Valentine

Valentine is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Valentine is around 5762, a decrease of 11 people from the 2021 Census figure of 5773. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5756, based on examination of the latest ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of three new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 1173 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed around 94% of overall population gains during recent periods. For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered SA2 areas and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb's population is projected to decline by 291 persons overall, while specific age cohorts like those aged 85 and over are expected to grow, with an increase of 103 people in this cohort anticipated.

The level of residential development activity in Valentine is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Valentine has averaged around 5 new dwelling approvals each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 29 homes were approved.

As of FY-26, no new dwellings have been approved yet. On average, over these past 5 years, 0.4 new residents arrived per new home built, indicating that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand. The average construction cost value of new dwellings in Valentine is $716,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Compared to the rest of NSW, Valentine records significantly lower building activity, 76.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Nationally, building activity in Valentine is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows a composition of 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 1044 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Given that population is expected to remain stable or decline, Valentine should see reduced pressure on housing in the future, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Valentine has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of one project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Bareki Road, Eleebana to Valentine Shared Path, Woolworths Belmont North Supermarket Development, Brooks Parade Belmont Mixed Use Development, and Belmont North Community Recycling Centre. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Valentine rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Valentine has an educated workforce with key sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 0.8%, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of June 2025, Valentine had 3,120 residents employed, with a 2.9% lower unemployment rate and 62.4% workforce participation compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Major industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, construction. It has significant specialization in professional & technical services (1.5 times the regional level).

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.4% compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Over June 2024 to June 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force by 2.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.1%, labour force expand by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Valentine's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Valentine's median taxpayer income was $54,034 with an average of $72,487 according to AreaSearch's postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2022. This is notably higher compared to Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. As of September 2025, estimated incomes based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $60,848 (median) and $81,628 (average). According to census data, incomes in Valentine cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, 29.9% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, a figure that mirrors surrounding regions. A substantial proportion, 34.0%, have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Valentine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Valentine, as per the latest Census evaluation, 88.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 12.0% being other types such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 82.4% houses and 17.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Valentine stood at 49.2%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 39.5% and rented ones for 11.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,096, exceeding Non-Metro NSW's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Valentine was recorded at $490, higher than Non-Metro NSW's figure of $370. Nationally, Valentine's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,096 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Valentine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.2% of all households, including 37.4% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households making up 1.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Valentine shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 29.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of NSW average of 21.3% and the SA3 area average of 23.5%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.2% and certificates at 26.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.2% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education. Valentine Public School serves the local educational needs within Valentine, with an enrollment of 527 students as of a recent report. The area exhibits above-average socio-educational conditions, indicated by its ICSEA score of 1079. There is one school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.2, below the regional average of 14.6, suggesting some students may attend schools in nearby regions.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 71 active stops operating in Valentine, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 24 different routes, collectively providing 366 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 128 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 52 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Valentine is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Valentine faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (3,202 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 8.0% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point three percent declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.6% across Rest of NSW. Twenty-three point three percent of residents are aged 65 and over (1,342 people), higher than the 21.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Valentine is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Valentine's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 88.7% having been born in the country. A high proportion of residents were also citizens, at 94.9%, and English was spoken exclusively at home by 95.9%. Christianity was the primary religion, practiced by 53.2% of Valentine's population.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented compared to the rest of NSW, comprising 0.2% of Valentine's population. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.5%), Australian (29.8%), and Scottish (8.7%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences in representation: Welsh at 1.0%, South African at 0.6%, and Polish at 0.8%.

Valentine hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Valentine's median age is 46, which is higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and significantly greater than Australia's national norm of 38. The age group of 45-54 shows strong representation at 13.9% compared to Rest of NSW, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 6.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, Valentine's population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 11.3% to 13.3%, and conversely, the age group of 55 to 64 has declined from 13.9% to 12.9%. By 2041, Valentine is projected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The demographic shift will be led by the 85+ age group, which is expected to grow by 71%, reaching 247 people from a starting point of 144. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those aged 65 and above comprising 65% of projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups of 0 to 4 and 35 to 44.