Summerland Point - Gwandalan

Population growth drivers in Summerland Point - Gwandalan are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Summerland Point - Gwandalan's population was around 7,067 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 575 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,492 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,915 in June 2024 and an additional 256 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population resulted in a density ratio of 769 persons per square kilometer. Summerland Point - Gwandalan's growth rate exceeded both its SA4 region (3.1%) and SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is projected to grow by 1,269 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 15.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Summerland Point - Gwandalan among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Summerland Point - Gwandalan recorded approximately 70 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 353 homes. As of FY26, 45 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.8 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. The average construction value of new homes was $395,000.

In FY26, $460,000 in commercial approvals were registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, Summerland Point - Gwandalan had 149.0% more new home approvals per person as of the latest data. The area's residential nature was demonstrated by a higher proportion of standalone homes (87.0%) compared to townhouses or apartments (13.0%). With around 74 people per approval, Summerland Point - Gwandalan reflected a developing area.

According to AreaSearch's quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 1,117 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Summerland Point - Gwandalan has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. One major project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the region: Crangan Bay Residential Estate. Other key projects include South East Growth Area Plan, Central Coast Desalination Plant, and Draft Greater Newcastle Metropolitan Plan 2036. The following details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Summerland Point - Gwandalan exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Summerland Point - Gwandalan had, as of September 2025, an unemployment rate of 3.3%. This was a decrease from the previous year's rate of 5.2%, indicating employment growth of 2.9% in the area over that period.

The unemployment rate for Greater Sydney during this time was 4.2%. Summerland Point - Gwandalan's workforce participation rate was 53.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The key industries employing residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Notably, employment in construction was at 1.9 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services had a lower representation, with only 4.4% of the workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, while the labour force grew by 3.6%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.7 percentage points. Statewide in NSW, as of 25-November 2025, employment had contracted by 0.03% (a loss of 2,260 jobs), with the state's unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Summerland Point - Gwandalan's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Summerland Point - Gwandalan SA2's median income among taxpayers was $48,369 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $58,775 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Sydney of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $54,468 (median) and $66,187 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank at the 23rd percentile, family incomes at the 29th percentile, and personal incomes at the 22nd percentile in Summerland Point - Gwandalan. Income analysis shows that 31.9% of the population falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, with 2,254 individuals in this category. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into the same income bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile.

Summerland Point - Gwandalan is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Summerland Point - Gwandalan's dwellings were 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings) in the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Summerland Point - Gwandalan was 40.1%, with mortgaged properties at 39.7% and rented dwellings at 20.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,753, below Sydney metro's $1,900. Median weekly rent in the area was $395, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Summerland Point - Gwandalan's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Summerland Point - Gwandalan has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 74.9% of all households, including 27.8% couples with children, 33.0% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.1%, with lone person households at 23.1% and group households making up 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Summerland Point - Gwandalan faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.4%, considerably lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.3%) and certificates (37.5%). Educational participation is high, with 25.8% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.6% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 2.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 2.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 32 active stops operating between Summerland Point and Gwandalan. These stops offer a mix of bus services, with 22 individual routes providing a total of 234 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 204 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 33 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 7 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Summerland Point - Gwandalan is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Summerland Point - Gwandalan faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have a notable prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is relatively low in the area, at approximately 49% (~3,469 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.4%) and mental health issues (9.5%). However, 61.0% of residents report having no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 61.5%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.3% (1,717 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 22.3%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Summerland Point - Gwandalan is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Summerland Point-Gwandalan, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity: 88.9% were born in Australia, 92.9% were citizens, and 96.1% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (56.6%), slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 56.2%. Top ancestral groups were English (31.7%), Australian (31.1%), and Irish (9.2%).

Notably, Maltese were overrepresented (1.8% vs regional 1.0%), Australian Aboriginal was equally represented (4.5%), and Hungarian was slightly overrepresented (0.3% vs 0.2%).

Summerland Point - Gwandalan hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Summerland Point - Gwandalan is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Summerland Point - Gwandalan has a higher percentage of residents aged 75-84 (9.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.0%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 years increased from 7.3% to 9.4%, while the age group of 15 to 24 years grew from 10.8% to 11.9%. Conversely, the age groups of 65 to 74 and 45 to 54 years decreased from 13.5% to 12.3% and 13.6% to 12.4%, respectively. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Summerland Point - Gwandalan's age structure. The age group of 65 to 74 years is expected to grow by 30%, from 868 to 1,130 people. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 62% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both age groups of 0 to 4 years and 5 to 14 years are projected to decrease in numbers.