Noraville

Noraville has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Noraville statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,982 people. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 3,001 people, marking a change of -19 people (-0.6%). The current resident population estimate of 2,964 comes from AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,694 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth in the Noraville (SA2) was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections indicate an above median population growth is projected for the area to 2041, with an expected increase of 413 persons reflecting a total rise of 13.3% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Noraville is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Noraville averaged approximately one new dwelling approval per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, an estimated seven homes were approved, with one additional approval in FY26 to date. Despite a decline in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $366,000. This financial year, Noraville recorded $2.0 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Noraville has significantly less development activity, at 89.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, also being below national averages, suggesting possible planning constraints. All new construction in Noraville has been comprised of detached houses, maintaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

The location has approximately 5944 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Noraville is projected to add 396 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Noraville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of four projects that are expected to impact the area. Among these key projects are the Toukley Desalination Water Treatment Plant, the 5-8 Beach Parade Residential & Retail Development, the Seabreeze Royale Development Site at 11 Beach Parade, and the Mixed-Use Development at 139 Main Road. The following list provides details on those projects that are likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Noraville shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Noraville has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7%.

As of September 2025, 1,413 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.5% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 56.5%, below Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction employment is notably high, at 1.9 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 5.5% of employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, labour force by 3.4%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% with a 0.2 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noraville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not consider localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Noraville is $52,984 and average income stands at $63,177. This is lower than national figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003 for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $57,678 (median) and $68,774 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Noraville rank modestly between the 34th and 34th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 31.2% of locals (930 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Noraville with only 81.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noraville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.8% houses and 8.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noraville was 36.2%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (34.8%) or rented (29.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Noraville was $2,000, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $1,900. Median weekly rent in Noraville was $370, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Noraville's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Noraville has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.6% of all households, including 28.4% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 26.6% and group households making up 3.2%. The median household size is 2.5 people, matching the Greater Sydney average.

Educational outcomes in Noraville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 33.2%. Educational participation is high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.6% in primary, 7.2% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.2% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noraville has 28 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 30 individual routes that collectively facilitate 752 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Noraville is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 159 meters from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 107 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Noraville is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Noraville faces significant health challenges, affecting both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is held by approximately 52% of Noraville's total population (~1,548 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, impacting 10.2% and 9.9% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 61.5% across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.6% (673 people). Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly consistent with the general population's health profile.

Noraville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Noraville was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 89.5% of its population born in Australia. 92.6% were citizens and 97.0% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 55.8% of people in Noraville, compared to 56.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.8%), English (29.6%), and Irish (10.4%). Notably, Maltese were overrepresented at 1.2%, Australian Aboriginal at 5.5%, and French at 0.6%.

Noraville's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Noraville is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 13.9% of Noraville's population, compared to the less prevalent 25-34 cohort at 10.4%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.3% to 8.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.8% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 12.4% to 10.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Noraville. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 49%, reaching 372 people from the previous 250. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting Noraville's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.