Coal Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Coal Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Coal Point is around 1,679 people. This figure reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census population of 1,749 people, marking a decline of 70 individuals (4.0%). AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 1,667, combined with one validated new address since the Census date, supports this decrease. This results in a population density ratio of 1,262 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for Coal Point.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in June 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest that Coal Point will likely experience population growth similar to the median rate seen in regional areas nationwide. By 2041, AreaSearch projects an increase of 201 persons, reflecting a total gain of 13.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Coal Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Coal Point has seen minimal construction activity with three new dwellings approved annually on average over the past five years (15 approvals in total). This low level of development is typical of rural areas where housing demand is modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It should be noted that the small sample size can significantly influence annual growth and relativity statistics.

Coal Point's development levels are substantially lower than those of the Rest of NSW, and they are well below national averages. The new developments consist of 50% detached houses and 50% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 98% houses. This change reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles that require more diverse and affordable housing options. Coal Point has an established market with approximately 1710 people per dwelling approval. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Coal Point is expected to grow by 226 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep up with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Looking ahead, Coal Point is expected to grow by 226 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Coal Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that may affect this region: Road Rehabilitation - South Parade, Blackalls Park; Temporary works to reopen Fennell Crescent culvert, Blackalls Park; Rathmines Park Transformation; and 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development. The following details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Coal Point significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Coal Point has an educated workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 3.6%.

As of June 2025875 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0%, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation was similar to Rest of NSW at 56.4%. Key industries for residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level, but has lower representation in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited, indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. In the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 3.6%, labour force grew by 3.5%, with unemployment remaining stable at 1.7%. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.3%, and unemployment rose to 4.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a five-year growth rate of 6.6% and ten-year growth rate of 13.7%. Applying these projections to Coal Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Coal Point's median income among taxpayers was $64,574 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $91,786 during the same period. This compares to figures for Rest of NSW which were $49,459 and $62,998 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $72,717 (median) and $103,360 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Coal Point cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, 28.1% of the population (471 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. This is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 29.9% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners, at 36.6% above $3,000/week, indicates strong economic capacity throughout Coal Point. After housing costs, residents retain 89.5% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Coal Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coal Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, were 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Non-Metro NSW's 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coal Point stood at 53.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.2% and rented ones at 10.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. Median weekly rent in Coal Point was $440, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Coal Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Coal Point features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 80.8% of all households, including 30.8% couples with children, 41.3% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households making up 0.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Coal Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Coal Point, educational attainment exceeds regional averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 33.7% hold university qualifications, compared to 18.1% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.6% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.5% and certificates at 27.1%.

Currently, 22.8% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.5% in primary, 5.6% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education. Coal Point Public School serves the area with an enrollment of 253 students. The school focuses on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. It has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1067) and exceeds typical residential needs for school places (15.6 per 100 residents vs the regional average of 12.3), indicating it serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Coal Point has 21 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 16 different routes that together offer 147 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 130 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 21 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to around seven weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Coal Point is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Coal Point faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (1,059 people), compared to 51.5% across Rest of NSW, which is higher than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.7% and 7.2% of residents respectively.

However, 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 60.3% across Rest of NSW. Coal Point has 27.9% of residents aged 65 and over (468 people), which is higher than the 21.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Coal Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coal Point, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 86.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 53.4%. Coal Point's Jewish population stood at 0.2%, significantly higher than Rest of NSW's 0.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (33.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Scottish (11.0%). Welsh (1.2%) and Irish (10.6%) were overrepresented, while Russian was slightly more prevalent at 0.3% compared to the regional average of 0.2%.

Coal Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Coal Point is 52 years, significantly higher than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and well above the national norm of 38. The 55-64 cohort is notably over-represented in Coal Point at 17.9%, compared to Rest of NSW's average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.0%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.0% to 11.8%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 9.1% to 10.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 12.0%. Population forecasts for Coal Point in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 35 to 44 age group is projected to grow by 35%, adding 68 residents to reach a total of 267. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 cohorts.