Mannering Park

Mannering Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of Mannering Park is around 2,633. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census count of 2,554 people, representing a growth of 79 individuals (3.1%). The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 2,589, based on examination of the ABS's ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of one new address since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 369 persons per square kilometer for Mannering Park. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% to the overall population gains in recent periods, driving the suburb's growth fundamentals close to that of its SA4 region (3.1% vs. 3.7%).

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Applying these projections from 2032 to 2041 indicates an overall population decline of 121 persons by 2041 but anticipates growth in specific age cohorts, notably the 85 and over age group expecting an increase of 70 people.

The level of residential development activity in Mannering Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Mannering Park averaged approximately 3 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 16 homes. As of FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $221,000, below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year, Mannering Park has seen $169,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mannering Park shows significantly reduced construction activity (71.0% below the regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this activity is also below average, potentially indicating planning constraints or area maturity. Recent development has consisted entirely of standalone homes, maintaining Mannering Park's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1273 people, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Mannering Park may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Mannering Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No factors can influence a region's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Colongra Sporting Complex, Lake Munmorah Recreation Facility, Lakes Ridge Residential Estate, and Alliance Avenue and Wyee Road Intersection Upgrade, with the following list outlining those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Mannering Park demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Mannering Park has a diverse workforce consisting of both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 3.4%.

As of December 2025, 1,185 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.3% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Mannering Park is at 58.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census data, 16.6% of residents work from home, with Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction jobs are particularly high at 1.8 times the regional average. However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented at 2.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on resident population versus working population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.4% while labour force grew by 3.8%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mannering Park's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Mannering Park had a median income among taxpayers of $54,112 and an average level of $65,625. This is lower than national averages of $60,817 in Greater Sydney and $83,003 nationally. With Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median income for Mannering Park as of September 2025 would be approximately $58,906, with the average at $71,439. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Mannering Park all fall between the 19th and 28th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 34.3% of Mannering Park's population (903 individuals) have incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, similar to metropolitan trends at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Mannering Park, with only 82.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Mannering Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census data shows that Mannering Park had 94.6% houses and 5.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mannering Park was at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented dwellings at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Mannering Park was $378, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Mannering Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Mannering Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 71.1% of all households, including 25.7% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 18.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 24.8% and group households comprising 3.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Mannering Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 7.6% and certificates at 36.0%. Educational participation is high, with 27.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.6% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 2.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mannering Park has 21 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 20 different routes that collectively offer 294 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Mannering Park is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 143 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 16.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 42 trips per day, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mannering Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mannering Park faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial, affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~1,392 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.6% and 10.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 60.1% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 74.6% reported across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.9%, with 576 people compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly inline with national rankings for the general population.

The latest Census data sees Mannering Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Mannering Park's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 90.7% of its population born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, making up 53.7% of Mannering Park's population compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.5%, regional average 17.8%), English (31.9%, regional average 19.0%), and Scottish (7.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.9% vs regional 1.3%), Maltese (0.9% vs 1.0%), and Maori (0.6% vs 0.4%) were overrepresented in Mannering Park.

Mannering Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

Mannering Park's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Mannering Park at 9.8%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.8% to 9.8% of Mannering Park's population, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 1.4% to 2.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 13.9% to 11.6%, and the 65 to 74 age group has dropped from 10.8% to 9.4%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mannering Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 86%, adding 60 residents to reach 132. This growth is driven entirely by demographic aging, as residents aged 65 and older represent all anticipated population growth. However, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 65 to 74 age cohorts.