Point Frederick

Population growth drivers in Point Frederick are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Point Frederick statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,336. This reflects an increase of 293 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,043. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,228 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 225 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,893 persons per square kilometer, placing Point Frederick (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 14.3% since the 2021 Census exceeded both its SA3 area (3.1%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Point Frederick (SA2) is expected to increase by 998 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 36.5% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Point Frederick when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Point Frederick has seen approximately 53 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 269 homes. As of FY-26, six approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.8 new residents per year arrive per new home between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting supply meets or exceeds demand.

The average development value for new dwellings is $382,000. In FY-26, there have been $8.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Point Frederick shows 598.0% higher building activity per person. This high level of activity is well above the national average and reflects strong developer confidence in the area. The new building activity comprises 4.0% detached dwellings and 96.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift towards higher-density living creates more affordable entry points, appealing to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Point Frederick currently has a dwelling approval rate of around 135 people per dwelling, indicating growth area characteristics.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 852 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Point Frederick has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Amalfi by ALAND, Gosford Hospital Redevelopment, M1 Pacific Motorway Kariong to Somersby Widening, and The Elly Extension. Relevant details are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Point Frederick demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Point Frederick has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 1,187 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 56.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 3.5% while labour force grew by 4.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from NSW shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) between November 2024 and November 2025, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Point Frederick's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 15.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Point Frederick is $57,233, with an average of $73,963 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes based on Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $62,304 (median) and $80,516 (average). Census data indicates personal income ranks at the 64th percentile ($882 weekly), with household income at the 43rd percentile. Income distribution shows 32.0% of residents earning between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, consistent with surrounding regions at 30.9%. Housing affordability is severe, with only 82.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 42nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Point Frederick features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Point Frederick's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 34.0% houses and 66.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 74.2% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Frederick was at 31.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 21.0% and rented at 47.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,947, below Sydney metro's $2,150. Median weekly rent in Point Frederick was $390, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Point Frederick's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,947 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Point Frederick exceeded the national figure of $375 at $390.

Point Frederick features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.6% of all households, including 17.3% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.4%, consisting of 36.7% lone person households and 3.8% group households. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Point Frederick demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Point Frederick's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks significantly. Among residents aged 15+, 36.2% hold university qualifications, compared to 20.8% in the SA4 region and 25.7% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 13.8% and certificates for 19.0%.

A substantial 24.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 6.6% in secondary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Frederick has 11 active public transport stops. These stops are mixed-use bus hubs. There are 46 different routes operating from these stops, collectively serving 1,985 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 99 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 283 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 180 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Point Frederick are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Point Frederick shows below-average health indicators.

Common conditions are slightly more prevalent here compared to average across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover rate is very high at approximately 56%, covering around 1,311 people. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.8% and 8.8% of residents respectively. Around 65.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 64.8% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 26.9%, or 628 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 24.5%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Point Frederick was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Point Frederick's population showed higher linguistic diversity than most local areas, with 16.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 26.7% of Point Frederick residents were born outside Australia. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 55.2% of the population.

Judaism, however, was more prevalent in Point Frederick compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 0.5% versus 0.2%. The top three ancestry groups based on parents' country of birth were English (29.0%), Australian (22.7%), and Irish (10.9%). Notably, Korean ethnicity was overrepresented at 1.2%, compared to the regional average of 0.3%. Welsh and Russian ethnicities also showed similar representation in Point Frederick as in Greater Sydney, at 0.7% each for Welsh and 0.4% for Russian.

Point Frederick hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Point Frederick's median age is 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 14.6% of the population, compared to the national average of 9.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group is smaller at 7.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's proportion. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 8.1% to 8.9% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 12.4% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Point Frederick, with the 75-84 age group projected to grow by 89%, adding 185 residents to reach a total of 393.