Noraville

Noraville has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Noraville's population is estimated at around 2,976, a decrease of 25 people from the 2021 Census figure of 3,001. This decline reflects an inferred resident population of 2,965, as estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 1,690 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in Noraville during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Noraville is expected to grow by 413 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Noraville is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noraville has seen approximately one new home approval annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling six homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, with new supply likely keeping pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $366,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Compared to Greater Sydney, Noraville has significantly less development activity, 91.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, though development activity has increased in recent periods. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Noraville reflects a highly mature market with around 1981 people per dwelling approval.

Looking ahead, Noraville is expected to grow by 402 residents through to 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Noraville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely affecting this region. Notable projects are Central Coast Desalination Plant, 5-8 Beach Parade Residential & Retail Development, Seabreeze Royale Development Site (11 Beach Parade), and Mixed-Use Development 139 Main Road. Relevant details follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Noraville has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Noraville has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6%.

As of June 2025, 1,410 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 56.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have limited presence at 5.5% compared to the regional 11.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, while labour force rose by 3.0%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point unemployment rise. In contrast, Greater Sydney had an employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noraville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Noraville's median taxpayer income was $52,984 and average income was $63,177 in financial year 2022, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $59,665 and average income around $71,144. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly in Noraville, between the 34th and 34th percentiles. Income analysis reveals 31.2% of the population (928 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Noraville, with only 81.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noraville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noraville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.8% houses and 8.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 83.2% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noraville was 36.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.8% and rented dwellings at 29.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, higher than Sydney metro's $1,900. The median weekly rent figure was $370, compared to Sydney metro's $385. Nationally, Noraville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 compared to the national figure of $375.

Noraville has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 69.6% of all households, including 28.4% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 26.6% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Educational outcomes in Noraville fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (33.2%). Educational participation is high at 26.9%, comprising primary education (9.6%), secondary education (7.2%), and tertiary education (3.1%).

Noraville's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,025 students, serving typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 962). These schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. The area functions as an education hub, offering 34.4 school places per 100 residents, above the regional average of 13.6, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note that for schools showing 'n/a' in enrollments, please refer to their parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noraville has 28 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 30 different routes that together facilitate 705 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is excellent, with residents typically located just 159 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 100 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Noraville is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Noraville faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups.

The rate of private health cover in Noraville is 52%, which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 49.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 10.2% and 9.9% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.7% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 61.5% across Greater Sydney. Noraville has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 22.7% (675 people), compared to the general population's health profile.

Noraville is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Noraville was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 89.5% of its population born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 97.0% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Noraville is Christianity, comprising 55.8% of the population, compared to 56.2% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups in Noraville are Australian (30.8%), English (29.6%), and Irish (10.4%).

Notably, Maltese is overrepresented at 1.2%, Australian Aboriginal at 5.5%, and French at 0.6%, compared to regional percentages of 1.0%, 4.5%, and 0.4% respectively.

Noraville hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Noraville is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 has a strong representation at 13.9% compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 10.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.3% to 8.4% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.8% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 12.4% to 10.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Noraville, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 49%, reaching 372 people from 249. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 55% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.