Mannering Park

Mannering Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Mannering Park's population is estimated at around 2,633 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 79 people (3.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,554 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,589, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 369 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Mannering Park's 3.1% growth since census positions it within 0.6 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb of Mannering Park's population expected to reduce by 123 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 70 people.

The level of residential development activity in Mannering Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Mannering Park shows an average of around 3 new dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling approximately 16 homes. As of FY26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. The area has experienced population decline, with housing supply remaining adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $221,000, which is under regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers.

This financial year has seen $169,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mannering Park shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 71.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this activity is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated population per dwelling approval in Mannering Park is 1272 people. Given stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Mannering Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Colongra Sporting Complex, Lake Munmorah Recreation Facility, Lakes Ridge Residential Estate, and Alliance Avenue and Wyee Road Intersection Upgrade, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mannering Park remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Mannering Park has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 4.2% and an estimated employment growth of 2.2% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of September 2025, 1,173 residents are employed, matching Greater Sydney's 4.2% unemployment rate.

However, workforce participation is lower at 57.2%. About 16.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with levels at 1.8 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical jobs are under-represented at 2.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Local employment opportunities seem limited based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.2% while labour force grew by 3.2%, raising the unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney's employment growth was 2.1% with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mannering Park's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Mannering Park had a median income among taxpayers of $54,112. The average income stood at $65,625. This was slightly lower than the national average and compared to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,906 (median) and $71,439 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Mannering Park all fall between the 19th and 28th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 34.3% of the population (903 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Mannering Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mannering Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 94.6% houses and 5.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mannering Park stood at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Mannering Park was $378, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Mannering Park's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,625 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $378 than the national figure of $375.

Mannering Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 71.1% of all households, including 25.7% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 18.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 24.8% and group households comprising 3.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Mannering Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This indicates a need for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.6%) and certificates (36.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mannering Park has 21 operating public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are covered by 20 different routes that together facilitate 294 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is considered excellent with residents usually located 143 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Mannering Park's predominantly residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 96% of residents. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 42 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mannering Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mannering Park faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,392 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 10.6% and 10.6% of residents respectively. However, 60.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 22.6% of residents aged 65 and over (595 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The latest Census data sees Mannering Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Mannering Park, as per the 2016 Census, had a population with 90.7% born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 53.7%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.5%), English (31.9%), and Scottish (7.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 5.9% compared to the regional average of 1.3%. Maltese and Maori populations were also slightly higher than the regional averages, at 0.9% and 0.6% respectively.

Mannering Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

Mannering Park's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mannering Park has a notably higher percentage of residents aged 75-84 (10.1% locally) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.5%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.8% to 10.1%, and the 85+ cohort increased from 1.4% to 2.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.9% to 11.8%. Demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Mannering Park's age profile by 2041. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 86%, adding 60 residents to reach 132. All growth will be among residents aged 65 and older, while population declines are anticipated for the 45 to 54 and 65 to 74 cohorts.