Blackalls Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Blackalls Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Blackalls Park statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,932 people. This figure reflects an increase of 120 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,812 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,821 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of approximately 964 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively inline with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Blackalls Park (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 4.3% since the census, positioning it within 1.4 percentage points of the non-metro area's growth rate of 5.7%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Interstate migration contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the Blackalls Park (SA2).

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for non-metropolitan areas nationally, with the Blackalls Park (SA2) expected to grow by 389 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 10.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blackalls Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Blackalls Park shows around 10 residential properties granted approval annually. From FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 52 homes were approved, with 3 more approved so far in FY-26. Over these five years, an average of 1 person moved to the area per dwelling built.

This suggests new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing buyers with more options and enabling population growth. The average expected construction cost value for new homes over this period was $706,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. In FY-26, Blackalls Park has recorded $1.4 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to the rest of NSW, however, Blackalls Park has significantly less development activity, with 59.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% medium and high-density housing, showing an expanding range of medium-density options. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 88.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Blackalls Park has approximately 947 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate it will gain 295 residents by 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Blackalls Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects that may affect this region: Toronto Foreshore Revitalisation, 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, 136-138 Brighton Avenue Apartment Development, and Rathmines Park Transformation. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment performance in Blackalls Park has been broadly consistent with national averages

Blackalls Park has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate is 3.4%.

In the past year, there has been an estimated employment growth of 2.8%. As of September 2025, 1,378 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% below Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is at par with Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 0.0% of Blackalls Park's workforce compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.8%, labour force by 3.6%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blackalls Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Blackalls Park's median income among taxpayers is $48,950. The average income in the suburb is $69,578. Nationally, the median income is lower at $41,871 with an average of $67,333. In Rest of NSW, the median income is $52,390 and the average is $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Blackalls Park would be approximately $53,287 (median) and $75,743 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Blackalls Park rank modestly, between the 25th and 30th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 33.7% of locals (988 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader area where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Blackalls Park, with only 84.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 31st percentile.

Blackalls Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Blackalls Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blackalls Park stood at 40.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,900, and the median weekly rent was $350, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $380. Nationally, Blackalls Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Blackalls Park has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 70.3% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.7%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households comprising 2.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Rest of NSW average.

Blackalls Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 14.9%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity indicates a need for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 33.2%.

A total of 24.6% of the population is currently engaged in formal education, including 9.1% in primary, 6.4% in secondary, and 3.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Blackalls Park shows that there are currently 11 operational transport stops. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with a total of 25 different routes providing weekly passenger trips numbering 507. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average being located just 292 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 72 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 46 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Blackalls Park is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Blackalls Park faces significant health challenges, affecting both younger and older age groups. Approximately 54% (~1,596 people) have private health cover, compared to 51.7% across Rest of NSW.

The most prevalent conditions are mental health issues (11.0%) and arthritis (10.6%), with 59.4% reporting no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 60.3% in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.4% (686 people), compared to 21.9% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly similar to those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Blackalls Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blackalls Park was found to have low cultural diversity, with 90.9% of its population born in Australia, 94.5% being citizens, and 97.8% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, practiced by 50.9%. This compares to 54.0% across Rest of NSW.

The top three ancestry groups are English (33.7%), Australian (31.4%), and Scottish (9.1%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation is higher at 4.9% compared to the regional average of 4.5%, Russian at 0.4% vs 0.2%, and Samoan at 0.2% vs 0.3%.

Blackalls Park hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Blackalls Park's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of NSW's average of 43, but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent at 13.3%, while the 45-54 group is smaller at 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.3% to 12.2% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.2% to 9.9%. By 2041, forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Blackalls Park. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 28%, adding 101 residents to reach 465. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts.