Coal Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Coal Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Coal Point is around 1,753 people. This figure represents an increase of 4 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 1,749. The change was inferred from the resident population estimate of 1,685 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,318 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Coal Point is expected to experience population growth just below the median of regional areas across the nation. By the year 2041, the area is projected to expand by 198 persons, reflecting a total gain of 8.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Coal Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Coal Point had 17 dwelling approvals over five years ending in December 20XX, with an average of three new dwellings approved annually. This low development level is typical of rural areas where housing demand is modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. The small sample size means individual projects can significantly influence annual growth statistics.

Coal Point's development levels are substantially lower than those in the Rest of NSW, and they fall below national averages. New developments consist of 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across different price brackets. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 98.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for affordable housing alternatives. Coal Point has approximately 684 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Coal Point is expected to grow by 150 residents by the year 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Coal Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely affecting the area: Road Rehabilitation - South Parade, Blackalls Park, Temporary works to reopen Fennell Crescent culvert, Blackalls Park, Rathmines Park Transformation, and 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Coal Point well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Coal Point has an educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, having seen a 3.8% employment growth over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025851 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 1.5% below Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation is similar to Rest of NSW at 61.5%. A high 33.9% work from home (Census data), considering Covid-19 impacts. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is lower at 0.5% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by resident-to-working population ratio. In the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, labour force by 4.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.5% and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, varying by industry sector. Applying these projections to Coal Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Coal Point has an exceptionally high national income level based on the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Coal Point is $64,574, with an average income of $91,786. These figures contrast with those for the Rest of NSW, which are $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Using the Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $70,295 (median) and $99,918 (average). According to Census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Coal Point are concentrated at the 71st percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 28.1% of the population (492 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 29.9% in the same category. Notably, 36.6% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout Coal Point. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 89.5% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Coal Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coal Point's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 98.2% houses and 1.8% other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings, contrasting with Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coal Point stood at 53.6%, with mortgaged properties at 36.2% and rented ones at 10.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, exceeding Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Coal Point was $440, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Coal Point's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also higher at $440 against the national figure of $375.

Coal Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 30.8% couples with children, 41.3% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Coal Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Coal Point's educational attainment significantly exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and above, 33.7% hold university qualifications, compared to 18.1% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. This educational advantage is led by Bachelor degrees at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.5% and certificates at 27.1%.

A substantial 22.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.5% in primary education, 5.6% in secondary education, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Coal Point has 21 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 16 different routes that collectively offer 127 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living 130 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 98%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 33.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 18 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Coal Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Coal Point's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Approximately 63% of Coal Point's total population (1,106 people) has private health cover, compared to 51.9% in Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (10.7%) and mental health issues (7.2%). 65.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than Rest of NSW's 63.3%. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. Coal Point has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 27.9%, compared to Rest of NSW's 23.4%. Senior health outcomes in Coal Point align with national rankings, indicating strong performance.

Coal Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coal Point's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Coal Point is Christianity, comprising 53.4% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, making up 0.2% versus 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (33.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Scottish (11.0%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnicities: Welsh is overrepresented at 1.2% compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Irish at 10.6% versus 8.8%, and Russian at 0.3% compared to 0.2%.

Coal Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Coal Point's median age is 51 years, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and considerably older than the Australian median of 38. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in Coal Point at 17.4%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 7.7%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 10.0% to 12.8%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 9.1% to 10.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.4%, and the 15 to 24 group has dropped from 8.9% to 7.7%. By 2041, Coal Point's age composition is expected to shift notably. Leading this demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group is projected to grow by 21%, reaching 242 people from 199. Meanwhile, population declines are forecast for the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts.