Coal Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Coal Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Coal Point statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 1,754 as of November 2025. This represents an increase of 5 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 1,749. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 1,685 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,318 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends, the Coal Point (SA2) is expected to experience population growth just below the median of regional areas nationally. By 2041, the area is projected to expand by 205 persons, reflecting an overall gain of 8.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Coal Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Coal Point had 17 dwelling approvals over five years, averaging three new dwellings annually. This low development level is typical of rural areas with modest housing needs and limited construction activity due to local demand and infrastructure capacity. The small sample size means individual projects can significantly impact annual growth statistics.

Coal Point's development levels are substantially lower than Rest of NSW and national averages. New developments consist of 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options. This shift from the existing 98.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. Coal Point has approximately 684 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. By 2041, Coal Point is expected to grow by 155 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate).

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Coal Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely affecting the area: Road Rehabilitation - South Parade, Blackalls Park; Temporary works to reopen Fennell Crescent culvert, Blackalls Park; Rathmines Park Transformation; and 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis places Coal Point well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Coal Point has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.3% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.9%.

As of September 2025863 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in professional & technical employment, with a share 1.9 times the regional level, but has lower representation in agriculture, forestry & fishing at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Over the past year, employment increased by 3.9%, labour force by 4.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points.

This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.5%, labour force fell by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Coal Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Coal Point had an extremely high national income level based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $64,574 and the average income stood at $91,786. These figures compared to Rest of NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215 respectively. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Coal Point would be approximately $70,295 (median) and $99,918 (average) as of September 2025. Census data revealed that household, family and personal incomes in Coal Point clustered around the 71st percentile nationally. Income distribution showed that 28.1% of the population (492 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 29.9% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 36.6%, indicated strong economic capacity throughout Coal Point. After housing costs, residents retained 89.5% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Coal Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coal Point's dwelling structures, assessed in the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coal Point stood at 53.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.2% and rented ones at 10.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent figure in Coal Point was $440, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Coal Point's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Coal Point features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 30.8% that are couples with children, 41.3% that are couples without children, and 7.2% that are single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 0.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which matches the average for the Rest of NSW.

Coal Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Coal Point's residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate of 33.7% compared to the SA3 area's 18.1% and Rest of NSW's 21.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.6% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 13.5% and certificates at 27.1%. Currently, 22.8% of the population is engaged in formal education: 8.5% in primary, 5.6% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

A substantial 22.8% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 8.5% in primary education, 5.6% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 21 active stops in Coal Point, served by buses. These stops are covered by 16 routes, offering 127 weekly passenger trips. Residents' access to transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 130 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 18 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Coal Point is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Coal Point faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (1,107 people), compared to 51.7% across Rest of NSW, which is higher than the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.7 and 7.2% of residents respectively, while 65.0% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 60.3% across Rest of NSW.

The area has 27.8% of residents aged 65 and over (487 people), which is higher than the 21.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Coal Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coal Point had a cultural diversity level below average, with 86.0% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 53.4% of Coal Point's population. Notably, Judaism, which had no representation regionally, made up 0.2% of Coal Point's population.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Scottish (11.0%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Welsh was overrepresented at 1.2%, Irish at 10.6%, and Russian at 0.3%.

Coal Point ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Coal Point is 52 years, significantly higher than Rest of NSW's average of 43 years and also above the national norm of 38 years. The 55-64 age cohort is notably over-represented in Coal Point at 17.9%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.0%. This 55-64 concentration is well above the national average of 11.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.0% to 11.9%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 9.1% to 10.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.5% to 12.0%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 16.4% to 15.3%. Population forecasts for Coal Point indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 35 to 44 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 28%, adding 58 residents to reach 267. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 15 to 24 cohorts.