Point Frederick

Population growth drivers in Point Frederick are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Point Frederick is around 2,333. This figure represents a 14.2% increase from the 2021 Census count of 2,043 people. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on ERP data released by the ABS in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date, is 2,228. This results in a population density ratio of 3,888 persons per square kilometer, placing Point Frederick within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth since the 2021 Census exceeded both its SA3 area (3.2%) and SA4 region, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains in recent periods for Point Frederick.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, for covered areas. For un-covered SA2 areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Point Frederick is forecasted to increase its population by 1,001 persons, reflecting a total increase of 37.0% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Point Frederick when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Point Frederick has seen approximately 53 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 269 homes. As of FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.8 new residents per year arrive for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting supply meets or exceeds demand. The average construction value of new dwellings is $382,000.

In FY-26, Point Frederick has seen $8.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting its primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Point Frederick shows 598.0% higher building activity per person. Its new building activity comprises 4.0% detached dwellings and 96.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating a shift from the current housing mix of 34.0% houses. With around 135 people per dwelling approval, Point Frederick exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Point Frederick is projected to grow by 863 residents by 2041. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Point Frederick is expected to grow by 863 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Point Frederick has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified two projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Amalfi by ALAND, Gosford Hospital Redevelopment, M1 Pacific Motorway Kariong to Somersby Widening, and The Elly Extension. Below is a list of these projects, which are likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Point Frederick demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Point Frederick has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.8% as of September 2025, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.6%.

As of September 2025, 1,194 residents were in work and workforce participation was 64.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 38.5% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area has a specialization in health care & social assistance with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, but professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.6% while labour force increased by 4.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Point Frederick. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Point Frederick's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 15.3% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Point Frederick, a suburb, has a median taxpayer income of $57,233 and an average income of $73,963 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023. This is higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $62,304 (median) and $80,516 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. Personal income ranks at the 64th percentile ($882 weekly), while household income is at the 43rd percentile. Income distribution shows 32.0% of individuals earning between $1,500 and $2,999. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 42nd percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Point Frederick features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Point Frederick's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 34.0% houses and 66.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Frederick stood at 31.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 21.0% and rented ones at 47.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,947, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Point Frederick was $390, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Point Frederick's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Point Frederick features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.6% of all households, including 17.3% that are couples with children, 28.7% that are couples without children, and 12.6% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.4%, with lone person households at 36.7% and group households comprising 3.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Point Frederick demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Point Frederick's residents aged 15+ exhibit high educational attainment, with 36.2% holding university qualifications, surpassing the SA4 region's 20.8% and the SA3 area's 25.7%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 32.8% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.8%) and certificates (19.0%). A significant 24.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 6.6% in secondary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

A substantial 24.6% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 6.6% in secondary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Frederick has 11 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 46 different routes that together facilitate 1,985 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 99 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 83%, followed by trains at 7% and buses at 6%. On average, there are 0.9 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion (38.5%) of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 283 trips per day, equating to around 180 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Point Frederick is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Point Frederick demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~1,309 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.8 and 8.8% of residents respectively. 65.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 27.2% of residents aged 65 and over (634 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Point Frederick was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Frederick, as of a study conducted in the year 20XX, had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 16.0% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 26.7% born overseas. Christianity was found to be the predominant religion in Point Frederick, comprising 55.2% of the population. However, Judaism was notably overrepresented, making up 0.5% of the population compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English at 29.0%, Australian at 22.7%, and Irish at 10.9%. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences in representation: Korean was overrepresented at 1.2% compared to 1.1% regionally, Welsh at 0.7% versus 0.4%, and Russian at 0.4% matching the regional average.

Point Frederick hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Point Frederick's median age is 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 14.6% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney where this group comprises 12%. This is well above the national average of 9.5%. Since 2021, the 75-84 age group has grown from 8.1% to 9.2%, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 12.4% to 11.0%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest substantial demographic changes in Point Frederick. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 81%, adding 173 residents to reach a total of 388.