to experience above median population growth nationally, with an anticipated increase of 582 persons by the year 2041. This projected growth reflects a total increase of 26.4% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Summerland Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, derived from statistical area data, shows Summerland Point recorded approximately one residential property granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around six homes were approved, with none yet in FY-26. On average, 46 new residents were associated with each home built during these years, indicating demand significantly outstripping supply and potentially putting upward pressure on prices.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $479,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. In FY-26, $4,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Summerland Point has significantly less development activity, 90.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, Summerland Point's development level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 2870 people. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Summerland Point to grow by 730 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Summerland Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No infrastructure changes are currently identified for this area by AreaSearch. Major projects planned or underway include Crangan Bay Residential Estate, South East Growth Area Plan, Central Coast Desalination Plant, and Draft Greater Newcastle Metropolitan Plan 2036.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Summerland Point shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Summerland Point has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably represented.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate stands at 4.1%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.7% over the past year. There are 1,271 residents employed, matching Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%. However, workforce participation lags behind Greater Sydney (49.9% vs 60.0%). Key industries for local residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction employment is particularly high at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 4.5% of workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.7%, labour force grew by 2.8%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insights into potential future demand within Summerland Point. Over five years, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Summerland Point's current employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

In financial year 2022, Summerland Point had a median taxpayer income of $46,706 and an average income of $56,754. These figures are below the national averages of $58,994 and $80,856 respectively for Greater Sydney. By September 2025, adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, median income is estimated at approximately $52,596 and average income at $63,911. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Summerland Point fall between the 18th and 21st percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The most common income bracket in Summerland Point is $1,500 - 2,999, with 29.3% of locals (808 people) falling within this range, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 21st percentile nationally.

Summerland Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Summerland Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.7% houses and 3.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Summerland Point stood at 45.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.6% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,730, lower than Sydney metro's $1,900. Median weekly rent was $400, higher than Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Summerland Point's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Summerland Point has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 73.7% of all households, including 23.5% couples with children, 34.4% couples without children, and 14.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.3%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

The educational profile of Summerland Point exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 11.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 9.7% and certificates for 36.5%. Educational participation is high at 25.3%, including 9.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring students to attend schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Summerland Point shows 14 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 18 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 209 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 195 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 29 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Summerland Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant challenges for Summerland Point, with common health conditions prevalent among both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 49% of the total population (around 1,363 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.0% and 9.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.7% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 61.5%. Summerland Point has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over (26.6%, or 734 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 22.3%.

Summerland Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Summerland Point's population showed low cultural diversity, with 87.8% born in Australia, 92.5% being citizens, and 96.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 58.3%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 56.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.1%), Australian (30.2%), and Scottish (9.0%).

Notably, Maltese residents were overrepresented at 1.6% compared to the regional average of 1.0%, as were Hungarians at 0.3% (regional: 0.2%) and Spanish at 0.5% (regional: 0.3%).

Summerland Point hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Summerland Point's median age is 48 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that residents aged 65-74 are particularly prominent at 13.3%, while those aged 25-34 make up a smaller proportion at 8.7% compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and the present, the population of residents aged 75-84 has grown from 8.2% to 10.3%. Conversely, the population of those aged 45-54 has declined from 14.0% to 12.6%, and the population of those aged 65-74 has decreased from 14.6% to 13.3%. Population forecasts for Summerland Point in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the strongest projected growth in the 65-74 age cohort at 41%, adding 148 residents to reach a total of 516. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 53% of population growth, underscoring trends towards an aging population. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is projected to grow by a modest 6%, with an increase of 7 people.