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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Killarney Vale is $955k, with units at $778k. House values have moved 3.0% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Killarney Vale has an estimated 7,470 residents. That puts 2,474 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population of the suburb of Killarney Vale is estimated at around 7,470, according to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS demographic updates with 15 validated new addresses identified since the Census. When compared against the 2021 Census tally of 7,491 people, this represents a contraction of 21 people (0.3%). This adjustment stems from an Estimated Resident Population figure of 7,469 assessed from the June 2025 ABS release alongside newly confirmed addresses. In terms of spatial concentration, the suburb of Killarney Vale records a density of 2,473 persons per square kilometer, ranking within the top quartile of Australian regions analyzed by AreaSearch.
Inbound international migration has served as the primary catalyst for demographic expansion, underpinning virtually all local population additions across recent reporting intervals. Demographic modeling by AreaSearch incorporates 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections benchmarked to 2022, supplemented by NSW State Government 2022 SA2 figures anchored to 2021 where necessary, with cohort-specific trajectories extended across 2032 to 2041. Future demographic expansion for the suburb of Killarney Vale is tracking within the bottom quartile nationally. Aggregated SA2 forecasts suggest the suburb of Killarney Vale will add 151 persons by 2041, representing a modest cumulative expansion of 2.0% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
105 new dwellings have been approved in Killarney Vale over the past five years, an average of 21 a year. That is 2.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 5, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals indicates that Killarney Vale averages approximately 21 residential approvals per year, totaling an estimated 105 homes across the last 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, including 5 recorded to date in FY-25. Given recent demographic contractions, this delivery pace has adequately accommodated local demand to provide prospective purchasers with solid availability. New residential projects carry an average expected construction cost of $601,000, which sits slightly above regional benchmarks and highlights a focus on superior build quality. Additionally, commercial development has progressed at a moderate pace, supported by $17.0 million in commercial building approvals during the current financial year.
Per capita residential construction in Killarney Vale lags regional benchmarks considerably, sitting 51.0% below the Greater Sydney average and trailing nationwide standards. Such constrained supply activity reflects planning restrictions and the mature character of the suburb, which often reinforces value and competition across established housing. Recent residential approvals comprise 87.0% detached houses and 13.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the traditional low-density suburban landscape sought by buyers seeking larger blocks. Furthermore, a ratio of approximately 1658 people per dwelling approval underscores the fully established nature of the local property market. Projections based on the latest quarterly AreaSearch estimates show Killarney Vale expanding by 150 residents leading up to 2041. If prevailing construction volumes persist, forthcoming residential additions should readily absorb incoming demand, ensuring favorable market conditions for buyers while creating capacity to accommodate growth above baseline expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Killarney Vale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Killarney Vale, worth an estimated $35 million. A further 33 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $897 million. 6 are already under construction and 6 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans sports & recreation, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local performance and growth are heavily shaped by strategic infrastructure works, major developments, and urban planning schemes. AreaSearch has pinpointed 2 projects anticipated to influence the locality. Notable developments of high relevance include the Cynthia Street Subdivision, Red Bus Planning Proposal - 682A Coleridge Road Rezoning, Berkeley Vale Private Hospital & Medical Precinct, alongside the Central Coast Local Roads Package.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Red Bus Planning Proposal - 682A Coleridge Road Rezoning
Planning proposal to rezone a 5.26ha former bus depot site from SP2 Infrastructure to R1 General Residential and C3 Environmental Management. The proposal introduces a 450m2 minimum lot size, 9.5m building height limit, and a 0.6:1 FSR across the residential land. The Gateway determination facilitates master planning for up to 70 residential dwellings alongside site-specific DCP controls.
Cynthia Street Subdivision
DA approved staged subdivision of 1,887 m2 residential land into 5 lots with integrated approval for 6 dwellings (4 single homes and 1 duplex). Dual street frontage to Cynthia Street and Adrian Close. Listings indicate dwelling plans available and staged delivery possible (subdivision, then dwellings, then duplex subdivision).
Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate Expansion
Ongoing expansion of the Berkeley Vale Industrial Estate along Enterprise Drive with serviced industrial lots, new warehouse and light industrial buildings, internal road and utility upgrades. Multiple sites, including 5 Enterprise Drive, are actively being marketed and developed for warehouse, logistics and industrial occupiers, with individual building projects progressing across the estate.
Uniting Nareen Gardens Village Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the Uniting Nareen Gardens aged care facility in Bateau Bay, featuring modern residential aged care units, community facilities, and enhanced care services for elderly residents.
Central Coast Highway Upgrade - Wamberal to Bateau Bay
NSW Government program to widen approximately 3.6-3.8km of Central Coast Highway between Wamberal and Bateau Bay to two lanes each way, improve intersections, and enhance active transport and bus facilities. Current works are focused on the Central Coast Highway and Tumbi Road intersection, replacing the roundabout with traffic lights and widening approaches to address congestion and improve safety.
Lakeside Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Proposed mixed-use masterplan redevelopment of the Lakeside Shopping Centre site in The Entrance. The project concept encompasses approximately 11,000 sqm of modernised retail space alongside two multi-storey towers accommodating residential apartments, an integrated hotel, and an 800-seat conference centre.
Central Coast Shared Pathway Network - Magenta Extension
Extension of the Central Coast shared pathway network through the Magenta area, providing safe cycling and walking connections between residential areas and key destinations.
El Lago Site Redevelopment
Demolition and proposed mixed-use shop-top housing redevelopment of the former El Lago Waters Resort site. The proposal incorporates multiple residential towers comprising 414 residential apartments, 45 serviced apartments, 11 retail/food tenancies, and multi-level basement parking. While refused by the Hunter and Central Coast Regional Planning Panel, the site remains subject to ongoing Land and Environment Court appeals and revised master planning by the proponent.
3,810 residents of Killarney Vale are employed, from a labour force of 3,958. Unemployment sits at 3.7%, with participation at 66.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,996, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labor force in Killarney Vale features an even blend of blue-collar and white-collar roles with substantial representation across core public and essential services. Regional modeling shows employment grew by an estimated 3.0% over the preceding twelve months, maintaining a low jobless rate of 3.7%. As of March 2026, employed locals numbered 3,810, with the unemployment rate tracking 0.4% lower than the Greater Sydney figure of 4.1%. Labor force participation stood at 66.1%, trailing the broader metropolitan average of 68.9%, while 23.3% of workers reported working from home at the Census, a figure subject to the influence of Covid-19 movement restrictions.
Resident employment is concentrated heavily within health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. In particular, the building industry shows pronounced local concentration, capturing a workforce share 1.7 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, professional & technical services engage only 4.0% of working residents, well below the 11.5% recorded across Greater Sydney. Comparing the Census resident count with local workplace figures indicates that this largely residential enclave provides relatively few internal jobs, prompting many to work outside the locality. According to ABS and SALM statistical data synthesized by AreaSearch, the twelve months to March 2026 saw local employment rise by 3.0% alongside a 3.5% expansion in the total labor force, which lifted the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Across Greater Sydney over the identical timeframe, employment and labor supply each rose by 1.9%, accompanied by a slight dip in joblessness. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia projections released in Mar-26 anticipate nationwide jobs growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. When mapped against Killarney Vale's occupational footprint via simple weighted extrapolation (excluding localized demographic forecasts), these sector-level trends point to potential resident job growth of 6.7% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Killarney Vale is $1,524 a week (about $79,000 a year), with median personal income at $711 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,579 a year against an average of $62,890. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated ATO taxpayer figures for financial year 2023 indicate that the suburb of Killarney Vale recorded a median taxable income of $50,579 and an average of $62,890, falling short of the national midpoint as well as Greater Sydney benchmarks of $60,817 and $83,003. Applying a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of $55,799 for median earnings and $69,380 for average earnings as of March 2026. Findings from Census 2021 place local personal, family, and household earnings moderately low on the national scale, positioned between the 30th and 37th percentiles.
The primary earnings cohort covers 34.7% of residents (2,592 residents) taking home $1,500 - 2,999 per week, aligning with the 30.9% share seen across the wider region. Housing affordability constraints remain pronounced, with residents retaining only 81.1% of their income after accommodation costs, placing the area in the 34th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Killarney Vale had 2,684 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 41% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,907 a month. Rent absorbs 26.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show that standalone separate houses account for 91.7% of housing stock in Killarney Vale, with semi-detached properties, units, and alternative formats making up 8.3%, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings throughout the Sydney metro area. Fully owned properties represent 32.1% of households, outpacing metropolitan rates, while mortgaged homes constitute 40.7% and rented properties comprise 27.2%. Median monthly mortgage commitments stand at $1,907 and median weekly rent sits at $400, both considerably below Sydney metro equivalents of $2,427 and $470. However, relative to Australian averages, local monthly mortgage repayments exceed the national level of $1,863, and weekly rents surpass the nationwide standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Killarney Vale counted 2,684 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of domestic living arrangements at 73.1%, consisting of couples with children at 29.9%, childless couples at 24.5%, and single-parent households at 17.6%. The other 26.9% consists of non-family living situations, led by single-person residences at 23.5% and shared group dwellings at 3.3%. Overall, the typical household contains a median of 2.6 people, slightly under the Greater Sydney figure of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.0% of adults in Killarney Vale hold a university qualification, including 11.3% with a bachelor degree and 2.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.1% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 881 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 951 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment of higher education qualifications in the locality trails Greater Sydney significantly, with 15.0% of residents possessing tertiary degrees compared to the metropolitan standard of 38.0%, highlighting opportunities for educational outreach. Within university credentials, bachelor degrees represent 11.3%, postgraduate degrees account for 2.0%, and graduate diplomas stand at 1.7%. Conversely, vocational and technical qualifications are widely held, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding practical credentials, consisting of 10.5% with advanced diplomas and 34.1% possessing certificate-level qualifications. Enrolment in formal schooling and study is robust, encompassing 30.5% of the local population.
Breaking down current students, 11.6% are attending primary schools, 8.1% are undertaking secondary education, and 2.9% are enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Killarney Vale reaches 51 stops on 81 routes, timetabled for about 1,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Killarney Vale features 51 active bus stops connected across 81 individual routes that together deliver 1,355 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is ranked as excellent, with typical walking distances of 180 meters to the nearest boarding point. As an outward-commuting residential community, private vehicles serve as the primary transport method at 93%, with households averaging 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. Additionally, 23.3% of workers were based at home during the 2021 Census, a metric potentially shaped by COVID-19 conditions. Across the entire transit network, daily schedules average 193 trips, providing roughly 26 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
62.9% of residents in Killarney Vale report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 84% of areas nationally. 6.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Evaluations of mortality metrics and chronic illness incidence by AreaSearch highlight notable health vulnerabilities in Killarney Vale across both youth and senior demographics. Furthermore, private health insurance uptake is comparatively constrained, covering approximately 52% of residents (~3,870 people) in contrast to the Greater Sydney proportion of 59.9%. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most prevalent long-term health concerns, affecting 10.2% and 9.9% of residents respectively, while 62.9% of the populace reported no chronic illnesses, compared to 74.6% throughout Greater Sydney. Working-age locals display elevated rates of chronic disorders, while seniors aged 65 and over constitute 20.2% of the population (1,508 people), exceeding the 15.5% recorded regionally.
Health indicators for older residents reflect ongoing challenges, tracking closely with broader national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Killarney Vale is largely Australian-born, at 89.6% of residents, with 4.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (33.0%) and English (31.8%). 4.2% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demographic indicators show a culturally homogenous community in Killarney Vale, where 89.6% of residents were born in Australia, 91.5% hold Australian citizenship, and 96.0% use only English at home. Christianity is the predominant faith, accounting for 54.4% of the population, above the Greater Sydney average of 49.2%. Parental ancestry in Killarney Vale is predominantly Anglo-Celtic, led by Australian heritage at 33.0% (well above the 17.8% regional mark), English at 31.8% (exceeding the 19.0% Greater Sydney share), and Irish at 8.0%. Other distinct demographic representations include Maltese ancestry at 1.0% (compared to 1.0% regionally), Samoan heritage at 0.3% (versus 0.5%), and Australian Aboriginal background at 4.2% (against 1.3% across the wider region).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Killarney Vale is 39. 24.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic distribution of Killarney Vale leans toward an older profile. Estimates updated to August 2026 place seniors and retirees (65+) at 20.2% of the local population, compared to 15.5% across Greater Sydney, while younger to mid-life adults (25 - 44) account for 26.1%, trailing the metropolitan proportion of 31.4%. AreaSearch calculates the median age as 39 as at August 2026, holding steady from the 2021 Census and sitting 2 years above the Greater Sydney benchmark of 37 from that Census. The most noticeable shift since the Census occurred among youth and younger residents (0 - 24), rising from 31.3% to an estimated 32.7%.
By 2041, population growth will be dominated by older demographics, gaining 252 residents (17%) to reach 1,761, whereas cohorts of young to middle aged adults and children and young adults are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Killarney Vale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (7,491 at the 2021 Census → 7,470 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12139). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.