Mannering Park

Mannering Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The population of Mannering Park, as estimated by AreaSearch using ABS ERP data from June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date, is around 2,604 as of Nov 2025. This figure represents an increase of 50 people (2.0%) compared to the population of 2,554 recorded in the 2021 Census. The estimated resident population used for this calculation was 2,603. Mannering Park's growth rate since the census, at 2.0%, is within 1.1 percentage points of its SA4 region's growth rate of 3.1%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains in recent periods for the suburb. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections indicate an overall population decline of 78 persons by 2041, but growth is anticipated within specific age cohorts, notably the 75 to 84 age group which is projected to increase by 80 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Mannering Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Mannering Park averaged around 2 new dwelling approvals each year over the past 5 financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 14 homes.

As of April 2022, 0 approvals have been recorded in FY-26. Population decline in Mannering Park has resulted in adequate housing supply relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mannering Park has significantly less development activity, 75.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Nationally, this is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development in Mannering Park has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving its low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1272 people. With stable or declining population forecasts, Mannering Park may experience less housing pressure, favourable for buyers.

Mannering Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No factor impacts a region's performance more than changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could significantly affect this area. Notable projects include Colongra Sporting Complex, Lake Munmorah Recreation Facility, Lakes Ridge Residential Estate, and Alliance Avenue and Wyee Road Intersection Upgrade, with the following list highlighting those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Mannering Park has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mannering Park's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar employees. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 4.0% and estimated employment growth of 2.0% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of June 2025, 1,167 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 54.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 2.9% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.0%, labour force by 3.0%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand in Mannering Park. Over five years, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Mannering Park's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Income data from AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO records for financial year 2022 indicates that Mannering Park has an average national income. The median income is $54,112 and the average income stands at $65,625. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $56,994 with an average of $80,856. Based on a 12.61% growth in Wage Price Index since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $60,936 (median) and $73,900 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mannering Park fall between the 19th and 28th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 34.3% of locals (893 people), earning between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, which aligns with the regional average of 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Mannering Park, with only 82.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile nationally.

Mannering Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Mannering Park, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs from Sydney metro's figures of 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mannering Park stood at 33.7%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged properties making up 37.5% and rented dwellings accounting for 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Mannering Park was $1,625, lower than the Sydney metro average of $1,900. The median weekly rent figure in Mannering Park was $378, slightly higher than the national average of $375 but below Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Mannering Park's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863.

Mannering Park has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 71.1% of all households, including 25.7% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 18.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 24.8% and group households comprising 3.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Mannering Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 9.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 7.6% and certificates at 36.0%. Educational participation is high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.6% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 2.3% in tertiary education.

Mannering Park Public School serves the area, enrolling 213 students and focusing exclusively on primary education (ICSEA: 932). Secondary options are available in surrounding areas. The school places per 100 residents is 8.2, below the regional average of 13.6.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Mannering Park has 21 active public transport stops operating. These are a mix of bus stops. There are 20 individual routes serving these stops, providing a total of 293 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 143 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 41 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mannering Park is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mannering Park faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Both younger and older age groups have a notable prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has approximately 53% private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.3%. Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 10.6% of residents each. About 60.1% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 61.5%. Around 21.7% of Mannering Park's population is aged 65 and over (565 people). The health outcomes among seniors are challenging but generally align with the overall population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Mannering Park placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Mannering Park had a cultural diversity level below average, with 90.7% of its population born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 53.7% of Mannering Park's population, compared to 56.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (34.5%), English (31.9%), and Scottish (7.2%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.9%) was overrepresented in Mannering Park compared to the regional average of 4.5%. Maltese and Maori populations were also slightly higher at 0.9% and 0.6%, respectively.

Mannering Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Mannering Park's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Mannering Park has a notably over-represented cohort of 75-84 year-olds (9.7% locally) and an under-represented group of 25-34 year-olds (10.8%). Post the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.8% to 9.7%, while the 85+ cohort increased from 1.4% to 2.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 13.9% to 12.2%, and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 10.8% to 9.5%. Demographic modeling indicates Mannering Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 85+ cohort projected to grow by 97%, adding 62 residents to reach 128. This growth is driven entirely by residents aged 65 and older. Conversely, population declines are anticipated for the 65 to 74 and 45 to 54 age groups.