Coal Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Coal Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Coal Point is around 1,753. This figure reflects an increase of 4 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,749. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,685, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,318 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch projections for Coal Point are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, Coal Point is expected to expand by 197 persons to reach a total population of 1,950 by the year 2041, reflecting a gain of 7.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Coal Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Coal Point had 17 dwelling approvals over five years, averaging three new dwellings annually. This low development level is characteristic of rural areas with modest housing needs and limited construction activity due to local demand and infrastructure capacity. The small sample size means individual projects can significantly influence annual growth statistics.

Coal Point has lower development levels than the Rest of NSW and national averages. New developments consist of 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across price brackets. This shift from the existing 98.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. Coal Point has approximately 682 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. By 2041, Coal Point is expected to grow by 129 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate).

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Coal Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to affect the area: Road Rehabilitation - South Parade, Blackalls Park; Temporary works for reopening Fennell Crescent culvert, Blackalls Park; Rathmines Park Transformation; and 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development. The following details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Coal Point ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Coal Point has an educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.7% as of the past year's AreaSearch statistical aggregation. Employment growth over this period was estimated at 1.1%.

As of December 2025843 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 1.3%, below Regional NSW's 3.9%. Workforce participation was similar to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 33.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Resident employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services.

Coal Point has a high specialization in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.5% versus the regional average of 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the working population count compared to resident population. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 1.1%, labour force by 2.2%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point unemployment rise. This contrasts with Regional NSW where employment contracted by 1.2%, labour force fell by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Coal Point's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Coal Point's income level is exceptionally high nationally, per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY2023. The suburb's median income among taxpayers is $64,574 and average income stands at $91,786. This compares to Regional NSW's figures of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY2023, current estimates would be approximately $70,295 (median) and $99,918 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Coal Point cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. Income distribution reveals that 28.1% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 29.9% in the same category. Notably, 36.6% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout Coal Point. After housing costs, residents retain 89.5% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Coal Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coal Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, comprised 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coal Point was at 53.6%, with mortgaged properties at 36.2% and rented ones at 10.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure for Coal Point was $440, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Coal Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Coal Point were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $440.

Coal Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.8% of all households, including 30.8% couples with children, 41.3% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households making up 0.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Coal Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Coal Point's educational attainment is notably higher than broader standards. Among residents aged 15 and above, 33.7% have university qualifications, compared to 18.1% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 13.5% and certificates for 27.1%.

A significant 22.8% of the population is currently engaged in formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 5.6% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Coal Point has 21 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 16 different routes that collectively offer 127 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 130 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward using their cars, which remain the dominant mode of transport at 98%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 33.9% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 18 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Coal Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Coal Point's health outcomes show notable results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (1,106 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and 55.7% nationally.

The most common conditions are arthritis (10.7%) and mental health issues (7.2%). 65.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are typical. Coal Point has 28.0% of residents aged 65 and over (490 people), higher than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Senior health outcomes align with national rankings, mirroring general population trends.

Coal Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coal Point, surveyed in June 2016, had a population with 86.0% born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 53.4%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Regional NSW's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Scottish (11.0%). Notably, Welsh (1.2%) and Irish (10.6%) were also overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 8.8%, respectively. Russian ancestry was present at 0.3%, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 0.2%.

Coal Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Coal Point's median age is 51 years, significantly higher than Regional NSW's average of 43 and Australia's median of 38. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented at 17.4% locally compared to the regional average, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 7.8%. This concentration in the 55-64 age group is well above the national figure of 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.0% to 12.8%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 9.1% to 10.4%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.5%, and the 15-24 group dropped from 8.9% to 7.8%. By 2041, Coal Point's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 35-44 group is projected to grow by 17 people, reaching 262 from 224. Population declines are anticipated for the 5-14 and 15-24 cohorts.