Blackalls Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Blackalls Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Blackalls Park is around 2,997, reflecting an increase of 185 people since the 2021 Census. This growth rate of 6.6% exceeds the non-metro area's average of 5.1%. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Blackalls Park by AreaSearch in June 2024 indicated a resident population of 2,962, with an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to the increase. This results in a population density ratio of 985 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Interstate migration accounted for approximately 60% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area.

For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Blackalls Park is expected to grow by 378 persons to the year 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 7.3% over the 17-year period. This growth rate is just below the median for locations outside capital cities.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blackalls Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Blackalls Park shows around 11 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 56 homes were approved, with another three so far in FY-26. On average, 0.9 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This suggests new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $706,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $985,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Blackalls Park has significantly less development activity, at 56.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% medium and high-density housing, showing an expanding range of medium-density options. This represents a shift from the area's existing housing, which is currently 88.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles. The location has approximately 568 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate Blackalls Park will gain 219 residents through to 2041, from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Blackalls Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely influencing the region: Toronto Foreshore Revitalisation, 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, 136-138 Brighton Avenue Apartment Development, and Rathmines Park Transformation.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Blackalls Park exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Blackalls Park has a diverse workforce that includes both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 2.7% as of June 2025.

This is lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%, which stood at 3.6% in June 2024. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.4%. As of June 2025, there were 1,396 residents employed, with a workforce participation rate of 56.4%, similar to Rest of NSW's rate. The key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Blackalls Park has a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share that is 1.3 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.0% of Blackalls Park's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the comparison between Census working population and resident population numbers. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4% while labour force increased by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.1% and a labour force growth of 0.3%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insights into potential future demand within Blackalls Park. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Blackalls Park's employment mix suggests that local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.1% over ten years. These figures are based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and do not take into account localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Blackalls Park had a median taxpayer income of $48,950 and an average of $69,578. Nationally, the median was lower at $43,133 with an average of $62,288. Rest of NSW's median was $49,459 and average was $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes would be approximately $55,123 (median) and $78,352 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks Blackalls Park's household, family, and personal incomes modestly, between the 25th and 30th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 33.7% of locals (1,009 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader area where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Blackalls Park, with only 84.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 31st percentile.

Blackalls Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Blackalls Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blackalls Park stood at 40.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900. Median weekly rent in Blackalls Park was $350, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Blackalls Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Blackalls Park has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.3 percent of all households, including 26.9 percent couples with children, 28.5 percent couples without children, and 14.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 29.7 percent, with lone person households at 27.1 percent and group households making up 2.7 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Blackalls Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.9%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 33.2%.

A total of 24.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 9.1% in primary, 6.4% in secondary, and 3.0% in tertiary education. Blackalls Park Public School serves the area with an enrollment of 212 students, operating under varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 947). It focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. The area has 7.1 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 12.3, suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates ten active public transport stops operating within Blackalls Park as of March 2021. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling twenty-five individual routes that collectively facilitate four hundred ninety-nine weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically situated two hundred ninety-two meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages seventy-one trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately forty-nine weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Blackalls Park is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Blackalls Park faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 54% (~1631 people) have private health cover, higher than the 51.5% average across Rest of NSW.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, impacting 11.0% and 10.6% of residents respectively. However, 59.4% report being free from medical ailments, slightly lower than the 60.3% average in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.3% (698 people), compared to 21.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly similar to those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Blackalls Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blackalls Park had a cultural diversity score below average, with 90.9% of its residents born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 97.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Blackalls Park, accounting for 50.9% of the population, compared to 54.0% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.7%), Australian (31.4%), and Scottish (9.1%).

Notably, some ethnic groups had different representations: Australian Aboriginal was higher at 4.9% in Blackalls Park versus the regional average of 4.5%, Russian was higher at 0.4% compared to 0.2%, and Samoan was lower at 0.2% compared to 0.3%.

Blackalls Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Blackalls Park's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of NSW's average of 43 but older than Australia's average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 make up 13.2% of the population, while those aged 45-54 comprise 9.9%. Between 2021 and now, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has grown from 10.3% to 12.2%, while those aged 45-54 have declined from 11.2% to 9.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Blackalls Park. The cohort aged 25-34 is projected to grow by 25%, adding 91 residents to reach a total of 463. Conversely, declines are projected for those aged 5-14 and 65-74.