Blackalls Park

Blackalls Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Blackalls Park's population is estimated at around 2,933 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 121 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,812. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,821 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 964 persons per square kilometer. Blackalls Park's growth rate of 4.3% since census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of the Rest of NSW's growth rate of 5.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of locations outside capital cities, with Blackalls Park expected to grow by 393 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 9.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blackalls Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Blackalls Park recorded around 10 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 52 homes were approved, with another 3 so far in FY-26. Over these past five financial years, an average of 0.6 people moved to the area per dwelling built.

This suggests new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth. The average expected construction cost value for new homes over this period was $706,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $1.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Comparatively, Blackalls Park has significantly less development activity than the rest of NSW, at 59.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% medium to high-density housing, expanding the range of medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets. The location currently has approximately 944 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Blackalls Park will gain 281 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Blackalls Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to influence the area: Toronto Foreshore Revitalisation, 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, and Rathmines Park Transformation.

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Blackalls Park has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Blackalls Park has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.8%. Over the past year, employment has been relatively stable.

As of December 2025, 1,367 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, slightly below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is similar to Regional NSW at 61.3%. According to Census data, 16.9% of residents work from home. The key industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Blackalls Park specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0% of Blackalls Park's workforce compared to 5.3% in Regional NSW. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.4%, labour force by 1.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced employment decline of 1.2% and labour force decline of 0.8%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blackalls Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The latest postcode level ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows Blackalls Park's median income among taxpayers is $48,950, with an average of $69,578. This is slightly above the national average and compares to Regional NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,287 (median) and $75,743 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Blackalls Park rank modestly between the 25th and 30th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 33.7% of locals (988 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, mirroring the broader area where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 31st percentile.

Blackalls Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Blackalls Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blackalls Park was 40.3%, aligned with Regional NSW, with the rest being mortgaged (38.2%) or rented (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733, and weekly rent was $350, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Blackalls Park's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,600 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less at $350 than the national figure of $375.

Blackalls Park has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.3% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 29.7%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Blackalls Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.9%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (33.2%).

A total of 24.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 9.1% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 3.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blackalls Park has 11 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes that together facilitate 507 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents living an average of 292 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 95%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 46 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Blackalls Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Blackalls Park faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is relatively high at approximately 54% of the total population (around 1,596 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 11.0% and 10.6% of residents respectively. About 59.4% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with higher chronic condition rates. The area has 23.7% of residents aged 65 and over (695 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally in line with the overall population.

The latest Census data sees Blackalls Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blackalls Park, as per the census conducted on 27 June 2016, displayed a low level of cultural diversity with 90.9% of its residents born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 97.8% using only English at home. Christianity was identified as the predominant religion, accounting for 50.9% of Blackalls Park's population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (33.7%), Australian (31.4%), and Scottish (9.1%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher than the regional average at 4.9%, while Russian (0.4%) and Samoan (0.2%) groups were also slightly overrepresented compared to Regional NSW's 0.2% and 0.1% respectively.

Blackalls Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Blackalls Park has a median age of 42 years, similar to Regional NSW's average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are particularly prominent at 12.8%, while the 45-54 group is smaller at 9.4% compared to Regional NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.3% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 11.2% to 9.4%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 13.3% to 12.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Blackalls Park, with the strongest projected growth in the 25-34 cohort at 23%, adding 84 residents to reach 460. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 cohorts.