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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
An assessment of population growth drivers in Bolton Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of May 2026, the estimated population of Bolton Point is around 2,188. This reflects an increase of 64 people (3.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,124 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,183, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,302 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Bolton Point's 3.0% growth since census positions it within 1.9 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (4.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 85.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of Australian non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 484 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 21.9% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in Bolton Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
Bolton Point has had minimal residential development activity in recent years. From 2017 to 2021 inclusive, there were a total of five dwelling approvals, averaging approximately one annually. This low level of development is typical of rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity.
It should be noted that with such low approval numbers, yearly growth figures can vary significantly based on individual projects. Compared to the Rest of NSW and national averages, Bolton Point has substantially lower development levels. The recent development in Bolton Point has been entirely standalone homes, reflecting rural living preferences for space and privacy. With around 1074 people per dwelling approval, the market in Bolton Point is highly mature.
According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Bolton Point is expected to grow by 479 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Bolton Point
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Bolton Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
No infrastructure changes are expected in this area, as AreaSearch has identified no projects that will impact it.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Tingira Hills Care Community
Tingira Hills Care Community (formerly Opal Hillside) is a major residential aged care facility in the Lake Macquarie region. It offers 120-128 beds across various room types including single en-suite and companion rooms, catering to permanent, respite, dementia, and palliative care needs. The facility features a dedicated Memory Care Neighborhood, a Wellness Centre for rehabilitation, an on-site cafe, hairdressing salon, and a community bus for outings. Architecturally, it was specifically engineered to manage variable founding conditions and ground movement associated with local mine subsidence.
High Speed Rail - Newcastle to Sydney (Line 1)
High Speed Rail Line 1 will connect Newcastle to Sydney on a new dedicated 194km rail line with trains capable of speeds up to 320 km/h on surface sections and 200 km/h in tunnels. Around 115km of the route will run through tunnels. The line will reduce travel time between Newcastle and Sydney to around one hour, with Central Coast trips of about 30 minutes. Six stations are proposed at central Newcastle (Broadmeadow), Lake Macquarie, the Central Coast (Gosford), Sydney Central, Parramatta and Western Sydney International Airport. Following release of the business case in early 2026, the project moved into a two-year Development Phase, with the Australian Government investing a further $230 million for design refinement, environmental and planning approvals, and corridor preservation. The first two major contract packages went to tender in 2026: Area Package 1 (around 35km of twin TBM tunnels, an underground station and associated civil works) and Trains, Systems and Systems Integration (supply of trains, design of all systems, rail depot and operations control centre). The Newcastle to Sydney section is estimated to cost around $61.2 billion by 2039, with a further $32 billion to extend to Western Sydney International Airport by 2042. The project is forecast to support up to 15,000 construction jobs annually at peak and add around $250 billion to the Australian economy over a 50-year appraisal period.
Hunter Transmission Project
A critical 110 km overhead 500 kV transmission line project connecting Bayswater Power Station to a new switching station in Olney State Forest near Eraring. As of May 2026, the project is under assessment following the February 2026 lodgement of the Submissions and Amendment Reports. It serves as the northern section of the Sydney Ring, designed to transfer renewable energy from the Central-West Orana and New England REZs. Infrastructure includes new switching stations at Bayswater South and Olney, plus upgrades to existing substations. Environmental surveys are ongoing through May 2026, with a final government determination expected later this year.
Costco Lake Macquarie Warehouse
The Costco Lake Macquarie Warehouse is a 14,000 sqm retail facility and fuel station located on the former Pasminco smelter site in Boolaroo, NSW. It opened on September 21, 2021, providing bulk retail services, contributing to local employment with over 225 jobs, and supporting the area's redevelopment.
Lake Macquarie Square
A sub-regional shopping centre located in Mount Hutton, 14km from Newcastle's CBD. The project, originally a $60 million redevelopment completed in 2019 by Charter Hall, consolidated Lake Macquarie Fair and Mount Hutton Plaza into a single, modern retail destination with approximately 24,000 m2 of prime retail space. The centre is anchored by BIG W, Coles, and Woolworths, with over 70 specialty stores, a medical precinct, childcare, and a 24-hour gym. Revelop acquired the asset in February 2025 for $122.5 million.
Swansea Channel Permanent Dredging Solution
A permanent dredging solution for Swansea Channel, the entrance to Lake Macquarie, involving a Beaver 30 dredge vessel and sand transfer system to maintain safe navigation for vessels, with sand pumped to Blacksmiths Beach. The project includes upgrades to the Blacksmiths boat ramp and aims to address ongoing sand accumulation issues.
Rathmines Park Transformation
Comprehensive redevelopment of Rathmines Park into a regional recreation destination. Features a $2+ million transformation including Lake Macquarie's biggest skate park, new pump track, youth activity areas, upgraded playground equipment, new playground, learn-to-ride area, youth hub, sports facilities, walking trails, and waterfront amenities. Enhanced connection to Lake Macquarie foreshore with improved accessibility and parking.
Mount Hutton Precinct Area Plan
A precinct-specific planning framework forming Part 12 of the Lake Macquarie Development Control Plan 2014. Originally adopted by Council on 10 February 2020 to replace the 2004 plan, it sets controls for infrastructure delivery, built form and natural environment outcomes across the Mount Hutton suburb between Warners Bay and Belmont. The plan supports medium-density housing in the R3 zone south of Cowmeadow Road, road and roundabout upgrades, new shared pathways, stormwater works, and revegetation along Scrubby Creek. The framework has been progressively updated, most recently through the city-wide Housing Diversity amendments adopted by Council on 23 February 2026, which align the DCP with the Housing Diversity Planning Proposal that took effect on 1 August 2025. These reforms permit a broader mix of housing in R2 and R3 zones, allow subdivision down to 200 square metres in R3 and 250 square metres in R2, and remove minimum lot width requirements. A separate but related amendment finalised on 21 March 2025 rezoned 1 Progress Road from R2 Low Density Residential to E1 Local Centre, increasing the maximum building height on that site from 8.5 to 10 metres to support an expansion of the Dunkley Parade shops.
Employment
Employment conditions in Bolton Point face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally
Bolton Point has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area. According to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data, the unemployment rate was 9.2% as of December 2025.
In December 2025822 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 5.2% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation in Bolton Point was at 50.6%, significantly lower than Regional NSW's 60.5%. Based on Census responses, 18.1% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.
Health care & social assistance employs 1.2 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.6%, below Regional NSW's 5.3%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, with fewer working residents than residents overall. In a 12-month period ending in May-25, Bolton Point's labour force increased by 0.4% while employment decreased by 3.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 3.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional NSW where employment contracted by 1.2%, the labour force fell by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Bolton Point's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released in financial year 2023, Bolton Point had a median income among taxpayers of $45,037 and an average income of $58,637. These figures are below the national averages of $52,390 (median) and $65,215 (average). Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Bolton Point as of March 2026 would be approximately $49,685 (median) and $64,688 (average). From the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Bolton Point all fall between the 14th and 14th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 30.0% of Bolton Point's population falls within the $800 - $1,499 income range, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bolton Point, with only 82.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Bolton Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region
Bolton Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.3% houses and 14.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW which had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bolton Point was at 27.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.7% and rented ones at 40.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Bolton Point was $267, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Bolton Point's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Bolton Point has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households constitute 72.1% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 19.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.2% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Bolton Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators
The area's university qualification rate is 16.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 10.9% and certificates make up 29.3%.
Educational participation is high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.8% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Bolton Point has 18 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a total of 31 bus routes, offering 488 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 149 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the primary mode of transportation, used by 96% of residents. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, which is below the regional average.
According to the 2021 Census, 18.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 69 trips per day, translating to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Bolton Point is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts
Bolton Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across various health conditions that affect both younger and older age groups.
Approximately 50% of Bolton Point residents have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues (13.6%) and arthritis (11.4%), while 54.3% of residents report having no medical ailments, lower than the Regional NSW average of 63.3%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors, with 22.5% of residents aged 65 and over (492 people). Health outcomes among seniors are generally in line with national rankings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Bolton Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics
Bolton Point's population showed low cultural diversity, with 90.3% born in Australia and 92.0% being citizens. English was the language spoken at home by 94.5%. Christianity dominated religiously with 50.6%.
The 'Other' religion category was similarly represented at 0.8%, matching Regional NSW's figure. Ancestry-wise, Australian (31.4%), English (30.6%), and Australian Aboriginal (8.4%) were the top groups. Some ethnicities showed notable differences: Welsh at 0.8% vs regional 0.5%, Polish at 0.9% vs regional 0.5%, and Spanish at 0.4% vs regional 0.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Bolton Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average
Bolton Point's median age is 42 years, similar to Regional NSW's average of 43 but considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are particularly prominent at 10.1%, while the 65-74 group is comparatively smaller at 9.9% compared to Regional NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 10.4% to 12.2% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 11.3% to 12.4%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 11.4%. Population forecasts for Bolton Point indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 35 to 44 age group shows the strongest projected growth at 44%, adding 117 residents to reach 384. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 cohort grows by a modest 1% (1 person).