Coal Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Coal Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the population of the suburb of Coal Point is estimated at around 1,633 people. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 1,749 people, marking a reduction of 116 individuals (6.6%). The current resident population estimate of 1,628 by AreaSearch, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates a population density ratio of 1,227 persons per square kilometer. This figure is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Interstate migration drove primary population growth in the area, contributing approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Population projections for Coal Point are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered SA2 areas and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of locations outside capital cities, with Coal Point expected to grow by 169 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 10.0% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Coal Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Coal Point has seen minimal construction activity with three new dwellings approved annually on average over the five years from 2016 to 2020, totaling seventeen approvals. This low level of development is typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It should be noted that with such low approval numbers, yearly growth figures and relativities can vary significantly based on individual projects.

Coal Point has shown significantly less construction activity than the Rest of NSW during this period. Development levels have been below national averages as well. New development in Coal Point consists of 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the current housing mix of 98.0% houses. This change reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 675 people per dwelling approval, Coal Point reflects a mature market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Coal Point is projected to add 164 residents by 2041 if current trends continue. However, if current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Coal Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely influencing the area: Road Rehabilitation - South Parade, Blackalls Park (completed 3rd October 2021); Temporary works to reopen Fennell Crescent culvert, Blackalls Park (commenced 1st April 2022); Rathmines Park Transformation (scheduled for completion in June 2023); and 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development (expected commencement in October 2022).

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AreaSearch assessment positions Coal Point ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Coal Point has an educated workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. As of December 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.9%. Over the past year, it maintained relative employment stability.

This rate is 1.1% lower than Regional NSW's 3.9%, while workforce participation is similar at 60.5%. According to Census responses, 33.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for Coal Point residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing is less represented at 0.5% compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally might be limited, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 0.4%, labour force by 1.5%, and unemployment rose by 1.1 percentage points. Comparatively, Regional NSW saw employment decline of 1.2% and unemployment rise by 0.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Coal Point's industry mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.6% in five years and 13.7% in ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Coal Point has a median taxpayer income of $64,574 and an average income of $91,786 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $71,238 (median) and $101,258 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Coal Point cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. The income distribution shows that 28.1% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, consistent with broader trends across the area showing 29.9% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 36.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.5% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Coal Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coal Point's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coal Point stood at 53.6%, with the rest being mortgaged (36.2%) or rented (10.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Coal Point was recorded at $440, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Coal Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Coal Point features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 30.8% couples with children, 41.3% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, comprising 18.4% lone person households and 0.9% group households. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Coal Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Coal Point's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 33.7% have university qualifications, compared to 18.1% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in Rest of NSW. This educational advantage is evident in various credentials: bachelor degrees at 22.4%, postgraduate qualifications at 8.0%, and graduate diplomas at 3.3%. Vocational skills are also prominent, with 40.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.5%) and certificates (27.1%).

Additionally, 22.8% of the population is actively pursuing education, with 8.5% in primary, 5.6% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Coal Point indicates that there are currently 21 operational transport stops serving the area. These stops cater to a mix of bus routes, with a total of 16 individual routes providing service. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 127. The accessibility of transport is considered excellent, with residents typically residing approximately 130 meters from their nearest transport stop. As Coal Point is predominantly residential, most commuting patterns involve outward travel, with the car remaining the primary mode of transportation at a rate of 98%. Residents in the area own an average of 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, which exceeds the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census data, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions, 33.9% of residents work from home. The service frequency across all routes averages approximately 18 trips per day, leading to roughly 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Coal Point's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Coal Point's health outcomes data shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (1,030 people), compared to Regional NSW's 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%. The most common conditions are arthritis (10.7%) and mental health issues (7.2%), while 65.0% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW.

Health outcomes among working-age residents are broadly typical. Coal Point has 27.9% of residents aged 65 and over (455 people), higher than Regional NSW's 23.4%. Health outcomes among seniors rank nationally in line with the general population.

Coal Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coal Point's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Coal Point, comprising 53.4% of people there. However, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.2% compared to Regional NSW's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (33.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Scottish (11.0%). Notably, Welsh (1.2%) is overrepresented in Coal Point versus the regional average of 0.5%, as are Irish (10.6% vs 8.8%) and Russian (0.3% vs 0.2%).

Coal Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Coal Point's median age is 51 years, which is significantly higher than Regional NSW's average of 43 years and considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the regional average, Coal Point has a notably over-represented cohort aged 55-64 (17.3%) and an under-represented group of 15-24 year-olds (7.9%). The concentration of the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 10.0% to 12.6%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 9.1% to 10.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.5% to 11.8%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 16.4% to 15.3%. By 2041, Coal Point is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading this demographic shift, the 35 to 44 group will grow by 21%, reaching 249 people from a starting point of 205. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for both the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts.