Lisarow

Lisarow is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Lisarow is around 5,471, reflecting an increase of 172 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 3.2% rise from the previous figure of 5,299 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,333 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 503 persons per square kilometer. Lisarow's growth rate of 3.2% since the census is within 0.5 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 3.7%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to expand by 64 persons to reach 5,535 by 2041, reflecting a reduction of 1.4% in total over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Lisarow is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers derived from statistical area data, Lisarow has averaged approximately 5 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 27 homes were approved, with a further 3 approved in FY26 to date. Over the past five financial years, an average of 0.7 people have moved to the area per dwelling built.

This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings in Lisarow is $319,000. In FY26, there have been $14.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lisarow records significantly lower building activity, at 73.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

Nationally, Lisarow's building activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent development in Lisarow has been exclusively detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (83.0% at Census), indicating persistent strong demand for family homes despite densification trends. The estimated population count of 1774 people per dwelling approval reflects Lisarow's quiet, low activity development environment. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Lisarow may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Lisarow has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include Narara Ecovillage, Narara District Master Plan, Gosford Bypass, and Central Coast Local Roads Package. The following details projects most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Lisarow places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Lisarow has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.7% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 3.8% in the past year. As of December 2025, there are 2,886 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is at 68.1%, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 33.7% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, with a strong specialization in the former (1.3 times the regional level). Professional & technical services have limited presence at 6.9%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.8% and labour force grew by 3.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lisarow's employment mix indicates local employment should grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of Lisarow has an average national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Lisarow is $52,465 and the average income stands at $67,830. For Greater Sydney, these figures are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $57,113 (median) and $73,840 (average). Census data shows household income ranks at the 71st percentile ($2,087 weekly), while personal income sits at the 51st percentile. In Lisarow, 32.6% of locals (1,783 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income category, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 30.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 15.1% of income, and residents rank in the 73rd percentile for disposable income. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Lisarow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Lisarow, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lisarow stood at 34.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 14.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,139, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Lisarow was $435, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Lisarow's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,139 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lisarow features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.2% of all households, including 43.1% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Lisarow performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 23.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (16.3%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (27.6%). Educational participation is high, with 30.2% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.3% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 4.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lisarow has 37 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 43 individual routes, facilitating 1,473 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents, on average, located 326 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commuters travel outward, predominantly by car at a rate of 93%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. Notably, 33.7% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census; this figure may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 210 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lisarow is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Lisarow faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts.

The rate of private health cover in Lisarow is approximately 54% of the total population (~2,940 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.3 and 8.2% of residents respectively. However, 66.5% of Lisarow residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Lisarow has 18.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,034 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Lisarow ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lisarow's population was found to be less culturally diverse, with 82.3% born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 92.6% speaking English only at home as of 2016 Census data. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 56.9%, compared to Sydney's 49.2%. Top ancestry groups were English (31.3%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (8.2%).

Korean (0.6%) was notably higher than regional average of 1.1%, Maltese at 0.5% (regional: 1.0%), and Russian at 0.3% (regional: 0.4%).

Lisarow's median age exceeds the national pattern

Lisarow's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney's average, Lisarow has a notably over-represented cohort of individuals aged 55-64 (13.1%) and an under-represented cohort of individuals aged 25-34 (7.7%). According to the 2021 Census, the population of individuals aged 15-24 has increased from 12.6% to 14.1%, while the population of individuals aged 75-84 has grown from 5.0% to 6.5%. Conversely, the population of individuals aged 25-34 has decreased from 9.5% to 7.7%. Demographic projections suggest that Lisarow's age profile will undergo significant changes by 2041. The cohort aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 32%, adding 114 residents to reach a total of 470. This demographic aging trend continues as individuals aged 65 and older represent 74% of the anticipated population growth. However, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 25-34 and 65-74.