Toronto - Awaba
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toronto - Awaba reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Toronto - Awaba's population is around 14,261 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 300 people (2.1%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 13,961 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,122 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 326 persons per square kilometer. Toronto - Awaba's 2.1% growth since census positions it within 2.7 percentage points of the non-metro area (4.8%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 60.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest population numbers, the area is expected to increase by 1,868 persons to 2041 with an increase of 11.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Toronto - Awaba according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Toronto has averaged approximately 46 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, with 231 homes approved over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), and 4 so far in FY-26. Over these five years, an average of only 0.9 people moved to the area per dwelling built. This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices while potentially supporting population growth above projections.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $706,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $5.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Toronto - Awaba has significantly less development activity, 63.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. The area's development activity is also under the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 65.0% detached houses and 35.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments offering options across different price points.

This marks a shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 84.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 741 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Toronto - Awaba will gain 1,682 residents by 2041. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as the population increases.

Toronto - Awaba has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Toronto Foreshore Revitalisation, Rathmines Park Transformation, 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, and 136-138 Brighton Avenue Apartment Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Toronto - Awaba has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Toronto Awaba has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors and an unemployment rate of 4.8%. Over the past year, there was estimated employment growth of 2.0%.

As of June 2025, 6,372 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation lags at 50.9%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented with only 0.5% of Toronto Awaba's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.0%, labour force grew by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points in Toronto Awaba. By contrast, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points during the same period. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, lagging behind national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Toronto Awaba's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Toronto - Awaba is above the national average. The median income is $48,449 while the average income stands at $68,865. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $49,459 and the average income is $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $53,585 (median) and $76,165 (average) as of March 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Toronto - Awaba, between the 24th and 29th percentiles. The data shows that 28.8% of the population (4,107 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen in the metropolitan region where 29.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 29th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Toronto - Awaba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Toronto - Awaba, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 84.2% houses and 15.8% other dwellings including semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Toronto - Awaba was 42.2%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (31.9%) or rented (25.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, which is lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent figure in Toronto - Awaba was recorded at $340, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Toronto - Awaba's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Toronto - Awaba has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 69.7% of all households, including 24.0% couples with children, 31.5% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.3%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Toronto - Awaba fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 20.3%, substantially below the NSW average of 32.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 30.0%.

A substantial 24.9% of the population actively pursues formal education, including 8.8% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education. As of 2021, a robust network of 10 schools operates within Toronto - Awaba, educating approximately 2,863 students while demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 988) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 8 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. As of the latest data, the area functions as an education hub with 20.1 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 12.3, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that as of May 2023, there are 114 active public transport stops operating within Toronto - Awaba. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services, with 95 individual routes collectively providing 3,126 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated good, with residents typically located approximately 209 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages around 446 trips per day, equating to roughly 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Toronto - Awaba is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Health challenges significantly impact Toronto - Awaba, affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 54% of the total population (~7658 people) have private health cover, higher than the 51.5% across Rest of NSW.

The most prevalent conditions are arthritis (11.3%) and mental health issues (10.5%). Conversely, 57.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 60.3% in Rest of NSW. In Toronto - Awaba, 27.2% of residents are aged 65 or over (3877 people), higher than the 21.9% in Rest of NSW. Seniors' health outcomes face similar challenges as those experienced by the general population.

Toronto - Awaba is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Toronto was found to be below average in cultural diversity, with 88.3% of its population born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 96.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Toronto, comprising 52.9% of people, compared to 54.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups are English (33.0%), Australian (30.1%), and Scottish (8.8%).

Notably, Welsh (0.9%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average (0.7%), as are Australian Aboriginal (4.6%) and Samoan (0.2%).

Toronto - Awaba hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Toronto-Awaba's median age is 47 years, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW average of 43 years and substantially exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 years are particularly prominent, making up 14.6% of the population, while the 5-14 year-old group is comparatively smaller at 11.1%. This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and present day, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 9.5% to 11.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort has declined from 12.3% to 11.0%. By 2041, Toronto-Awaba is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The 35 to 44 year-old group is projected to grow by 29%, reaching 2,094 people from the current 1,624. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 year-old cohorts are expected to experience population declines.