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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Gorokan is $849k, with units at $600k. House values have moved 5.5% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Gorokan has an estimated 8,803 residents, up from 8,624 at the 2021 Census — a change of 179 people, or 2.1%. That puts 2,858 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS population revisions with new addresses confirmed after the Census, the suburb of Gorokan has an estimated Aug 2026 population of approximately 8,803. This indicates an expansion of 179 people (2.1%) from the 8,624 residents documented in the 2021 Census. Such movement is derived from an estimated resident base of 8,796 established via the ABS June 2025 ERP release, alongside 41 new addresses validated following the Census. The suburb's density stands at 2,858 persons per square kilometer, positioning it within the upper quartile among areas evaluated nationwide by AreaSearch.
With a 2.1% increase since the census, the suburb of Gorokan trails the broader SA4 region (3.4%) by 1.3 percentage points, displaying resilient growth dynamics. Recent population gains were almost exclusively propelled by overseas migration. SA2 geographic projections produced by ABS/Geoscience Australia (issued in 2024 using a 2022 baseline) are utilized by AreaSearch, supplemented where necessary by NSW State Government SA2 projections (released in 2022 using a 2021 baseline). Age-specific expansion rates derived from these datasets are projected across all locations between 2032 and 2041. Looking forward, the suburb of Gorokan is anticipated to register population gains slightly below the median of AreaSearch study areas, adding 566 persons by 2041 according to consolidated SA2 modeling, representing an overall increase of 6.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
83 new dwellings have been approved in Gorokan over the past five years, an average of 16 a year. That is 2.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 22 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 73% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 28, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch shows that the suburb has maintained an average of approximately 16 residential approvals annually, accumulating roughly 83 dwellings across the past 5 financial years. In FY-25 to date, 28 approvals have been logged. With an average of only 0.7 additional residents per constructed dwelling annually across the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), residential construction is keeping pace with or exceeding local demand, broadening purchaser opportunities and supporting population gains above baseline projections. The mean construction value of new dwellings is $262,000, sitting below regional benchmarks and delivering relatively economical housing choices.
Furthermore, $2.2 million in commercial building approvals has been recorded this financial year, pointing to subdued commercial building activity. In terms of per-capita residential approvals, the area delivers approximately two-thirds of Greater Sydney's rate and sits at the 39th percentile nationally, constraining supply variety and channeling demand toward established dwellings. This volume trails the nationwide benchmark, highlighting the locality's established urban fabric and prospective zoning constraints. The pipeline comprises 73.0% detached dwellings alongside 27.0% townhouses or apartments, reinforcing a low-density suburban layout with spacious properties tailored for families. A density of roughly 390 people per approval underscores a mature residential development landscape. Projections indicate that the area will absorb an additional 559 residents up to 2041, based on recent AreaSearch quarterly modeling. While current residential construction tracks this trajectory adequately, prospective buyers may encounter tightening competition as population numbers rise.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Gorokan
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Gorokan, worth an estimated $1.83 billion. A further 17 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $3.98 billion. 6 are already under construction and 6 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic infrastructure and development initiatives serve as vital catalysts for local evolution, with AreaSearch identifying 3 key projects poised to influence the locality. Notable schemes encompass the Lake Haven Centre Redevelopment, the Kanwal-Lake Haven-Gorokan Growth Corridor (Warnervale East / Greater Warnervale), the Gorokan Waterfront Masterplan & Foreshore Revitalisation, and the Madison Rise Estate.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Gorokan Waterfront Masterplan & Foreshore Revitalisation
Council-led long term revitalisation of the Gorokan foreshore along Tuggerah Lake, delivering staged improvements including foreshore public domain upgrades, shared pathways, improved lake access, landscaping, recreation facilities and supporting aquatic infrastructure. The Wallarah Point Peace Park playspace has been completed as an early stage, while broader foreshore improvements continue to be delivered progressively through Council capital works and waterways programs.
Kanwal-Lake Haven-Gorokan Growth Corridor (Greater Warnervale)
The Greater Warnervale Structure Plan guides the long-term growth of the Warnervale East corridor, accommodating population growth to 64,044 by 2041. It features major masterplanned communities like Rosella Rise by AVID Property Group, delivering house and land estates supported by local parks, schools, and transport links.
The Sanctuary Estate Hamlyn Terrace
The Sanctuary is a masterplanned house and land estate located in Hamlyn Terrace on the NSW Central Coast. The development offers registered residential lots for detached family homes in close proximity to schools, Wyong Hospital, local shops, and the M1 motorway.
Yeramba Estates Hamlyn Terrace Development
A residential land subdivision located in the Hamlyn Terrace precinct of the Central Coast. The project involves the creation of low-density residential lots designed for family homes, leveraging proximity to the Wyong Hospital and local educational facilities. The estate is part of the broader North Wyong Shire Structure Plan to manage population growth in the region.
Cedarwood Estate
Master-planned residential community in Hamlyn Terrace, offering quality house and land packages for families and investors. The estate features 91 new homes fully serviced with underground power, sewerage, and NBN connectivity. Located near the Pacific Highway and M1 Motorway, with easy access to Wyong Hospital, schools, and major shopping centres.
Madison Rise Estate
Madison Rise is a premium residential estate by Allam Property Group situated on elevated land in Woongarrah, Central Coast. The development features 177 turnkey homes with modern inclusions, located near Mackillop Catholic College, Warnervale train station, and the M1 Pacific Motorway. The final stage is scheduled for release in early 2026.
Warnervale Town Centre - Woolworths
Approved modification for construction and operation of Warnervale Shopping Centre within the Parklands Central Coast masterplanned community. The project includes a Woolworths neighbourhood shopping centre with retail, commercial, medical centre and e-commerce facilities, 489 at-grade car parking spaces, earthworks, road works and supporting infrastructure.
Toukley Desalination Water Treatment Plant
A proposed seawater desalination facility adjacent to the existing Toukley Sewage Treatment Plant on Wilfred Barrett Drive, being advanced as a plan-ready drought response project under the Central Coast Water Security Plan. The reverse osmosis facility has an initial design capacity of 30 ML/day with provision for expansion up to 40 ML/day, activated only if dam storage falls below critical triggers. Central Coast Council is currently preparing the Environmental Impact Statement with specialist support from GHD.
3,758 residents of Gorokan are employed, from a labour force of 4,041. Unemployment sits at 7.0%, with participation at 55.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 7,019, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Gorokan's workforce displays a diverse distribution across blue-collar and professional occupations, anchored by essential industries. Aggregated statistical data from AreaSearch indicates a local unemployment rate of 7.0% and annual job growth of 3.1%. As of March 2026, employed locals tally 3,758, while joblessness sits 2.9% above the 4.1% recorded for Greater Sydney. Workforce participation is comparatively muted at 55.2%, trailing Greater Sydney's 68.9%. Census records show 18.5% of workers worked from home, a metric influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. The primary employment sectors for residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
Health care & social assistance represents a notable regional strength, maintaining a concentration 1.4 times higher than the broader region. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 3.2% of the local workforce relative to 11.5% regionally. Comparing Census worker tallies against total resident numbers indicates that local employment capacity remains relatively limited within this residential setting. AreaSearch assessment of SALM and ABS metrics indicates that in the 12 months leading to March 2026, local employment grew by 3.1% alongside a 3.2% expansion in the labour force, keeping unemployment stable. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Sydney recorded employment and labour force gains of 1.9% and 1.9% respectively, accompanied by a slight drop in unemployment. Broader labor trends are illustrated by Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 national projections across five- and ten-year horizons. Across Australia, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though industry trajectories diverge. Applying these sector forecasts to the local occupational breakdown points to potential employment growth of 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years (representing a proportional extrapolation without factoring in local demographic shifts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Gorokan is $1,156 a week (about $60,000 a year), with median personal income at $613 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,520 a year against an average of $55,850. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode records for financial year 2023 published by AreaSearch show median taxpayer earnings in Gorokan at $46,520 and average earnings at $55,850. These figures sit below nationwide standards and trail Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Applying a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 adjusts current estimates to roughly $51,321 for median income and $61,614 for average income as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household levels, Census earnings sit between the 10th and 13th percentiles nationwide. The largest earnings segment comprises 29.4% of residents (2,588 people) in the $800 - 1,499 bracket, contrasting with the regional predominance of the $1,500 - 2,999 tier at 30.9%.
Affordability constraints are acute, with remaining income at 78.9%, ranking at the 8th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Gorokan had 3,492 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 78% detached houses and 18% apartments. 30% are owned with a mortgage, 38% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $350 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,603 a month. Rent absorbs 30.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 32.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census figures indicate that housing stock in the suburb consists of 78.3% separate houses and 21.6% semi-detached, apartment, or alternate dwellings, whereas Sydney metro records 55.9% houses and 44.1% alternate structures. Outright property ownership reaches 31.9%, outpacing Sydney metro, while 29.9% of homes carry a mortgage and 38.2% are occupied by tenants. Median monthly mortgage commitments stand at $1,603 and weekly rents at $350, well beneath Sydney metro's respective figures of $2,427 and $470. These costs are also more affordable than national benchmarks of $1,863 for mortgages and $375 for rent.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Gorokan counted 3,492 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 20% are couples with children, fewer than in 86% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 33% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 62.7% of local households, encompassing couples without children (23.2%), couples with children (20.3%), and single parent arrangements (17.9%). Non-family living situations make up 37.3%, driven by single-person households at 33.2% and group living at 4.0%. The typical household size is 2.3 people, below Greater Sydney's median of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
10.3% of adults in Gorokan hold a university qualification, including 7.4% with a bachelor degree and 1.7% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 90% of areas nationally. A further 34.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 600 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 910 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels present an area for development, with university degree attainment standing at 10.3% compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees represent 7.4% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.7% and graduate diplomas at 1.2%. Technical training is widespread, with 43.9% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including 9.2% with advanced diplomas and 34.7% with certificates. Formal study engagement is substantial, with 27.1% of the local population attending educational institutions. This comprises 9.5% attending primary schools, 7.2% enrolled in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Gorokan reaches 47 stops on 49 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity within Gorokan comprises 47 bus stops operating across 49 separate routes, delivering 1,269 weekly services. Walkability to transit is strong, with an average distance of 178 meters to the nearest stop. Commuters primarily travel out of the suburb, with private vehicles accounting for 93% of journeys and vehicle ownership standing at 1.1 per dwelling. In addition, 18.5% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census during pandemic conditions. Across all transit routes, frequency averages 181 trips per day, translating to roughly 27 weekly services for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
57.0% of residents in Gorokan report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 93% of areas nationally. 9.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Public health metrics compiled by AreaSearch indicate notable challenges across age brackets, with elevated rates of chronic illness and mortality. Private health insurance uptake is comparatively low, covering approximately 49% of residents (~4,319 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationwide. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most prevalent diagnoses, recorded among 11.7 and 11.4% of residents respectively, whereas 57.0% report no medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Chronic conditions also feature heavily among working-age locals. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 22.0% of the community (1,936 people), outpacing Greater Sydney's 15.5%, with elderly health metrics broadly matching national patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Gorokan is largely Australian-born, at 87.1% of residents, with 6.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.8%) and Australian (31.1%). 5.3% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures rank below national benchmarks, with 88.8% holding Australian citizenship, 87.1% born within Australia, and 94.0% speaking only English at home. Christianity forms the primary religious affiliation at 53.2% of residents. Judaism accounts for 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestral backgrounds, English heritage is most prevalent at 31.8% (exceeding the regional 19.0%), followed by Australian at 31.1% (above the regional 17.8%), and Irish at 8.2%. Other distinct representations include Australian Aboriginal ancestry at 5.3% (against 1.3% regionally), Maltese at 1.0% (against 1.0%), and Maori at 0.8% (against 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Gorokan is 41. 26.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of Gorokan maintains an older demographic footprint than Greater Sydney. AreaSearch estimates for August 2026 place 22.0% of residents in the 65+ age category compared to 15.5% regionally, while those aged 25 - 44 account for 26.7% against 31.4% across Greater Sydney. Median age is estimated at 41, matching the 2021 Census and exceeding Greater Sydney's Census benchmark of 37 by 4 years. The 25 - 44 cohort grew from 24.8% at Census time to an estimated 26.7%. Through to 2041, the 65+ cohort is forecast to expand by 388 residents (20%) to 2,325, while youth and child cohorts are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Gorokan
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 41 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (8,624 at the 2021 Census → 8,803 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL11727). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.