Lisarow

Lisarow is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The suburb of Lisarow had an estimated population of 5,339 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by them since the Census. This figure represents a growth of 40 people (0.8%) from the 2021 Census total of 5,299. The increase is inferred from the resident population estimate of 5,336 by AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024, and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 491 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Lisarow's growth rate since the census, at 0.8%, is within 1.5 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.3%. This demonstrates competitive growth fundamentals driven primarily by overseas migration contributing approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. For the suburb, these projections anticipate lower quartile growth nationally, expecting an expansion to 5,396 persons by 2041, reflecting a gain of 0.8% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Lisarow is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Lisarow has experienced around 6 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Approximately 31 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years, between FY20-21 and FY25-26, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY26-27.

This results in an average of approximately 0.9 people moving to the area per dwelling built over the same period. New supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $508,000. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lisarow records markedly lower building activity, at 69.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, reflecting the area's maturity and potential planning constraints.

New building activity shows 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated count of 1183 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Lisarow will gain approximately 45 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Lisarow has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects that could impact the region. Notable projects are Narara Ecovillage, Narara District Master Plan, Gosford Bypass, and Central Coast Local Roads Package. The following details those likely to have the most relevance.

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The exceptional employment performance in Lisarow places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Lisarow has a skilled workforce with key sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 2.9%.

As of June 2025, 2,870 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is 64.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Health care & social assistance has notable concentration, at 1.3 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.9%, versus the regional average of 11.5%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9% and labour force by 2.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lisarow's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Lisarow's median income among taxpayers was $52,527 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $67,962 during the same period. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Lisarow would be approximately $59,151 (median) and $76,532 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income in Lisarow ranks at the 71st percentile with a weekly income of $2,087. Personal income sits at the 51st percentile. The income distribution shows that 32.6% of residents (1,740 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, which is similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Lisarow demonstrates affluence with 30.9% of its residents earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 15.1% of income. The area's strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income. Lisarow's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Lisarow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lisarow's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lisarow stood at 34.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.1% and rented ones at 14.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,139, lower than Sydney metro's $2,150. The median weekly rent in Lisarow was $435, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Lisarow's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,139 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lisarow features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.2% of all households, including 43.1% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 12.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.8%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Lisarow performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 23.9%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 5.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 39.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 27.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.3% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education. Lisarow's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,321 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1022) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. The area functions as an education hub with 24.7 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.9, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 31 active transport stops operating in Lisarow. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 43 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 1,347 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 326 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 192 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lisarow is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Lisarow faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, particularly among older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 54%, covering around 2,872 people in total. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Lisarow, impacting 9.3% and 8.2% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point five percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.8% across Greater Sydney. Lisarow has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 950 people, which is lower than the 24.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting some challenges compared to the broader population.

Lisarow ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lisarow's population, as of the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity with 82.3% born in Australia and 93.3% being citizens. English was spoken exclusively at home by 92.6%. Christianity dominated religiously at 56.9%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 53.4%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.3%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (8.2%). Notable differences included Korean (0.6% vs regional 0.3%) and Maltese (0.5% vs 0.7%) being overrepresented, while Russian was slightly underrepresented at 0.3% compared to the region's 0.4%.

Lisarow hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Lisarow's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. Locally, those aged 55-64 represent 13.0%, which is notably higher than the Greater Sydney average, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, Lisarow's population aged 15 to 24 grew from 12.6% to 14.0%, and those aged 75 to 84 increased from 5.0% to 6.2%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 9.5% to 8.3%. Demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Lisarow's age profile by 2041. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 38%, adding 126 residents, reaching a total of 458. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 77% of the population growth. Conversely, declines are anticipated for those aged 65-74 and 15-24 years old.