Belmont South - Blacksmiths
Statistical Area - sa2

Belmont South - Blacksmiths is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Belmont South - Blacksmiths' population, as of November 2025, is approximately 5,821, marking a rise of 141 individuals since the 2021 Census. The ABS estimated resident population in June 2024 was 5,792, with an additional 50 validated new addresses post-census contributing to this increase. This results in a population density of 854 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages observed across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 2.5% since the census is within 0.4 percentage points of its SA3 area (2.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 67.2% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth for national regional areas, with Belmont South - Blacksmiths expected to increase by 69 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, resulting in a total increase of approximately 0.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Belmont South - Blacksmiths, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Belmont South - Blacksmiths has recorded approximately 19 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 97 homes. In FY-26 so far, three approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents arriving per new home over these five years is 0.5. This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing buyers with more options and potentially enabling population growth beyond current expectations.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $371,000. In FY-26, there have been $351,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to previous years. Belmont South - Blacksmiths records 19.0% less building activity per person than the Rest of NSW and ranks among the 40th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing homes. Recent construction comprises 73.0% detached houses and 27.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 557 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Belmont South - Blacksmiths will gain 40 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Belmont South - Blacksmiths has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 12 such projects likely to affect this area. Notable among these are Pelican Foreshore Stabilisation Project, Belmont South Foreshore Stabilisation, Swansea Channel Dredging and Sand Transfer System, and Belmont Desalination Plant. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Belmont South - Blacksmiths recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Belmont South - Blacksmiths has a mixed workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Its unemployment rate is 4.3%, showing an employment growth of 2.0% over the past year as of June 2025.

There are 2,719 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 52.3%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment is particularly high, at 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has a low representation of 0.5% compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.0%, labour force grew by 2.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.1%, labour force growth of 0.3%, and an unemployment increase of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May 2025 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belmont South - Blacksmiths' employment mix indicates potential local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2022 shows median income in Belmont South - Blacksmiths was $50,776 and average income was $67,694. This compares to Rest of NSW where median income was $49,459 and average income was $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from July 1, 2022 to September 30, 2025, estimated median income in Belmont South - Blacksmiths would be approximately $57,179 and average income would be around $76,230. According to the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, incomes in Belmont South - Blacksmiths fall between the 16th and 20th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The most common income bracket is $1,500 - $2,999, with 26.0% of locals (1,513 people) earning within this range, similar to the broader area where it represents 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Belmont South - Blacksmiths, with only 82.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 16th percentile nationally.

Belmont South - Blacksmiths is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Belmont South - Blacksmiths, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.2% houses and 22.8% other dwellings (including semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 82.4% houses and 17.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belmont South - Blacksmiths stood at 41.4%, with the rest of the dwellings either mortgaged (27.3%) or rented (31.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,800, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $330, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $370. Nationally, Belmont South - Blacksmiths' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Belmont South - Blacksmiths features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 66.2% of all households, including 23.2% couples with children, 28.0% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 33.8%, with lone person households at 31.7% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Belmont South - Blacksmiths faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 15.2%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (32.4%).

A substantial 23.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.1% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 3.2% in tertiary education. The three schools in Belmont South - Blacksmiths have a combined enrollment of 334 students and offer typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 970) with balanced educational opportunities. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. Local school capacity is limited at 5.7 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 14.6, resulting in many families traveling to nearby areas for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows 59 active transport stops operating in Belmont South - Blacksmiths, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together provide 472 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to public transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 158 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 67 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Belmont South - Blacksmiths is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Belmont South - Blacksmiths faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 53% (~3,108 people) have private health cover, a figure slightly higher than the national average. The most frequent medical issues are arthritis (affecting 12.0% of residents) and mental health problems (9.8%), with 59.8% claiming to be free from medical ailments, compared to 62.6% in Rest of NSW. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 27.5% (1,598 people), higher than the Rest of NSW's 21.4%. Despite this, health outcomes for seniors are notably better than those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Belmont South - Blacksmiths placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Belmont South-Blacksmiths showed lower cultural diversity with 92.1% of its population born in Australia, 92.5% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 52.2%, slightly higher than the regional average of 52.5%. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.0%), Australian (31.8%), and Scottish (8.8%).

Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and Australian Aboriginal (4.9%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.8% and 3.4%, respectively. Maltese also had a higher representation at 0.4%.

Belmont South - Blacksmiths hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Belmont South - Blacksmiths has a median age of 49, which is higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Belmont South - Blacksmiths at 15.7%, compared to the Rest of NSW average of 12% and the national average of 9.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group is under-represented at 9.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 7.9% to 9.1%, while the 55-64 cohort has declined from 16.5% to 14.9% and the 45-54 group has dropped from 13.4% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Belmont South - Blacksmiths' age structure. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 107 people (19%), from 558 to 666, while the 15-24 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to decline in population.