Marks Point

Marks Point is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the estimated population of Marks Point as of February 2026 is around 1,918. This reflects a growth of 57 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,861. The increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 1,899 in June 2024 and 18 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,018 persons per square kilometer. Marks Point's growth rate of 3.1% since the census is close to the SA3 area's growth of 4.1%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these trends, Marks Point is expected to increase by 26 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall growth rate of 0.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Marks Point, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Marks Point had approximately 7 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 38 homes were approved, with 1 more approved in FY-26. This results in an average of about 0.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average value of new dwellings developed is $508,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $42,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Compared to Rest of NSW, Marks Point has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. New building activity shows 75.0% detached dwellings and 25.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (58.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. With around 756 people per dwelling approval, Marks Point reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate Marks Point will gain 7 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Marks Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. One major project identified by AreaSearch is expected to influence this region. Key projects include Belmont Desalination Plant, Swansea Channel Permanent Dredging Solution, Pelican and Blacksmiths developments, Swansea Heads and Caves Beach Local Adaptation Plan, and South East Growth Area Plan. The following details those most relevant:.

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Employment drivers in Marks Point are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Marks Point has an unemployment rate of 5.8%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025836 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Marks Point stands at 54.9%, which is significantly lower than Regional NSW's 61.3%.

According to Census responses, 24.0% of residents work from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 0% compared to Regional NSW's average of 5.3%.

Labour force levels increased by 1.3% over the year to December 2025, while employment declined by 0.8%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 1.9 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw an employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Marks Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Marks Point is $51,242, with an average of $68,316 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is comparable to national averages, contrasting with Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $55,782 (median) and $74,369 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Marks Point fall between the 8th and 20th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 27.4% of locals (525 people) earn between $400 and $799, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 to $2,999 category dominates with 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile.

Marks Point displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Marks Point, as per the latest Census, consisted of 57.6% houses and 42.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marks Point was at 34.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.3% and rented ones at 40.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,800, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Marks Point was $318, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Marks Point's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Marks Point features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.5% of all households, including 20.4% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 40.5%, with lone person households at 38.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Marks Point faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 18.1%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (32.2%).

A substantial 24.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 9.4% in primary education, 5.4% in secondary education, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marks Point has 11 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that collectively provide 439 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Marks Point is rated as good, with residents typically located 208 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 93% of residents. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.0% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 62 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Marks Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Marks Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, both younger and older age cohorts exhibit high prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 54% (~1,034 people) of Marks Point residents have private health cover, compared to the Regional NSW average of 51.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 11.1% of residents) and mental health issues (10.3%), while 59.1% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Working-age population in Marks Point faces substantial health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (27.7%, or 531 people), compared to Regional NSW's 23.4%. National rankings for certain health indicators are even higher than the general population.

Marks Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Marks Point, surveyed in June 2016, had a population with 91.3% being Australian citizens, 89.8% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 52.0% of Marks Point's population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.8%), Australian (30.4%), and Scottish (9.4%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginals were overrepresented at 4.8%, Maltese at 0.6%, and Welsh at 0.6%, compared to regional averages of 4.6%, 0.4%, and 0.5% respectively.

Marks Point hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Marks Point's median age of 48 years is notably higher than Regional NSW's 43 and significantly exceeds the Australian median of 38. The age profile indicates that individuals aged 65-74 are particularly prevalent, comprising 16.4% of the population, which is higher than both Regional NSW and the national average of 9.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows an increase in the 75 to 84 age group from 7.1% to 8.9%, and a rise in the 15 to 24 cohort from 8.7% to 10.0%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 17.3% to 15.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Marks Point's age profile will undergo significant changes. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow steadily, with an increase of 34 people (17%) from 209 to 244. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 15 to 24 and 5 to 14 cohorts.