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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Warnervale is $875k, with units at $802k. House values have moved 1.6% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Warnervale has an estimated 1,610 residents, up from 701 at the 2021 Census — a change of 909 people, or 129.7%. Growth has averaged 18.1% a year over five years, faster than 99% of areas nationally. 314 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 72.0% of that increase. That puts 127 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Warnervale has an estimated population of around 1,610, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of wider ABS demographic updates and post-Census validated address counts. Compared to the 2021 Census tally of 701 people, this represents an expansion of 909 people (129.7%). This metric builds on an estimated resident population of 1,604 calculated by AreaSearch from the June 2025 ABS ERP release, combined with 314 validated new addresses recorded after the Census date. With a population density of 126 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers generous personal space alongside capacity for ongoing expansion.
The 129.7% surge in the suburb of Warnervale following the 2021 census outpaced the SA4 region (3.4%) as well as the broader SA3 area, positioning it at the forefront of regional growth. Interstate migration served as the core growth engine by generating approximately 72.0% of recent overall population additions, complemented by positive contributions from natural increase and overseas migration. AreaSearch incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 (using 2022 as the base year) across each SA2 area, supplemented by 2022-released NSW State Government SA2 projections (based on 2021) for locations without federal coverage. Age-cohort expansion rates derived from these datasets are applied to every district for the 2032 to 2041 timeframe. Reflecting these projected demographic patterns, the suburb of Warnervale is forecast to achieve standout growth within the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas, expanding by 1,202 persons through to 2041 under aggregated SA2-level modeling, which constitutes an overall increase of 74.3% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
577 new dwellings have been approved in Warnervale over the past five years, an average of 115 a year. That places the area in the 89th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 71 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 107 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 75% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 73, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis by AreaSearch of ABS building approvals allocated across statistical areas indicates that Warnervale averages approximately 115 residential approvals annually, yielding an estimated 577 homes over the last 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 73 approvals have been logged. In the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 and FY-25, the influx averaged 1.7 people annually for every dwelling constructed, demonstrating a balanced supply-demand dynamic supporting market stability. Newly built properties show an average construction cost of $391,000, sitting below regional benchmarks to deliver more accessible entry points for buyers. Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $102.3 million during this financial year, underscoring substantial commercial development locally.
Per capita residential building approvals in Warnervale outstrip Greater Sydney by 2221.0%, broadening options for prospective purchasers despite recent moderation in construction volume. This intensity remains far higher than the nationwide norm, signaling robust developer sentiment. Recent residential construction comprises 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving traditional low-density neighborhood qualities while targeting families who prioritize spacious living. This pattern marks a distinct change from the existing dwelling stock (which is 96.0% houses), reflecting fewer broadacre parcels alongside emerging lifestyle requirements for varied, attainable housing. The area records approximately 20 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating sustained market expansion. Moving forward, Warnervale is projected to increase by 1,196 residents by 2041 relative to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Provided residential building volumes persist at prevailing levels, future dwelling delivery is positioned to cater comfortably to incoming demand, establishing favorable purchasing conditions and facilitating expansion beyond baseline demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warnervale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 9 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warnervale, worth an estimated $167 million. A further 28 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $7.77 billion. 9 are already under construction and 14 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure investment, planning frameworks, and major initiatives exert a defining influence on neighborhood development. AreaSearch has identified 15 prominent projects expected to shape the local environment. Primary developments include Hamlyn View Estate, Warnervale Town Centre - Woolworths Shopping Centre, Warnervale Town Centre, and the Greater Warnervale Structure Plan, with key initiatives itemized below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greater Warnervale Structure Plan
A long-term land use planning framework adopted by Central Coast Council in July 2024 and subsequently endorsed by the NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure (DPHI) to guide growth across the Greater Warnervale area to 2041. Covering a 3,900 hectare study area, the plan provides a 20 year framework to support population growth from around 20,162 residents to approximately 57,000, accommodating an additional 10,130 dwellings and capacity for around 8,500 new jobs. Ten precincts are identified for staged rezoning and detailed planning, including Wyong Employment Zone with Central Coast Airport, Warnervale Village, Wallarah Residential, Warnervale Town Centre and the Charmhaven and Kanwal precincts.Two new neighbourhood centres replace the previously planned Warnervale Town Centre at full scale, following the withdrawal of the proposed North Warnervale rail station. The plan also delivers significant biodiversity protections including corridors of 50 to 100 metres minimum width and ongoing safeguards for Porters Creek Wetland, supports a network of upgraded sports and community facilities, and forms the basis for amendments to local environmental plans, development control plans and contributions plans.
Rosella Rise
AVJennings masterplanned community on the NSW Central Coast delivering approximately 527 homes comprised of turnkey houses and titled land lots. Multiple stages are registered with new homes selling and additional homes under construction. The community features parks, pathways and planned amenity with convenient access to Warnervale train station, schools and Wyong Hospital.
Warnervale Town Centre Development Control Plan (WTC DCP)
The Warnervale Town Centre DCP (Chapter 4.1 of the Central Coast DCP 2022) provides detailed planning provisions for the Warnervale Town Centre precinct, setting guidelines for a compact, well-connected urban area with housing, jobs, services, community facilities and entertainment. Retail premises over 5,000 square metres or $10 million capital investment value are treated as State Significant Development. Following the adoption of the Greater Warnervale Structure Plan in July 2024, the strategic vision for the precinct has been revised: the proposed major town centre has been scaled back, with two local neighbourhood centres now planned to replace it - one near the existing Warnervale railway station and one on employment lands north of Sparks Road.The former WTC precinct is now expected to accommodate greater housing diversity alongside commercial uses.
Warnervale Business Precinct
A 25.80ha council-owned employment precinct located adjacent to the Central Coast Airport landholdings at Warnervale, largely zoned B7 Business Park. The precinct is a key priority in Council's 2025-29 Delivery Program, with a masterplan and feasibility studies currently underway. Council has sought $58M in grant funding over 10 years to deliver infrastructure enabling works to unlock serviced, developable lots for warehousing, logistics, manufacturing, business park and associated services uses. The precinct is intended to complement the adjacent Central Coast Airport (Masterplan adopted February 2025) and the Wyong Employment Zone, generating significant local employment for the growing Greater Warnervale area.A future link road to Wyong and a connector to the airport are also proposed.
Woolworths Wyong Regional Distribution Centre Expansion
Expansion of the existing Woolworths regional distribution centre including extensions to ambient and temperature-controlled warehouses, additional banana ripening rooms, truck maintenance and wash facilities, expanded hardstand areas and supporting infrastructure. As of 2026 the NSW Planning Portal lists SSD-33701741 as Withdrawn, following an earlier assessment process that had been placed on hold with requests for further information. A separate battery energy storage proposal has also been pursued for the site.
Madison Rise Estate
Madison Rise is a premium residential estate by Allam Property Group situated on elevated land in Woongarrah, Central Coast. The development features 177 turnkey homes with modern inclusions, located near Mackillop Catholic College, Warnervale train station, and the M1 Pacific Motorway. The final stage is scheduled for release in early 2026.
Hamlyn View Estate
Hamlyn View Estate is a master planned house and land community on the NSW Central Coast, developed by AVJennings and focused on delivering more than 600 residential lots and completed homes along Sparks Road in Hamlyn Terrace. Earlier stages of the estate have been built out and are occupied, while later stages continue to roll out through additional small lot housing and subdivision activity on the residue land at and around 94 Sparks Road, including a 2025 development application for small lot housing and subdivision on Residue Lot 87 (DA/511/2025) with Central Coast Council, indicating that civil works and dwelling construction are ongoing rather than fully complete.Nearby planning activity for residential flats and subdivision at 94 Sparks Road supports the view that this landholding is being progressively intensified as the final stages of the broader estate are delivered.
Yeramba Estates Hamlyn Terrace Development
A residential land subdivision located in the Hamlyn Terrace precinct of the Central Coast. The project involves the creation of low-density residential lots designed for family homes, leveraging proximity to the Wyong Hospital and local educational facilities. The estate is part of the broader North Wyong Shire Structure Plan to manage population growth in the region.
996 residents of Warnervale are employed, from a labour force of 1,070. Unemployment sits at 7.0%, with participation at 76.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 3,845, about 2.4 times the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
According to AreaSearch statistical area aggregations, Warnervale features a balanced mix of professional and manual occupations, substantial representation across essential services, a 7.0% unemployment rate, and estimated job expansion of 17.9% across the prior twelve months. Employed local residents reached 996 as of March 2026, alongside an unemployment rate tracking 2.9% higher than Greater Sydney's 4.1% and an elevated labor force participation rate of 76.7% compared to 68.9% across Greater Sydney. Census records showed 24.0% of local workers operating from home, an observation influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions. Primary industry employers across the local resident base include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.
The local labor pool is heavily oriented toward construction, holding an employment concentration 1.5 times the regional average. By contrast, professional & technical roles account for only 4.2% of workers, compared with 11.5% across the wider region. Hosting 3.4 workers for every resident at the Census, the locality operates as a regional employment destination, providing a higher volume of jobs than local resident workers and drawing commuters from neighboring communities. Based on AreaSearch assessments of combined SALM and ABS statistical data, the recent 12-month timeframe saw jobs increase by 17.9% while the local workforce expanded by 18.4%, elevating the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Conversely, Greater Sydney experienced 1.9% job growth, 1.9% workforce expansion, and a slight reduction in unemployment. Additional guidance regarding potential future employment needs in Warnervale is provided by the Mar-26 national employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia. These five- and ten-year models were applied to the local workforce structure to identify sector trajectories. Across Australia, workforce size is projected to climb 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with wide variation across distinct industries. Mapping these sector projections to Warnervale's specific industry distribution points to local workforce gains of 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (this represents an illustrative weighted extrapolation that excludes localized demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warnervale is $1,929 a week (about $100,000 a year), with median personal income at $744 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,418 a year against an average of $56,398. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The median assessed income in the suburb of Warnervale stands at $46,418 and the average reaches $56,398, according to AreaSearch's review of financial year 2023 ATO postcode data, placing it below national standards. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded a median income of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Applying a 10.32% increase based on the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 adjusts current modeled levels to around $51,208 (median) and $62,218 (average) as of March 2026. According to Census findings, household earnings place in the 61st percentile ($1,929 weekly), whereas personal earnings reside in the 37th percentile.
In terms of earnings distributions, 30.1% of residents (484 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the wider regional proportion of 30.9%. Accommodation outlays absorb 17.6% of income, yet robust overall earnings keep disposable income at the 59th percentile and position the area in the 5th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warnervale had 218 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 26% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $490 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 78% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 25.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the residential landscape in Warnervale was composed of 95.9% houses alongside 4.1% other dwellings (incorporating semi-detached units, apartments, and alternative structures), in contrast to Sydney metro where the breakdown was 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Outright property ownership reached 31.6%, notably surpassing Sydney metro levels, while remaining residences were either subject to a mortgage (42.5%) or occupied by tenants (25.9%). Monthly median mortgage repayments stood at $2,167, well underneath the Sydney metro standard of $2,427, while median weekly rent was $490 compared to $470 across Sydney metro.
Relative to nationwide benchmarks, mortgage commitments in Warnervale exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents track considerably higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warnervale counted 218 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 501 today, averaging 3.1 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 79% of areas nationally, against 22% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 80.3% of all households, encompassing couples with children (39.9%), couples without children (21.6%), and single parent families (18.8%). Non-family setups make up the remaining 19.7%, consisting of single-person households at 13.8% and group households at 2.3%. The median household size of 3.1 people exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.9% of adults in Warnervale hold a university qualification, including 8.1% with a bachelor degree and 1.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 38.6% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,089 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,028 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment poses a notable challenge in the area, as only 11.9% of residents hold university qualifications compared to the Greater Sydney benchmark of 38.0%, presenting a clear focus area for future educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees represent 8.1%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.0% and postgraduate qualifications at 1.8%. Vocational and technical training is widely held, with 48.7% of the population aged 15+ possessing trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (38.6%). Formal study engagement is substantial across the population, with 28.5% of residents enrolled in educational institutions.
This comprises 9.5% attending primary school, 9.5% in secondary education, and 3.4% undertaking tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warnervale reaches 25 stops on 40 routes, timetabled for about 1,200 services a week. The typical home sits about 240 m from its nearest stop. Trains carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure within Warnervale features 25 active stops spanning combined bus and rail facilities. Across these stops, 40 distinct routes operate to deliver 1,170 passenger services each week. Access to transit is favorable, with residents living an average of 241 meters from their closest boarding point. Commuters predominantly travel out of the area using private vehicles, which represent 96% of journeys. Vehicle availability stands at 2.1 cars per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. In addition, 24.0% of the workforce operated from home according to the 2021 Census, reflecting pandemic-related conditions.
Across the entire local network, transit routes deliver an average frequency of 167 trips per day, translating to roughly 46 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.4% of residents in Warnervale report no long-term health condition. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's evaluation of chronic illness incidence and mortality statistics, Warnervale demonstrates below-average health outcomes, with typical medical conditions slightly more frequent across both younger and older age brackets, alongside private health insurance coverage of approximately 49% of the population (~793 people). This contrasts with 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a nationwide proportion of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the primary diagnosed ailments locally, affecting 10.8 and 9.0% of residents, respectively, while 68.4% reported having no long-term medical conditions compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. General wellness among working-age individuals aligns closely with typical standards.
Seniors aged 65 and over account for 9.2% of the local population (148 people), below the 15.5% share observed in Greater Sydney, with overall national health rankings broadly tracking the wider population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warnervale is largely Australian-born, at 86.9% of residents, with 6.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (35.5%) and English (28.6%). 3.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Warnervale tracks below broader averages, with 86.9% of residents born in Australia, 91.6% holding Australian citizenship, and 93.5% speaking exclusively English at home. Christianity forms the predominant religious affiliation, observed by 53.1% of the community. The most notable statistical divergence occurs in the Other category, which accounts for 2.1% of residents compared to 1.4% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestral background (based on parents' country of birth), the leading lineages in Warnervale are Australian at 35.5% (well above the regional level of 17.8%), English at 28.6% (exceeding the regional share of 19.0%), and Irish at 6.8%.
Other ancestral groups show distinct variations: Maltese residents represent 2.2% locally (versus 1.0% regionally), Maori accounts for 1.7% (compared to 0.4%), and Lebanese comprises 0.6% (against 2.6% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warnervale is 35, younger than 82% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 37.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The population in the suburb of Warnervale leans young and largely pre-family. Mature adults and early retirees aged 45 - 64 comprise 33.6% of the community as at August 2026, relative to 22.6% in Greater Sydney, while younger adults aged 25 - 44 represent 23.8% compared to the regional figure of 31.4%. As at August 2026, AreaSearch estimates the median age at 35, rising from 34 at the 2021 Census and sitting 2 years below Greater Sydney's median of 37 from that Census. The most pronounced generational shift since the Census occurred in the 45 - 64 bracket, rising from 26.1% to an estimated 33.6%.
This transition is largely driven by local ageing: the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 13.3% to an estimated 9.0%, while the 15 to 24 group increased from 16.5% to 20.4%. Moving toward 2041, residents aged 45 - 64 are projected to generate the largest numerical increase, adding 343 people (63%) to reach 884. Proportionally, seniors and retirees aged 65+ will expand fastest, surging 190% to reach 430 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warnervale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 9 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 314 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (701 at the 2021 Census → 1,610 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL14172). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.