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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Killarney Vale is $945k, with units at $758k. House values have moved 2.8% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Killarney Vale has an estimated 7,468 residents. That puts 2,473 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS population updates scaled for the wider region and address changes verified by AreaSearch after the Census, Killarney Vale's population is estimated at roughly 7,468 in May 2026. This indicates a contraction of 23 residents (0.3%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 7,491 citizens. The shift is calculated using a resident count of 7,466, projected by AreaSearch after reviewing the ABS June 2025 ERP data and factoring in 15 verified new addresses added post-Census. Such a population size represents a density of 2,472 persons per square kilometer, placing the location in the top quartile of all areas evaluated by AreaSearch.
Inward migration from overseas served as the sole engine for population growth during recent times. Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 (using 2022 as the base year) are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 unit. For SA2 territories where this data is unavailable, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 (using 2021 as the base year) are implemented. Projected growth rates by age bracket from these models are also applied to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. When looking ahead, statistical areas across the country are expected to experience growth in the lower quartile, with this locality projected to add 155 residents by 2041 based on compiled SA2 projections, representing a total expansion of 2.0% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
115 new dwellings have been approved in Killarney Vale over the past five years, an average of 23 a year. That is 3.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 21 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 86% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 4, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch assessment of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical areas shows that the suburb of Killarney Vale averaged approximately 23 approved new residences annually, aggregating to 115 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 4 approvals have been logged. Because the local population has contracted, housing supply has successfully kept pace with demand, sustaining a balanced market with healthy options for purchasers, while newly built homes carry an average construction value of $323,000. In addition, commercial approvals worth $17.0 million have been recorded this financial year, showing a moderate scale of commercial development.
Compared to Greater Sydney, building approvals per resident in the suburb of Killarney Vale run at about three-quarters the rate, placing the area in the 17th percentile of all locations nationwide, which restricts choices for buyers and helps support values for established properties. This rate also sits below the national benchmark, highlighting the established state of the suburb and suggesting possible planning restrictions. Detached houses account for 86.0% of new projects, while attached dwellings make up 14.0%, maintaining the suburban feel with a focus on single-family properties that appeal to buyers looking for space. The area averages roughly 933 residents for each residential approval, which is indicative of a mature market. Long-term projections indicate that the suburb of Killarney Vale will gain 153 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. If current building volumes persist, residential supply is set to satisfy demand, establishing positive conditions for buyers and potentially allowing growth to outpace current projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Killarney Vale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Killarney Vale, worth an estimated $35 million. A further 33 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $661 million. 8 are already under construction and 4 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans sports & recreation, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Nothing impacts local performance as much as changes to infrastructure, major developments, and local planning policies. AreaSearch has identified 2 projects that are likely to influence the region. Key projects of note include Cynthia Street Subdivision, Red Bus Planning Proposal - 682A Coleridge Road Rezoning, Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct, and Central Coast Local Roads Package, with the list below highlighting the most relevant ones.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Red Bus Planning Proposal - 682A Coleridge Road Rezoning
Planning proposal to rezone a 5.26ha former bus depot site from SP2 Infrastructure to R1 General Residential and C3 Environmental Management. The proposal introduces a 450m2 minimum lot size, 9.5m building height limit, and a 0.6:1 FSR across the residential land. The Gateway determination facilitates master planning for up to 70 residential dwellings alongside site-specific DCP controls.
Cynthia Street Subdivision
DA approved staged subdivision of 1,887 m2 residential land into 5 lots with integrated approval for 6 dwellings (4 single homes and 1 duplex). Dual street frontage to Cynthia Street and Adrian Close. Listings indicate dwelling plans available and staged delivery possible (subdivision, then dwellings, then duplex subdivision).
Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate Expansion
Ongoing expansion of the Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate along Enterprise Drive with serviced industrial lots, new warehouse and light industrial buildings, internal road and utility upgrades. Multiple sites, including 5 Enterprise Drive, are actively being marketed and developed for warehouse, logistics and industrial occupiers, with individual building projects progressing across the estate.
Uniting Nareen Gardens Village Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the Uniting Nareen Gardens aged care facility in Bateau Bay, featuring modern residential aged care units, community facilities, and enhanced care services for elderly residents.
Central Coast Highway Upgrade - Wamberal to Bateau Bay
NSW Government program to widen approximately 3.6-3.8km of Central Coast Highway between Wamberal and Bateau Bay to two lanes each way, improve intersections, and enhance active transport and bus facilities. Current works are focused on the Central Coast Highway and Tumbi Road intersection, replacing the roundabout with traffic lights and widening approaches to address congestion and improve safety.
Vera's Water Garden Upgrade
Upgrading Vera's Water Garden to a zero-depth design to improve safety, accessibility, and reduce ongoing maintenance.
Central Coast Shared Pathway Network - Magenta Extension
Extension of the Central Coast shared pathway network through the Magenta area, providing safe cycling and walking connections between residential areas and key destinations.
The Grant McBride Baths Upgrade
Works are progressing on the clubroom upgrade, new pipes, new pumps and shade sails at The Grant McBride Baths.
3,810 residents of Killarney Vale are employed, from a labour force of 3,954. Unemployment sits at 3.6%, with participation at 66.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,996, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Killarney Vale features a diverse labor force encompassing both professional and manual employment, with a strong representation of essential services, an unemployment rate of just 3.6%, and an estimated job growth rate of 3.1% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregations. As of March 2026, 3,810 residents are employed, which is an unemployment rate 0.5% lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is slightly low at 66.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 69.1%. Census figures indicate that a moderate 23.3% of workers operated from home, though this may have been influenced by Covid-19 pandemic restrictions.
Local workers are mostly employed in healthcare & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The workforce shows a high concentration in construction, which is 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services are underrepresented at 4.0% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. This mostly residential community seems to present few local employment options, as shown by comparing the Census working population against the resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader regions, the 12-month period experienced a 3.1% rise in employment alongside a 3.5% expansion in the labor force, which pushed the unemployment rate up by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 1.9%, the labor force expand by 1.9%, and unemployment drop slightly. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25 provide additional context on future demand in the suburb of Killarney Vale. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary widely by sector. Applying these industry-specific projections to the local employment profile indicates that local jobs should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighted calculation for illustration and does not incorporate local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Killarney Vale is $1,524 a week (about $79,000 a year), with median personal income at $711 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,579 a year against an average of $62,890. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to compiled postcode-level ATO data released for the financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Killarney Vale recorded a median income of $50,579 and an average income of $62,890. These figures are below the national benchmarks and compare to median and average levels of $60,817 and $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current projections estimate these figures at approximately $55,799 for the median and $69,380 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in the suburb of Killarney Vale are modest, ranging between the 30th and 37th percentiles.
Income analysis reveals 34.7% of residents (2,591 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is similar to the regional rate of 30.9%. Affordability pressures are high, with residents retaining only 81.1% of their income, which ranks in the 34th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Killarney Vale had 2,684 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 41% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,907 a month. Rent absorbs 26.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structures in the suburb of Killarney Vale at the last Census consisted of 91.7% detached houses and 8.3% other formats like townhouses, apartments, and alternative dwellings, compared to the Sydney metropolitan breakdown of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in the suburb of Killarney Vale was much higher than the Sydney metro level, standing at 32.1%, while the remaining homes were mortgaged (40.7%) or rented (27.2%). The median monthly mortgage cost of $1,907 was significantly below the Sydney metro average of $2,427, and the median weekly rent was $400 compared to Sydney metro's $470.
On a national level, mortgage repayments in the suburb of Killarney Vale exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are above the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Killarney Vale counted 2,684 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 73.1%, consisting of couples with children at 29.9%, couples without children at 24.5%, and single parents at 17.6%. Non-family households represent the remaining 26.9%, with single-person households at 23.5% and group share houses at 3.3%. The median household size of 2.6 residents is slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.0% of adults in Killarney Vale hold a university qualification, including 11.3% with a bachelor degree and 2.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.1% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 881 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 951 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality face challenges in higher education, with university graduation rates at 15.0%, which is well below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This highlights a clear opportunity for targeted educational support. Bachelor degrees are the most common credential at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational and technical training is very common, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (34.1%). Enrolment in education is remarkably high, with 30.5% of residents currently undertaking formal study. This comprises 11.6% of the population in primary school, 8.1% in high school, and 2.9% studying at the tertiary level.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Killarney Vale reaches 43 stops on 79 routes, timetabled for about 1,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport data shows 43 active transit stops in the suburb of Killarney Vale, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 79 distinct routes, providing 1,487 passenger trips weekly. Accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 180 meters from the nearest stop. Because it is a commuter suburb, most residents travel outside the area for work, with cars remaining the main transport method at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per household, which is higher than the regional average. About 23.3% of workers work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.
Daily bus services average 212 runs across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 34 weekly trips at each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
62.9% of residents in Killarney Vale report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 84% of areas nationally. 6.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics indicate notable challenges for the suburb of Killarney Vale, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic disease trends which affect both younger and older residents, while the level of private health coverage is low at about 52% of the population (~3,869 people). This is lower than the 59.9% coverage observed across Greater Sydney. The most prevalent health issues recorded were mental health conditions and arthritis, affecting 10.2% and 9.9% of residents. Meanwhile, 62.9% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The working-age cohort faces significant health obstacles, with elevated rates of long-term conditions.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 20.7% of the population (1,545 people), exceeding the Greater Sydney proportion of 15.5%. Senior health outcomes present challenges, with national percentiles matching the broader local demographic trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Killarney Vale is largely Australian-born, at 89.6% of residents, with 4.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (33.0%) and English (31.8%). 4.2% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Killarney Vale has below-average cultural diversity, with 89.6% of residents born in Australia, 91.5% holding citizenship, and 96.0% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion at 54.4% of the population, compared to 49.2% recorded across Greater Sydney. Regarding family backgrounds, the three largest ancestry groups in the suburb of Killarney Vale are Australian, making up 33.0% of residents (significantly above the regional average of 17.8%), English at 31.8% (well above the regional average of 19.0%), and Irish at 8.0%. There are also notable differences in other groups: Maltese is represented at 1.0% (equal to the 1.0% regional average), Samoan at 0.3% (compared to 0.5% regionally), and Australian Aboriginal residents make up 4.2% of the population (compared to 1.3% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Killarney Vale is 39. 23.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 39 in the suburb of Killarney Vale is slightly older than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and close to the national median of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 65 - 74 age group is over-represented at 11.5%, while the 25 - 34 bracket is under-represented at 11.9%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age group increased from 12.3% to 14.0% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort grew from 5.7% to 6.9%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 13.5% to 11.9%.
Projections for 2041 suggest major demographic changes. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to expand by 29% (150 people), growing from 515 to 666. Population aging is set to continue, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 68% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 65 to 74 and 25 to 34 age brackets are expected to experience population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Killarney Vale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (7,491 at the 2021 Census → 7,468 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12139). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.