Bonnells Bay - Silverwater

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater's population was approximately 10,155 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents a rise of 464 people from the 2021 Census total of 9,691, indicating a 4.8% increase. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 10,140 in June 2024 and the addition of 32 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 999 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages observed across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bonnells Bay - Silverwater exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.6%, exceeding that of its SA4 region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 48.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Bonnells Bay - Silverwater expected to grow by 4,029 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 39.5% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bonnells Bay - Silverwater when compared nationally

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater has recorded approximately 41 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 209 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 3.7 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these five years.

This high demand relative to supply typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average expected construction cost of new homes is $517,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $831,000, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to the rest of NSW, Bonnells Bay - Silverwater has significantly less development activity, around 52.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Recent construction primarily consists of detached dwellings (91.0%) with townhouses or apartments making up the remainder (9.0%), maintaining the area's suburban character focused on family homes. The population density is low, with approximately 342 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bonnells Bay - Silverwater is expected to grow by around 4,014 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include Trinity Point Mixed Use Development, Fishery Point Road and Morisset Park Road Intersection Upgrade, Alliance Avenue and Wyee Road Intersection Upgrade, and Morisset Place Strategy. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bonnells Bay - Silverwater remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.8% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.0% in the past year.

In this period, 4,826 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.2% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.7% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, while labour force grew by 2.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National unemployment was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bonnells Bay - Silverwater's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater SA2's median income among taxpayers was $46,179 and average income was $59,372 in financial year 2022. These figures are lower than Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. By September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $52,002 and average income is $66,859, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Bonnells Bay - Silverwater rank modestly between the 30th and 35th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 33.1% of residents earn $1,500-$2,999 weekly, consistent with broader metropolitan trends at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 35th percentile.

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Bonnells Bay - Silverwater, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.1% houses and 3.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 86.7% houses and 13.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnells Bay - Silverwater stood at 40.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.9% and rented ones at 25.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,783, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent figure was $400, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Bonnells Bay - Silverwater's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 75.3% of all households, consisting of 27.5% couples with children, 32.6% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.7%, with lone person households at 22.1% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Rest of NSW average.

Educational outcomes in Bonnells Bay - Silverwater fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.8%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials: advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 33.0%. Educational participation is high, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.4% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 3.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The public transport analysis indicates that Bonnells Bay - Silverwater has 75 active transport stops in operation. These are served by a variety of bus routes, totalling 31 individual routes. The combined weekly passenger trips across all routes amount to 381.

Residential accessibility to these services is rated as good, with residents typically situated approximately 203 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency stands at 54 trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bonnells Bay - Silverwater is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 49% (around 4,986 people), lower than Rest of NSW's 51.5% and the national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and mental health issues are most common, affecting 10.5% and 10.2% respectively, while 59.9% report no medical ailments, slightly below Rest of NSW's 60.3%.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.4% (2,378 people), compared to Rest of NSW's 21.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are notably better than the general population in terms of health metrics.

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnells Bay-Silverwater had a cultural diversity score below average, with 87.5% of its population born in Australia, 92.5% being citizens, and 95.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 54.5%, compared to 54.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.5%), Australian (30.7%), and Scottish (8.3%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 4.2% (vs regional 4.5%), Maltese at 0.5% (vs 0.4%), and Dutch at 1.3% (vs 1.1%).

Bonnells Bay - Silverwater's median age exceeds the national pattern

Bonnells Bay-Silverwater's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of NSW's average of 43 but considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that the 65-74 year-olds are particularly prominent at 13.1%, while the 45-54 group is smaller at 10.3% compared to Rest of NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.7% to 12.1% of the population, and the 25-34 cohort has increased from 11.1% to 12.4%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 12.2% to 10.3%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate substantial changes with the 25-34 cohort showing the strongest projected growth of 51%, adding 642 residents to reach a total of 1,899.