Blackalls Park

Blackalls Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Blackalls Park is around 2,933. This reflects a growth of 121 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,812. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,821 in Jun 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 964 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 4.3% since census is within 1.6 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (5.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For future projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia's SA2-level projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by 397 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 9.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blackalls Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Blackalls Park has seen around 10 residential properties approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 52 homes were granted approval, with a further 3 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about one person has moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years.

This suggests new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current expectations. The average expected construction cost of new homes is $706,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. This financial year has seen $1.4 million in commercial development approvals recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. However, compared to the rest of NSW, Blackalls Park has significantly less development activity, at 59.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% medium and high-density housing, offering a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This represents a shift from the area's current housing stock, which is predominantly houses (88.0%). The location has approximately 947 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Blackalls Park will gain 286 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Blackalls Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to affect this region: Toronto Foreshore Revitalisation, 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, and Rathmines Park Transformation.

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Employment performance in Blackalls Park has been broadly consistent with national averages

Blackalls Park has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 2.7%.

As of September 2025, 1,383 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% lower than Rest of NSW's 3.8%. Workforce participation is at 61.5%, similar to Rest of NSW. Home workership stands at 16.9%, considering Covid-19 impacts. Primary industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by working population vs resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.7%, labour force by 3.5%, raising unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment decline by 0.5% and labour force decline by 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blackalls Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Blackalls Park's median income among taxpayers is $48,950. The average income in the suburb is $69,578. This is slightly above the national average. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Blackalls Park would be approximately $53,287 (median) and $75,743 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Blackalls Park rank modestly, between the 25th and 30th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The predominant income bracket in Blackalls Park is $1,500 - 2,999, with 33.7% of locals (988 people) falling into this category, mirroring the broader area where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Blackalls Park, with only 84.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 31st percentile.

Blackalls Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Blackalls Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blackalls Park was 40.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Blackalls Park was $350, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Blackalls Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Blackalls Park has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.3% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 29.7%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Blackalls Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.9%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common type of university qualification in the area at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15 and above, with 44.4% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (33.2%).

A total of 24.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, with 9.1% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blackalls Park has 11 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a total of 25 different routes, offering 507 weekly passenger trips combined. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically residing 292 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Blackalls Park residents commute outwards, with cars being the predominant mode of transportation at 95%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 72 trips per day, equating to around 46 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Blackalls Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Blackalls Park faces significant health challenges as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial, affecting both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~1,596 people) have private health cover, slightly higher than Rest of NSW at 51.9%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common conditions, impacting 11.0% and 10.6% respectively. Around 59.4% report no medical ailments, lower than Rest of NSW's 63.3%. Working-age residents have notably high chronic condition rates. The area has 23.2% aged 65 and over (680 people). Senior health outcomes align with national rankings.

The latest Census data sees Blackalls Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blackalls Park, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity with 90.9% born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 97.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated at 50.9%, compared to 55.9% regionally (Rest of NSW). Top ancestral groups were English (33.7%), Australian (31.4%), Scottish (9.1%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal were overrepresented at 4.9% vs regional 4.6%, Russians at 0.4% vs 0.2%, and Samoans at 0.2% vs 0.1%.

Blackalls Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Blackalls Park's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of NSW's average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are prominent at 12.7%, while the 45-54 group is smaller at 9.3% compared to Rest of NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.3% to 12.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 11.2% to 9.3%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 13.3% to 12.2%. Population forecasts for Blackalls Park in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 25-34 cohort projected to grow by 23%, adding 85 residents to reach 458. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 65-74 cohorts.