Kilaben Bay

Kilaben Bay has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Kilaben Bay's population is estimated at around 1,744. This reflects an increase of 228 people (15.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,516 people. The current resident population estimate of 1,727 by AreaSearch follows examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,083 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kilaben Bay's growth rate exceeds that of the non-metro area (5.1%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are utilised. Projected demographic shifts indicate an above median population growth for locations outside capital cities, with Kilaben Bay expected to increase by 213 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a reduction of 0.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kilaben Bay, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kilaben Bay averaged around 7 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 35 homes were approved, with another 3 so far in FY-26.

This averages to approximately 0.5 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these years. New construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $706,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Compared to Rest of NSW, Kilaben Bay records roughly half the building activity per person, placing it among the 53rd percentile nationally.

New building activity comprises 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% attached dwellings, expanding medium-density options across price brackets. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 95.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Kilaben Bay shows around 305 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developing market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Kilaben Bay has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Two projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Toronto Foreshore Revitalisation and Rathmines Park Transformation. Additionally, two mixed-use developments are planned: 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development and 136-138 Brighton Avenue Apartment Development.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Kilaben Bay maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Kilaben Bay has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.6%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6% over the past year as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025777 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate aligns with Rest of NSW's rate at 3.7%. Workforce participation is 59.4%, slightly higher than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Kilaben Bay has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.9% of Kilaben Bay's workforce compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending Jun-25, employment increased by 1.6% while labour force grew by 2.0%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.1% and labour force growth of 0.3%, with a similar rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Kilaben Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Kilaben Bay has a median taxpayer income of $61,564 and an average income of $87,507 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is significantly higher than the national median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998 in Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $69,327 and an average income of around $98,542 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 77th percentile ($2,186 weekly), while personal income sits at the 60th percentile. Income analysis reveals that the highest earning bracket in Kilaben Bay is $1,500 - 2,999 with 28.5% of residents (497 people). This mirrors regional levels where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Kilaben Bay shows considerable affluence with 33.7% earning over $3,000 per week, indicating strong purchasing power and supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income, reflecting the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Kilaben Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Kilaben Bay, as per the latest Census, 94.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.3% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilaben Bay stood at 46.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.5% and rented ones at 12.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,036, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent in Kilaben Bay was $390, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Kilaben Bay's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Kilaben Bay features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.3% of all households, including 34.8% couples with children, 38.2% couples without children, and 7.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.7%, with lone person households at 17.2% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Kilaben Bay demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.8% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA3 area average of 18.1% and that of Rest of NSW at 21.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 43.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.2% and certificates at 29.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education. Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilaben Bay has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together offer 178 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these services is rated as excellent with residents typically located just 139 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 25 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kilaben Bay is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Kilaben Bay faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 61% of its total population (1,071 people) has private health cover, compared to 51.5% across Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.3 and 8.6% of residents respectively.

65.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 60.3% across Rest of NSW. As of 2016 data, 23.2% of Kilaben Bay's residents are aged 65 and over (404 people), higher than the 21.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors in Kilaben Bay perform better than the general population in health metrics.

Kilaben Bay is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kilaben Bay had a cultural diversity level below the average, with 89.4% of its population born in Australia, 93.1% being citizens, and 96.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kilaben Bay, making up 53.8% of people, compared to 54.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (34.1%), Australian (29.0%), and Scottish (9.5%).

Notably, Welsh (1.6%) was overrepresented in Kilaben Bay versus the regional average (0.7%), as were Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.1%) and Polish (0.8% vs 0.6%).

Kilaben Bay hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kilaben Bay has a median age of 46, which is higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and significantly greater than Australia's national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 15.5% of Kilaben Bay's population, higher than Rest of NSW's percentage but lower than the national average of 9.4%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up only 8.2% of Kilaben Bay's population. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 11.2% to 13.5%, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 14.6% to 12.8%. By 2041, Kilaben Bay's demographic is projected to shift significantly. Notably, the 35-44 age group is expected to grow by 15 people, reaching 270 from 235. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 15-24 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.