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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Warnervale is $975k, with units at $802k. House values have moved 3.8% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Warnervale has an estimated 1,597 residents, up from 701 at the 2021 Census — a change of 896 people, or 127.8%. Growth has averaged 17.9% a year over five years, faster than 99% of areas nationally. 310 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 72.0% of that increase. That puts 126 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to evaluations of ABS population adjustments for the wider region and new locations confirmed by AreaSearch after the Census, the suburb of Warnervale has an estimated population of approximately 1,597 in May 2026. This represents a growth of 896 people (127.8%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 701 people. The shift is calculated from a resident population of 1,595, estimated by AreaSearch using the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) combined with an additional 310 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level translates to a density ratio of 125 persons per square kilometer, indicating substantial space per resident and potential capacity for additional expansion.
The 127.8% expansion rate of the suburb of Warnervale since the 2021 census outpaced the SA4 region (3.4%) and the SA3 area, establishing it as a regional growth leader. Population expansion in the area was chiefly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 72.0% of total population gains during recent times, though all components including natural growth and overseas migration registered positive contributions. AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 regions lacking this information, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, published in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these combined sources are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Given the anticipated demographic adjustments, remarkable expansion placing the suburb of Warnervale in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationwide is projected over the timeframe, with the suburb of Warnervale expected to expand by 1,202 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, showing a total rise of 75.1% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
449 new dwellings have been approved in Warnervale over the past five years, an average of 89 a year. That places the area in the 90th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 56 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 84 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 81% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 73, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals distributed from statistical area data, Warnervale has averaged approximately 89 new residential approvals annually, amounting to an estimated 449 homes over the previous 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 67 approvals have been logged. With an average of 2 people per year relocating to the area for every home built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the market indicates a healthy equilibrium between supply and demand, fostering steady conditions, while new dwellings are built at an average cost of $380,000.
Additionally, commercial approvals worth $102.3 million have been registered this financial year, pointing to robust commercial development activity. Relative to Greater Sydney, Warnervale features 2250.0% more development activity (per person), presenting purchasers with a broader range of options. This rate is far above the national level, indicating high builder confidence in the area. Upcoming construction is composed of 81.0% detached dwellings and 19.0% attached dwellings, preserving the local low-density style with a focus on single-family residences that interest buyers looking for space. With approximately 15 people for each approval, Warnervale shows the traits of a growing locality. Moving forward, Warnervale is projected to increase by 1,200 residents through to 2041 (starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current building rates, new housing supply is anticipated to easily satisfy demand, creating favorable terms for purchasers and potentially enabling expansion beyond current population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warnervale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 9 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warnervale, worth an estimated $167 million. A further 28 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $7.77 billion. 9 are already under construction and 14 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Few elements impact the performance of an area as much as alterations to local infrastructure, major developments, and urban planning schemes. AreaSearch has tracked a total of 15 projects that are expected to influence the locality. Important projects include Hamlyn View Estate, Warnervale Town Centre - Woolworths Shopping Centre, Warnervale Town Centre, and the Greater Warnervale Structure Plan, with the list below highlighting the ones most likely to be relevant.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greater Warnervale Structure Plan
A long-term land use planning framework adopted by Central Coast Council in July 2024 and subsequently endorsed by the NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure (DPHI) to guide growth across the Greater Warnervale area to 2041. Covering a 3,900 hectare study area, the plan provides a 20 year framework to support population growth from around 20,162 residents to approximately 57,000, accommodating an additional 10,130 dwellings and capacity for around 8,500 new jobs. Ten precincts are identified for staged rezoning and detailed planning, including Wyong Employment Zone with Central Coast Airport, Warnervale Village, Wallarah Residential, Warnervale Town Centre and the Charmhaven and Kanwal precincts.Two new neighbourhood centres replace the previously planned Warnervale Town Centre at full scale, following the withdrawal of the proposed North Warnervale rail station. The plan also delivers significant biodiversity protections including corridors of 50 to 100 metres minimum width and ongoing safeguards for Porters Creek Wetland, supports a network of upgraded sports and community facilities, and forms the basis for amendments to local environmental plans, development control plans and contributions plans.
Rosella Rise
AVJennings masterplanned community on the NSW Central Coast delivering approximately 527 homes comprised of turnkey houses and titled land lots. Multiple stages are registered with new homes selling and additional homes under construction. The community features parks, pathways and planned amenity with convenient access to Warnervale train station, schools and Wyong Hospital.
Warnervale Town Centre Development Control Plan (WTC DCP)
The Warnervale Town Centre DCP (Chapter 4.1 of the Central Coast DCP 2022) provides detailed planning provisions for the Warnervale Town Centre precinct, setting guidelines for a compact, well-connected urban area with housing, jobs, services, community facilities and entertainment. Retail premises over 5,000 square metres or $10 million capital investment value are treated as State Significant Development. Following the adoption of the Greater Warnervale Structure Plan in July 2024, the strategic vision for the precinct has been revised: the proposed major town centre has been scaled back, with two local neighbourhood centres now planned to replace it - one near the existing Warnervale railway station and one on employment lands north of Sparks Road.The former WTC precinct is now expected to accommodate greater housing diversity alongside commercial uses.
Warnervale Business Precinct
A 25.80ha council-owned employment precinct located adjacent to the Central Coast Airport landholdings at Warnervale, largely zoned B7 Business Park. The precinct is a key priority in Council's 2025-29 Delivery Program, with a masterplan and feasibility studies currently underway. Council has sought $58M in grant funding over 10 years to deliver infrastructure enabling works to unlock serviced, developable lots for warehousing, logistics, manufacturing, business park and associated services uses. The precinct is intended to complement the adjacent Central Coast Airport (Masterplan adopted February 2025) and the Wyong Employment Zone, generating significant local employment for the growing Greater Warnervale area.A future link road to Wyong and a connector to the airport are also proposed.
Woolworths Wyong Regional Distribution Centre Expansion
Expansion of the existing Woolworths regional distribution centre including extensions to ambient and temperature-controlled warehouses, additional banana ripening rooms, truck maintenance and wash facilities, expanded hardstand areas and supporting infrastructure. As of 2026 the NSW Planning Portal lists SSD-33701741 as Withdrawn, following an earlier assessment process that had been placed on hold with requests for further information. A separate battery energy storage proposal has also been pursued for the site.
Madison Rise Estate
Madison Rise is a premium residential estate by Allam Property Group situated on elevated land in Woongarrah, Central Coast. The development features 177 turnkey homes with modern inclusions, located near Mackillop Catholic College, Warnervale train station, and the M1 Pacific Motorway. The final stage is scheduled for release in early 2026.
Hamlyn View Estate
Hamlyn View Estate is a master planned house and land community on the NSW Central Coast, developed by AVJennings and focused on delivering more than 600 residential lots and completed homes along Sparks Road in Hamlyn Terrace. Earlier stages of the estate have been built out and are occupied, while later stages continue to roll out through additional small lot housing and subdivision activity on the residue land at and around 94 Sparks Road, including a 2025 development application for small lot housing and subdivision on Residue Lot 87 (DA/511/2025) with Central Coast Council, indicating that civil works and dwelling construction are ongoing rather than fully complete.Nearby planning activity for residential flats and subdivision at 94 Sparks Road supports the view that this landholding is being progressively intensified as the final stages of the broader estate are delivered.
Yeramba Estates Hamlyn Terrace Development
A residential land subdivision located in the Hamlyn Terrace precinct of the Central Coast. The project involves the creation of low-density residential lots designed for family homes, leveraging proximity to the Wyong Hospital and local educational facilities. The estate is part of the broader North Wyong Shire Structure Plan to manage population growth in the region.
988 residents of Warnervale are employed, from a labour force of 1,065. Unemployment sits at 7.2%, with participation at 76.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 3,812, about 2.4 times the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Warnervale features a balanced workforce distributed between professional and manual roles, with significant representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of 7.2%, and an estimated job growth of 17.6% over the previous year, according to AreaSearch aggregations of statistical area data. In March 2026988 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 3.1% higher than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, indicating room for growth, and workforce participation is exceptionally high (76.7% compared to 69.1% in Greater Sydney). Census data indicates that a moderate 24.0% of workers operated from home, though the influence of Covid-19 restrictions should be kept in mind.
The primary sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area displays a particularly strong concentration in construction, with employment levels reaching 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, the professional & technical sector employs only 4.2% of local workers, which is below the 11.5% average for Greater Sydney. With 3.4 workers for every resident at the time of the Census, the area operates as an employment center, containing more positions than workers and drawing employees from surrounding localities. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data compiled from wider statistical regions, during the 12 months leading to March 2026, employment grew by 17.6% while the labor force grew by 18.1%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 1.9% and the labor force rise by 1.9%, with a slight decline. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia dated May-25 can supply additional context regarding potential future demand in Warnervale. These projections, spanning five and ten-year intervals, have been matched against the local job profile to estimate growth trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, expansion rates vary significantly across industry categories. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the employment distribution of Warnervale indicates that local employment should grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted projection for visualization purposes and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warnervale is $1,929 a week (about $100,000 a year), with median personal income at $744 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,418 a year against an average of $56,398. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The suburb of Warnervale registers a lower level of income than the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Among taxpayers in the suburb of Warnervale, the median income is $46,418 and the average income is $56,398, compared to Greater Sydney values of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current projections would be approximately $51,208 (median) and $62,218 (average) as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census records, household income is positioned at the 61st percentile ($1,929 weekly), whereas personal income is at the 37th percentile.
Income cohorts show that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings bracket contains 30.1% of the population (480 individuals), matching regional patterns where 30.9% fall into the same bracket. Elevated housing costs absorb 17.6% of earnings, though solid wages keep disposable income at the 59th percentile, and the local SEIFA income ranking is in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warnervale had 218 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 26% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $490 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 78% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 25.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of residences in Warnervale at the time of the latest Census consisted of 95.9% houses and 4.1% other types of dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, and alternative structures), compared to the Sydney metro ratio of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Furthermore, home ownership in Warnervale was far higher than the Sydney metro level, standing at 31.6%, with the remaining properties being purchased with a mortgage (42.5%) or occupied by tenants (25.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the locality was significantly lower than the Sydney metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $490, compared to Sydney metro figures of $2,427 and $470.
On a national level, mortgage payments in Warnervale are notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are considerably above the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warnervale counted 218 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 497 today, averaging 3.1 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 79% of areas nationally, against 22% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households represent the vast majority at 80.3% of all households, consisting of 39.9% couples with children, 21.6% couples without children, and 18.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.7%, with single person households representing 13.8% and group households making up 2.3% of the total. The median household size of 3.1 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.9% of adults in Warnervale hold a university qualification, including 8.1% with a bachelor degree and 1.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 38.6% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,089 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,028 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality presents educational disparities, with university degree attainment rates (11.9%) falling far below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This situation represents both a hurdle and an opening for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.8%). Vocational and technical capabilities are highly represented, with 48.7% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (38.6%). Enrollment in education is remarkably high, with 28.5% of the local population currently undertaking formal studies.
This proportion includes 9.5% in primary schools, 9.5% in high schools, and 3.4% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warnervale reaches 25 stops on 40 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 240 m from its nearest stop. Trains carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport data shows 25 active stops operating in Warnervale, offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are connected to 40 distinct routes, which provide 1,293 passenger journeys every week. Accessibility is classified as good, with residents living an average of 241 meters from the nearest stop. Because it is a mostly residential area, the majority of workers travel out of the suburb, with cars remaining the main transport choice at 96%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.1 per household, which is above the regional average. About 24.0% of the population worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may be a reflection of COVID-19 rules.
Service frequency averages 184 trips per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 51 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.4% of residents in Warnervale report no long-term health condition. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health measures indicate poorer outcomes in Warnervale, according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic disease rates, with typical health issues slightly more common than average across both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance rates holding relatively low at approximately 49% of the population (~787 people). This is in contrast to 59.9% throughout Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common health issues identified in the locality were mental health conditions and arthritis, affecting 10.8 and 9.0% of residents, respectively, while 68.4% of the population reported no medical issues, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney.
Health statuses within the working-age cohort are generally average. The area contains 9.3% of residents aged 65 and over (148 people), which is lower than the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney, with national comparisons generally matching the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warnervale is largely Australian-born, at 86.9% of residents, with 6.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (35.5%) and English (28.6%). 3.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Warnervale exhibits a lower level of cultural variety than average, with 86.9% of the population born in Australia, 91.6% holding citizenship, and 93.5% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion in Warnervale is Christianity, representing 53.1% of the local population. However, the most distinct overrepresentation is in the Other category, which accounts for 2.1% of the population, compared to 1.4% in Greater Sydney. In terms of parentage (parents' country of birth), the three most common backgrounds in Warnervale are Australian at 35.5% of the population, which is far higher than the regional average of 17.8%, English at 28.6% of the population, also far higher than the regional average of 19.0%, and Irish at 6.8% of the population.
In addition, there are distinct differences in the proportion of other ethnic groups: Maltese is notably overrepresented at 2.2% of Warnervale (compared to 1.0% regionally), Maori at 1.7% (compared to 0.4% regionally), and Lebanese at 0.6% (compared to 2.6% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warnervale is 35, younger than 82% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 37.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Warnervale is 35 years, making it slightly younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38 years. The 15 - 24 age bracket is highly represented at 20.3% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 35 - 44 cohort is less common at 7.3%. This concentration of individuals aged 15 - 24 is well above the national level of 12.7%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has expanded from 16.5% to 20.3% of the population, and the 45 to 54 cohort rose from 14.9% to 18.6%.
On the other hand, the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 13.3% to 9.0%, and the 35 to 44 age bracket fell from 10.9% to 7.3%. Population projections for 2041 point to significant age changes in Warnervale, with the 45 to 54 cohort expected to increase substantially, growing by 257 people (87%) from 297 to 555.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warnervale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 9 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 310 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (701 at the 2021 Census → 1,597 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL14172). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.