Warners Bay - Boolaroo

Population growth drivers in Warners Bay - Boolaroo are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Warners Bay - Boolaroo's population is approximately 16,165 as of February 2026. This figure represents a growth of 1,471 people, an increase of 10.0% since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 14,694. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,268 in June 2024 and an additional 363 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,289 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 10.0% since the 2021 census exceeds that of the SA3 area (4.1%) and the Rest of NSW, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 61.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to increase by 2,197 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 8.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Warners Bay - Boolaroo among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Warners Bay - Boolaroo has granted approximately 116 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 584 homes. As of FY26, 68 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year is around 1.9 per new home, based on data from FY21 to FY25. This indicates a balanced supply and demand scenario, with an average dwelling value of $339,000.

In the current financial year, commercial approvals have reached $93.9 million, reflecting significant commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of NSW, Warners Bay - Boolaroo experiences 92.0% more building activity per capita. The area's new developments consist of 73.0% standalone homes and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining its suburban character while attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 126 people per dwelling approval in the location, suggesting an expanding market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Warners Bay - Boolaroo is projected to add 1,300 residents by 2041. Given current development trends, new housing supply should meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 29 projects that could affect the region. Notable projects include Speers Point Transport Improvements, McCloy Group Brush Creek Estate, Munibung Road Boolaroo Residential Precinct (Cockle Creek TOD), and Weemala at the Lake. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Warners Bay - Boolaroo well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Warners Bay - Boolaroo has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2%. As of September 2025, there were 8,148 residents employed, and the unemployment rate was 1.5% lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was at 65.6%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, 26.8% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries of employment include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at only 0.2% compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2%, labour force by 3.6%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.5% and labour force decline by 0.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Warners Bay - Boolaroo's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Warners Bay - Boolaroo SA2 had high incomes nationally in financial year 2023. The median income was $57,488 and the average was $74,668. This contrasted with Rest of NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. By September 2025, estimated incomes were approximately $62,581 (median) and $81,284 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. In the 2021 Census, Warners Bay - Boolaroo's household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly, between the 44th and 49th percentiles. The predominant income cohort was 29.3% of locals (4,736 people) earning $1,500 - $2,999, similar to the broader area at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 84.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 45th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Warners Bay - Boolaroo, as per the latest Census evaluation, 76.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 24.0% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warners Bay - Boolaroo stood at 42.2%, with mortgaged properties at 34.1% and rented dwellings at 23.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,090, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Weekly rent median was recorded at $410, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Warners Bay - Boolaroo's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.5% of all households, including 28.1% couples with children, 29.3% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 29.5%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Warners Bay - Boolaroo trail residents aged 15+ have 24.8% university degrees, compared to NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 39.4%, including advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (27.1%). Current educational participation is high at 26.5%, comprising primary education (8.9%), secondary education (7.6%), and tertiary education (4.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warners Bay - Boolaroo has 208 active public transport stops offering train and bus services. These are covered by 69 routes providing 1,941 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically living 173 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward using cars predominantly at 96%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 26.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 277 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 9 weekly trips per stop. The map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warners Bay - Boolaroo residents have experienced relatively positive health outcomes according to AreaSearch's analysis. Mortality rates and health conditions in the area are broadly in line with national benchmarks.

The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is very high, with approximately 56% of the total population (~9,068 people) having it, compared to 51.9% across the Rest of NSW. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 10.4% and 10.0% of residents respectively. 62.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across the Rest of NSW. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 23.5% of residents aged 65 and over (3,797 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Warners Bay-Boolaroo had a cultural diversity score below average, with 87.7% of its population born in Australia, 92.9% being citizens, and 93.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 55.0% of people, compared to 55.9% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.9%), Australian (29.7%), and Scottish (9.0%).

Notably, Welsh (0.8%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.5%, while Macedonian (0.4%) and Polish (0.9%) also had higher representations than the regional averages of 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively.

Warners Bay - Boolaroo hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Warners Bay - Boolaroo has a median age of 44 years, similar to Rest of NSW's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of NSW, Warners Bay - Boolaroo has a higher percentage of residents aged 45-54 (12.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.6%). Between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 7.8% to 8.7%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group declined from 13.6% to 12.2%, and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 13.7% to 12.6%. By 2041, Warners Bay - Boolaroo's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 23%, reaching 2,099 people from 1,711. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 age groups are expected to experience population declines.