Bolton Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bolton Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Bolton Point is estimated at around 2,201. This reflects an increase of 77 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,124 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,142 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,310 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bolton Point's growth rate of 3.6% since census positions it within 2.3 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (5.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Interstate migration contributed approximately 85.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for Bolton Point, expected to grow by 527 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 21.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bolton Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bolton Point has had minimal residential development with only 1 dwelling approval annually over the past five years, totalling 5. This low activity is typical of rural areas due to modest housing needs and limited construction by local demand and infrastructure capacity. Yearly growth figures can vary significantly based on individual projects.

Bolton Point's development levels are substantially lower than Rest of NSW and below national averages. Recent developments have been entirely standalone homes, aligning with rural living preferences for space and privacy. With approximately 1102 people per dwelling approval, Bolton Point reflects a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bolton Point is expected to grow by 468 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bolton Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No changes can significantly impact an area's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that are likely to affect the area. Notable projects include 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, 136-138 Brighton Avenue Apartment Development, Rathmines Park Transformation, and Costco Lake Macquarie Warehouse, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bolton Point face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bolton Point has a balanced workforce across white and blue collar jobs, with prominent essential services sectors. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 9.7%. The area's unemployment rate is 5.8% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%, indicating room for improvement.

Workforce participation in Bolton Point lags at 53.2%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census responses, 18.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Health care & social assistance employs 1.2 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.6%, below Regional NSW's 5.3%.

The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities. In the 12-month period ending December 2025, labour force increased by 1.0% and employment decreased by 2.8%, causing unemployment to rise by 3.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional NSW, where employment contracted by 1.2%, labour force fell by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bolton Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for local population changes.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Bolton Point's median income among taxpayers was $45,037 in financial year 2023. The average level stood at $58,637. This is below the national average of $52,390 and regional NSW levels of $65,215. By September 2025, current estimates project median income to be approximately $49,027 and average income to be around $63,832 based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Bolton Point fall between the 14th and 14th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 30.0% of the population (660 individuals) have incomes within the $800 - $1,499 range, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bolton Point, with only 82.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Bolton Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Bolton Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 85.3% houses and 14.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bolton Point was at 27.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.7% and rented ones at 40.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Bolton Point was $267, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Bolton Point's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Bolton Point has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.1% of all households, including 22.8% that are couples with children, 28.5% that are couples without children, and 19.7% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.2% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Bolton Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 11.4% of residents holding one. Postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas follow at 3.3% and 1.6% respectively. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ possessing them.

Advanced diplomas account for 10.9%, while certificates make up 29.3%. Educational participation is high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bolton Point has 18 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 31 different routes, offering a total of 488 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents typically living just 149 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 96% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 69 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bolton Point is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Bolton Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 50% (~1,104 people) have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues impact 13.6% of residents, while arthritis affects 11.4%. Conversely, 54.3% report having no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. The working-age population experiences notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. As of 2021, 22.4% (493 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Bolton Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bolton Point's cultural diversity was below average, with 90.3% born in Australia, 92.0% being citizens, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 50.6%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 0.8%, compared to Regional NSW's 0.8%.

Ancestry showed Australian as the top group (31.4%), followed by English (30.6%) and Australian Aboriginal (8.4%). Notably, Welsh (0.8% vs regional 0.5%), Polish (0.9% vs regional 0.5%), and Spanish (0.4% vs regional 0.3%) were overrepresented.

Bolton Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Bolton Point's median age in 2021 was 42 years, similar to Regional NSW's average of 43 but older than Australia's average of 38 years. The age profile showed that those aged 75-84 were particularly prominent at 10.1%, while the 65-74 group was smaller at 9.5% compared to Regional NSW. Since 2021, Bolton Point has become younger with its median age dropping by 1 year from 43 to 42. Key changes included the growth of the 35-44 age group from 10.4% to 12.5%, and the increase of the 25-34 cohort from 11.3% to 12.7%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 13.2% to 11.0%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%. Population forecasts for Bolton Point in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes. The 35-44 age group is projected to grow by 42%, adding 115 residents to reach a total of 391. Meanwhile, the 65-74 cohort is projected to decline by 0 people.