Bolton Point

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bolton Point reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Bolton Point is estimated at around 2,201 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 77 people (3.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,124 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,142, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,310 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bolton Point has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.7%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 85.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of Australian non-metropolitan areas is projected, with Bolton Point expected to grow by 566 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 26.2% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bolton Point according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bolton Point had five dwelling approvals from 2016 to 2020 inclusive. This totals one annual approval on average, characteristic of rural areas with modest housing needs and limited construction activity due to local demand and infrastructure capacity. Yearly growth figures can vary significantly based on individual projects given such low approval numbers.

Bolton Point's development levels are substantially lower than Rest of NSW and below national averages. Recent development comprised solely standalone homes, aligning with rural living preferences for space and privacy. With approximately 1101 people per dwelling approval, Bolton Point reflects a mature market. AreaSearch estimates indicate Bolton Point is expected to grow by 576 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may not meet population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bolton Point has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No infrastructure changes are anticipated in this area as AreaSearch has identified zero projects likely to impact it. Key initiatives include 114-120 Cary Street Mixed Use Development, 136-138 Brighton Avenue Apartment Development, Rathmines Park Transformation, and Costco Lake Macquarie Warehouse.

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Employment conditions in Bolton Point face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Bolton Point's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 8.2% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3%. As of September 2025866 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 4.3%, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation in Bolton Point is lower at 53.4% compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, 18.1% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Health care & social assistance employs 1.2 times the regional level but agriculture, forestry & fishing is below Rest of NSW's rate at 0.6%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 1.3% while labour force rose by 3.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment contracted by 0.5%, labour force fell by 0.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bolton Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Bolton Point is below the national average. The median income is $45,037 and the average income is $58,637. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures, where the median income is $52,390 and the average income is $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Bolton Point as of September 2025 would be approximately $49,027 (median) and $63,832 (average). From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Bolton Point all fall between the 14th and 14th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 30.0% of locals (660 people) predominantly earn within the $800 - 1,499 category, differing from metropolitan regions where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bolton Point, with only 82.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Bolton Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Bolton Point's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.3% houses and 14.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bolton Point stood at 27.7%, with the rest being mortgaged (31.7%) or rented (40.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Bolton Point was $267, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Bolton Point's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,517 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Bolton Point has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.1% of all households, including 22.8% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 19.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.9%, with lone person households at 26.2% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Bolton Point shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area has university qualification rates of 16.3%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (29.3%). Educational participation is high at 27.3%, with 9.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bolton Point has 18 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a total of 31 different routes, offering 488 weekly passenger trips combined. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 149 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, and cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 96%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling in Bolton Point, which is lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 18.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 69 trips per day, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per stop on average.

Health performance in Bolton Point is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Bolton Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~1,104 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 13.6 and 11.4% of residents respectively. However, 54.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, lower than the 63.3% across Rest of NSW. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 22.3% of residents aged 65 and over (490 people), which is lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Bolton Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Bolton Point, as per the census data from June 2016, showed a low level of cultural diversity with 90.3% of its population born in Australia, 92.0% being citizens, and 94.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 50.6% of Bolton Point's population. The 'Other' category, comprising 0.8%, was proportionally similar to the Rest of NSW region (0.8%).

In terms of ancestry, Australian-born parents made up 31.4%, English-born 30.6%, and Australian Aboriginal 8.4%. Notably, Welsh ancestry was overrepresented at 0.8% compared to 0.5% regionally, Polish at 0.9% versus 0.5%, and Spanish at 0.4% against 0.3%.

Bolton Point hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Bolton Point's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of NSW's average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 75-84 are prominent at 9.9%, while the 65-74 group is smaller at 9.6% compared to Rest of NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 10.4% to 12.6%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 13.2% to 11.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Bolton Point. The 35-44 age group is projected to grow by 48%, adding 133 residents to reach 411. Meanwhile, the 65-74 cohort grows by a modest 3% (5 people).